Tujuan

Minimasi biaya dalam mengatur inventory

Variabel 1
Permintaan Ace Drill
Variabel 2
Pemesanan Barang
Inventory cost = ordering, holding, reordering
ACE DRILL DEMAND
Selama 300 hari ke belakang
DEMAND
FOR ACE
DRILL

FREQUEN PROBABILI
CY
TY

0
1
2
3
4
5

15
0.05
30
0.1
60
0.2
120
0.4
45
0.15
30
0.1
300
HISTORY 50 HARI PEMESANAN
LEAD TIME
FREQUEN PROBABILI
LEAD TIME
CY
TY
1
10
0.2
2
25
0.5
3
15
0.3
50

RANDOM NUMBER
0.211760828 0.60326
0.376102318 0.209093
0.286451712 0.855033
0.392503482 0.203508
0.256161594 0.241244
0.59006835 0.348298
0.08554197 0.702049
0.420641932 0.357271
0.546341289 0.81743
0.983842734 0.309103
0.130743134 0.926717
0.505386751 0.213478
0.792520136 0.243692
0.947257367 0.859223
0.340934878 0.853809

0.362545
0.657889
0.756188
0.808972
0.416072
0.897228
0.289305
0.243945
0.844375
0.288625

LOWER
PROB

CUM
PROB

DEMAND

0
0.05
0.15
0.35
0.75
0.9

0.05
0.15
0.35
0.75
0.9
1

0
1
2
3
4
5

LOWER
PROB
0
0.2
0.7

CUM
PROB
0.2
0.7
1

LEAD TIME
1
2
3

asumsi

PERCOBAAN 10 HARI
Stok inventory awal 10 unit
order drill dilakukan ketika drill tinggal 5 unit
setiap order menghasilkan 10 unit
UNIT
RECEIVED

BEGINNING
INVENTORY

RANDOM
NUMBER

DEMAND

ENDING
INVENTORY

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

10

10
7
5
1
10
8
6
3
0

0.60326
0.209093
0.855033
0.203508
0.241244
0.348298
0.702049
0.357271
0.81743

3
2
4
2
2
2
3
3
4

7
5
1
0
8
6
3
0
0

10

10

10

0.309103

DAY

AVERAGE
DIKETAHUI
BIAYA PEMESANAN = $10/PEMESANAN
BIAYA SIMPAN = $0.03/UNIT/DAY
BIAYA KEHABISAN STOK = $8
TOTAL BIAYA INVENTORY

3.8
2
0.114
4
6.114

LOST
SALE

ORDER

0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
4

NO
YES
NO
NO
NO
NO
YES
NO
NO

NO
0.5

0.2

RANDOM
NUMBER

LEAD
TIME

0.362545

0.657889

Tujuan
evaluasi DELAY COST, IDLE COST, LABOR COST, (PERLU TAMBAH
PERCOBAAN 15 HARI
Variabel 1 ARRIVAL RATE
Variabel 2 SERVICE RATE
diasumsi
hari pertama tidak ada delay
total expected cost = waiting cost + service cost
ARRIVAL RATES
NUMBER
PROBABILI
OF
TY
ARRIVAL
0
1
2
3
4
5

0.13
0.17
0.15
0.25
0.2
0.1

SERVICE RATE
DAILY
PROBABILI
UNLOADIN
TY
G RATE
1
0.05
2
0.15
3
0.5
4
0.2
5
0.1

RANDOM NUMBER
0.804676 0.16947
0.485678 0.785487
0.441368 0.298732
0.629228 0.521691
0.982329 0.121773
0.307248 0.739844
0.86047 0.863322
0.904927 0.47993
0.578528 0.502926
0.97035 0.968366
0.969368 0.442543
0.674363 0.939391
0.798 0.136069
0.471176 0.656576
0.488411 0.880381

LOWER
PROB

CUM
PROB

DEMAND

DAY

PREVIOUS
LY DELAY

0
0.13
0.3
0.45
0.7
0.9

0.13
0.3
0.45
0.7
0.9
1

0
1
2
3
4
5

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

0
0
2
1
0
1
1
0

LOWER
PROB

CUM
PROB

UNLOADIN
G

0
0.05
0.2
0.7
0.9

0.05
0.2
0.7
0.9
1

1
2
3
4
5

0.637102
0.802764
0.361376
0.144254
0.869963
0.591417
0.772293
0.216433
0.826381
0.379267
0.74815
0.1624
0.165075
0.774512
0.160719

0.552656
0.142623
0.590218
0.137983
0.470637
0.229364
0.900721
0.069018
0.771421
0.729591
0.150983
0.896445
0.720358
0.391636
0.77093

0
9
10
0
11
2
12
4
13
1
0
14
15
1
AVERAGE 0.8666667
DELAY COST
WAITING COST
JAM KERJA X LAMDA X Wq X COST
SERVICE COST
JAM KERJA X JUMLAH SERVER X COS

TOTAL COST = WAITING COST + SERVICE

BAAN 15 HARI

ama tidak ada delay

0.637102
0.802764
0.361376
0.144254
0.869963
0.591417
0.772293
0.216433

3
4
2
1
4
3
4
1

TOTAL TO
BE
UNLOADE
D
3
4
4
2
4
4
5
1

0.826381
0.379267
0.74815
0.1624
0.165075
0.774512
0.160719

4
2
4
1
1
4
1

4
2
6
5
2
4
2

RANDOM
NUMBER

ARRIVAL

2.6
LAMDA
ELAY COST
TING COST
LAMDA X Wq X COST
RVICE COST
MLAH SERVER X COST

TING COST + SERVICE COST

NUMBER
RANDOM
UNLOADE
NUMBER
D
0.552656
0.142623
0.590218
0.137983
0.470637
0.229364
0.900721
0.069018

3
2
3
2
3
3
5
2

0.771421
0.729591
0.150983
0.896445
0.720358
0.391636
0.77093

4
4
2
4
4
3
4
3.2
MIU

Tujuan
evaluasi BIAYA PERBAIKAN DAN BIAYA PEGAWAI (PERLU NAMBAH ATAU TIDAK)
Variabel 1 kerusakan mesin
Variabel 2 perbaikan mesin
KERUSAKAN MESIN
Selama 100 hari ke belakang
LAMA
FREQUEN PROBABILI
KERUSAK
CY
TY
AN (JAM)
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3

5
6
16
33
21
19

0.05
0.06
0.16
0.33
0.21
0.19

LOWER
PROB

CUM
PROB

DEMAND

0
0.05
0.11
0.27
0.6
0.81

0.05
0.11
0.27
0.6
0.81
1

0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3

LOWER
PROB
0
0.28
0.8

CUM
PROB
0.28
0.8
1

0.669379
0.579264
0.816667
0.862039
0.537617
0.734955
0.53043
0.859114
0.537039
0.981195
0.75523
0.326668
0.509632
0.834067
0.16493

0.612992
0.815624
0.218395
0.072766
0.609501
0.117774
0.445895
0.710704
0.796696
0.126613
0.739752
0.532491
0.36171
0.94132
0.702236

100
Selama 100 hari ke belakang
WAKTU PERBAIKAN
FREQUEN PROBABILI
WAKTU PERBAIKAN
CY
TY
1
28
0.28
2
52
0.52
3
20
0.2
100

0.987576
0.13021
0.273614
0.239565
0.57542
0.749987
0.480597
0.625491
0.852618
0.473313
0.094568
0.853648
0.867979
0.58442
0.017505
0.238855
0.185691
0.0714
0.250618

0.796391
0.788256
0.477822
0.189867
0.51464
0.21522
0.485937
0.558424
0.11195
0.615792
0.812437
0.465542
0.054896
0.569727
0.792901
0.147333
0.863318
0.575186
0.042238

PERBAIKAN
1
2
3

TAU TIDAK)

ASUMSI

SIMULASI MULAI PADA JAM 0:00

WAKTU
LAMA
WAKTU
JUMLAH
LAMA
WAKTU
BEBAS
PERBAIKA
RANDOM
RANDOM
SELESAI
KERUSAK
KERUSAK KERUSAK
MULAI
N
NUMBER
NUMBER
PERBAIKA
AN
AN
AN
PERBAIKA
DIBUTUHK
N
N
AN
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

0.669379
0.579264
0.816667
0.862039
0.537617
0.734955
0.53043
0.859114
0.537039
0.981195

2.5
2
3
3
2
2.5
2
3
2
3

2:30
4:30
7:30
10:30
12:30
15:00
17:00
20:00
22:00
1:00

2:30
4:30
7:30
10:30
12:30
15:00
17:00
20:00
22:00
1:00

0.612992
0.815624
0.218395
0.072766
0.609501
0.117774
0.445895
0.710704
0.796696
0.126613

2
3
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
1

4:30
7:30
8:30
11:30
14:30
16:00
19:00
22:00
0:00
2:00

11

0.75523

2.5

3:30

3:30

0.739752

5:30

12
13
14
15

0.326668
0.509632
0.834067
0.16493

2
2
3
1.5

5:30
7:30
10:30
12:00

5:30
7:30
10:30
13:30

0.532491
0.36171
0.94132
0.702236

2
2
3
2

7:30
9:30
13:30
15:30

DUA HARI MULAI PUKUL 00:00 BERAKHIR PULUK 15:30 = 39.5 JAM
BIAYA MAINTENANCE $30/JAM
1185
BIAYA KERUSAKAN $75/JAM
2212.5
TOTAL COST
3397.5

LAMA
MESIN
MATI
2
3
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
3
3.5
29.5

HEATER
SALES
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

FREQUEN PROBABIL
CY
TY
6
5
9
12
8
7
3

0.12
0.1
0.18
0.24
0.16
0.14
0.06
50

EXPECTED VALUE
6.88

LOWER
PROB
0
0.12
0.22
0.4
0.64
0.8
0.94

CUMMULA
TIVE
DEMAND
PROB
0.12
4
0.22
5
0.4
6
0.64
7
0.8
8
0.94
9
1
10

WEEK
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

SUPPLY
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8

RANDOM
NUMBER DEMAND
DEMAND
0.1
4
0.24
6
0.03
4
0.32
6
0.23
6
0.59
7
0.95
10
0.34
6
0.34
6
0.51
7
0.08
4
0.48
7
0.66
8
0.97
10
0.03
4
0.96
10
0.46
7
0.74
8
0.77
8
0.44
7
6.75

LOST
SALE
4
2
4
2
2
1
-2
2
2
1
4
1
0
-2
4
-2
1
0
0
1

NUMBER
PROBABILI
OF
TY
ARRIVAL
0
1
2
3
4
5

0.13
0.17
0.15
0.25
0.2
0.1

DAILY
PROBABILI
UNLOADIN
TY
G RATE
1
0.03
2
0.12
3
0.4
4
0.28
5
0.12
6
0.05

LOWER
PROB

CUM
PROB

0
0.13
0.3
0.45
0.7
0.9

0.13
0.3
0.45
0.7
0.9
1

LOWER
PROB

CUM
PROB

0
0.03
0.15
0.55
0.83
0.95

0.03
0.15
0.55
0.83
0.95
1

Interval
1
14
31
46
71
91

13
30
45
70
90
100

Interval
1
4
16
56
84
96

3
15
55
83
95
100

DEMAND
0
1
2
3
4
5
UNLOADIN
G
1
2
3
4
5
6

DAY

PREVIOUS RANDOM
LY DELAY NUMBER

TOTAL TO
NUMBER
BE
RANDOM
ARRIVAL
UNLOADE
UNLOADE NUMBER
D
D

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

37
77
13
10
2
18
31

2
4
0
0
0
1
2

2
4
0
0
0
1
2

69
84
12
94
51
36
17

4
5
2
5
3
3
3

19

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
AVERAGE

0
0
1
0
2
2
1
0.4

32
85
31
94
81
43
31

2
4
2
5
4
2
2
2.066667

2
4
3
5
6
4
3

15
29
16
52
56
43
26

2
3
3
3
4
3
3
3.133333

DEMAND
FOR
PROBABILI
REFRIGIRA
TY
TOR
0
1
2
3
4

0.2
0.4
0.2
0.15
0.05

LOWER
PROB

CUM
PROB

DEMAND

DAY

0
0.2
0.6
0.8
0.95

0.2
0.6
0.8
0.95
1

0
1
2
3
4

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

LEAD TIME

1
2
3

10

HISTORY 50 HARI PEMESANAN

LEAD TIME
PROBABILI LOWER
LEAD TIME
TY
PROB
1
0.15
0
2
0.35
0.15
3
0.5
0.5

CUM
PROB
0.15
0.5
1

0.533335 0.020736 0.630598 0.632885

UNIT
RECEIVED

10

STOCKOUT COST $40/S

HOLDING COST $1/WE

BEGINNIN
ENDING
G
RANDOM
DEMAND INVENTOR
INVENTOR NUMBER
Y
Y

LOST
SALE

ORDER

5
3
2
0
10
9
8
6

0.60326
0.209093
0.855033
0.203508
0.241244
0.348298
0.702049
0.357271

2
1
3
1
1
1
2
1

3
2
0
0
9
8
6
5

0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0

NO
NO
YES
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO

0.81743

YES

0.309103

1
AVERAGE

NO

TOCKOUT COST $40/STOCKOUT

OLDING COST $1/WEEK

3.6
8
3.6

0.2

RANDOM
NUMBER

LEAD
TIME

0.020736

0.632885
0.2