The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity
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About this audiobook
protecting humanity’s future is the central challenge of our time.
If all goes well, human history is just beginning. Our species could survive for billions of years—enough time to
end disease, poverty, and injustice, and to flourish in ways unimaginable today. But this vast future is at risk. With the
advent of nuclear weapons, humanity entered a new age, where we face existential catastrophes—those from which we
could never come back. Since then, these dangers have only multiplied, from climate change to engineered pathogens
and unaligned artificial intelligence. If we do not act fast to reach a place of safety, it will soon be too late.
Drawing on over a decade of research, The Precipice explores the cutting-edge science behind the risks we face. It
puts them in the context of the greater story of humanity, showing how ending these risks is among the most pressing
moral issues of our time. And it points the way forward, to the actions and strategies that can safeguard humanity.
An Oxford philosopher committed to putting ideas into action, Toby Ord has advised the US National Intelligence
Council, the UK Prime Minister’s Office, and the World Bank on the greatest challenges facing humanity. In The
Precipice, he offers a startling reassessment of human history, the future we are failing to protect, and the steps we must
take to ensure that our generation is not the last.
Toby Ord
Toby Ord is a moral philosopher focusing on the big picture questions facing humanity. Born in Australia, he is a Senior Research Fellow at the Future of Humanity Institute at Oxford University. He is the founder of Giving What We Can and co-founder of the Effective Altruism movement, which has raised more than a hundred million pounds for some of the world's most deserving causes. In 2020, alongside Shonda Rimes, Kanye West and JK Rowling, he was included on the Financial Times's 'the good list', which highlights the work of the world's ten most inspiring philanthropists. He has also advised DeepMind, the World Health Organisation, the World Bank, the World Economic Forum, the US National Intelligence Council and the UK Prime Minister's Office, among others. He lives in Oxford.
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Reviews for The Precipice
62 ratings6 reviews
- Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5Eye opening introduction into long term options for the humanity and how to harness humanity potential.
1 person found this helpful
- Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5Brilliant overview of threats facing humanity that really focuses our intuitions on the risk realities and what we can begin to do in order to affix our long term flourishing.
1 person found this helpful
- Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5This might just be one of the most important books of the 21st century.
- Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The premise of this book is that humanity's future's (potentially) so bright [we] gotta wear shades. Therefore, we must plan for and avoid potential existential risks that could make this bright future impossible to achieve. I give this effort 4 stars because it's well written, researched and documented. Over 200 pages are devoted to detailed notes, appendices, bibliography and an index, which is a definite plus in a work of this type. Clearly this book is well researched and thought out. However, I find the premise that Humanity is an entity with agency and the capacity to be harmed by an existential crisis unconvincing, even if only metaphorical. I'm much more concerned with problems not considered as existential threats by this author: basically problems that cause actual suffering to actual living, sentient beings who no doubt number in the trillions.
- Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5The themes and the size of this book were intimidating, but Ord captured me with his argument that the future of humankind is, from our perspective, boundless, so why not take what steps we can to reduce existential threats to ourselves and our future progeny. Ord is thorough, considering everything from the awakening of artificial intelligences inimical to human beings, asteroid strike, natural and artificial pandemics, nuclear winter and environmental degradation and what we might call the 1984 scenario where a single autocratic dystopia limits our descendants' ability to thrive and develop. On the other hand, his vision for humanity's future is expansive; Ord imagines a future where an expanding humanity explores and settles not only this galaxy and neighboring galaxies, but the entire universe. He supports his risk estimates and most of his projections with current science, probability theory and healthy doses of math. Most of this infrastructure he sequesters in notes and appendices, all very readable, but the meat of the book is a set of straightforward discussions of the risks and an argument for taking action to reduce those risks.
- Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5In for a pandemic, in for Armageddon. The Precipice – Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity (Bloomsbury) by Toby Ord is surprisingly a book of hope, given that he believes there is a 1 in 6 chance that an existential crisis will hit in the next century and the future potential of the human race may be blunted permanently. Ord examines our self-inflicted risks such as nuclear winters and climate change, and potential new threats such as engineered pandemics and artificial general intelligence reaching singularity. This work crosses multiple disciplines of science and PPE, but is nicely structured for the lighter reader, such as myself. Of the 468 pages 241 are the general book, which is followed by 7 appendices giving more detail on specific areas e.g. ethics, risk, policy and research; 132 pages of notes that are for the heavy lifters who want to drill down into greater detail; and then the extensive bibliography and index.