Matakuliah : I0262 – Statistik Probabilitas

Tahun : 2007
Versi : Revisi

Pertemuan 08
Pengujian Hipotesis 1

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 Learning Outcomes

Pada akhir pertemuan ini, diharapkan mahasiswa

akan mampu :
• Mahasiswa akan dapat memilih statistik uji
hipotesis untuk suatu dan dua rataan.

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 Outline Materi

• Uji hipotesis nilai tengah

• Uji hipotesis beda nilai tengah

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 Hypothesis Testing
• Developing Null and Alternative Hypotheses
• Type I and Type II Errors
• One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:
Large-Sample Case
• Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:
Large-Sample Case
• Tests About a Population Mean:
Small-Sample Case
continued

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 Hypothesis Testing

• Tests About a Population Proportion

• Hypothesis Testing and Decision Making
• Calculating the Probability of Type II
Errors
• Determining the Sample Size for a
Hypothesis Test
about a Population Mean

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 A Summary of Forms for Null and
Alternative Hypotheses about a
Population Mean

• The equality part of the hypotheses always appears in

the null hypothesis.
• In general, a hypothesis test about the value of a
population mean must take one of the following three
forms (where 0 is the hypothesized value of the
population mean).

H0:  > 0 H0:  < 0 H0:  = 0

Ha:  < 0 Ha:  > 0 Ha:  
0

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 Type I and Type II Errors

• Since hypothesis tests are based on sample data, we

must allow for the possibility of errors.
• A Type I error is rejecting H0 when it is true.
• A Type II error is accepting H0 when it is false.
• The person conducting the hypothesis test specifies
the maximum allowable probability of making a
Type I error, denoted by  and called the level of
significance.
• Generally, we cannot control for the probability of
making a Type II error, denoted by .
• Statistician avoids the risk of making a Type II error
by using “do not reject H0” and not “accept H0”.
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 Example: Metro EMS

• Type I and Type II Errors

Population Condition
H0 True Ha True
Conclusion ( ) ( )

Accept H0 Correct Type II

(Conclude  Conclusion Error

Reject H0 Type I Correct

(Conclude rror Conclusion
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 One-Tailed Tests about a Population Mean:
Large-Sample Case (n > 30)
 Hypotheses
H0: or H0: 
Ha:Ha:

 Test Statistic
Known  Unknown
x  0 x  0
z z
z
/ n s/ n

 Rejection Rule
Reject H0 if z > zReject H0 if z < -z

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 Two-Tailed Tests about a Population
Mean:
Large-Sample Case (n > 30)
• Hypotheses
H0: 
 Ha:

• Test Statistic Known  Unknown

x  0 x  0
z z
/ n s/ n
• Rejection Rule
Reject H0 if |z| > z

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 Tests about a Population Mean:
Small-Sample Case (n < 30)
• Test Statistic Known  Unknown
x  0 x  0
t t
/ n s/ n
This test statistic has a t distribution with n - 1 degrees
of freedom.
• Rejection Rule
One-Tailed Two-Tailed
H0:  Reject H0 if t > t
H0:  Reject H0 if t < -t
H0:  Reject H0 if |t| > t

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 p -Values and the t
Distribution
• The format of the t distribution table provided in
most statistics textbooks does not have
sufficient detail to determine the exact p-value
for a hypothesis test.
• However, we can still use the t distribution table
to identify a range for the p-value.
• An advantage of computer software packages is
that the computer output will provide the p-value
for the
t distribution.

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 Summary of Test Statistics to be Used in a
Hypothesis Test about a Population Mean
Yes No
n > 30 ?
No
 known ? Popul.
Yes
approx.
Yes normal
Use s to
estimate  No ?
 known ?
No
Yes Use s to
estimate 

x  x  x  x  Increase n
z z z t
/ n s/ n / n s/ n to > 30
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• Selamat Belajar Semoga Sukses.

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