Anda di halaman 1dari 10

Informasi Operasi Moda Jalan Raya dan Jalan Baja dan Persentase Pemili

 Kota Kota Jalan Raya (Bus) Jalan Baja (Kereta Api) (%) dengan Moda Jalan Raya Asal Tujuan X1 X2 X3 X4 X1 X2 X3 A U 25 3 30 10 20 10 19 82% B U 21 3 25 10 18 8 18 80% C U 19 3 21 10 15 10 8 84% D U 16 3 18 10 15 15 7 95% A V 25 5 40 20 25 10 27 75% B V 20 5 25 20 20 8 20 80% C V 15 5 15 20 10 8 10 55% D V 13 5 15 20 15 12 10 89% A W 29 4 42 15 25 10 30 75% B W 19 4 23 15 15 9 25 80% C W 16 4 20 15 12 10 10 70% D W 11 4 15 15 10 10 5 85% 82 80 84 95 75 80 55 89 75 80 70 85

han Moda

 (%) dengan Moda Jalan Baja C JR C JB 18% 77 79 20% 68 68 16% 62 63 5% 56 82 25% 105 92 20% 85 72 45% 70 52 11% 68 73 25% 102 95 20% 73 76 30% 67 62 15% 57 55

Perhitungan Metode

 C JR C JB C JB - CJR Log e{(1-P)/P} Xi Yi 77 79 2 -1.51635 68 68 0 -1.38629 62 63 1 -1.65823 56 82 26 -2.94444 105 92 -13 -1.09861 85 72 -13 -1.38629 70 52 -18 -0.20067 68 73 5 -2.09074 102 95 -7 -1.09861 73 76 3 -1.38629 67 62 -5 -0.84730 57 55 -2 -1.73460 JUMLAH -21 -17.34843291 B = (N. ∑XiYi-(∑Xi.∑Yi))/((N.∑Xi^2) A = (Average of Y) - (B . Average of

Analisa Regresi Nilai xi dan yi Model Logit Biner Nisb

0
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
-0.5
-1
-1.5
-2
-2.5
-3
-3.5

Analisa Regresi untuk Model Logit Biner Selisih

 XiYi Xi^2 exp (A +Bxi) P=1/{1+exp(A+Bxi)} -3.03269 4 0.25640 0.79592 0.00000 0 0.26955 0.78768 -1.65823 1 0.26290 0.79183 -76.55541 676 0.14072 0.87664 14.28196 169 0.37307 0.72830 18.02183 169 0.37307 0.72830 3.61207 324 0.42274 0.70287 -10.45371 25 0.23788 0.80783 7.69029 49 0.32110 0.75694 -4.15888 9 0.25007 0.79995 4.23649 25 0.30544 0.76602 3.46920 4 0.28337 0.77920 -44.54708868 1455 -∑Xi^2) >>> β = B -0.052816391 X) >>> α = A -1.538131427 ah
30
Series1
Linear (Series1)
y = -0.0528x - 1.5381
R² = 0.7983

Simulasi

C JB - CJR

Xi

-100

-90

-80

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Nilai xi untuk Model Logit Biner Nisbah

 exp (A +Bxi) P=1/{1+exp(A+Bxi)} 0.001091971 0.99891 0.001851782 0.99815 0.003140282 0.99687 0.00532534 0.99470 0.009030795 0.99105 0.015314565 0.98492 0.02597068 0.97469 0.044041489 0.95782 0.074686252 0.93050 0.126654125 0.88758 0.214782063 0.82319 0.36423081 0.73301 0.617668354 0.61817 1.047451738 0.48841 1.77628518 0.36019 3.012252429 0.24924 5.108225188 0.16371 8.662608855 0.10349 14.69018875 0.06373 24.91185382 0.03859 42.24591469 0.02312
Graf
-100
-90
-80
-70
-60
-50
-40
-30
ik Model Logit Biner Nisbah
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100

Informasi Operasi Moda Jalan Raya dan Jalan Baja dan Persentase Pemilih

 Kota Kota Jalan Raya (Bus) Jalan Baja (Kereta Api) (%) dengan Moda Jalan Raya Asal Tujuan X1 X2 X3 X4 X1 X2 X3 A U 25 3 30 10 20 10 19 82% B U 21 3 25 10 18 8 18 80% C U 19 3 21 10 15 10 8 84% D U 16 3 18 10 15 15 7 95% A V 25 5 40 20 25 10 27 75% B V 20 5 25 20 20 8 20 80% C V 15 5 15 20 10 8 10 55% D V 13 5 15 20 15 12 10 89% A W 29 4 42 15 25 10 30 75% B W 19 4 23 15 15 9 25 80% C W 16 4 20 15 12 10 10 70% D W 11 4 15 15 10 10 5 85% 82 80 84 95 75 80 55 89 75 80 70 85

an Moda

 (%) dengan Moda Jalan Baja C JR C JB 18% 77 79 20% 68 68 16% 62 63 5% 56 82 25% 105 92 20% 85 72 45% 70 52 11% 68 73 25% 102 95 20% 73 76 30% 67 62 15% 57 55
 C C C JR /C JB Log Wi JR JB Wi Xi 77 79 0.974684 -0.01114 68 68 1 0 62 63 0.984127 -0.00695 56 82 0.682927 -0.16563 105 92 1.141304 0.057401 85 72 1.180556 0.072086 70 52 1.346154 0.129095 68 73 0.931507 -0.03081 102 95 1.073684 0.030877 73 76 0.960526 -0.01749 67 62 1.080645 0.033683 57 55 1.036364 0.015512 JUMLAH 12.39248 0.106639 B = (N.∑XiYi-(∑Xi.∑Yi))/((N. LOG A = (Average of Y) - (B .
-0.2
-0.15
-0.1
-0.05
-0
-1
-2
-3
 Log e{(1-P)/P} P = 1/(1+(Awi^B)) Yi Xi.Yi Xi^2 Wi^B -1.516347489 0.016887 0.000124 0.76749 -3.820388403 -1.386294361 0 0 1 -1.552795031 -1.658228077 0.011523 4.83E-05 0.847789 -2.539585295 -2.944438979 0.487675 0.027432 0.019532 1.033175493 -1.098612289 -0.06306 0.003295 3.911859 -0.184124894 -1.386294361 -0.09993 0.005196 5.545388 -0.123204022 -0.200670695 -0.02591 0.016665 21.49103 -0.029127976 -2.090741097 0.064424 0.000949 0.480839 4.773269757 -1.098612289 -0.03392 0.000953 2.082793 -0.41252217 -1.386294361 0.024247 0.000306 0.659927 -11.77587835 -0.84729786 -0.02854 0.001135 2.226434 -0.375903577 -1.734601055 -0.02691 0.000241 1.445725 -0.726337123 -17.34843291 0.326487 0.056345 .∑Xi^2)-∑Xi^2) >>> β = B 8.676492868 Average of X) >>> α = A -1.522806912
 C JR /C JB Wi 0 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 4 4.4
0
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
y = 8.6765x - 1.5228
R² = 0.8415
.5
-1
.5
Series1
Linear (Series1)
-2
.5
-3
.5
 Wi^B P = 1/(1+(Awi^B)) 0 1 0.000353 1.000537223 0.144265 1.281538224 4.864246 -0.156071805 59.0263 -0.011250409 409.1519 -0.001607564 1990.216 -0.000330064 7581.645 -8.66222E-05 24150.73 -2.71917E-05 67104.97 -9.78599E-06 167405.3 -3.92272E-06 382747.7 -1.71571E-06
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0
1
2
3
4
-0.2
-0.4
Series1
Log. (Series1)
5