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HowtoCriticallyAppraiseanArticle
JaneMYoung,MichaelJSolomon NatClinPractGastroenterolHepatol.20096(2):8291.
SummaryandIntroduction
Summary
Topracticeevidencebasedmedicine,cliniciansneedtoapplythefindingsofscientificresearchtothe circumstancesofindividualpatientsaspartoftheirclinicaldecisionmakingprocess.Clinicians,therefore,must beabletoselectandappraisescientificliteraturethatisrelevanttotheirfield,understandtheimplicationsof researchfindingsforindividualpatients,elicitpatients'ownpreferencesanddevelopanappropriatemanagement planbasedonthecombinationofthisinformation.Eachofthesetaskspresentsitsownchallenges,butthe sheervolumeofmedicalliteraturemeansthatthefirststep(thatofselectingandappraisingscientificevidence) canbedaunting.Thenumberofnewmedicalresearcharticlespublishedeachyearcontinuallyincreases,and morethan12,000newarticles,includingpapersoninexcessof300randomizedcontrolledtrials(RCTs),are addedtotheMEDLINEdatabaseeachweek.[1,2]Onepracticalwaythatclinicianscanmanagethis'information overload'[2]istodevelopefficientskillsincriticalappraisal,whichenablethemfocusononlythehighestquality studiesthatwillguidetheirclinicalpracticeandtoextrapolateinformationwhennecessaryfromstudiesofless rigorousdesignifhighqualitytrialsareunavailable. Criticalappraisalhasbeendefinedasthe"...applicationofrulesofevidencetoastudytoassessthevalidityof thedata,completenessofreporting,methodsandprocedures,conclusions,compliancewithethicalstandards, etc.Therulesofevidencevarywithcircumstances."[3]Althoughthemethodologicalcriteriabywhichthevalidity ofastudyisassessedwillvaryaccordingtoitsdesign,somegeneralprinciplesunderpintheevaluationofany researchstudy.Variousguidelinesandassessmenttoolshavebeendevelopedtoprovideastructuredapproach totheprocessofcriticalappraisalforclinicians.[414] Despitetheplethoraofdocumentsavailabletoguidetheprocess,no'goldstandard'instrumentforcritical appraisalexists.Thecriteriausedtoassessthevalidityandrelevanceofscientificliteraturearenotstaticthey mustevolvewithimprovementsinunderstandingoftheimportantsourcesofbiasinherentindifferentstudy designs,andincreasedawarenessofthepotentialinfluenceofothernonmethodologicalfactors,suchasconflicts ofinterest.[15]Astructuredapproachtocriticalappraisalcouldpotentiallyimprovethequalityofthisprocess,and simplechecklistscanbeusefultoscreenoutresearchthatisoflowqualityoroflittlerelevance.[16]ThisReview presentsaguidetothecriticalappraisalprocess.
SelectionandCriticalAppraisalofResearchLiterature
Tenkeyquestions()canbeusedtoassessthevalidityandrelevanceofaresearcharticle.Thesequestionscan assistclinicianstoidentifythemostrelevant,highqualitystudiesthatareavailabletoguidetheirclinical
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practice.
Box1.TenQuestionstoAskwhenCriticallyAppraisingaResearchArticle
Isthestudyquestionrelevant? Doesthestudyaddanythingnew? Whattypeofresearchquestionisbeingasked? Wasthestudydesignappropriatefortheresearchquestion? Didthestudymethodsaddressthemostimportantpotentialsourcesofbias? Wasthestudyperformedaccordingtotheoriginalprotocol? Doesthestudytestastatedhypothesis? Werethestatisticalanalysesperformedcorrectly? Dothedatajustifytheconclusions? Arethereanyconflictsofinterest?
IstheStudy'sResearchQuestionRelevant?
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investigationsonthequalityofhealthcare.
WastheStudyDesignAppropriatefortheResearchQuestion?
Studiesthatanswerquestionsabouteffectivenesshaveawellestablishedhierarchyofstudydesignsbasedon thedegreetowhichthedesignprotectsagainstbias.MetaanalysesofwellconductedRCTsandindividualRCTs providethemostrobustevidencefollowedbynonrandomizedcontrolledtrials,cohortstudies,casecontrol studies,andotherobservationalstudydesigns.[19,20]However,insomecircumstances,RCTsareeithernot feasibleorconsideredethicallyinappropriate.Theseissuesaremorecommoninnonpharmaceuticaltrials,such asthoseofsurgicalprocedures.Onereviewofgastrointestinalsurgicalresearchfoundthatonly40%ofresearch questionscouldhavebeenansweredbyanRCT,evenwhenfundingwasnotanimpediment.Patients' preferences,therarityofsomeconditions,andtheabsenceofequipoiseamongsurgeonsprovedtobethemajor obstaclestoperformingRCTsofgastrointestinalsurgeryinthissetting.[21]WhenanRCTisnotfeasible,the specificreasonsthatprecludeitsusewilldeterminethetypeofalternatestudydesignthatcanbeused.[21] Observationalstudies,ratherthanRCTs,arethemostappropriatestudydesignforresearchquestionsonthe frequencyofevents.
DidtheStudyMethodsAddresstheKeyPotentialSourcesofBias?
Inepidemiologicalterms,thepresenceofbiasdoesnotimplyapreconceptiononthepartoftheresearcher,but rathermeansthattheresultsofastudyhavedeviatedfromthetruth.[3]Biascanbeattributedtochance(e.g.a randomerror)ortothestudymethods(systematicbias).Randomerrordoesnotinfluencetheresultsinany particulardirection,butitwillaffecttheprecisionofthestudy[22]bycontrast,systematicbiashasadirection andresultsintheoverestimationorunderestimationofthe'truth'.Systematicbiasesarisefromthewayinwhich thestudyisconducted,beithowstudyparticipantswereselected,howdatawascollected,orthroughthe researchers'analysisorinterpretation.[23] Differentstudydesignsarepronetovaryingsourcesofsystematicbias.Oncethestudydesignofagivenarticle hasbeenidentified,werecommendthatcliniciansuseoneoftheavailabledesignspecificcriticalappraisal checkliststodecidewhetherthestudyinquestionisofhighquality.TheCriticalAppraisalSkillsProgramme (CASP)includessuchtoolsandtheprogramcoordinatorshavedevelopedseparatechecklistsfortheappraisalof systematicreviews,RCTs,cohortstudies,casecontrolstudies,diagnosticteststudies,economicevaluations andqualitativeresearchthateachcomprise10questions.[9]TheyhavebeendevelopedfromtheUsers'guidesto themedicalliteratureseriesofarticlesthatwereoriginallypublishedintheJournaloftheAmericanMedical Association.Thesearticlesarenowavailableinbookform[5]andarereadilyaccessibleontheinternet.[9]
SystematicReviewsandMetaanalyses
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Wereallrelevantstudiesincluded(i.e.wasthesearchcomprehensive,diditexcludearticlesonthebasisof publicationstatusorlanguageandwasthepotentialforpublicationbiasassessed)? Wereselectedarticlesappraisedanddataextractedbytwoindependentreviewers? Wassufficientdetailprovidedabouttheprimarystudies,includingdescriptionsofthepatients,interventions andoutcomes? Wasthequalityoftheprimarystudiesassessed? Didtheresearchersassesstheappropriatenessofcombiningresultstocalculateasummarymeasure? SystematicreviewsandmetaanalysesarenotrestrictedtoRCTsalone.TheMOOSE(MetaAnalysisOf ObservationalStudiesinEpidemiology)guidelineshavebeendevelopedasacorollaryoftheQUORUM statementformetaanalysesofnonRCTs.[30]
RandomizedControlledTrials
InanRCT,therandomallocationofparticipantsshouldensurethattreatmentgroupsareequivalentintermsof bothknownandunknownconfoundingfactorsanydifferencesinoutcomesbetweengroupscan,therefore,be ascribedtotheeffectoftreatment.[31]Studydesignalone,however,willnotguardagainstbiasifcrucialaspects ofthestudyprotocolaresuboptimal.Thepotentialforselectiveenrollmentofpatientsintothestudycanbeone animportantsourceofbiasifthegrouptowhichindividualswillbeallocatedisknownorcanbeguessed.[32] Centralizedmethodsofrandomization,forexampleacomputergeneratedallocation,arepreferabletoless concealedmethods,suchasuseofcolorcodedformsorpseudorandomsequencesbasedonmedicalrecord numbersordaysoftheweek.[31]Failuretoconcealtheallocationsequencehasbeenshowntoresultinagreater distortionoftheresultsthanlackofdoubleblindinganothermajorsourceofbiasinRCTs.[33] TheCONSORT(ConsolidatedStandardsofReportingTrials)statementflowchart(Figure1)isfunctionally equivalenttotheQUORUMstatementforsystematicreviews,andprovidesacomprehensivetoolwithwhichto assessthestandardofreportinginrandomizedtrials.[34]KeypointstoconsiderintheappraisalofanRCTare listedin.
Box3.KeyMethodologicalPointstoConsiderintheAppraisalofRandomizedControlledTrials
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Cohort,orlongitudinal,studiesinvolvefollowinguptwoormoregroupsofpatientstoobservewhodevelopsthe outcomeofinterest.Prospectivecohortstudieshavebeenlikenedtonaturalexperiments,asoutcomesare measuredinlargegroupsofindividualsoverextendedperiodsoftimeintherealworld.[35]Cohortstudiescan alsobeperformedretrospectivelysuchstudiesusuallyinvolveidentifyingagroupofpatientsandfollowingup theirprogressbyexaminingrecordsthathavebeencollectedroutinelyorforanotherpurpose,suchasmedical data,deathregistryrecordsandhospitaladmissiondatabases. Themajormethodologicalconcernwithcohortstudiesistheirhighpotentialforselectionbiasandconfounding factors.Theseproblemsareparticularlyrelevantwhencohortstudies(ornonRCTs)areusedtoevaluate therapeuticinterventions.Inthissituation,thetreatmentthatsomeonereceivesisdeterminedbythepatient'sor clinician'spreferences,referralpatterns,currenttreatmentparadigmsorlocalpolicy.[36]Importantdifferencesare likelytoexistbetweenpatientswhoreceivedisparatetreatmentsandthesedifferences,ratherthanthetreatment itself,mightberesponsiblefortheobservedoutcomes.Althoughsomepotentialconfoundingfactorscanbe measuredandaccountedforintheanalysis,[37]suchadjustmentsaremoredifficultinretrospectivethan prospectivestudies,asdataonimportantpotentialconfoundersmightnothavebeencollected,ormightbeof
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Casecontrolstudiesarealwaysretrospectivebytheirverynaturethecasepatientsareselectedbecausethey havealreadydevelopedtheoutcomeofinterest(e.g.adisease).Dataarethencollectedaboutfactorsthatmight haveinfluencedthisoutcome,andtheseexposuresarecomparedwiththoseofagroupofpeoplewhodifferfrom thecasepatientsonlyinthattheyhavenotdevelopedtheoutcomeofinterest.Casecontrolstudiesareidealfor theinvestigationofriskfactorswhentheoutcomeofinterestisrare,asitwouldtaketoolongtorecruita prospectivecohort. Majormethodologicaldifficultieswithcasecontrolstudiesaretheselectionofappropriatecontrolindividualsand thepossibilityof'recallbias'(apatient'ssubjectiveinterpretationofwhatcausedtheirconditioncanaltertheir recallofcertaineventsorexperiences).Controlsshouldbedrawnfromexactlythesamepopulationasthe cases,andtheonlydifferencebetweencontrolsandcasesshouldbethatthecontrolshavenotdevelopedthe conditionofinterest.Althoughobjectivemeasuresofpossiblecausativefactorsarepreferable,casecontrol studiesoftenrelyonparticipants'recall,andpatientsmightbemorelikelytoremembercertaineventsor experiencesthancontrols.[39]Keyaspectstoconsiderwhenassessingacasecontrolstudyarelistedin.
Box5.KeyMethodologicalPointstoConsiderintheAppraisalofaCaseControlStudy
Crosssectionalstudiesprovidea'snapshot'inwhichallparameters(exposuresandoutcomes)areassessedat
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thesametimeexamplesofcrosssectionaldesignsincludeoneoffsurveysandauditsofpractice.Key methodologicalpointstoconsiderintheappraisalofacrosssectionalstudyarelistedin.
Box6.KeyMethodologicalPointstoConsiderintheAppraisalofaCrosssectionalStudy
Caseseriesprovidelowlevelevidenceabouttherapeuticeffectivenesshowever,thesearticlesarevery commoninmedicalliterature.Keymethodologicalissuestoconsiderwhenassessingsucharticlesarelistedin.
Box7.KeyMethodologicalPointstoConsiderintheAppraisalofaCaseStudy
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DoestheStudyTestaStatedHypothesis?
Ahypothesisisaclearstatementofwhattheinvestigatorsexpectthestudytofindandiscentraltoany researchasitstatestheresearchquestioninaformthatcanbetestedandrefuted.[3]Anullhypothesisstates thatthefindingsofastudyarenodifferenttothosethatwouldhavebeenexpectedtooccurbychance. Statisticalhypothesistestinginvolvescalculatingtheprobabilityofachievingtheobservedresultsifthenull hypothesisweretrue.Ifthisprobabilityislow(conventionallylessthan1:20orP<0.05),thenullhypothesisis rejectedandthefindingsaresaidtobe'statisticallysignificant'atthatacceptedlevel. Studyhypothesesmustcruciallybeidentifiedapriori(thatis,beforethestudyisconducted,andaredeveloped fromtheoryorpreviousexperience).Ifthestudyinvestigatesthestatisticalsignificanceofassociationsthatwere notprespecifiedintheoriginalhypothesis(posthocanalysis),suchanalysesarepronetofalsepositivefindings because,atasignificancelevelof5%(P=0.05),1in20associationstestedwillbesignificant(positive)by chancealone.Whenalargenumberofsuchtestsareconductedsomefalsepositiveresultsarehighlylikelyto occur.Anotherimportantconsiderationittocheckthatalldatarelevanttothestatedstudyobjectiveshavebeen reported,andthatselectedoutcomeshavenotbeenomitted. Wheretreatmentsforamedicalconditionalreadyexist,trialscanbedesignedtotestwhetheranewtherapyhas similarefficacytoanexistingone.Thistypeoftrialiscalledanequivalenceornoninferioritytrial,asitspurpose istoestablishthatthenewtreatmentisnoworsethantheexistingone.[47]Equivalencestudiesrequirethatthe degreeofoutcomedifferenceatwhichthetwotreatmentswillnotbeconsideredequivalentbedeterminedin advance.[48]Forexample,researchersmightdecidethatiftheprimaryoutcomeforanewtreatmentisnogreater than5%worsethanthatoftheexistingtreatment,thetwotreatmentswillbeconsideredtobeequivalent. Equivalencestudiesdeterminewhetheranewtreatmentisatleastasgoodasanexistingtreatmentsothat decisionsaboutwhichtreatmenttoadministertoagivenpatientcanbemadeonthebasisofcriteria,suchas costoreaseofadministration.[47,48] TheCONSORTstatementforrandomizedtrialshasbeenextendedtoincorporateguidelinesforreporting equivalencestudies.[49]Akeyquestionwhenappraisingthistypeofstudyiswhetherthetrialresultswere analyzedappropriatelyforanequivalencestudy.Ifastudyisdesignedtoshowthatanewtreatmentisatleast asgoodasanexistingtreatment,statisticalmethods,forconventionaltestingofahypothesisthatonetreatment issuperiortoanothershouldnotbeused.Appropriateanalysisoftheresultsinanequivalencestudyoften involvescalculatingconfidenceintervalsforthetreatmenteffect,anddeterminingwhethertheselimitsarewithin thepredeterminedmarginofnoninferiority.[48]Anotherkeyquestioniswhetherthesamplesizewascalculated correctlyforanequivalencestudy,asthesetypesofstudyusuallyrequirealargersamplesizethana correspondingsuperioritytrial.[49]
WeretheStatisticalAnalysesPerformedCorrectly?
Assessingtheappropriatenessofstatisticalanalysescanbedifficultfornonstatisticians.However,all quantitativeresearcharticlesshouldincludeasegmentwithintheir'Method'sectionthatexplainsthetoolsused inthestatisticalanalysisandtherationaleforthisapproach,whichshouldbewrittenintermsthatareappropriate forthejournal'sreadership.Inparticular,theapproachtodealingwithmissingdataandthestatisticaltechniques thathavebeenappliedshouldbespecifiedpatientswhoarelostinfollowupandmissingdatashouldbeclearly identifiedinthe'Results'section.Originaldatashouldbepresentedinsuchawaythatreaderscancheckthe statisticalaccuracyofthepaper. AnimportantconsiderationinthestatisticalanalysisofRCTsiswhetherintentiontotreat(ITT)orperprotocol analyseswereconducted.AccordingtotheITTprinciple,participants'dataareanalyzedwithreferencetothe grouptowhichtheywererandomlyallocated,regardlessofwhethertheyactuallyreceivedtheallocated treatment.ITTanalysesarepreferred,becausetheymaintaintherandomizationandensurethatthetwo treatmentgroupsarecomparableatbaseline.[50]However,ifalotofparticipantsarenonadherantoralarge proportioncrossovertoothertreatments,anITTanalysiswillbesomewhatconservativeandtheresultsmight bedifficulttointerpret.Inthissituation,aperprotocolanalysisthatincludesonlythosepatientswhocomplied
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Conflictsofinterestoccurwhenpersonalfactorshavethepotentialtoinfluenceprofessionalrolesor responsibilities.[51]Membersofaresearchteammustmakejudgmentsthathavethepotentialtoaffectthe safetyoftheparticipantsandthevalidityoftheresearchfindings.Researchersareinapositiontodecidewhich studieswillbeconductedintheirunit,whichpatientswillbeinvitedtoparticipateinastudyandwhethercertain clinicaloccurrencesshouldbereportedasadverseevents.[52]Thesedecisionsrequireresearcherstoactwith integrityandnotforpersonalorinstitutionalgain. Potentialfinancialconflictsofinterestincludethereceiptofsalaryandconsultationfeesfromthecompanythat hassponsoredtheresearchandownershipofstocksandsharesorotherpecuniaryinterests,suchaspatents relatedtotheresearch.[52]Unitsthatrecruitresearchparticipantsmightbepaidapercapitafeeforeverypatient enrolled,whichcanbegreaterthantheexpensesinvolved.[53]Manypotentialfinancialsourcesofconflictsof interest,suchasindustryfundingforeducationalevents,travelorgifts,areincreasinglyrecognizedbothwithin thecontextofdailyclinicalpracticeandresearch.[54]However,otherpotentialconflictsareinherenttothe researchsetting.Anexampleisthatmedicalresearchers'statusandfutureresearchincomeisdependentonthe successoftheirresearch.[55] Identificationofapotentialconflictofinterestisnotsynonymouswithhavinganactualconflictofinterestorpoor researchpractice.Potentialconflictsofinterestareextremelycommon,andthemostimportantquestionsare whethertheyhavebeenrecognizedandhowtheyhavebeendealtwith.[56]Amainmechanismfordealingwith potentialconflictsofinterestisopendisclosure.[56]Intheprocessofcriticallyappraisingaresearcharticle,one importantstepistocheckforadeclarationaboutthesourceoffundingforthestudyand,ifapotentialconflictof interesthadbeenidentifiedforastatementabouthowthisconflictwasmanaged.Forexample,theresearchers mightstatespecificallythatthesponsoringagencyhadnoinputintotheresearchprotocol,dataanalysisor interpretationofthefindings.Manyjournalsnowroutinelyrequireauthorstodeclareanypotentialfinancialor otherconflictsofinterestwhenanarticleissubmitted.Thereadermustthendecidewhetherthedeclaredfactors areimportantandmighthaveinfluencedthevalidityofthestudy'sfindings.
Conclusions
Criticalappraisalisasystematicprocessthroughwhichthestrengthsandweaknessesofaresearchstudycan beidentified.Thisprocessenablesthereadertoassessthestudy'susefulnessandwhetheritsfindingsare trustworthy.Themostimportantcomponentofcriticalappraisaliscarefulassessmentofthestudydesign however,othersteps,suchasevaluationofthestatisticalmethodsused,interpretationofthefindingsand potentialconflictsofinterestarealsoessential.Finally,considerationoftheimportanceoftheresearchtoone's ownpatientswillhelpcliniciansidentifythemostrelevant,highqualitystudiesavailabletoguidetheirclinical practice.
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KeyPoints
Criticalappraisalisasystematicprocessusedtoidentifythestrengthsandweaknessesofaresearch article
Criticalappraisalprovidesabasisfordecisionsonwhethertousetheresultsofastudyinclinicalpractice
Differentstudydesignsarepronetovarioussourcesofsystematicbias
Designspecific,criticalappraisalchecklistsareusefultoolstohelpassessstudyquality
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PublishingCompany 51. NationalHealthandMedicalResearchCouncil(2007)NationalStatementonEthicalConductinHuman Research8990Canberra:NHMRC 52. LoBetal.(2000)Conflictofinterestpoliciesforinvestigatorsinclinicaltrials.NEnglJMed343:1616 1620 53. KimSYHetal.(2004)Potentialresearchparticipants'viewsregardingresearcherandinstitutionalfinancial conflictsofinterests.JMedEthics30:7379 54. KomesaroffPAandKerridgeIH(2002)Ethicalissuesconcerningtherelationshipsbetweenmedical practitionersandthepharmaceuticalindustry.MedJAust176:118121 55. LittleM(1999)Research,ethicsandconflictsofinterest.JMedEthics25:259262 56. LemmensTandSingerPA(1998)Bioethicsforclinicians:17.Conflictofinterestinresearch,education andpatientcare.CMAJ159:960965 ReprintAddress JaneMYoung,SurgicalOutcomesResearchCentre(SOuRCe),RoyalPrinceAlfredHospital,POBoxM157, MissendenRoad,NSW2050,Australia.Email:jyoung@email.cs.nsw.gov.au NatClinPractGastroenterolHepatol.20096(2):8291.2009NaturePublishingGroup
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