Hello again, Group 2!

I agree with the group's recommendation. The third alternative (Usage of Trend
Analysis) results showed the least MSE making it as the best option as
compared to the first two presented alternative courses of actions.
This is just an observation regarding the groups third alternative courses of
action particularly on how the group compared the results of the trend analysis
from the last months average off take. I noticed that you quantified the increase
of the quantity by percentage to 21%. I assumed that this percentage pertains to
items X1, X2, and X3 since there were no distinctive percentages per item
included therein.
My suggestions:
To be more precise if not accurate, I came up with these computations:
Item Name
X1

Septembe
r
123

Trend Analysis
(Forecast pcs)
147.33

**Increased
by Percentage
19.8%

X2

415

526

26.8%

X3

92

120

30.45%

Computations
123*0.198+123 =
147.35
415*0.268+415 =
526.22
92*0.3045+92 =
120.01

The suggested order quantity is 19.8% higher, 26.8% higher, and 30.45% higher
for items X1, X2, and X3 consecutively as compared to last months average off
take.
Note:
**If the basis for comparison is from the figures under September.
Thank you very much!
-Isko