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PROYEKSI PENDUDUK RW 1 KELURAHAN MANGUNJIWAN

Tahun
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

Penduduk

943
946
41571
41703
36435

log (penduduk)
2.9745
2.9759
4.6188
4.6202
4.5615

ln (penduduk)
6.8491
6.8522
10.6352
10.6383
10.5033

METODE ARITMATIK
50000
40000
30000

f(x) = 11174.1x - 9202.7


R = 0.6788232924

20000
10000
0
2006

Pendudu
k
2007

2008

2009

2010

METODE GEOMETRI
60000
40000
20000

f(x) = 28690.2287500623 ln(x) - 3151.2466478903


R = 0.722942326

0
2006

Penduduk
2007

2008

2009

2010

METODE EKSPONENSIAL
50000
40000 f(x) = 319.6603549632 exp( 1.1094523474 x )
R = 0.7321727996
30000
20000
10000
0
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

Proyeksi Penduduk

NO

Tahun

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

10

2015

11

2016

12

2017

13

2018

14

2019

15

2020

16

2021

17

2022

18

2023

19

2024

20

2025

21

2026

22

2027

23

2028

24

2029

25

2030

26

2031

27

Pendudu
k

STANDAR DEVIASI
R

UNJIWAN
Proyeksi Penduduk
Aritmatik
y = 9.7x + 929.1

Geometrik

Eksponensial

y = 22.3ln(x) + 936.8

y = 929.4e0.010x

943
946
950
975
977

943
946
950
975
977

987

977

943
946
950
975
977

STANDAR DEVIASI

987

0.0098247746

0.0035193634

997

980

997

0.0097291876

0.0030379197

1007

983

1007

0.0096354425

0.0026715192

1016

986

1017

0.0095434868

0.0023833881

1026

988

1027

0.0094532697

0.0021509104

1036

990

1037

0.0093647422

0.0019594128

1046

992

1048

0.0092778575

0.0017989601

1055

994

1058

0.0091925701

0.001662586

1065

996

1069

0.0091088365

0.0015452614

1075

997

1080

0.0090266146

0.0014432653

1084

999

1091

0.0089458637

0.0013537855

1094

1000

1102

0.0088665448

0.0012746573

1104

1001

1113

0.0087886201

0.0012041874

1113

1002

1124

0.0087120532

0.0011410324

1123

1004

1135

0.0086368088

0.0010841126

1133

1005

1147

0.0085628531

0.0010325507

1143

1006

1158

0.0084901532

0.0009856264

1152

1007

1170

0.0084186773

0.0009427427

1162

1008

1181

0.0083483949

0.0009034009

1172

1009

1193

0.0082792762

0.0008671807

1181

1009

1205

0.0082112926

0.000833726

0.18841732

0.0337955891

1191

1010

1217

ARITMATIK

GEOMETRI

EKSPONENSIAL

0.1884

0.0338

0.2111

0.933

0.863

0.933

DAR DEVIASI
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.0100501671
0.2110535088

PROYEKSI PENDUDUK RW 2 KELURAHAN MANGUNJIWAN


Tahun
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

Penduduk

log (penduduk)
2.9096
2.9112
2.9128
2.9186
2.9201

812
815
818
829
832

ln (penduduk)
6.6995
6.7032
6.7069
6.7202
6.7238

Metode Aritmatik
840
830

f(x) = 5.4x + 805


R = 0.9382239382

820
810

Pendudu
k

800
1

METODE GEOMETRI
840
830
820
810
800

f(x) = 12.6165846951 ln(x) + 809.11964099


R = 0.8273830251
Penduduk
1

METODE EKSPONENSIAL
840
830

f(x) = 805.1364806501 exp( 0.0065696243 x )


R = 0.9389118051

820
810

Pendudu
k

800
1

Proyeksi Penduduk

NO

Tahun

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

10

2014

11

2015

12

2016

13

2017

14

2018

15

2019

16

2020

17

2021

18

2022

19

2023

20

2024

21

2025

22

2026

23

2027

24

2028

25

2029

26

2030

27

2031

STANDAR DEVIASI
R

NJIWAN
Proyeksi Penduduk
Aritmatik

Geometrik

y = 5.4x + 981.9

Eksponensial

y = 12.61ln(x) + 809,1 y = 805.1e0.006x

812
815
818
829
832

812
815
818
829
832

812
815
818
829
832

STANDAR DEVIASI

837

832

835

0.00644853 0.00233721 0.00601804

843

834

840

0.00640721 0.00201986 0.00601804

848

835

845

0.00636642 0.00177805 0.00601804

854

837

850

0.00632615

859

838

855

0.00628638 0.00143397 0.00601804

864

839

860

0.00624711 0.00130724 0.00601804

870

840

865

0.00620832 0.00120097 0.00601804

875

841

870

0.00617002 0.00111059 0.00601804

881

842

876

0.00613218 0.00103279 0.00601804

886

843

881

0.00609481 0.00096511 0.00601804

891

844

886

0.00605789 0.00090571 0.00601804

897

845

892

0.00602141 0.00085315 0.00601804

902

846

897

0.00598537 0.00080633 0.00601804

908

846

902

0.00594976 0.00076434 0.00601804

913

847

908

0.00591457 0.00072649 0.00601804

918

847

913

0.00587979 0.00069218 0.00601804

924

848

919

0.00584542 0.00066095 0.00601804

929

849

924

0.00581145

935

849

930

0.00577787 0.00060619 0.00601804

940

850

935

0.00574468 0.00058206 0.00601804

945

850

941

0.00571187 0.00055977 0.00601804

951

851

ARITMATIK

GEOMETRI

0.1274

0.0226

0.1264

0.968

0.909

0.968

0.0015877

0.0006324

0.00601804

0.00601804

947
EKSPONENSIAL 0.12738721 0.02256306 0.12637876

PROYEKSI PENDUDUK RW 3 KELURAHAN MANGUNJIWAN


Tahun
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

Penduduk

log (penduduk)
2.8820
2.8837
2.8842
2.8927
2.8943

762
765
766
781
784

ln (penduduk)
6.6359
6.6399
6.6412
6.6606
6.6644

METODE ARITMATIK
790
780

f(x) = 13.779850609 ln(x) + 758.4058157986


R = 0.7496480148

770
760

Penduduk

750
1

METODE GEOMETRIK
790
780

f(x) = 13.779850609 ln(x) + 758.4058157986


Penduduk
R = 0.7496480148

770
760
750
1

METODE EKSPONENSIAL
790
780

f(x) = 753.7874805816 exp( 0.0077624245 x )


R = 0.8804485535

770

Pendudu
k

760
750
1

Proyeksi Penduduk

NO

Tahun

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

10

2014

11

2015

12

2016

13

2017

14

2018

15

2019

16

2020

17

2021

18

2022

19

2023

20

2024

21

2025

22

2026

23

2027

24

2028

25

2029

26

2030

27

2031

STANDAR DEVIASI
R

NJIWAN
Proyeksi Penduduk
Aritmatik

Geometrik

Eksponensial

y = 13.78ln(x) + 758,4 y = 13,78ln(x) + 758.4 y = 753.7e0.007x

762
765
766
781
784

762
765
766
781
784

762
765
766
781
784

STANDAR DEVIASI

783

783

786

0.00271258 0.00271258 0.00702456

785

785

792

0.00234339 0.00234339 0.00702456

787

787

797

0.00206218 0.00206218 0.00702456

789

789

803

0.00184089 0.00184089 0.00702456

790

790

808

0.00166223 0.00166223 0.00702456

791

791

814

0.00151498 0.00151498 0.00702456

793

793

820

0.00139153 0.00139153 0.00702456

794

794

826

0.00128657 0.00128657 0.00702456

795

795

831

0.00119623 0.00119623 0.00702456

796

796

837

0.00111766 0.00111766 0.00702456

797

797

843

0.00104871 0.00104871 0.00702456

797

797

849

0.00098771 0.00098771 0.00702456

798

798

855

0.00093337 0.00093337 0.00702456

799

799

861

0.00088466 0.00088466 0.00702456

800

800

867

0.00084075 0.00084075 0.00702456

800

800

873

0.00080095 0.00080095 0.00702456

801

801

879

0.00076473 0.00076473 0.00702456

802

802

885

0.00073162 0.00073162 0.00702456

802

802

892

0.00070124 0.00070124 0.00702456

803

803

898

0.00067326 0.00067326 0.00702456

803

803

904

0.00064741 0.00064741 0.00702456

804

804

ARITMATIK

GEOMETRI

911

0.0261

0.0261

0.1475

0.865

0.865

0.938

EKSPONENSIAL 0.02614264 0.02614264

0.1475157