SAMBUTAN
Neraca Gas Bumi Indonesia 2007-2015 disusun sebagai dasar bagi para Stakeholders dalam rangka
memberikan gambaran kemampuan pasokan gas bumi di Indonesia. Neraca gas ini diharapkan dapat menjadi
acuan untuk Rencana Penyediaan Gas Bumi Nasional dalam rangka pemenuhan kebutuhan gas bumi Nasional
yang akan memberikan sebesar-besarnya manfaat bagi Negara.
Neraca Gas Bumi Indonesia ini memuat informasi mengenai kondisi ketersediaan dan kebutuhan gas bumi
termasuk potensi pasokan dan kebutuhan yang diperlukan bagi Stakeholders dalam perencanaan
pengembangan investasi.
Penyusunan Neraca Gas Indonesia ini melibatkan Stakeholders gas bumi, sehingga Neraca Gas Bumi ini
merupakan dokumen bersama yang akan menjadi satu-satunya acuan dalam mengetahui tingkat kebutuhan
dan melakukan perencanaan pasokan dan kebutuhan gas bumi.
Dokumen ini bersifat dinamis, sehingga data yang tercantum di dalamnya akan selalu diperbaharui sesuai
dengan perkembangan ketersediaan dan kebutuhan gas bumi Nasional.
Kami berharap, dengan adanya Neraca Gas Bumi Indonesia dapat bermanfaat bagi kita semua
1 APRIL 2007
DAFTAR ISI
SAMBUTAN MENTERI ENERGI DAN SUMBER DAYA MINERAL.....i
DAFTAR ISI....ii
PENDAHULUAN........1
PERMASALAHAN.....2
METODOLOGI...3
B.
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
A. PENDAHULUAN
Peningkatan harga minyak bumi mendorong peningkatan kebutuhan akan gas bumi yang
berharga lebih murah dan ramah lingkungan
Indonesia saat ini memiliki cadangan gas bumi sebesar 187.09 TSCF status 1 Januari 2006
(P1 = 93.95 TSCF dan P2 = 93.14 TSCF) dengan laju produksi sebesar 8.2 MMSCFD.
Dengan kondisi saat ini cadangan gas Indonesia mencukupi untuk 62 tahun. Persoalan yang
ada adalah letak cadangan yang tersebar di daerah-daerah yang masih belum memiliki
infrastruktur untuk menyalurkan gas tersebut kepada konsumen.
Terdapat kebutuhan gas bumi dalam negeri yang belum dapat terpenuhi baik itu sebagai
bahan baku, listrik, maupun sebagai bahan bakar
Adanya pasokan gas yang belum dimanfaatkan yang berbentuk flared gas atau lapangan
yang sudah siap produksi namun belum memiliki jaringan transmisi dan/atau mendapatkan
pembeli.
Neraca Gas Bumi ini disusun untuk melihat kemampuan pasokan gas Indonesia dalam
memenuhi kontrak-kontrak gas yang saat ini telah ada dan rencana pengembangannya
kedepan
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
Nasional
Regional
Sisi Hulu :
Adanya existing contract yang tidak terpenuhi
Lokasi cadangan gas bumi yang stranded dan/atau marginal
Adanya penurunan produksi gas bumi existing
Adanya selang waktu yang cukup lama antara permintaan gas bumi dengan pengembangan
lapangannya
Sisi Hilir :
Belum tersedianya infrastruktur gas bumi secara utuh dan terpadu
Adanya gap antara daya beli pasar dalam negeri dengan harga gas secara keekonomian
Adanya peningkatan permintaan dalam negeri akan gas bumi yang cukup signifikan
Peranan energy security sebagai kunci pertumbuhan ekonomi di kawasan regional
Kompetisi yang semakin meningkat akan kebutuhan gas bumi secara regional, khususnya dengan
negara-negara haus energi
Dominasi minyak bumi sebagai sumber energi utama, di lain pihak harga minyak bumi terus
meningkat.
Global
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
C. METODOLOGI
Pembagian Region untuk Neraca Gas
Kriteria Penetapan Region:
1. Mempunyai Cadangan Gas yang besar
2. Mempunyai Demand Gas yang besar
Catatan :
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
KEBUTUHAN
PASOKAN
A.
Existing Supply:
A.
B.
Project Supply :
1.
B.
On Going
2.
3.
2.
Confirmed
C.
Potensial Demand
1.
C.
Committed Demand
1.
Plan
Contracted Demand :
1.
2.
Potensial Supply
1.
2.
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
PASOKAN:
KEBUTUHAN:
A. Existing
B. Project
A. Contracted
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2007
Supply
561.8
Demand
561.8
Balance
0.0
REG
THAILAN
LAOXI (NATUNA)
D
S
Year
2007
2009
2011
BANGKO
Supply
555
430.0
450.9
CAMBOD
K
JA
VIETNAM 525
Demand
220
223.0
210.0
227.9
Balance
30
2009
2011
588
682
Supply
3280.6
3305.6
3042.8
575
576
Demand
3730.7
3546.1
1413.2
13
107.0
Balance
-450.1
-240.6
1629.6
Existing Pipeline
Planned Pipeline
REG VIII (SULAWESI BAG. TENGAH)
Year
2007
2009
2011
Supply
370
Demand
Balance
370
NAD
NATUNA D
ALPHA
BRUNEI
DARUSSALAM
Year
SUMUT
KUALA
LUMPUR
SUMTENG
SINGAPORE
DURI
EAST
MALAYSIA
2007
2009
2011
Supply
38
73
73
Demand
38
38
38
Balance
35
35
2007
2009
2011
Supply
916.6
1077.8
Demand
916.6
949.3
Balance
-1
0.0
110.6
KALTIM
PAPUA
SULAWESI
2007
2009
Gris
sik
2011
35
27.5
101.0
Demand
61.5
51.7
44.7
Balance
-26.5
-24.2
56.4
REG IX (PAPUA)
SUMSEL
Year
UJUNG
PANDANG
JATENG JATIM
JABAR
PAGERUNGAN
MALUKU
Blok MaselaSELATAN
Year
Year
2007
2009
2011
Supply
2413.8
2761.9
2700.5
Supply
Demand
2261.0
2421.0
2404.6
Demand
Balance
152.8
340.9
295.9
Balance
0.7
REG X (MASELA)
2007
2009
2011
Year
2007
2009
2011
Year
2007
2009
2011
0.7
167.9
195.0
Supply
419.8
794.8
821.9
Supply
50.0
50.0
Demand
418.7
677.4
697.4
Demand
119.7
145.0
Balance
1.1
117.6
124.6
Balance
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2007
Supply
561.8
Demand
910.8
Balance
-349.0
REG
THAILAN
LAOXI (NATUNA)
D
S
Year
2007
2009
2011
BANGKO
Supply
555
430.0
450.9
CAMBOD
K
JA
VIETNAM 525
Demand
605.8
430.8
-175.8
20.1
Balance
30
2009
2011
588
682
Supply
3280.6
3305.6
3042.8
575
576
Demand
3730.7
3546.1
1631.7
13
107.0
Balance
-450.1
-240.6
1411.1
Existing Pipeline
Planned Pipeline
REG VIII (SULAWESI BAG. TENGAH)
Year
2007
2009
2011
Supply
370
Demand
Balance
370
NAD
NATUNA D
ALPHA
BRUNEI
DARUSSALAM
Year
SUMUT
KUALA
LUMPUR
SUMTENG
SINGAPORE
DURI
EAST
MALAYSIA
2007
2009
2011
Supply
38
73
73
Demand
38
38
38
Balance
35
35
2007
2009
2011
Supply
916.6
1077.8
Demand
916.6
949.3
Balance
-1
0.0
110.6
KALTIM
PAPUA
SULAWESI
2007
2009
Gris
sik
2011
35
27.5
101.0
Demand
218.5
219.7
219.7
Balance
-183.5
-192.2
-118.7
REG IX (PAPUA)
SUMSEL
Year
UJUNG
PANDANG
JATENG JATIM
JABAR
PAGERUNGAN
MALUKU
Blok MaselaSELATAN
Year
Year
2007
2009
2011
Supply
2413.8
2761.9
2700.5
Supply
Demand
2981.6
3491.7
3491.8
Balance
-567.8
-729.7
-791.3
REG X (MASELA)
2007
2009
2011
Year
2007
2009
2011
Year
2007
2009
2011
0.7
167.9
195.0
Supply
419.8
794.8
821.9
Supply
Demand
143.0
195.7
193.0
Demand
565.4
747.3
963.7
Demand
Balance
-142.3
-26.0
2.0
Balance
-145.6
-47.6
-141.7
Balance
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
471.0
221.0
250.0
430.0
220.0
210.0
494.9
223.0
271.9
450.9
223.0
227.9
387.9
224.0
163.9
414.9
225.0
189.9
351.9
161.0
190.9
228.9
0.0
228.9
38.0
56.7
-18.7
27.5
51.7
-24.2
104.0
47.7
56.4
101.0
44.7
56.4
99.0
8.7
90.4
84.0
8.7
75.4
76.0
8.7
67.4
69.0
8.7
60.4
2,717.3
2,327.4
389.9
2,761.9
2,421.0
340.9
2,644.5
2,398.3
246.2
2,700.5
2,404.6
296.0
2,607.1
2,205.5
401.6
2,381.8
2,120.1
261.7
2,258.8
1,879.6
379.2
2,167.6
1,856.0
311.6
2.7
0.0
2.7
169.7
50.0
119.7
195.7
50.0
145.7
195.0
50.0
145.0
195.0
50.0
145.0
195.0
50.0
145.0
150.0
50.0
100.0
120.0
50.0
70.0
493.6
502.7
-9.0
794.8
677.4
117.5
848.8
715.5
133.3
821.9
697.4
124.5
768.1
607.9
160.2
589.2
471.2
118.0
507.9
321.6
186.3
462.9
294.5
168.4
3,292.3
3,616.7
-324.3
3,305.6
3,546.1
-240.5
3,274.6
3,113.1
161.5
3,042.8
1,413.2
1629.6
2,487.2
1,231.1
1256.0
2,186.9
1,229.0
957.8
1,988.4
916.7
1071.7
2,113.8
764.5
1349.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
161.4
161.4
0.0
916.6
916.6
0.0
1,059.8
949.3
110.5
1,077.8
977.0
100.8
1,081.7
1,011.7
70.0
1,082.3
1,032.4
49.9
1,082.3
1,032.4
49.9
1,082.3
1,032.4
49.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
600.0
0.0
600.0
594
575
19.0
588
575
13.0
684
575
109.0
682
575
107.0
681
575
106.0
681
575
106.0
681
522
159.0
1686
516
1170.0
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
10
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
551.0
221.0
220.0
223.0
223.0
224.0
225.0
161.0
0.0
10.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
561.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
221.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
220.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
223.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
223.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
224.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
225.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
161.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
152.0
179.0
178.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
170.0
0.0
27.0
0.0
349.0
180.8
0.0
27.0
0.0
386.8
180.8
0.0
27.0
0.0
385.8
180.8
0.0
27.0
0.0
207.8
180.8
0.0
27.0
0.0
207.8
180.8
0.0
27.0
0.0
207.8
180.8
0.0
27.0
0.0
207.8
180.8
0.0
27.0
0.0
207.8
180.8
0.0
27.0
0.0
207.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
910.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
607.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
605.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
430.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
430.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
431.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
432.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
368.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
207.8
561.8
0.0
0.0
561.8
471.0
0.0
0.0
471.0
430.0
0.0
0.0
430.0
376.0
118.9
0.0
494.9
332.0
118.9
0.0
450.9
269.0
118.9
0.0
387.9
186.0
228.9
0.0
414.9
123.0
228.9
0.0
351.9
0.0
228.9
0.0
228.9
0.0
0.0
-349.0
-349.0
-349.0
250.0
250.0
-136.8
-136.8
-136.8
210.0
210.0
-175.8
-175.8
-175.8
153.0
271.9
64.1
64.1
64.1
109.0
227.9
20.1
20.1
20.1
45.0
163.9
-43.9
-43.9
-43.9
-39.0
189.9
-17.9
-17.9
-17.9
-38.0
190.9
-16.9
-16.9
-16.9
0.0
228.9
21.1
21.1
21.1
BALANCE
II A - I A
( II A + II B ) - ( I A )
( II A + II B ) - ( I A + I B )
( II A + II B + II C ) - ( I A + I B )
II - I
11
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
12.0
42.0
7.5
61.5
0.0
12.0
36.0
8.7
56.7
0.0
12.0
31.0
8.7
51.7
0.0
12.0
27.0
8.7
47.7
0.0
12.0
24.0
8.7
44.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
8.7
8.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
8.7
8.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
8.7
8.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
8.7
8.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
9.0
148.0
0.0
157.0
0.0
9.0
154.0
0.0
163.0
0.0
9.0
159.0
0.0
168.0
0.0
9.0
163.0
0.0
172.0
0.0
9.0
166.0
0.0
175.0
0.0
21.0
190.0
0.0
211.0
0.0
21.0
190.0
0.0
211.0
0.0
21.0
190.0
0.0
211.0
0.0
21.0
190.0
0.0
211.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
263.0
0.0
0.0
263.0
481.5
0.0
267.0
0.0
0.0
267.0
486.7
0.0
271.0
36.0
0.0
307.0
526.7
0.0
275.0
36.0
0.0
311.0
530.7
0.0
280.0
36.0
0.0
316.0
535.7
0.0
284.0
36.0
0.0
320.0
539.7
0.0
289.0
36.0
0.0
325.0
544.7
0.0
295.0
36.0
0.0
331.0
550.7
0.0
300.0
36.0
0.0
336.0
555.7
35.0
0.0
0.0
35.0
28.0
10.0
0.0
38.0
17.5
10.0
0.0
27.5
14.0
90.0
0.0
104.0
11.0
90.0
0.0
101.0
9.0
90.0
0.0
99.0
7.0
77.0
0.0
84.0
6.0
70.0
0.0
76.0
5.0
64.0
0.0
69.0
-26.5
-26.5
-183.5
-183.5
-446.5
-28.7
-18.7
-181.7
-181.7
-448.7
-34.2
-24.2
-192.2
-192.2
-499.2
-33.7
56.4
-115.7
-115.7
-426.7
-33.7
56.4
-118.7
-118.7
-434.7
0.4
90.4
-120.7
-120.7
-440.7
-1.7
75.4
-135.7
-135.7
-460.7
-2.7
67.4
-143.7
-143.7
-474.7
-3.7
60.4
-150.7
-150.7
-486.7
BALANCE
II A - I A
( II A + II B ) - ( I A )
( II A + II B ) - ( I A + I B )
( II A + II B + II C ) - ( I A + I B )
II - I
12
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
SUMATERA BAGIAN TENGAH, SELATAN DAN JAWA BAGIAN BARAT ( REGION III )
(Neraca Supply-Demand)
(MMSCFD)
2007
I. DEMAND
A CONTRACTED
EKSPOR (PIPA)
DOMESTIK :
- INDUSTRI
Bahan Baku
Bahan Bakar
- LISTRIK
- ENERGI
Sub Total IA
B COMMITTED
EKSPOR
DOMESTIK :
- INDUSTRI
Bahan Baku
Bahan Bakar
- LISTRIK
- ENERGI
Sub Total IB
C POTENSIAL
EKSPOR
DOMESTIK :
- INDUSTRI
Bahan Baku
Bahan Bakar
- LISTRIK
- ENERGI
Sub Total IC
TOTAL DEMAND
II. SUPPLY
A EXISTING
B PROJECT
C POTENSIAL
TOTAL SUPPLY
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
254.5
294.1
413.2
422.9
432.6
432.6
432.6
461.7
461.7
328.5
764.4
405.5
508.1
2261.0
160.0
803.2
565.1
505.1
2327.4
112.0
882.2
565.9
447.7
2421.0
112.0
874.5
549.5
439.5
2398.3
112.0
896.6
532.7
430.7
2404.6
57.0
793.6
529.4
392.9
2205.5
32.0
832.6
435.0
388.0
2120.1
21.0
717.5
388.4
291.0
1879.6
21.0
704.0
378.3
291.0
1856.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
37.0
339.0
340.5
4.1
720.6
175.5
380.0
267.5
34.2
857.2
223.5
309.0
504.0
34.2
1070.7
223.5
314.0
520.4
34.2
1092.1
223.5
291.0
538.5
34.2
1087.2
278.5
370.0
541.8
34.2
1224.5
303.5
320.0
610.8
34.2
1268.5
314.5
400.0
643.1
34.2
1391.8
314.5
411.0
653.2
34.2
1412.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
576.0
0.0
0.0
576.0
3557.6
0.0
656.9
79.0
100.0
835.9
4020.5
60.0
677.9
79.0
100.0
916.9
4408.6
60.0
711.1
79.0
100.0
950.1
4440.6
60.0
736.5
79.0
100.0
975.5
4467.3
60.0
761.0
79.0
100.0
1000.0
4430.0
60.0
786.7
79.0
120.0
1045.7
4434.3
60.0
815.6
79.0
120.0
1074.6
4346.0
60.0
843.7
79.0
120.0
1102.7
4371.6
2389.8
24.0
0.0
2413.8
2549.2
168.2
0.0
2717.3
2527.6
234.3
0.0
2761.9
2297.5
347.0
0.0
2644.5
2346.0
354.5
400.0
3100.5
2246.4
360.7
400.0
3007.1
2142.5
239.3
800.0
3181.8
2058.6
200.2
800.0
3058.8
1987.3
180.3
800.0
2967.6
128.8
152.8
-567.8
-567.8
-1,143.8
221.8
389.9
-467.3
-467.3
-1,303.2
106.6
340.9
-729.7
-729.7
-1,646.7
-100.8
246.2
-846.0
-846.0
-1,796.1
-58.6
296.0
-791.3
-391.3
-1,366.8
40.9
401.6
-822.9
-422.9
-1,422.9
22.4
261.7
-1,006.8
-206.8
-1,252.5
179.0
379.2
-1,012.6
-212.6
-1,287.2
131.3
311.6
-1,101.3
-301.3
-1,404.0
BALANCE
II A - I A
( II A + II B ) - ( I A )
( II A + II B ) - ( I A + I B )
( II A + II B + II C ) - ( I A + I B )
II - I
13
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
2.7
143.0
0.0
145.7
0.0
2.7
143.0
0.0
145.7
0.0
0.7
143.0
0.0
143.7
0.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
143.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
55.0
0.0
0.0
55.0
198.0
0.0
57.8
0.0
0.0
57.8
203.5
0.0
60.6
0.0
0.0
60.6
256.3
0.0
63.7
0.0
0.0
63.7
257.4
0.0
66.9
0.0
0.0
66.9
259.9
0.0
70.2
0.0
0.0
70.2
263.2
0.0
73.7
0.0
0.0
73.7
266.7
0.0
77.4
0.0
0.0
77.4
270.4
0.0
81.3
0.0
0.0
81.3
274.3
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.7
2.0
0.0
2.7
0.7
169.0
0.0
169.7
0.7
195.0
0.0
195.7
0.0
195.0
0.0
195.0
0.0
195.0
0.0
195.0
0.0
195.0
0.0
195.0
0.0
150.0
0.0
150.0
0.0
120.0
0.0
120.0
0.7
0.7
-142.3
-142.3
-197.3
0.7
2.7
-143.0
-143.0
-200.8
-49.3
119.7
-26.0
-26.0
-86.6
-49.3
145.7
2.0
2.0
-61.7
-50.0
145.0
2.0
2.0
-64.9
-50.0
145.0
2.0
2.0
-68.2
-50.0
145.0
2.0
2.0
-71.7
-50.0
100.0
-43.0
-43.0
-120.4
-50.0
70.0
-73.0
-73.0
-154.3
BALANCE
II A - I A
( II A + II B ) - ( I A )
( II A + II B ) - ( I A + I B )
( II A + II B + II C ) - ( I A + I B )
II - I
14
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
68.3
163.0
187.4
0.0
418.7
79.6
150.2
272.9
0.0
502.7
80.1
156.1
342.2
99.0
677.4
80.1
134.8
401.6
99.0
715.5
82.0
114.8
401.6
99.0
697.4
65.3
74.8
383.6
84.2
607.9
65.3
44.8
301.7
59.4
471.2
65.3
19.8
177.0
59.4
321.6
59.4
19.8
155.9
59.4
294.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
13.0
133.6
0.0
146.6
5.4
40.0
25.0
0.0
70.4
4.9
40.0
25.0
0.0
69.9
64.9
60.0
25.0
0.0
149.9
63.0
81.0
122.3
0.0
266.3
79.7
120.0
122.3
0.0
321.9
79.7
150.0
122.3
0.0
351.9
79.7
175.0
217.3
0.0
471.9
85.6
175.0
230.9
0.0
491.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
228.0
0.0
133.0
361.0
926.4
0.0
233.0
0.0
34.0
267.0
840.0
0.0
238.0
0.0
170.0
408.0
1155.3
0.0
242.0
0.0
175.0
417.0
1282.4
0.0
248.0
0.0
140.0
388.0
1351.7
0.0
253.0
0.0
186.6
439.6
1369.4
0.0
259.0
0.0
193.6
452.6
1275.8
0.0
265.0
0.0
200.6
465.6
1259.1
0.0
271.0
0.0
168.6
439.6
1225.6
419.8
0.0
0.0
419.8
431.6
62.0
0.0
493.6
415.8
379.0
0.0
794.8
386.8
462.0
10.0
858.8
359.9
462.0
160.0
981.9
331.8
436.3
160.0
928.1
254.8
334.5
160.0
749.2
182.3
322.5
160.0
664.9
130.0
309.9
160.0
599.9
1.1
1.1
-145.6
-145.6
-506.6
-71.0
-9.0
-79.4
-79.4
-346.4
-261.5
117.5
47.6
47.6
-360.4
-328.7
133.3
-16.6
-6.6
-423.6
-337.5
124.5
-141.7
18.3
-369.7
-276.1
160.2
-161.8
-1.8
-441.4
-216.4
118.0
-233.9
-73.9
-526.5
-139.2
183.3
-288.6
-128.6
-594.2
-164.5
145.4
-346.1
-186.1
-625.7
BALANCE
II A - I A
( II A + II B ) - ( I A )
( II A + II B ) - ( I A + I B )
( II A + II B + II C ) - ( I A + I B )
II - I
15
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
3205.0
3139.0
3131.3
2698.8
1083.2
901.1
899.0
586.7
434.5
436.0
0.0
31.3
58.4
3730.7
436.0
0.0
31.3
10.4
3616.7
381.0
0.0
24.0
9.8
3546.1
381.0
0.0
24.0
9.3
3113.1
301.0
0.0
24.0
5.0
1413.2
301.0
0.0
24.0
5.0
1231.1
301.0
0.0
24.0
5.0
1229.0
301.0
0.0
24.0
5.0
916.7
301.0
0.0
24.0
5.0
764.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
43.5
40.0
83.5
55.0
0.0
43.5
40.0
138.5
55.0
0.0
43.5
40.0
138.5
135.0
0.0
43.5
40.0
218.5
135.0
0.0
43.5
40.0
218.5
135.0
0.0
43.5
40.0
218.5
135.0
0.0
43.5
40.0
218.5
135.0
0.0
43.5
40.0
218.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
960.3
960.3
960.3
960.3
960.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3730.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3700.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3684.6
40.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
40.0
3291.6
115.0
700.0
480.0
0.0
2255.3
3887.0
115.0
700.0
480.0
0.0
2255.3
3704.9
115.0
700.0
480.0
0.0
2255.3
3702.8
115.0
700.0
480.0
0.0
2255.3
3390.5
115.0
700.0
480.0
0.0
2255.3
3238.3
3280.6
0.0
0.0
3280.6
3013.1
279.2
0.0
3292.3
2937.0
368.6
0.0
3305.6
2906.2
368.5
0.0
3274.6
2557.2
485.6
0.0
3042.8
2036.9
450.2
0.0
2487.2
1690.2
496.7
100.0
2286.9
1381.4
607.0
100.0
2088.4
1248.3
865.4
100.0
2213.8
-450.1
-450.1
-450.1
-450.1
-450.1
-603.5
-324.3
-407.8
-407.8
-407.8
-609.1
-240.5
-379.0
-379.0
-379.0
-207.0
161.5
23.0
23.0
-17.0
1,144.0
1,629.6
1,411.1
1,411.1
-844.2
805.8
1,256.0
1,037.5
1,037.5
-1,217.7
461.1
957.8
739.3
839.3
-1,415.9
464.7
1,071.7
853.2
953.2
-1,302.1
483.8
1,349.3
1,130.8
1,230.8
-1,024.5
BALANCE
II A - I A
( II A + II B ) - ( I A )
( II A + II B ) - ( I A + I B )
( II A + II B + II C ) - ( I A + I B )
II - I
16
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
104.0
70.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
174.0
70.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
174.0
70.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
174.0
70.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
174.0
70.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
174.0
70.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
174.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
104.0
0.0
0.0
12.0
0.0
12.0
116.0
0.0
0.0
15.0
0.0
15.0
119.0
0.0
30.0
22.0
70.0
122.0
296.0
0.0
30.0
22.0
70.0
122.0
296.0
0.0
30.0
22.0
210.0
262.0
436.0
0.0
30.0
22.0
210.0
262.0
436.0
0.0
30.0
22.0
210.0
262.0
436.0
0.0
30.0
22.0
210.0
262.0
436.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
325.0
0.0
0.0
-104.0
-104.0
-104.0
0.0
0.0
-104.0
-104.0
-116.0
0.0
0.0
-104.0
-104.0
-119.0
0.0
325.0
151.0
151.0
29.0
0.0
325.0
151.0
151.0
29.0
0.0
325.0
151.0
151.0
-111.0
0.0
325.0
151.0
151.0
-111.0
0.0
325.0
151.0
151.0
-111.0
0.0
325.0
151.0
151.0
-111.0
BALANCE
II A - I A
( II A + II B ) - ( I A )
( II A + II B ) - ( I A + I B )
( II A + II B + II C ) - ( I A + I B )
II - I
17
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
38.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
11.0
0.0
0.0
11.0
49.0
0.0
31.3
12.0
0.0
43.3
81.3
0.0
32.3
27.0
0.0
59.3
97.3
0.0
32.3
27.0
0.0
59.3
97.3
0.0
33.3
27.0
0.0
60.3
98.3
0.0
33.3
27.0
0.0
60.3
98.3
0.0
34.3
27.0
0.0
61.3
99.3
0.0
35.3
27.0
0.0
62.3
100.3
0.0
36.3
27.0
0.0
63.3
101.3
38.0
0.0
0.0
38.0
38.0
35.0
0.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
0.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
0.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
0.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
0.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
0.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
0.0
73.0
38.0
35.0
0.0
73.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-11.0
0.0
35.0
35.0
35.0
-8.3
0.0
35.0
35.0
35.0
-24.3
0.0
35.0
35.0
35.0
-24.3
0.0
35.0
35.0
35.0
-25.3
0.0
35.0
35.0
35.0
-25.3
0.0
35.0
35.0
35.0
-26.3
0.0
35.0
35.0
35.0
-27.3
0.0
35.0
35.0
35.0
-28.3
BALANCE
II A - I A
( II A + II B ) - ( I A )
( II A + II B ) - ( I A + I B )
( II A + II B + II C ) - ( I A + I B )
II - I
18
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.0
159.4
914.6
949.3
977.0
1011.7
1032.4
1032.4
1032.4
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
161.4
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
916.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
949.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
977.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1011.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1032.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1032.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1032.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
3.0
0.0
3.0
164.4
0.0
0.0
3.0
0.0
3.0
919.6
0.0
0.0
3.0
0.0
3.0
954.3
0.0
0.0
3.0
0.0
3.0
982.0
0.0
0.0
3.0
0.0
3.0
1016.7
0.0
0.0
3.0
0.0
3.0
1037.4
0.0
400.0
3.0
0.0
403.0
1437.4
0.0
400.0
3.0
0.0
403.0
1437.4
1.0
0.0
0.0
1.0
1.0
160.4
0.0
161.4
1.0
915.6
0.0
916.6
0.0
1059.8
0.0
1059.8
0.0
1077.8
0.0
1077.8
0.0
1081.7
0.0
1081.7
0.0
1082.3
0.0
1082.3
0.0
1082.3
400.0
1482.3
0.0
1082.3
400.0
1482.3
-1.0
-1.0
-1.0
-1.0
-1.0
-160.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
-3.0
-915.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
-3.0
-949.3
110.5
108.5
108.5
105.5
-977.0
100.8
98.8
98.8
95.8
-1,011.7
70.0
68.0
68.0
65.0
-1,032.4
49.9
47.9
47.9
44.9
-1,032.4
49.9
47.9
447.9
44.9
-1,032.4
49.9
47.9
447.9
44.9
BALANCE
II A - I A
( II A + II B ) - ( I A )
( II A + II B ) - ( I A + I B )
( II A + II B + II C ) - ( I A + I B )
II - I
19
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
MASELA (REGION X)
(Neraca Supply-Demand)
(MMSCFD)
2007
I. DEMAND
A CONTRACTED
EKSPOR
DOMESTIK :
- INDUSTRI
Bahan Baku
Bahan Bakar
- LISTRIK
- ENERGI
Sub Total IA
B COMMITTED
EKSPOR
DOMESTIK :
- INDUSTRI
Bahan Baku
Bahan Bakar
- LISTRIK
- ENERGI
Sub Total IB
C POTENSIAL
EKSPOR
DOMESTIK :
- INDUSTRI
Bahan Baku
Bahan Bakar
- LISTRIK
- ENERGI
Sub Total IC
TOTAL DEMAND
II. SUPPLY
A EXISTING
B PROJECT
C POTENSIAL
TOTAL SUPPLY
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
600.0
0.0
600.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
600.0
600.0
600.0
600.0
BALANCE
II A - I A
( II A + II B ) - ( I A )
( II A + II B ) - ( I A + I B )
( II A + II B + II C ) - ( I A + I B )
II - I
20
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
525.0
575.0
575.0
575.0
575.0
575.0
575.0
522.0
516.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
525.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
522.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
516.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
525.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
575.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
522.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
516.0
555.0
0.0
0.0
555.0
594.0
0.0
0.0
594.0
588.0
0.0
0.0
588.0
584.0
100.0
0.0
684.0
582.0
100.0
0.0
682.0
581.0
100.0
0.0
681.0
581.0
100.0
0.0
681.0
581.0
100.0
0.0
681.0
586.0
1100.0
0.0
1686.0
30.0
30.0
30.0
30.0
30.0
19.0
19.0
19.0
19.0
19.0
13.0
13.0
13.0
13.0
13.0
9.0
109.0
109.0
109.0
109.0
7.0
107.0
107.0
107.0
107.0
6.0
106.0
106.0
106.0
106.0
6.0
106.0
106.0
106.0
106.0
59.0
159.0
159.0
159.0
159.0
70.0
1,170.0
1,170.0
1,170.0
1,170.0
BALANCE
II A - I A
( II A + II B ) - ( I A )
( II A + II B ) - ( I A + I B )
( II A + II B + II C ) - ( I A + I B )
II - I
21
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
F. KESIMPULAN
1.
Seluruh kebutuhan dalam tahun 2007 sampai dengan 2011 dapat dipenuhi
sesuai dengan kontrak jual belinya.
((Existing Supply+Project Supply)-Contracted Demand)
2.
Adanya selisih Neraca karena faktor Commited Demand dan Potensial Demand
akan dapat dipenuhi melalui akselerasi potensi supply dengan upaya
peningkatan/proving-up cadangan P2 dan P3 menjadi P1 maupun penambahan
cadangan baru dengan percepatan kegiatan eksplorasi
3.
22
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
G. LAMPIRAN
23
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
FAKTOR KONVERSI
24
DJ MIGAS 2007
1 APRIL 2007
Definisi
Possible Reserves(P3)
Adalah cadangan-cadangan yang tidak terbukti (unproved reserves), dengan metode Probabilistik,
terdapat setidaknya 10% peluang yang dapat ter-ambil (recoverable) akan menyamai atau melebihi jumlah
proved reserves ditambah dengan probable reserves dan possible reserves yang telah diperkirakan
(Proved Reserves+Probable Reserves+Possible Reserves,kasus 3P)
25
DJ MIGAS 2007