DAFTAR ISI

Halaman
LEMBAR JUDUL
DAFTAR ISI .....

DAFTAR GAMBAR

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DAFTAR TABEL .

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BAB I PENDAHULUAN.................................................................................

1.1 Latar Belakang...............................................................................................

1.2 Perumusan Masalah.......................................................................................

1.3 Batasan Masalah............................................................................................

1.4 Tujuan............................................................................................................

1.5 Manfaat..........................................................................................................

1.6 Metodologi Penelitian....................................................................................

1.7 Sistematika Penulisan....................................................................................

BAB II LANDASAN TEORI..........................................................................

2.1 Peramalan.......................................................................................................

2.1.1. Pendefinisian Tujuan Peramalan.. 8

2.1.2. Karakteristik Peramalan Yang Baik.............................

2.1.3. Beberapa Sifat Hasil Peramalan............

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2.2 Hubungan Forecast (Peramalan) Dengan Rencana Produksi........................ 11

2.3 Proses Peramalan... 12
2.4 Metode Peramalan............. 15
2.5 Metode Trend Moment... 16
2.6 Rumus Rencana Produksi Bulanan. 18
2.7 Visual Basic 6.0............................................................................................. 18
2.7.1 Sejarah Singkat Visual Basic 6.0...................................................... 19
2.7.2 Keunggulan Visual Basic 6.0........................................................... 20
2.7.3 IDE Microsoft Visual Basic 6.0......................................................... 20

BAB III ANALISA DAN PERANCANGAN SISTEM................................. 22

3.1

Identifikasi Masalah.................................................................................... 22

3.2 Analisis Permasalahan................................................................................ 23

3.3 Alur Proses Aplikasi.................................................................................... 24
3.3.1 Metode Moment................................................................................. 24
3.3.2 Rumus perencanaan produksi............................................................. 29
3.4 Analisa dan Perancangan Sistem................................................................. 33
3.4.1 Data Flow Diagram............................................................................ 33
3.4.2 Context Diaram.................................................................................. 34

DAFTAR PUSTAKA ......................................................................................... 35

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DAFTAR GAMBAR

Gambar 2.1 Tampilan IDE Visual Basic 6.0 ..................................................... 21

Gambar 3.1 Sistem Perencanaan produksi......................................................... 24
Gambar 3.2 Flowchart metode trend moment................................................... 25
Gambar 3.3 Flowchart Rencana Produksi...... 26
Gambar 3.4 Context Diagram Aplikasi perencanaan produksi .. .. 26

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DAFTAR TABEL

Tabel 3.1. Sistem perencanaan produksi ............................................................. 27

Tabel 3.2. Peramalan Penjualan tahun 2012 ....................................................... 29
Tabel 3.3. Peramalan Penjualan tahun 2012 ....................................................... 30
Tabel 3.4. Hasil Rencana Produksi tahun 2012 .................................................. 32

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