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Informasi Operasi Moda Jalan Raya dan Jalan Baja dan Persentase Pemili

Kota

Kota

 

Jalan Raya (Bus)

 

Jalan Baja (Kereta Api)

(%) dengan Moda Jalan Raya

Asal

Tujuan

X1

X2

X3

X4

X1

X2

X3

 

A U

25

3

30

10

20

10

19

82%

 

B U

21

3

25

10

18

8

18

80%

 

C U

19

3

21

10

15

10

8

84%

 

D U

16

3

18

10

15

15

7

95%

 

A V

25

5

40

20

25

10

27

75%

 

B V

20

5

25

20

20

8

20

80%

 

C V

15

5

15

20

10

8

10

55%

 

D V

13

5

15

20

15

12

10

89%

 

A W

29

4

42

15

25

10

30

75%

 

B W

19

4

23

15

15

9

25

80%

 

C W

16

4

20

15

12

10

10

70%

 

D W

11

4

15

15

10

10

5

85%

 

82

80

84

95

75

80

55

89

75

80

70

85

han Moda

(%) dengan Moda Jalan Baja

C

JR

C

JB

18%

77

79

20%

68

68

16%

62

63

5%

56

82

25%

105

92

20%

85

72

45%

70

52

11%

68

73

25%

102

95

20%

73

76

30%

67

62

15%

57

55

Perhitungan Metode

C

JR

C

JB

C JB - CJR

Log e{(1-P)/P}

   

Xi

Yi

77

79

2

-1.51635

68

68

0

-1.38629

62

63

1

-1.65823

56

82

26

-2.94444

105

92

-13

-1.09861

85

72

-13

-1.38629

70

52

-18

-0.20067

68

73

5

-2.09074

102

95

-7

-1.09861

73

76

3

-1.38629

67

62

-5

-0.84730

57

55

-2

-1.73460

 

JUMLAH

 

-21

-17.34843291

 

B = (N. ∑XiYi-(∑Xi.∑Yi))/((N.∑Xi^2)

 

A = (Average of Y) - (B . Average of

Analisa Regresi Nilai xi dan yi Model Logit Biner Nisb

0 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 -0.5 -1 -1.5 -2 -2.5 -3 -3.5
0
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
-0.5
-1
-1.5
-2
-2.5
-3
-3.5

Analisa Regresi untuk Model Logit Biner Selisih

XiYi

Xi^2

exp (A +Bxi)

P=1/{1+exp(A+Bxi)}

-3.03269

4

0.25640

0.79592

0.00000

0

0.26955

0.78768

-1.65823

1

0.26290

0.79183

-76.55541

676

0.14072

0.87664

14.28196

169

0.37307

0.72830

18.02183

169

0.37307

0.72830

3.61207

324

0.42274

0.70287

-10.45371

25

0.23788

0.80783

7.69029

49

0.32110

0.75694

-4.15888

9

0.25007

0.79995

4.23649

25

0.30544

0.76602

3.46920

4

0.28337

0.77920

-44.54708868

1455

   

-∑Xi^2)

>>>

β = B

-0.052816391

X)

>>>

α = A

-1.538131427

ah

30 Series1 Linear (Series1) y = -0.0528x - 1.5381 R² = 0.7983
30
Series1
Linear (Series1)
y = -0.0528x - 1.5381
R² = 0.7983

Simulasi

C JB - CJR

Xi

-100

-90

-80

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Nilai xi untuk Model Logit Biner Nisbah

exp (A +Bxi)

P=1/{1+exp(A+Bxi)}

0.001091971

0.99891

0.001851782

0.99815

0.003140282

0.99687

0.00532534

0.99470

0.009030795

0.99105

0.015314565

0.98492

0.02597068

0.97469

0.044041489

0.95782

0.074686252

0.93050

0.126654125

0.88758

0.214782063

0.82319

0.36423081

0.73301

0.617668354

0.61817

1.047451738

0.48841

1.77628518

0.36019

3.012252429

0.24924

5.108225188

0.16371

8.662608855

0.10349

14.69018875

0.06373

24.91185382

0.03859

42.24591469

0.02312

Graf -100 -90 -80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30
Graf
-100
-90
-80
-70
-60
-50
-40
-30
ik Model Logit Biner Nisbah 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
ik Model Logit Biner Nisbah
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100

Informasi Operasi Moda Jalan Raya dan Jalan Baja dan Persentase Pemilih

Kota

Kota

 

Jalan Raya (Bus)

 

Jalan Baja (Kereta Api)

(%) dengan Moda Jalan Raya

Asal

Tujuan

X1

X2

X3

X4

X1

X2

X3

 

A U

25

3

30

10

20

10

19

82%

 

B U

21

3

25

10

18

8

18

80%

 

C U

19

3

21

10

15

10

8

84%

 

D U

16

3

18

10

15

15

7

95%

 

A V

25

5

40

20

25

10

27

75%

 

B V

20

5

25

20

20

8

20

80%

 

C V

15

5

15

20

10

8

10

55%

 

D V

13

5

15

20

15

12

10

89%

 

A W

29

4

42

15

25

10

30

75%

 

B W

19

4

23

15

15

9

25

80%

 

C W

16

4

20

15

12

10

10

70%

 

D W

11

4

15

15

10

10

5

85%

 

82

80

84

95

75

80

55

89

75

80

70

85

an Moda

(%) dengan Moda Jalan Baja

C

JR

C

JB

18%

77

79

20%

68

68

16%

62

63

5%

56

82

25%

105

92

20%

85

72

45%

70

52

11%

68

73

25%

102

95

20%

73

76

30%

67

62

15%

57

55

C

 

C

 

C

JR /C JB

Log Wi

JR

JB

 

Wi

Xi

77

79

0.974684

-0.01114

68

68

 

1

0

62

63

0.984127

-0.00695

56

82

0.682927

-0.16563

105

92

1.141304

0.057401

85

72

1.180556

0.072086

70

52

1.346154

0.129095

68

73

0.931507

-0.03081

102

95

1.073684

0.030877

73

76

0.960526

-0.01749

67

62

1.080645

0.033683

57

55

1.036364

0.015512

 

JUMLAH

 

12.39248

0.106639

 

B = (N.∑XiYi-(∑Xi.∑Yi))/((N.

 

LOG A = (Average of Y) - (B .

-0.2 -0.15 -0.1 -0.05 -0 -1 -2 -3
-0.2
-0.15
-0.1
-0.05
-0
-1
-2
-3

Log e{(1-P)/P}

     

P = 1/(1+(Awi^B))

Yi

Xi.Yi

Xi^2

Wi^B

-1.516347489

0.016887

0.000124

0.76749

-3.820388403

-1.386294361

0

0

1

-1.552795031

-1.658228077

0.011523

4.83E-05

0.847789

-2.539585295

-2.944438979

0.487675

0.027432

0.019532

1.033175493

-1.098612289

-0.06306

0.003295

3.911859

-0.184124894

-1.386294361

-0.09993

0.005196

5.545388

-0.123204022

-0.200670695

-0.02591

0.016665

21.49103

-0.029127976

-2.090741097

0.064424

0.000949

0.480839

4.773269757

-1.098612289

-0.03392

0.000953

2.082793

-0.41252217

-1.386294361

0.024247

0.000306

0.659927

-11.77587835

-0.84729786

-0.02854

0.001135

2.226434

-0.375903577

-1.734601055

-0.02691

0.000241

1.445725

-0.726337123

-17.34843291

0.326487

0.056345

   

.∑Xi^2)-∑Xi^2)

>>>

β = B

8.676492868

Average of X)

>>>

α = A

-1.522806912

C

JR /C JB

 

Wi

 

0

 

0.4

 

0.8

 

1.2

 

1.6

 

2

 

2.4

 

2.8

 

3.2

 

3.6

 

4

 

4.4

0 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 y = 8.6765x - 1.5228 R² = 0.8415 .5 -1
0
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
y = 8.6765x - 1.5228
R² = 0.8415
.5
-1
.5
Series1
Linear (Series1)
-2
.5
-3
.5

Wi^B

P = 1/(1+(Awi^B))

0

1

0.000353

1.000537223

0.144265

1.281538224

4.864246

-0.156071805

59.0263

-0.011250409

409.1519

-0.001607564

1990.216

-0.000330064

7581.645

-8.66222E-05

24150.73

-2.71917E-05

67104.97

-9.78599E-06

167405.3

-3.92272E-06

382747.7

-1.71571E-06

1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0 1 2 3 4 -0.2 -0.4
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0
1
2
3
4
-0.2
-0.4
Series1 Log. (Series1) 5
Series1
Log. (Series1)
5