CBS News' Battleground Tracker, New Hampshire, October 25, 2015

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
New Hampshire
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
1148 Registered Voters

October 15-22, 2015
5.6%
1. How would you rate the condition of the economy in New Hampshire today?
Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in New Hampshire?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .80%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

New Hampshire
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Republican
Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Lindsey Graham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Bobby Jindal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
George Pataki . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Democratic
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Lincoln Chafee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36%
Lawrence Lessig . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
Jim Webb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3%

New Hampshire
6. If Joe Biden decides not to run, which of these candidates are you most likely to vote for?
Asked if Biden is first choice candidate
Lincoln Chafee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43%
Lawrence Lessig . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Jim Webb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Would not vote in Democratic primary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%
7. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Democratic
Asked of Democratic primary voters; Biden votes reallocated to 2nd choice
Lincoln Chafee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39%
Lawrence Lessig . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
Jim Webb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3%
8. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Enthusiastic about [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Supporting [Candidate Name] but with some reservations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Considering [Candidate Name] mainly because you dislike the other choices so
far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%

New Hampshire
9. Although you are not voting for them right now, would you be satisfied or dissatisfied if the
Republican party eventually nominates...
Asked of Republican primary voters not supporting the candidate
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Satisfied
29%
40%
29%
30%
37%
13%
28%
18%
36%
22%
Not satisifed
55%
39%
50%
49%
35%
69%
43%
64%
41%
57%
Not sure yet

17%
21%
20%
21%
28%
18%
29%
18%
23%
21%
10. Although you are not voting for them right now, would you be satisfied or dissatisfied if the
Democratic party eventually nominates...
Asked of Democratic primary voters not supporting the candidate
Joe Biden
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Satisfied
47%
38%
41%
Not satisifed
29%
45%
30%
Not sure yet

24%
17%
28%
11. How much do you use Twitter to follow whats going on with the 2016 campaign?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Sometimes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Not too much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
None . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72%
12. How much do you use Facebook to follow whats going on with the 2016 campaign?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Sometimes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Not too much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
None . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%

New Hampshire
13. Which of these do you do on Twitter or Facebook...?
Asked of if use Twitter or Facebook to follow campaign
Read or click links to

news stories about
the 2016 campaign
Share or retweet
links to 2016
campaign stories
Compose my own
posts or tweets about
the 2016 campaign
Follow or like
candidates Im
interested in
Often
Sometimes
Rarely/Never
40%
43%
16%
17%
23%
60%
14%
22%
64%
35%
28%
37%
14. If the next President is a Republican and you could choose one of these things they were
certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Defeat ISIS with the US military . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

Build a wall along the US-Mexico border . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Defund Planned Parenthood . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Repeal Obamacare entirely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Balance the Federal Budget . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35%
Raise taxes on Wall Street investment firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
15. Do you think the Republican party is currently paying too much, enough, or not enough
attention to the needs of...
The wealthy
The middle class
The Tea Party
movement
Large campaign
donors
Too much
48%
3%
Enough
46%
29%
Not enough
6%
68%
24%
41%
35%
51%
40%
9%

New Hampshire
16. Who do you think won the recent Democratic debate?
Lincoln Chafee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39%
Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Jim Webb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Have not heard or seen enough to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
17. Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Hillary Clinton?
Asked if Clinton is first choice candidate
Its time for a woman president . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

She has the right experience . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
She could change Washington and the political system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
She can win the General Election . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
She cares about people like me . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
18. Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Bernie Sanders?
Asked if Sanders is first choice candidate
His policies on income inequality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%

He says what he believes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
He could change Washington and the political system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
He can win the General Election . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
He cares about people like me . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%

New Hampshire
19. If the next President is a Democrat and you could choose one of these things they were
certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Defeat ISIS with the US military . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

Raise the minimum wage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Raise taxes on Wall Street investment firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Put more restrictions on guns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Reform the campaign finance system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Make public college free . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
20. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
21. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
22. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

New Hampshire
23. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
24. Are you male or female?

Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
25. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
26. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
27. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%

New Hampshire
1. Economy in State
How would you rate the condition of the economy in New Hampshire today?
Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
6%
52%
32%
7%
3%
11%
47%
31%
7%
3%
2%
55%
32%
7%
4%
9%
65%
16%
3%
7%
2%
42%
43%
9%
4%
8%
55%
27%
9%
2%
7%
44%
44%
3%
2%
6%
53%
31%
7%
3%
14%
27%
38%
12%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(530)
(616)
(159)
(265)
(537)
(185)
(1,073)
100%
(1,146)
(11)
(6)
(54)

New Hampshire
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in New Hampshire?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
80%
11%
6%
0%
2%
1%
88%
6%
4%
0%
1%
1%
73%
16%
7%
0%
2%
1%
62%
12%
21%
0%
5%
0%
83%
13%
0%
0%
2%
2%
82%
12%
4%
0%
1%
1%
84%
8%
7%
1%
0%
0%
79%
12%
6%
0%
1%
1%
93%
3%
0%
0%
1%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(530)
(618)
(161)
(265)
(537)
(184)
(1,075)
100%
(1,148)
(11)
(6)
(54)

New Hampshire
3. 2016 Primary Turnout

In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
32%
35%
14%
19%
31%
41%
16%
12%
34%
29%
12%
25%
41%
26%
21%
12%
35%
30%
20%
15%
30%
36%
9%
25%
27%
47%
12%
15%
32%
34%
14%
19%
19%
59%
15%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(530)
(618)
(161)
(265)
(537)
(185)
(1,075)
100%
(1,148)
(11)
(6)
(54)

New Hampshire
4. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
8%
12%
2%
5%
7%
0%
1%
0%
0%
5%
0%
4%
7%
1%
38%
8%
5%
10%
3%
5%
8%
0%
2%
0%
1%
6%
0%
6%
8%
1%
41%
4%
11%
15%
1%
6%
6%
0%
1%
0%
0%
5%
0%
1%
6%
1%
34%
13%
18%
6%
0%
0%
5%
0%
6%
0%
0%
6%
0%
8%
15%
0%
27%
8%
4%
16%
4%
2%
2%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
8%
1%
2%
45%
12%
6%
10%
2%
8%
8%
0%
1%
0%
0%
6%
0%
2%
8%
1%
41%
8%
10%
18%
1%
6%
10%
0%
1%
0%
0%
10%
0%
0%
9%
0%
30%
4%
8%
12%
2%
5%
7%
0%
1%
0%
0%
6%
0%
3%
7%
1%
38%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(496)
(269)
(227)
(52)
(96)
(242)
(105)
(454)
(2)
(0)
(39)

New Hampshire
5. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Lawrence Lessig
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
7%
0%
36%
0%
2%
51%
0%
3%
5%
0%
26%
1%
3%
64%
0%
1%
9%
0%
43%
0%
2%
42%
0%
5%
2%
0%
7%
0%
6%
77%
0%
8%
7%
0%
33%
0%
2%
55%
0%
3%
9%
0%
49%
1%
1%
38%
0%
2%
6%
0%
38%
0%
1%
51%
1%
3%
7%
0%
35%
0%
2%
52%
0%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(499)
(198)
(301)
(82)
(131)
(221)
(65)
(470)
(8)
(4)
(16)
6. 2nd Choice after Biden

If Joe Biden decides not to run, which of these candidates are you most likely to vote for?
Question not listed due to small sample size.

New Hampshire

Gender
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Lawrence Lessig
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
0%
39%
0%
3%
54%
0%
3%
0%
27%
1%
4%
67%
0%
1%
0%
47%
0%
2%
45%
0%
5%
0%
7%
0%
6%
79%
0%
8%
0%
33%
0%
2%
62%
0%
3%
0%
55%
1%
3%
40%
0%
2%
0%
40%
0%
2%
54%
1%
3%
0%
39%
0%
3%
54%
0%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(499)
(198)
(301)
(83)
(130)
(222)
(65)
(469)
(8)
(5)
(16)

New Hampshire
8. Enthusiasm for First Choice

How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
39%
11%
52%
35%
14%
48%
44%
8%
36%
45%
19%
55%
37%
8%
53%
36%
11%
45%
47%
8%
50%
40%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(971)
(487)
(484)
(144)
(208)
(447)
(171)
(910)
(7)
(6)
(46)

New Hampshire
9. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Jeb Bush

Although you are not voting for them right now, would you be satisfied or dissatisfied if the Republican party eventually nominates...
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
29%
55%
17%
31%
54%
16%
26%
56%
18%
26%
58%
15%
25%
60%
15%
34%
46%
20%
30%
54%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(253)
(199)
100%
(452)
(92)
(224)
(93)
(411)
(42)
(2)
(0)
(38)

New Hampshire
10. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ben Carson

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
40%
39%
21%
37%
43%
20%
43%
34%
23%
24%
51%
25%
44%
40%
16%
62%
29%
9%
41%
38%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(234)
(189)
100%
(423)
(75)
(214)
(85)
(387)
(48)
(0)
(0)
(36)

New Hampshire
11. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Chris Christie

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
29%
50%
20%
32%
53%
14%
25%
47%
28%
23%
33%
44%
27%
55%
18%
26%
58%
16%
41%
38%
21%
30%
49%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(256)
(219)
(52)
(90)
(230)
(103)
(434)
(2)
(0)
(38)
10

New Hampshire
12. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
30%
49%
21%
31%
52%
17%
28%
45%
27%
25%
44%
31%
27%
53%
20%
29%
51%
20%
36%
44%
20%
30%
49%
22%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(456)
(249)
(207)
(52)
(89)
(218)
(98)
(418)
(2)
(0)
(36)
11

New Hampshire
13. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Carly Fiorina

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
37%
35%
28%
39%
38%
23%
35%
32%
33%
40%
38%
22%
37%
39%
24%
52%
26%
22%
38%
34%
28%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(243)
(208)
100%
(451)
(92)
(216)
(94)
(414)
(49)
(2)
(0)
(34)
12

New Hampshire
14. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Mike Huckabee

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
13%
69%
18%
11%
73%
15%
15%
64%
22%
1%
78%
21%
6%
80%
14%
14%
68%
19%
23%
58%
20%
14%
69%
17%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(482)
(262)
(221)
(52)
(90)
(236)
(104)
(441)
(2)
(0)
(38)
13

New Hampshire
15. Satisfied with Republican Candidates John Kasich

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
28%
43%
29%
32%
44%
24%
23%
41%
36%
18%
43%
39%
25%
52%
23%
46%
27%
27%
29%
42%
30%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(246)
(210)
100%
(456)
(90)
(223)
(94)
(416)
(48)
(2)
(0)
(38)
14

New Hampshire
16. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Rand Paul

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
18%
64%
18%
21%
65%
14%
14%
63%
23%
19%
61%
20%
19%
69%
12%
10%
71%
19%
18%
64%
18%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(245)
(218)
100%
(463)
(86)
(229)
(101)
(428)
(47)
(2)
(0)
(32)
15

New Hampshire
17. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Marco Rubio

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
36%
41%
23%
40%
37%
24%
33%
45%
22%
31%
45%
24%
34%
48%
19%
54%
26%
20%
36%
41%
23%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(239)
(205)
100%
(444)
(89)
(216)
(94)
(405)
(44)
(2)
(0)
(37)
16

New Hampshire
18. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Donald Trump

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
22%
57%
21%
25%
63%
12%
18%
52%
30%
21%
68%
11%
23%
56%
21%
27%
44%
29%
22%
57%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(158)
(147)
100%
(305)
(53)
(141)
(73)
(279)
(38)
(2)
(0)
(24)
17

New Hampshire
19. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Joe Biden

Although you are not voting for them right now, would you be satisfied or dissatisfied if the Democratic party eventually nominates...
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
47%
29%
24%
51%
29%
20%
44%
29%
27%
41%
16%
43%
40%
38%
22%
51%
29%
20%
59%
26%
15%
47%
29%
24%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(188)
(273)
(81)
(122)
(200)
(58)
(435)
(8)
(5)
(13)
18

New Hampshire
20. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
38%
45%
17%
34%
51%
15%
41%
40%
19%
36%
47%
16%
31%
55%
14%
40%
37%
22%
38%
45%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(148)
(169)
(77)
(88)
(112)
100%
(317)
(40)
(302)
(1)
(1)
(13)
19

New Hampshire
21. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
41%
30%
28%
50%
39%
11%
38%
27%
35%
47%
26%
27%
39%
28%
34%
40%
33%
27%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
(172)
(59)
(134)
100%
(70)
100%
(242)
(19)
(31)
(224)
(8)
(4)
(6)
20

New Hampshire
22. Twitter for 2016 Campaign

How much do you use Twitter to follow whats going on with the 2016 campaign?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
A lot
Sometimes
Not too much
None
5%
11%
12%
72%
5%
14%
10%
70%
4%
9%
13%
74%
10%
19%
18%
54%
8%
21%
15%
56%
3%
6%
11%
80%
0%
7%
5%
88%
4%
11%
11%
73%
0%
27%
14%
59%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(527)
(618)
(161)
(265)
(534)
(185)
(1,072)
100%
(1,145)
(11)
(6)
(54)
21

New Hampshire
23. Facebook for 2016 Campaign

How much do you use Facebook to follow whats going on with the 2016 campaign?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
A lot
Sometimes
Not too much
None
15%
25%
17%
43%
15%
29%
13%
43%
16%
21%
21%
42%
16%
38%
25%
21%
25%
27%
20%
28%
12%
22%
14%
52%
12%
15%
15%
58%
16%
24%
16%
44%
7%
37%
17%
38%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(527)
(617)
(161)
(265)
(535)
(182)
(1,071)
100%
(1,144)
(11)
(6)
(54)
22

New Hampshire
24. Social Media for 2016 Campaign Read or click links to news stories about the 2016 campaign
Which of these do you do on Twitter or Facebook...?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Often
Sometimes
Rarely/Never
40%
43%
16%
45%
39%
16%
36%
47%
17%
36%
57%
7%
46%
43%
12%
40%
38%
22%
36%
39%
25%
40%
43%
17%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(679)
(308)
(370)
(131)
(197)
(274)
(77)
(623)
(10)
(6)
(38)
23

New Hampshire
25. Social Media for 2016 Campaign Share or retweet links to 2016 campaign stories
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Often
Sometimes
Rarely/Never
17%
23%
60%
19%
27%
54%
15%
19%
65%
17%
18%
65%
28%
22%
51%
13%
26%
62%
9%
23%
68%
17%
23%
60%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(652)
(307)
(346)
(130)
(181)
(265)
(77)
(603)
(10)
(4)
(33)
24

New Hampshire
26. Social Media for 2016 Campaign Compose my own posts or tweets about the 2016 campaign
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Often
Sometimes
Rarely/Never
14%
22%
64%
18%
23%
59%
11%
20%
69%
11%
28%
61%
29%
26%
44%
8%
16%
76%
4%
18%
78%
14%
23%
64%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(667)
(306)
(361)
(130)
(192)
(269)
(75)
(615)
(10)
(6)
(33)
25

New Hampshire
27. Social Media for 2016 Campaign Follow or like candidates Im interested in
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Often
Sometimes
Rarely/Never
35%
28%
37%
40%
31%
29%
31%
26%
44%
34%
33%
34%
46%
19%
35%
28%
34%
39%
39%
22%
40%
36%
27%
37%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(663)
(309)
(354)
(130)
(183)
(273)
(77)
(612)
(10)
(6)
(33)
26

New Hampshire
28. Republican President Policy Goal

If the next President is a Republican and you could choose one of these things they were certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Gender
Defeat ISIS with the US military
Build a wall along the US-Mexico
border
Defund Planned Parenthood
Repeal Obamacare entirely
Balance the Federal Budget
Raise taxes on Wall Street investment
firms
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
11%
25%
25%
15%
15%
24%
19%
11%
4%
20%
35%
12%
3%
17%
46%
11%
4%
24%
23%
0%
0%
8%
56%
8%
4%
26%
43%
15%
4%
21%
31%
12%
5%
18%
28%
11%
4%
21%
35%
6%
5%
7%
4%
6%
7%
0%
11%
5%
0%
7%
6%
7%
5%
5%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(496)
(269)
(227)
(52)
(96)
(242)
(105)
(454)
(2)
(0)
(39)
27

New Hampshire
29. Republican Party Attention The wealthy

Do you think the Republican party is currently paying too much, enough, or not enough attention to the needs of...
Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
48%
46%
6%
43%
50%
7%
55%
40%
5%
46%
39%
16%
52%
38%
10%
49%
49%
2%
44%
49%
7%
48%
46%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(266)
(223)
(52)
(96)
(235)
(105)
(447)
(2)
(0)
(39)
28

New Hampshire
30. Republican Party Attention The middle class

Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
3%
29%
68%
4%
31%
66%
2%
28%
70%
8%
48%
44%
7%
29%
63%
1%
28%
71%
0%
23%
77%
3%
31%
66%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(265)
(225)
(52)
(96)
(236)
(105)
(448)
(2)
(0)
(39)
29

New Hampshire
31. Republican Party Attention The Tea Party movement

Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
24%
41%
35%
28%
32%
41%
19%
52%
29%
39%
33%
29%
17%
41%
42%
23%
40%
37%
23%
47%
30%
25%
43%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(485)
(263)
(222)
(52)
(93)
(236)
(105)
(443)
(2)
(0)
(39)
30

New Hampshire
32. Republican Party Attention Large campaign donors

Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
40%
9%
53%
37%
9%
48%
42%
9%
72%
15%
13%
36%
47%
17%
53%
41%
6%
50%
42%
8%
51%
41%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(482)
(261)
(221)
(52)
(93)
(233)
(104)
(440)
(2)
(0)
(39)
31

New Hampshire
33. Who Won the Debate

Who do you think won the recent Democratic debate?
Gender
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Not sure
Have not heard or seen enough to say
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
0%
39%
1%
38%
0%
5%
17%
0%
31%
2%
48%
0%
5%
14%
0%
43%
0%
32%
0%
4%
20%
0%
20%
0%
60%
0%
5%
16%
0%
21%
2%
53%
0%
2%
23%
0%
52%
1%
23%
0%
6%
18%
0%
52%
0%
35%
0%
5%
9%
0%
38%
1%
38%
0%
5%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(499)
(198)
(301)
(82)
(131)
(221)
(65)
(470)
(8)
(4)
(16)
32

New Hampshire
34. Reason for Supporting Clinton

Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Its time for a woman president
She has the right experience
She could change Washington and
the political system
She can win the General Election
She cares about people like me
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
19%
51%
6%
52%
25%
51%
22%
57%
21%
51%
9%
10%
10%
11%
20%
12%
8%
7%
10%
5%
8%
8%
9%
10%
9%
100%
100%
100%
(130)
100%
(51)
100%
(182)
(5)
(43)
(108)
(25)
(167)
(8)
(4)
(3)
33

New Hampshire
35. Reason for Supporting Sanders

Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Bernie Sanders?
Gender
His policies on income inequality
He says what he believes
He could change Washington and the
political system
He can win the General Election
He cares about people like me
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
30%
26%
38%
22%
21%
29%
30%
17%
29%
23%
35%
30%
29%
27%
32%
1%
12%
30%
1%
9%
35%
0%
14%
45%
0%
9%
38%
0%
11%
25%
1%
8%
32%
1%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(129)
(126)
(64)
(72)
(85)
100%
(254)
(33)
(243)
(1)
(1)
(10)
34

New Hampshire
36. Democratic President Policy Goal

If the next President is a Democrat and you could choose one of these things they were certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Gender
Raise the minimum wage
firms
Put more restrictions on guns
Reform the campaign finance system
Make public college free
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
7%
20%
4%
17%
9%
22%
2%
29%
13%
22%
7%
20%
18%
13%
29%
9%
4%
22%
6%
36%
10%
5%
15%
17%
25%
8%
4%
4%
14%
42%
4%
5%
21%
10%
16%
16%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(499)
(198)
(301)
(82)
Race/Ethnicity
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
3%
4%
7%
19%
20%
13%
29%
8%
4%
21%
17%
44%
1%
10%
19%
13%
28%
9%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(131)
(221)
(65)
(470)
(8)
(4)
(16)
35

New Hampshire
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
496 Likely Republican Primary Voters

October 15-22, 2015
6.6%
1. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the New Hampshire Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
8%
12%
2%
5%
7%
0%
1%
0%
0%
5%
0%
4%
7%
1%
38%
8%
2%
19%
0%
15%
10%
0%
0%
0%
3%
1%
0%
9%
4%
0%
35%
2%
8%
14%
3%
9%
11%
0%
3%
0%
0%
3%
0%
2%
7%
3%
32%
6%
6%
7%
2%
2%
6%
0%
2%
0%
0%
14%
0%
7%
11%
0%
39%
4%
2%
17%
1%
10%
7%
0%
0%
0%
1%
3%
0%
8%
5%
0%
41%
6%
10%
10%
3%
3%
7%
0%
2%
0%
0%
7%
0%
2%
9%
2%
36%
9%
11%
22%
0%
1%
7%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
6%
7%
2%
30%
11%
7%
9%
3%
7%
7%
0%
1%
0%
1%
7%
0%
3%
8%
1%
39%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(496)
(67)
(166)
(126)
(162)
(334)
(111)
(374)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
8%
12%
2%
5%
7%
0%
5%
10%
3%
5%
8%
0%
11%
15%
1%
6%
6%
0%
18%
6%
0%
0%
5%
0%
4%
16%
4%
2%
2%
0%
6%
10%
2%
8%
8%
0%
10%
18%
1%
6%
10%
0%
8%
15%
3%
3%
6%
0%
6%
10%
2%
9%
9%
0%
continued on the next page . . .

New Hampshire
continued from previous page

Age group
Gender
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
1%
0%
0%
5%
0%
4%
7%
1%
38%
8%
2%
0%
1%
6%
0%
6%
8%
1%
41%
4%
1%
0%
0%
5%
0%
1%
6%
1%
34%
13%
6%
0%
0%
6%
0%
8%
15%
0%
27%
8%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
8%
1%
2%
45%
12%
1%
0%
0%
6%
0%
2%
8%
1%
41%
8%
1%
0%
0%
10%
0%
0%
9%
0%
30%
4%
2%
0%
1%
7%
0%
3%
10%
1%
36%
5%
1%
0%
0%
5%
0%
4%
5%
1%
38%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(496)
(269)
(227)
(52)
(96)
(242)
(105)
(241)
(230)

New Hampshire

Ideology
Enthusiastic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
51%
35%
14%
79%
9%
11%
53%
40%
7%
47%
46%
7%
63%
30%
7%
45%
38%
17%
58%
29%
13%
48%
38%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(455)
(65)
(155)
(120)
(152)
(303)
(98)
(346)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
51%
35%
14%
50%
37%
14%
53%
34%
14%
43%
37%
20%
55%
32%
13%
58%
37%
5%
56%
33%
12%
46%
40%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(258)
(197)
100%
(455)
(85)
(222)
(100)
(229)
(202)
(47)

New Hampshire
3. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Jeb Bush

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
29%
55%
17%
16%
77%
7%
37%
49%
14%
30%
52%
19%
18%
66%
17%
35%
49%
16%
22%
59%
19%
31%
54%
15%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(452)
(64)
(149)
(118)
(157)
(294)
(98)
(343)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
29%
55%
17%
31%
54%
16%
26%
56%
18%
26%
58%
15%
25%
60%
15%
34%
46%
20%
32%
48%
20%
27%
58%
14%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(253)
(199)
100%
(452)
(92)
(224)
(93)
(217)
(216)
(42)

New Hampshire
4. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ben Carson

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
40%
39%
21%
57%
23%
20%
53%
27%
21%
27%
54%
19%
53%
34%
13%
34%
42%
24%
51%
31%
18%
36%
42%
22%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(423)
(52)
(139)
(114)
(128)
(295)
(86)
(328)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
40%
39%
21%
37%
43%
20%
43%
34%
23%
24%
51%
25%
44%
40%
16%
62%
29%
9%
45%
35%
21%
38%
39%
23%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(234)
(189)
100%
(423)
(75)
(214)
(85)
(200)
(200)
(48)

New Hampshire
5. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Chris Christie

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
29%
50%
20%
16%
69%
15%
32%
51%
17%
38%
45%
17%
17%
70%
13%
35%
41%
24%
25%
56%
19%
30%
49%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(63)
(157)
(123)
(159)
(317)
(110)
(355)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
29%
50%
20%
32%
53%
14%
25%
47%
28%
23%
33%
44%
27%
55%
18%
26%
58%
16%
41%
38%
21%
29%
49%
22%
30%
49%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(256)
(219)
(52)
(90)
(230)
(103)
(228)
(223)

New Hampshire
6. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
30%
49%
21%
54%
28%
18%
44%
35%
21%
16%
67%
17%
56%
29%
15%
18%
58%
24%
43%
31%
26%
25%
55%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(456)
(55)
(148)
(119)
(140)
(317)
(109)
(337)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
30%
49%
21%
31%
52%
17%
28%
45%
27%
25%
44%
31%
27%
53%
20%
29%
51%
20%
36%
44%
20%
33%
42%
26%
28%
54%
18%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(456)
(249)
(207)
(52)
(89)
(218)
(98)
(230)
(203)

New Hampshire
7. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Carly Fiorina

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
37%
35%
28%
48%
34%
18%
41%
31%
28%
40%
38%
22%
43%
31%
25%
34%
37%
29%
30%
37%
33%
39%
35%
26%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(451)
(57)
(146)
(117)
(148)
(303)
(102)
(339)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
37%
35%
28%
39%
38%
23%
35%
32%
33%
40%
38%
22%
37%
39%
24%
52%
26%
22%
40%
30%
30%
36%
37%
27%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(243)
(208)
100%
(451)
(92)
(216)
(94)
(220)
(207)
(49)

New Hampshire
8. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Mike Huckabee

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
13%
69%
18%
17%
61%
22%
20%
64%
16%
6%
81%
13%
21%
60%
19%
9%
73%
18%
21%
52%
27%
11%
74%
15%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(482)
(63)
(162)
(122)
(156)
(326)
(108)
(363)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
13%
69%
18%
11%
73%
15%
15%
64%
22%
1%
78%
21%
6%
80%
14%
14%
68%
19%
23%
58%
20%
13%
68%
18%
13%
66%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(482)
(262)
(221)
(52)
(90)
(236)
(104)
(236)
(222)

New Hampshire
9. Satisfied with Republican Candidates John Kasich

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
28%
43%
29%
20%
59%
21%
37%
38%
25%
30%
44%
26%
24%
52%
25%
30%
38%
32%
21%
36%
44%
30%
45%
25%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(456)
(63)
(159)
(104)
(152)
(304)
(109)
(338)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
28%
43%
29%
32%
44%
24%
23%
41%
36%
18%
43%
39%
25%
52%
23%
46%
27%
27%
31%
38%
30%
25%
45%
31%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(246)
(210)
100%
(456)
(90)
(223)
(94)
(220)
(212)
(48)
10

New Hampshire
10. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Rand Paul

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
18%
64%
18%
23%
65%
12%
22%
60%
19%
10%
70%
20%
26%
61%
13%
14%
65%
20%
14%
58%
28%
19%
65%
15%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(463)
(58)
(155)
(117)
(144)
(319)
(101)
(353)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
18%
64%
18%
21%
65%
14%
14%
63%
23%
19%
61%
20%
19%
69%
12%
10%
71%
19%
17%
60%
23%
19%
66%
15%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(245)
(218)
100%
(463)
(86)
(229)
(101)
(227)
(214)
(47)
11

New Hampshire
11. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Marco Rubio

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
36%
41%
23%
45%
45%
10%
46%
29%
26%
30%
44%
27%
42%
39%
19%
34%
41%
25%
33%
40%
27%
37%
41%
22%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(444)
(61)
(149)
(107)
(151)
(293)
(100)
(333)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
36%
41%
23%
40%
37%
24%
33%
45%
22%
31%
45%
24%
34%
48%
19%
54%
26%
20%
42%
35%
23%
34%
42%
24%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(239)
(205)
100%
(444)
(89)
(216)
(94)
(211)
(209)
(44)
12

New Hampshire
12. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Donald Trump

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
22%
57%
21%
24%
48%
28%
13%
73%
14%
35%
49%
15%
16%
61%
23%
27%
37%
36%
20%
65%
15%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(110)
(76)
(95)
(210)
(76)
(226)
(305)
(43)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
22%
57%
21%
25%
63%
12%
18%
52%
30%
21%
68%
11%
23%
56%
21%
27%
44%
29%
25%
57%
18%
20%
59%
22%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(158)
(147)
100%
(305)
(53)
(141)
(73)
(152)
(141)
(38)
13

New Hampshire
13. Republican President Policy Goal

If the next President is a Republican and you could choose one of these things they were certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Ideology
border
firms
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
18%
15%
22%
13%
10%
21%
26%
15%
11%
4%
20%
35%
11%
11%
28%
32%
18%
5%
16%
35%
11%
1%
14%
42%
20%
6%
26%
34%
7%
3%
18%
36%
6%
12%
17%
38%
13%
1%
21%
35%
6%
5%
1%
3%
1%
3%
6%
11%
1%
3%
8%
7%
0%
2%
8%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(496)
(67)
(166)
(126)
(162)
(334)
(111)
(374)
Gender
border
firms
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
18%
11%
25%
25%
15%
15%
24%
23%
11%
11%
4%
20%
35%
12%
3%
17%
46%
11%
4%
24%
23%
0%
0%
8%
56%
8%
4%
26%
43%
15%
4%
21%
31%
12%
5%
18%
28%
11%
4%
21%
36%
13%
4%
21%
37%
6%
5%
7%
4%
6%
7%
0%
11%
5%
0%
7%
6%
7%
5%
3%
2%
6%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(496)
(269)
(227)
(52)
(96)
(242)
(105)
(241)
(230)
14

New Hampshire
14. Republican Party Attention The wealthy

Ideology
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
48%
46%
6%
29%
68%
3%
38%
55%
7%
62%
35%
3%
30%
63%
7%
57%
37%
6%
32%
57%
11%
54%
42%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(65)
(163)
(124)
(160)
(329)
(110)
(368)
Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
48%
46%
6%
43%
50%
7%
55%
40%
5%
46%
39%
16%
52%
38%
10%
49%
49%
2%
44%
49%
7%
42%
50%
8%
51%
44%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(266)
(223)
(52)
(96)
(235)
(105)
(238)
(229)
15

New Hampshire
15. Republican Party Attention The middle class

Ideology
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
3%
29%
68%
0%
33%
67%
3%
36%
61%
2%
17%
82%
4%
29%
67%
2%
30%
68%
6%
35%
59%
2%
28%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(66)
(162)
(124)
(160)
(330)
(109)
(370)
Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
3%
29%
68%
4%
31%
66%
2%
28%
70%
8%
48%
44%
7%
29%
63%
1%
28%
71%
0%
23%
77%
6%
37%
57%
0%
24%
76%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(489)
(265)
(225)
(52)
(96)
(236)
(105)
(238)
(229)
16

New Hampshire
16. Republican Party Attention The Tea Party movement

Ideology
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
24%
41%
35%
10%
37%
53%
13%
43%
43%
42%
36%
21%
1%
30%
70%
35%
46%
19%
9%
41%
50%
27%
41%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(485)
(64)
(164)
(120)
(156)
(329)
(108)
(366)
Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
24%
41%
35%
28%
32%
41%
19%
52%
29%
39%
33%
29%
17%
41%
42%
23%
40%
37%
23%
47%
30%
20%
47%
33%
29%
36%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(485)
(263)
(222)
(52)
(93)
(236)
(105)
(236)
(226)
17

New Hampshire
17. Republican Party Attention Large campaign donors

Ideology
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
51%
40%
9%
57%
39%
3%
41%
51%
8%
61%
30%
10%
47%
49%
4%
53%
35%
12%
37%
59%
4%
55%
34%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(482)
(64)
(162)
(120)
(155)
(327)
(108)
(363)
Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
51%
40%
9%
53%
37%
9%
48%
42%
9%
72%
15%
13%
36%
47%
17%
53%
41%
6%
50%
42%
8%
48%
43%
9%
56%
37%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(482)
(261)
(221)
(52)
(93)
(233)
(104)
(235)
(225)
18

New Hampshire
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
499 Likely Democratic Primary Voters

October 15-22, 2015
7.1%

Ideology
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Lawrence Lessig
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
7%
0%
36%
0%
2%
51%
0%
3%
1%
0%
18%
0%
0%
80%
0%
0%
12%
0%
27%
0%
0%
59%
0%
2%
5%
0%
46%
1%
9%
37%
0%
2%
5%
0%
26%
1%
3%
64%
0%
1%
9%
0%
43%
0%
2%
42%
0%
5%
2%
0%
7%
0%
6%
77%
0%
8%
7%
0%
33%
0%
2%
55%
0%
3%
9%
0%
49%
1%
1%
38%
0%
2%
6%
0%
38%
0%
1%
51%
1%
3%
8%
0%
45%
0%
3%
40%
0%
4%
5%
0%
26%
1%
1%
65%
0%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(499)
(116)
(129)
(116)
(198)
(301)
(82)
(131)
(221)
(65)
(301)
(185)
2. 2nd Choice after Biden

If Joe Biden decides not to run, which of these candidates are you most likely to vote for?
Question not listed due to small sample size.

New Hampshire

Ideology
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Lawrence Lessig
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
0%
39%
0%
3%
54%
0%
3%
0%
18%
0%
0%
81%
0%
0%
0%
33%
0%
0%
64%
0%
2%
0%
47%
1%
10%
40%
0%
2%
0%
27%
1%
4%
67%
0%
1%
0%
47%
0%
2%
45%
0%
5%
0%
7%
0%
6%
79%
0%
8%
0%
33%
0%
2%
62%
0%
3%
0%
55%
1%
3%
40%
0%
2%
0%
40%
0%
2%
54%
1%
3%
0%
50%
0%
3%
42%
0%
5%
0%
26%
1%
1%
70%
0%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(499)
(116)
(129)
(116)
(198)
(301)
(83)
(130)
(222)
(65)
(300)
(183)

New Hampshire

Ideology
Enthusiastic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
66%
29%
4%
84%
16%
0%
80%
16%
4%
47%
51%
2%
66%
29%
6%
67%
30%
3%
67%
25%
8%
67%
31%
2%
69%
29%
2%
56%
33%
11%
67%
29%
3%
66%
30%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(477)
(116)
(126)
(114)
(197)
(279)
(76)
(127)
(211)
(63)
(279)
(182)

New Hampshire
5. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Joe Biden

Ideology
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
47%
29%
24%
41%
33%
26%
50%
34%
16%
52%
19%
29%
51%
29%
20%
44%
29%
27%
41%
16%
43%
40%
38%
22%
51%
29%
20%
59%
26%
15%
52%
24%
24%
41%
35%
25%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(115)
(111)
(109)
(188)
(273)
(81)
(122)
(200)
(58)
(272)
(175)

New Hampshire
6. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
38%
45%
17%
39%
55%
6%
31%
43%
25%
44%
32%
24%
34%
51%
15%
41%
40%
19%
36%
47%
16%
31%
55%
14%
40%
37%
22%
52%
32%
16%
22%
58%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(95)
(91)
(63)
(148)
(169)
(77)
(88)
(112)
100%
(317)
(164)
(138)
(40)

New Hampshire
7. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
41%
30%
28%
44%
45%
11%
50%
39%
11%
38%
27%
35%
47%
26%
27%
39%
28%
34%
46%
26%
28%
31%
39%
30%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(172)
(59)
(134)
100%
(70)
100%
(73)
(176)
(64)
(242)
(23)
(50)
(19)
(31)

New Hampshire
8. Who Won the Debate

Who do you think won the recent Democratic debate?
Ideology
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Not sure
Have not heard or seen enough to say
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
0%
39%
1%
38%
0%
5%
17%
0%
22%
3%
62%
0%
4%
10%
0%
35%
0%
49%
0%
3%
13%
0%
51%
1%
23%
0%
7%
18%
0%
31%
2%
48%
0%
5%
14%
0%
43%
0%
32%
0%
4%
20%
0%
20%
0%
60%
0%
5%
16%
0%
21%
2%
53%
0%
2%
23%
0%
52%
1%
23%
0%
6%
18%
0%
52%
0%
35%
0%
5%
9%
0%
47%
1%
31%
0%
4%
17%
0%
25%
1%
49%
0%
6%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(499)
(116)
(129)
(116)
(198)
(301)
(82)
(131)
(221)
(65)
(301)
(185)

New Hampshire
9. Reason for Supporting Clinton

Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Hillary Clinton?
Ideology
Its time for a woman president
She has the right experience
She could change Washington and
the political system
She can win the General Election
She cares about people like me
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
19%
51%
6%
63%
6%
52%
25%
51%
22%
57%
17%
52%
9%
10%
10%
7%
14%
9%
11%
20%
12%
8%
7%
10%
5%
8%
8%
8%
12%
11%
100%
100%
100%
(130)
100%
(51)
100%
(53)
100%
(182)
(21)
(35)
(5)
(43)
(108)
(25)
(134)
(47)

New Hampshire
10. Reason for Supporting Sanders

Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Bernie Sanders?
Ideology
His policies on income inequality
He says what he believes
He could change Washington and the
political system
He can win the General Election
He cares about people like me
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
30%
26%
38%
13%
26%
25%
38%
22%
21%
29%
30%
17%
29%
23%
35%
30%
37%
22%
26%
27%
32%
1%
12%
38%
1%
10%
43%
1%
4%
30%
1%
9%
35%
0%
14%
45%
0%
9%
38%
0%
11%
25%
1%
8%
29%
0%
12%
37%
1%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(76)
(129)
(126)
(64)
(72)
(85)
100%
(93)
100%
(254)
(119)
(121)
(43)
(33)

New Hampshire
11. Democratic President Policy Goal

If the next President is a Democrat and you could choose one of these things they were certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Ideology
Raise the minimum wage
firms
Put more restrictions on guns
Reform the campaign finance system
Make public college free
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
7%
20%
9%
15%
0%
20%
8%
11%
4%
17%
9%
22%
2%
29%
13%
22%
7%
20%
18%
13%
29%
9%
4%
12%
7%
42%
13%
2%
21%
11%
33%
11%
4%
27%
10%
37%
6%
1%
22%
6%
36%
10%
5%
15%
17%
25%
8%
4%
4%
14%
42%
4%
5%
21%
10%
16%
16%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(499)
(116)
(129)
(116)
(198)
(301)
(82)
Party ID
65+
Democrat
Independent
3%
4%
6%
24%
10%
14%
20%
13%
29%
8%
4%
21%
17%
44%
1%
10%
18%
15%
26%
9%
2%
16%
10%
36%
8%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(131)
(221)
(65)
(301)
(185)
10

CBS News&#39; Battleground Tracker, New Hampshire, October 25, 2015

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

1148 Registered Voters

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Not sure yet

Not sure yet

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Read or click links to

Defeat ISIS with the US military . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Its time for a woman president . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

His policies on income inequality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Defeat ISIS with the US military . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

20. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

21. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

24. Are you male or female?

26. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

27. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

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3. 2016 Primary Turnout

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4. First Choice Republican Candidate

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5. First Choice Democratic Candidate

6. 2nd Choice after Biden

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7. First Choice Democratic Candidate

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8. Enthusiasm for First Choice

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9. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Jeb Bush

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10. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ben Carson

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11. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Chris Christie

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12. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

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13. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Carly Fiorina

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14. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Mike Huckabee

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15. Satisfied with Republican Candidates John Kasich

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16. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Rand Paul

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17. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Marco Rubio

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

18. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Donald Trump

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19. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Joe Biden

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20. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton

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21. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders

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22. Twitter for 2016 Campaign

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23. Facebook for 2016 Campaign

CBS News' Battleground Tracker, New Hampshire, October 25, 2015

CBS News' Battleground Tracker, New Hampshire, October 25, 2015