Dia

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Demanda
200
134
157
165
177
125
146
150
182
197
136
163
157
169

Promedio movil simple

n=
3
n=
Pronostico
Desv. Abs
Pronostico

163.67
152.00
166.33
155.67
149.33
140.33
159.33
176.33
171.67
165.33
152.00
163.00

1.33
25.00
41.33
9.67
0.67
41.67
37.67
40.33
8.67
8.33
17.00
21.06

166.6
151.6
154
152.6
156
160
162.2
165.6
167
164.4

5
Desv. Abs.

41.6
5.6
4.0
29.4
41.0
24.0
0.8
8.6
2.0
17.4

Chart Title
250
200
150
100
50
0

Demanda

Pronostico

10

11

Pronostico

12

13

14

12

13

14

Dia
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Promedio de Movil Pondernado

n= 3
n= 5
Demanda Pronostico
Desv. Abs.
Pronostico
Desv.
200
134
157
165
158.70
6.30
177
156.40
20.60
125
169.40
44.40
164.70
146
148.60
2.60
151.25
150
145.90
4.10
150.35
182
143.80
38.20
148.80
197
165.20
31.80
158.00
136
183.10
47.10
172.60
163
163.50
0.50
163.05
157
161.70
4.70
165.25
169
154.60
14.40
161.55
164.20
161.25
19.52

Abs.

39.70
5.25
0.35
33.20
39.00
36.60
0.05
8.25
7.45
18.87

Pesos
n=3
w1 =
w2 =
w3 =

0.5
0.3
0.2

Chart Title
250
200
150

Pesos
n=5
w1
w2
w3
w4
w5

=
=
=
=
=

100

0.35
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.05

50
0

Demanda

Pronostico

10

Pron

Chart Title

Demanda

Pronostico

10

11

Pronostico

12

13

14

Dia
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Demanda
200
134
157
165
177
125
146
150
182
197
136
163
157
169

Suavisado Exponencial
= 0.3
= 0.7
Pronostico
Desv. Abs.
Pronostico
Desv.
200.00
0.00
200.00
200.00
66.00
200.00
180.20
23.20
153.80
173.24
8.24
156.04
170.77
6.23
162.31
172.64
47.64
172.59
158.35
12.35
139.28
154.64
4.64
143.98
153.25
28.75
148.20
161.87
35.13
171.86
172.41
36.41
189.46
161.49
1.51
152.04
161.94
4.94
159.71
160.46
8.54
157.81
163.02
165.64
20.26

Abs.
0.00
66.00
3.20
8.96
14.69
47.59
6.72
6.02
33.80
25.14
53.46
10.96
2.71
11.19
20.75

Chart Title
250
200
150
100
50
0

Demanda

Pronostico

10

11

Pronostico

12

13

14

10

11

Pronostico

12

13

14