AOS
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
TASA DE INFLACION
32
26.8
25.1
22.6
22.6
19.4
21.6
17.7
16.7
8.9
9.1
7.7
7
6.5
5.5
4.85
4.48
5.69
7.67
2
3.17
3.73
2.44
PIB
214005.00
220596.00
228989.00
240372.00
253306.00
268430.00
274575.00
287432.00
289059.00
276557.00
284761.00
289539.00
296789.00
308418.00
324866.00
340156.00
362938.00
387983.00
401744.00
408379.00
424599.00
452815.00
470947.00
PIB %
4.3
2.4
4.4
5.7
5.1
5.2
2.1
3.4
0.6
-4.2
2.9
1.7
2.5
3.9
5.3
4.7
6.7
6.9
3.5
1.7
4.0
5.9
4.0
TASA DE DESEMPLEO %
10.2
9.8
9.2
7.8
7.6
8.7
11.9
12.1
15.0
20.1
20.5
15.0
15.7
14.2
13.6
11.8
12.0
11.2
11.3
12.0
11.8
10.8
10.4
X%
17.7
5.9
-3.0
3.1
20.1
19.4
4.4
8.5
-5.8
6.3
13.4
-6.2
-3.3
10.2
27.4
26.7
15.1
23.0
25.5
-12.9
21.4
41.3
M%
11.5
-11.2
33.5
48.4
21.3
16.2
-1.2
12.4
-4.8
-27.2
8.3
11.2
-1.0
9.4
20.6
26.6
23.4
25.7
20.6
-17.1
23.7
30.7
MILES DE MILLONES
X
M
26034.00
22603.00
28548.00
23302.00
30621.00
30016.00
31506.00
39866.00
32655.00
44538.00
33655.00
47412.00
36713.00
48813.00
37997.00
51720.00
41570.00
50895.00
42895.00
41201.00
45822.00
43878.00
47110.00
47713.00
45990.00
47870.00
49375.00
51781.00
54218.00
57100.00
57316.00
63896.00
62244.00
76655.00
66542.00
87422.00
69522.00
96580.00
67544.00
87744.00
68398.00
97260.00
77203.00
117843.00
TASAS DE INTERES %
43.51
46.09
37.16
35.45
40.22
41
33
27
26
12
12
8.5
5.25
7.25
6.5
6
7.5
9.5
9.5
3.5
3
4.75
SMLV
41,025.00
51,716.00
65,190.00
81,510.00
98,700.00
118,934.00
142,125.00
172,005.00
203,826.00
236,460.00
260,100.00
286,000.00
309,000.00
332,000.00
358,000.00
381,500.00
408,000.00
433,700.00
461,500.00
496,900.00
515,000.00
535,600.00
566,700.00
% SALARIAL
26.00
26.10
26.10
25.00
21.10
20.50
19.50
21.00
18.50
16.00
10.00
10.00
8.00
7.40
7.80
6.60
6.90
6.30
6.40
7.70
3.60
4.00
5.80
NOMINAL
TRM
502.26
633.05
680.10
786.67
826.56
912.78
1,036.55
1,141.08
1,427.04
1,758.58
2,087.42
2,299.77
2,507.96
2,877.50
2,626.22
2,320.77
2,357.98
2,078.35
1,966.26
2,156.29
1,897.89
1,848.17
GRAFICA 1
INFLACION
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
AOS
GRAFICA 2
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
6.0
-4.0
-6.0
AOS
GRAFICA 3
DESEMPLEO %
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
AOS
GRAFICA 4
TASAS DE INTERES %
GRAFICA 5
TRM
2,500.00
2,000.00
1,500.00
1,000.00
500.00
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
AOS
ECONOMICAS INDIVIDUALMENTE
MBIA (1990-2012)
2010 2012
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
OLOMBIA(1990-2012)
MBIA (1990-2012)
2012
OLOMBIA 1990-2012
2012
A 1990-2012
2012
RELACION DE VARIABLES MA
GRAFICA 1
TASA DE INFLACION
25
20
15
10
5
0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin
0.012780085
mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin
0.000163331
R^2
R^2 ajustado
-0.047447939
Error tpico
9.391733901
Observaciones
23
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
Regresin
1 0.30258633 0.30258633
Residuos
Total
21
22
1852.29798
1852.60057
88.2046657
Coeficientes
Error tpico Estadstico t
12.49187149
3.6085433 3.46174909
-0.04936498
0.8428302 -0.05857049
Intercepcin
PIB %
GRAFICA 2
INFLACION VS DESEMPLEO
35
30
TASA DE INFLACION
25
20
15
10
5
0
0.0
5.0
10.0
TASA DE DESEMPLEO
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin
0.410543948
mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin
0.168546333
R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones
0.128953302
8.564465715
23
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
Regresin
1 312.249033 312.249033
Residuos
21 1540.35153
73.350073
Total
22 1852.60057
Coeficientes
Error tpico Estadstico t
Intercepcin
26.22461082 6.97444813 3.76009834
TASA DE DESEMPLEO
-1.13216832
%
0.54873255 -2.0632425
GRAFICA 3
DESEMPLEO VS PRODUCCIO
25.0
TASA DE DESEMPLEO
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
% PIB
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin
0.644831855
mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin
0.415808121
R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.38798946
Error tpico
2.603200762
Observaciones
23
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Promedio de los cuadrados
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados101.291283
Regresin
1 101.291283 6.77665421
Residuos
21 142.309738
Total
22 243.601021
Coeficientes
Error tpico Estadstico t
15.53440345 1.00021602 15.5310485
-0.903192547 0.23361567 -3.86614709
Intercepcin
PIB %
GRAFICA 4
3000
2500
TRM
2000
1500
1000
500
0
-
5.000
TASAS DE INTERES
10.000
0
-
TASAS DE INTERES
10.000
5.000
GRAFICA 5
exportaciones vs tas
90000.00
80000.00
70000.00
EXPORTACIONES
60000.00
50000.00
40000.00
30000.00
20000.00
10000.00
0.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
TASAS DE INTERES
2.0
4.0
6.0
F
Valor crtico de F
0.0034305 0.95384799
8.0
15.0
TASA DE DESEMPLEO
20.0
25.0
F
Valor crtico de F
4.25696962
0.0516699
2.0
% PIB
4.0
6.0
8.0
TASAS DE INTERES
15.000
20.000
25.000
TASAS DE INTERES
15.000
20.000
25.000
10.00
15.00
TASAS DE INTERES
20.00
25.00
OMBIA (1990-2013)
B DE COLOMBIA (1990-
TASA DE INFLACION)
LOMBIA (1990-2012)
GRAFICA 1.1
20
INFLACION VS PIB EN
COLOMBIA 1990-1999
15
10
5
0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
GRAFICA 2.1
TASA DE INFLACION
30
25
20
INFLACION VS DESEMPL
1999
15
Linear (INFLACION VS D
1990- 1999)
10
5
0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
TASA DE DESEMPLEO
20.0
25.0
20
DESEMPLEO
25
15
15.0
11.9 12.1
10.2 9.8
10
9.2
7.8 7.6
8.7
0
0.0
0
2.0
4.0
6.0
PIB
8.0
10.0
GRAFICA 1.2
10
9
8
INFLACION VS PIB EN
COLOMBIA 1990-1999
Linear (INFLACION VS PIB EN
COLOMBIA 1990-1999)
TASA DE INFLACION
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
GRAFICA 2.2
1999
12
TASA DE INFLACION )
10
8
6
4
2
0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
TASA DE DESEMPLEO
20.0
DESEMPLEO VS
20.1
25.0
20.0
15.0
DESEMPLEO VS PIB EN
COLOMBIA 1990-1999
15.0
5.0
12.0
0.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
8.0
INFLACION VS DESEMPLEO
200-2012
Linear (INFLACION VS
DESEMPLEO 200-2012)
20.0
25.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0