Anda di halaman 1dari 10

# Informasi Operasi Moda Jalan Raya dan Jalan Baja dan Persentase Pemilihan Moda

Kota
Asal
A
B
C
D
A
B
C
D
A
B
C
D

Kota
Tujuan
U
U
U
U
V
V
V
V
W
W
W
W

X1
25
21
19
16
25
20
15
13
29
19
16
11

X2
X3
3
30
3
25
3
21
3
18
5
40
5
25
5
15
5
15
4
42
4
23
4
20
4
15

X4
10
10
10
10
20
20
20
20
15
15
15
15

X1
X2
X3
20
10
19
18
8
18
15
10
8
15
15
7
25
10
27
20
8
20
10
8
10
15
12
10
25
10
30
15
9
25
12
10
10
10
10
5

Jalan Raya
82%
80%
84%
95%
75%
80%
55%
89%
75%
80%
70%
85%

82
80
84
95
75
80
55
89
75
80
70
85

(%) dengan Moda
Jalan Baja
18%
20%
16%
5%
25%
20%
45%
11%
25%
20%
30%
15%

## Perhitungan Metode Analisa Regresi untu

CJR

CJB

CJR

77
68
62
56
105
85
70
68
102
73
67
57

79
68
63
82
92
72
52
73
95
76
62
55

77
79
68
68
62
63
56
82
105
92
85
72
70
52
68
73
102
95
73
76
67
62
57
55
JUMLAH

CJB - CJR

CJB

Log e{(1-P)/P}

Yi
Xi
2
-1.51635
0
-1.38629
1
-1.65823
26
-2.94444
-13
-1.09861
-13
-1.38629
-18
-0.20067
5
-2.09074
-7
-1.09861
3
-1.38629
-5
-0.84730
-2
-1.73460
-21
-17.34843291
B = (N. XiYi-(Xi.Yi))/((N.Xi^2)-Xi^2)
A = (Average of Y) - (B . Average of X)

0
-30

-20

-10

0
-0.5

-1
-1.5
-2
-2.5
-3
-3.5

10

20

>>>
>>>

## erhitungan Metode Analisa Regresi untuk Model Logit Biner Selisih

XiYi

-3.03269
0.00000
-1.65823
-76.55541
14.28196
18.02183
3.61207
-10.45371
7.69029
-4.15888
4.23649
3.46920
-44.54708868
Xi.Yi))/((N.Xi^2)-Xi^2) >>>
Y) - (B . Average of X)
>>>

## Simulasi Nilai xi untuk Model Logi

Xi^2

exp (A +Bxi)

P=1/{1+exp(A+Bxi)}

4
0
1
676
169
169
324
25
49
9
25
4
1455

0.25640
0.26955
0.26290
0.14072
0.37307
0.37307
0.42274
0.23788
0.32110
0.25007
0.30544
0.28337

0.79592
0.78768
0.79183
0.87664
0.72830
0.72830
0.70287
0.80783
0.75694
0.79995
0.76602
0.77920

=B
=A

-0.052816391
-1.538131427

## odel Logit Biner Nisbah

30
Series1

Linear (Series1)
y = -0.0528x - 1.5381
R = 0.7983

CJB - CJR
Xi
-100
-90
-80
-70
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100

## Simulasi Nilai xi untuk Model Logit Biner Nisbah

exp (A +Bxi)

P=1/{1+exp(A+Bxi)}

0.001091971
0.001851782
0.003140282
0.00532534
0.009030795
0.015314565
0.02597068
0.044041489
0.074686252
0.126654125
0.214782063
0.36423081
0.617668354
1.047451738
1.77628518
3.012252429
5.108225188
8.662608855
14.69018875
24.91185382
42.24591469

0.99891
0.99815
0.99687
0.99470
0.99105
0.98492
0.97469
0.95782
0.93050
0.88758
0.82319
0.73301
0.61817
0.48841
0.36019
0.24924
0.16371
0.10349
0.06373
0.03859
0.02312

-100 -90

-80

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

## Grafik Model Logit Biner Nisbah

1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0

-30

-20

-10

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Informasi Operasi Moda Jalan Raya dan Jalan Baja dan Persentase Pemilihan Moda
Kota
Asal
A
B
C
D
A
B
C
D
A
B
C
D

Kota
Tujuan
U
U
U
U
V
V
V
V
W
W
W
W

X1
25
21
19
16
25
20
15
13
29
19
16
11

X2
X3
3
30
3
25
3
21
3
18
5
40
5
25
5
15
5
15
4
42
4
23
4
20
4
15

X4
10
10
10
10
20
20
20
20
15
15
15
15

X1
X2
X3
20
10
19
18
8
18
15
10
8
15
15
7
25
10
27
20
8
20
10
8
10
15
12
10
25
10
30
15
9
25
12
10
10
10
10
5

Jalan Raya
82%
80%
84%
95%
75%
80%
55%
89%
75%
80%
70%
85%

82
80
84
95
75
80
55
89
75
80
70
85

## Persentase Pemilihan Moda

(%) dengan Moda
Jalan Baja
18%
20%
16%
5%
25%
20%
45%
11%
25%
20%
30%
15%

CJR

CJB

77
68
62
56
105
85
70
68
102
73
67
57

79
68
63
82
92
72
52
73
95
76
62
55

CJR/CJB

Log Wi
Wi
Xi
77
79
0.974684 -0.01114
68
68
1
0
62
63
0.984127 -0.00695
56
82
0.682927 -0.16563
105
92
1.141304 0.057401
85
72
1.180556 0.072086
70
52
1.346154 0.129095
68
73
0.931507 -0.03081
102
95
1.073684 0.030877
73
76
0.960526 -0.01749
67
62
1.080645 0.033683
57
55
1.036364 0.015512
JUMLAH
12.39248 0.106639
B = (N.XiYi-(Xi.Yi))/((N.Xi^2)-Xi^2)
LOG A = (Average of Y) - (B . Average of X)
CJR

CJB

0
-0.2

-0.15

-0.1

-0.05

-0.5
-1
-1.5
-2

-2.5
-3
-3.5

>>>
>>>

Log e{(1-P)/P}
Yi
-1.516347489
-1.386294361
-1.658228077
-2.944438979
-1.098612289
-1.386294361
-0.200670695
-2.090741097
-1.098612289
-1.386294361
-0.84729786
-1.734601055
-17.34843291
XiYi-(Xi.Yi))/((N.Xi^2)-Xi^2)
Average of Y) - (B . Average of X)

Xi.Yi

Xi^2

Wi^B

P = 1/(1+(Awi^B))

0.016887
0
0.011523
0.487675
-0.06306
-0.09993
-0.02591
0.064424
-0.03392
0.024247
-0.02854
-0.02691
0.326487
>>>
>>>

0.000124
0
4.83E-05
0.027432
0.003295
0.005196
0.016665
0.000949
0.000953
0.000306
0.001135
0.000241
0.056345

0.76749
1
0.847789
0.019532
3.911859
5.545388
21.49103
0.480839
2.082793
0.659927
2.226434
1.445725

-3.820388403
-1.552795031
-2.539585295
1.033175493
-0.184124894
-0.123204022
-0.029127976
4.773269757
-0.41252217
-11.77587835
-0.375903577
-0.726337123

=B
=A

8.676492868
-1.522806912

0
0

-0.5

0.05

0.1

0.15

y = 8.6765x - 1.5228
R = 0.8415

-1
-1.5
-2

-2.5
-3
-3.5

Series1

Linear (Series1)

CJR/CJB
Wi
0
0.4
0.8
1.2
1.6
2
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.6
4
4.4

Wi^B

P = 1/(1+(Awi^B))

0
0.000353
0.144265
4.864246
59.0263
409.1519
1990.216
7581.645
24150.73
67104.97
167405.3
382747.7

1
1.000537223
1.281538224
-0.156071805
-0.011250409
-0.001607564
-0.000330064
-8.66222E-05
-2.71917E-05
-9.78599E-06
-3.92272E-06
-1.71571E-06

1.4
1.2
1
0.8

0.6
0.4
0.2
0
-0.2

-0.4

Series1
Log. (Series1)