the bottlers. This is surprising considering the fact that product sold is a commodity
which can even be produced easily. There are several reasons for this, using the five
forces analysis we can clearly demonstrate how each force contributes the
profitability of the industry.
2. Economics of Bottling vs Concentrate Business
(Data from Exhibit 5)
As the above table indicates concentrate business is highly profitable compared to
the bottling business. The reasons for this are:
Huge capital costs to set up an efficient plant for the bottlers while the capital
costs in concentrate business are minimal
Costs for distribution and production account for around 65% of sales for
bottlers while in the concentrate business its around 17%
Most of the brand equity created in the business remains with concentrate
producers
With the decrease in the number of bottlers from 2000 in 1970 to less than
300 in 2000, the concentrate producers were concerned about the bottlers
clout and started acquiring stakes in the bottling business.
However during the early 1990s bottlers of Coke and Pepsi employed low priced
strategies in the supermarket channel in order to compete with store brands, This
had a negative effect on the profitability of the bottlers. Net profit as a percentage
of sales for bottlers during this period was in the low single digits (-2.1-2.9% Exhibit
4) Pepsi and Coke were however able to maintain the profitability through
sustained growth in Frito Lay and International sales respectively. The bottling
companies however in the late 90s decided to abandon the price war, which was
not doing industry any good by raising the prices.
Coke was more successful internationally compared to Pepsi due to its early lead as
Pepsi had failed to concentrate on its international business after the world war and
prior to the 70s. Pepsi however sought to correct this mistake by entering emerging
markets where it was not at a competitive disadvantage with respect to Coke as it
failed to make any heady way in the European market.
4. Can Coke and Pepsi sustain their profits in the wake of flattening
demand and growing popularity of non-carbonated drinks?
Yes Coke can Pepsi can sustain their profits in the industry because of the following
reasons:
The industry structure for several decades has been kept intact with no new
threats from new competition and no major changes appear on the radar line
This industry does not have a great deal of threat from disruptive forces in
technology.
Coke and Pepsi have been in the business long enough to accumulate great
amount of brand equity which can sustain them for a long time and allow
them to use the brand equity when they diversify their business more easily
by leveraging the brand.
Coke and Pepsi can diversify into noncarbonated drinks to counter the
flattening demand in the carbonated drinks. This will provide diversification
options and provide an opportunity to grow.
Globalization provides Coke and Pepsi with both unique challenges as well as
opportunities at the same time. To certain extent globalization has changed the
industry structure because of the following factors.
Rivalry Intensity: Coke has been more dominant (53% of market share in
1999). in the international market compared to Pepsi (21% of market share
in 1999) This can be attributed to the fact that it took advantage of Pepsi
entering the markets late and has set up its bottlers and distribution
networks especially in developed markets. This has put Pepsi at a significant
disadvantage compared to the US Market.
Substitutes: Since many of the markets are culturally very different and
vast numbers of substitutes are available, added to the fact that carbonated
products are not the first choices to quench thirst in these cultures present
additional significant challenges.
The consumption is very low in the emerging markets is miniscule compared to the
US market. A lot more money would have to be spent on advertising to get people
used the carbonated drinks.
Barriers to Entry
significant barrier to entry was brand loyalty, created largely by Robert Woodruff
who began leading Coca-Cola in 1923. Woodruffs goal was to place a Coke in
arms reach of desire, so he pushed for new channels through which to make Coke
available, including open-top coolers in grocery stores, automatic fountain
dispensers, and vending machines. Woodruff further developed brand loyalty,
increasing the barrier to entering the CSD industry, through associating Coke with
the United States military during World War II, promising that every man in uniform
gets a bottle of Coca-Cola for five cents wherever he is and whatever it costs the
company.
The 2nd significant historical barrier to entering the CSD industry was the
successful vertical integration of nationwide franchise bottling networks of CocaCola and Pepsi-Cola, beginning in 1980.
The final significant historical barrier to entry was economies of scale. Large
bottling and canning production facilities can cost hundreds of millions of dollars, so
the established production lines of major brands like Coca-Cola and PepsiCo allowed
them to continuously introduce new products within their brands, as well as new
container types in which to sell them
Buyer Power
Supplier Power
Threat of Entry:
New Entrants to an industry bring new capacity and a desire to gain market share that puts pressure
on prices, costs, and the rate of investment necessary to compete.
The several factors that make it difficult for the new companies to enter the soft drink market include:
1.
Role of bottlers:
Bottlers purchase concentrate, add carbonated water and high-fructose corn syrup,
bottle the resulting CSD product and deliver it to customer accounts. The bottling process is a
capital-intensive and involve high-speed production line that are interchangeable only for products of
similar type and packages of similar size.
Companies like Coke and Pepsi have franchisee agreements with their existing
bottlers which prohibit them from taking on new competing brands for similar products. A bottler
involved in bottling a product of a company cannot support any other company, hence making it
difficult for a new entrant.
And, with the backward integration, where both Coke and Pepsi buying significant
percent (nearly 100 plants in US to provide effective national wide distribution) of bottling companies,
it is very difficult for a firm entering to find bottlers willing to distribute their product.
Also, to try and build their own bottling plants, for a new entrant would be very
capital-intensive and a difficult task.
2.
Role of Retail channel :
The distribution of CSDs took place through Supermarkets, fountain outlets, vending
machines, mass merchandisers, convenience stores, drug chains and gas stations and other outlets.
The main distribution channel is the Supermarket where bottlers fight for shelf space
to ensure visibility for their products. In this ever-expanding array of products offered by existing
players, there would be intense competition for the new entrant.
The mass merchandisers include warehouse clubs and discount retailers like WalMart. These companies sell popular and leading products like Coke and Pepsi, so for a new entrant
to find itself, a merchandiser is difficult task.
Competition for fountain accounts is very intense and often CSD companies
sacrificed profitability in order to land and keep those accounts. Coke and Cadbury Schweepes have
long retained control over fountain sales. Ex: Coke supplies for Subway, McDonalds and Burger
King whereas Pepsi took over Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, KFC. In this case, new entrant has huge
competition to face.
3.
4.
5.
6.
In vending channel, Coke and Pepsi have their dominance by giving financial
incentives to encourage investment in machines. It would very challenging for a new entrant to
compete.
Entry barriers:
In many countries, production, distribution and sale are subject to numerous
governmental regulations. All companies are subject to numerous environmental laws and
regulations, which makes it difficult for a new entrant to enter the countrys market.
Brand Loyalty:
Brands like Coke, Pepsi and Cadbury with a large market base charm the customers
and acquire their loyalty. People avoid going in for any other brand, once accustomed to a particular
brand like Coke or Pepsi.
Heavy advertising contributes to huge amount of brand equity and loyal customers all
over the world. This makes it virtually impossible for a new entrant to match these market leaders in
the industry.
Advertising Expenditure:
Coke and Pepsi spend huge amount on advertising and marketing of their products.
Coke leads the charts by spending 246,243$ and Pepsi with 211,654$ (in thousands). They sponsor
varied programs from TV shows to Sports programs. Pepsi was the official sponsor of Cricket World
cup 2003. In this way, they retain their market share and make it extremely difficult for new entrant
and force it to spend hugely on promotion and advertising.
Risk & Experimentation:
The already emerged companies like Coke and Pepsi can step up to take risks and
experiment by launching new variety of products. If it clicks, they obtain huge profits but, will not
suffer great losses if failed. But a new entrant can not take such risks till it settles in the market.
Intra-Industry Rivalry:
The leaders of the industry are Coke, Pepsi, Cadbury Schweppes with huge market shares. The
rivalry talked over is between the two market leaders Coca-Cola and Pepsi, called The Cola Wars.
They have competed on various strategies like price discounts, extensive marketing, and automation
of the bottling plants etc.
Coca-cola was started way back in 1890s and after a period of nearly 40 years, in 1939
Pepsi was launched. When Pepsi was launched, it was called the imitator by the coke group, but
soon it became a dominant force in the of decline of cokes market share. Pepsi mainly aimed on
packaging. When it was launched, it came out with a campaign of--- Twelve full ounces, thats a lot.
Twice as much for a nickel, too, which forced Coke to launch three new packages: King-sized tenounce, the twelve ounces, and the twenty-six ounces Family size.
In 1985, Coke announced that it has changed the 99-year old Cola formula. Pepsi claimed
that the new coke mimicked Pepsi in taste, which promoted an outcry from loyal customers to
bottlers. And, this forced the Coke to bring back its original formula.
Pepsi mainly concentrated on advertising and marketing with film-stars to sports celebrities
for promoting their products, which became very successful. Many other new players followed this
later.
In terms of marketing, the rivalry between Coke and Pepsi heated up with Pepsi Challenge
in Dallas. This was responded (by Coke) with an ad campaign questing the validity of the test. It also
introduced rebates and retail price cuts.
In terms of Retail channels, Coke and Pepsi fought over fountain sales to acquire more
national accounts. Competition remained vigorous: In 2004, Coke won the Subway account away
from Pepsi, while Pepsi grabbed the Quiznos account from Coke. Coke however continued to
dominate the channel with 68% share of national pouring rights, against Pepsis 22% and 10% for
Cadbury.
In 1966, Coke had market share of 33.4%, Pepsi with 20.4% (Cadbury was not launched
then) and in 2004, Coke has 43.1%, Pepsi has 31.7%, Cadbury with 14.5% and other companies
with 5.2%. The Intra-rivalry has had an impact on the sales figures of industry players. The discounts
given to the retailers, reduced the over all profit margins. This forced the companies to search for
alternative supplies (like corn syrup instead of sugar).
Coke introduced 11 new products like Diet Coke, Caffeine Free Coke, Sprite etc to try and
attract new customers. In response, Pepsi also introduced 13 new products similar to that of Coke
like Diet Pepsi, Mountain Dew etc.
Through out the history of CDS industry Coke and Pepsi fought for higher market share and
survived in the intra-rivalry.
.
In this industry, the bargaining power of suppliers is low, as there are many suppliers in this
industry. And required commodities like flavor, caffeine or additives, sugar, and water are basic
goods that are available quite easily. So, producers have no power over the pricing hence the
suppliers in this industry are weak.
2.
But, in case of product suppliers for firms with dominant position and that is only viable
source for the supply of a product in the market, their bargaining power is strong. Ex: In Coca-colas
case, that purchases acesulfame potassium from Nutrinova Nutrition Specialties & Food Ingredients
and that is considered the only viable source by Coca-cola.
3.
Generally, the supplier group can credibly threaten to integrate forward into the industry. But,
here, the supplier would become a new entrant facing many difficulties, so the threat from suppliers
is low.
Powerful customers can capture more value by forcing down prices, demanding better quality or
more service and can cost industry profitability.
This industry has large numbers of substitutes like water, beer, wine; coffee, milk, tea, juices
etc are available to the end consumers.
2.
The soft drink companies diversify business by offering substitutes themselves to shield
themselves from competition.
Ex: Pepsi produces Mug Root Beer (1.4% market share), Slice fruit juice (0.3% ) and Tropicana
fresh juices. Coke produces Barqs and Diet Barqs (0.4%), Minute Maid brands producing fresh
fruit juices(1.5 %). By diversifying the business, the market share of the company raises to
greater high. Coke recorded a high of 43%, after diversifying from 33.4%, when it was restricted
to only Coca-cola. And Pepsi rose from 20% to 31%. And Cadbury rose from 4.7% to 14.5%.
3.
Threat of substitute product is countered by soft drink industry by huge advertising, brand
equity, and making their product easily available for consumers, which most substitutes cannot
match.
Summary:
Threat of Entry:
The several factors that make it very difficult for the competition to enter the soft drink market
include:
Bottling Network: Both Coke and Pepsi have franchisee agreements with their existing
bottlers who have rights in a certain geographic area in perpetuity. These agreements
prohibit bottlers from taking on new competing brands for similar products. Also with
the recent consolidation among the bottlers and the backward integration with both Coke
and Pepsi buying significant percent of bottling companies, it is very difficult for a firm
entering to find bottlers willing to distribute their product.
The other approach to try and build their bottling plants would be very capital-intensive effort
with new efficient plant capital requirements in 1998 being $75 million.
Advertising Spend: The advertising and marketing spend (Case Exhibit 5 & 6) in the
industry is in 2000 was around $ 2.6 billion (0.40 per case * 6.6 billion cases) mainly by
Coke, Pepsi and their bottlers. The average advertisement spending per point of market
share in 2000 was 8.3 million (Exhibit 2). This makes it extremely difficult for an entrant
to compete with the incumbents and gain any visibility.
Brand Image / Loyalty: Coke and Pepsi have a long history of heavy advertising and
this has earned them huge amount of brand equity and loyal customers all over the
world. This makes it virtually impossible for a new entrant to match this scale in this
market place.
Retailer Shelf Space (Retail Distribution): Retailers enjoy significant margins of 1520% on these soft drinks for the shelf space they offer. These margins are quite
significant for their bottom-line. This makes it tough for the new entrants to convince
retailers to carry/substitute their new products for Coke and Pepsi.
Fear of Retaliation: To enter into a market with entrenched rival behemoths like Pepsi
and Coke is not easy as it could lead to price wars which affect the new comer.
Power of suppliers:
Commodity Ingredients: Most of the raw materials needed to produce concentrate are
basic commodities like Color, flavor, caffeine or additives, sugar, packaging. Essentially
these are basic commodities. The producers of these products have no power over the
pricing hence the suppliers in this industry are weak.
Power of buyers:
The major channels for the Soft Drink industry (Exhibit 6) are food stores, Fast food fountain,
vending, convenience stores and others in the order of market share. The profitability in each of
these segments clearly illustrate the buyer power and how different buyers pay different prices
based on their power to negotiate.
Food Stores: These buyers in this segment are some what consolidated with several
chain stores and few local supermarkets, since they offer premium shelf space they
command lower prices, the net operating profit before tax (NOPBT) for concentrate
producers in this segment is $0.23/case
Convenience Stores: This segment of buyers is extremely fragmented and hence have
to pay higher prices, NOPBT here is $0.69 /case.
Fountain: This segment of buyers are the least profitable because of their large amount
of purchases hey make, It allows them to have freedom to negotiate. Coke and Pepsi
primarily consider this segment Paid Sampling with low margins. NOPBT in this
segment is $0.09 /case.
Vending: This channel serves the customers directly with absolutely no power with the
buyer, hence NOPBT of $0.97/case.
Threat of substitutes: Large numbers of substitutes like water, beer, coffee, juices etc are
available to the end consumers but this countered by concentrate providers by huge advertising,
brand equity, and making their product easily available for consumers, which most substitutes
cannot match. Also soft drink companies diversify business by offering substitutes themselves to
shield themselves from competition.
Intensity of rivalry:
The Concentrate Producer industry can be classified as a Duopoly with Pepsi and Coke as the
firms competing. The market share of the rest of the competition is too small to cause any
upheaval of pricing or industry structure. Pepsi and Coke mainly over the years competed on
differentiation and advertising rather than on pricing except for a period in the 1990s. This
prevented a huge dent in profits. Pricing wars are however a feature in their international
expansion strategies.
Over time, other beverages, from bottled water to teas, becamemore popular,
especially after 1980s
Question 1: Analyze the CSD industry for its key economic dominant features,
industry driving forces and critical success factors required for concentrate suppliers
and bottlers.
Answer 1:
Market Size
Product differentiation
Capacity utilization
Capital requirement
Industry profitability
P roduct innovation
Technological change
Marketing innovation
Technology related
Manufacturing
Distribution
Marketing
Skills
Organization capabilities
Question 2: Analyze the CSD industry attractiveness for concentrate suppliers and
independent bottlers
Coke initiated and Pepsi followed the forward integration, consolidating bottlers and
stated distribution
Driving Forces:
Changes in the long term industry growth rate : growing at only 3% and
per capita consumption was 46 gallons per year in 2009 in USA which is
lower than 1989
Changes in the cost and efficiency : switching from sugar to fructose corn
syrup in concentrate
business risk: obesity and health concern are the main risk in the
business
Distribution related : Taken care by bottlers otherwise they sell directly to the
retailers warehouses bypassing bottlers
Marketing related : implement and finance the marketing programs jointly with
bottlers
For bottlers
Economic dominant features:
Market size: decreasing from 2000 in 1970 to 300 in 2009 ,100 plants
nationwide of coke and Pepsi each
Scope of competition rivalry : very high as bottlers are more and coke
and Pepsi are unique
Market growth rate and position in the business : very low and taken
over by concentrate suppliers
Driving Forces:
Product innovation : franchise agreement with both coca cola and Pepsi
allowed bottlers to handle non cola brands of other concentrate
producers
Manufacturing related
-
Distribution related
-
Other KSFs
-
Patent protection
POLITICAL
Government influence all 5 forces of porters model. There is trade, tax
policy, labor laws, amount of permitted goods and services by government.
Political Condition in international market change in government .There is
inability to penetrate market due to conflict, war .Government charge fines
for different rules & regulations . Laws & regulation keeps on changing .There
is land acquisition and permits and import export regulations.
standards Cost incurred- raw material, wages Fuel Prices- Distribution network
Fluctuation in market, money supply, business cycle Different Strategy forunderdeveloped, developing, rural-urban ex. Net operating profit for coca cola
outside US stands 72%. Companies uses 64 various types of currencies
1. 16. ECONOMIC Growth rate, interest rates, employment rates, currency exchange rates,
inflation rate Purchasing power of customers Revenue Accounting standards Cost
incurred- raw material, wages Fuel Prices- Distribution network Fluctuation in market,
money supply, business cycle Different Strategy for- underdeveloped, developing, ruralurban ex. Net operating profit for coca cola outside US stands 72%. Companies uses 64
various types of currencies
2. 17. SOCIAL Lifestyle changes- its base in advertising campaign Company has to adjust
with changing society Adopting management strategies to adopt the social trends
Important to know culture before entering the market Consumer & Gov. are increasing
awareness of public health consequences, mainly obesity Diversity management Age
distribution of country Main consumer- young & children Old celebrates with alcohol Age
37-55 years- concerns nutrition Time saving product for many homes Ex. Coca cola
donates 1% of profits to charity in spain & creates friendly company range Coca cola has
been awarded Social & Corporate governance award for best practices in corporate social
responsibility in 2009
3. 18. TECHNOLOGICAL Production & Distribution cost control and up gradation Availability
whenever and wherever with affordable price. (ex. vending machine) Labeling & Packaging
( recyclable bottles, cans, plastic bottles) Marketing & promotion programs (internet, TV.)
New machineries for higher production with minimum costs, top quality Newer & attractive
Designs Social networking sites Supply chain management & improve efficiency ex.
Sodastream international limited- do-it yourself, beverage carboration system
4. 19. LEGAL Change in laws and regulations may results in change in costs & capital
expenditure Company must ready to future changes in laws and ready to adopt
Discrimination laws, customer laws, employment laws, antiturst laws, health & safety laws
Advertising and labeling laws Environmental protection act ex. Federal food, drug and
cosmetic act, trade commission act, occupation safety, health act Sales, distribution,
production all come under different acts in different countries.
5. 20. ENVIRONMENTAL Pollution & global warming issues Sales variation with Weather
conditions & seasons Local, national, world environmental laws Waste management
Recycling- renewable plastics ex. Coca cola developed innovative energy managing system
that delivers energy savings of up to 35%
6. 21. Porters Five Forces Model Barriers to Entry - High Competitive Rivalry Bargaining power
of buyers - Low Threat of substitutes Bargaining power of Suppliers - Low
7. 22. Intensity of competitive rivalry Duopoly with Coke and Pepsi Unequal size competitors
Growth rate of the soft drinks market Fixed storage cost Differentiation
8. 23. Bargaining power of buyers Different buyers Fast food fountains high Vending
machines low Convenience stores low Supermarkets and food stores medium End
customers low switching cost, not an essential product
9. 24. Bargaining power of suppliers Few inputs like phosphoric/citric acid, natural flavors,
caffeine, sweetener, etc which are basic commodities Easily accessible to manufacturers,
thus switching cost is low
10. 25. Barriers to entry Advertising and marketing Customer loyalty/brand image Significant
margins to retailers Huge investments in bottling
11. 26. Threat of substitutes Many substitutes: tea, coffee, juices, water, beer, etc and switching
cost is low Massive advertising and brand loyalty Large distribution network making
products easily accessible to customers
12. 27. S.W.O.T Analysis - Strengths Opportunities Weakness Threats
13. 28. S.W.O.T - Strengths First mover advantage. Dominator of fountain market with 65 % of
market Share More loyal customer base. Large market share of 44.1%. International
Brand recognition. Huge distribution network. Strategic move during world wars. Efficient
diverse global operations Guerrilla Marketing strategies. More focus on young generation.
International Brand recognition. Huge distribution network. Innovative advertising
strategies. More flexible franchise network.
14. 29. S.W.O.T - Weaknesses Moving away from core competencies. Brand Failures
Product Recalls Smaller market than Coke. Slower take off in international markets.
Imitation of Coca-Cola.
15. 30. S.W.O.T - opportunities Entry into new developing international markets. Introduction
of newer brands. Innovative advertising strategies. Introduction of Pepsi Health Drink.
Entry new developing international markets. Introduction of newer brands.
16. 31. S.W.O.T - Threats Fear of losing market share due to rapid market fluctuations.
Barriers of entry in international markets. Decreasing brand loyalty among consumers.
New age beverages. Fierce competitors in local markets; Private labels at low prices.
17. 32. VS The Battle For India
18. 33. Introduction Both Coke and Pepsi departed India prior to 1987, Coke in 1977 and Pepsi
in 1961, and were to return in 1993 and 1989 respectively. Indian Soft Drink Industry
Estimated US$380 million annual sales volume. 75% market share is with Parle group.
Tea was a popular substitute to Cola. Parles Thums Up held 36% in Cola segment Soft
drinks were sold at variety of retail channels.
19. 34. Entrance of Pepsi First Entry Proposal 1985 35% equity by Pepsi Other
stakeholders PCI ,Duncans, PAIC Import of Pepsi concentrate to be sold to local bottlers
and marketed throughout the country. Denial of proposal and raised opposition Second
Entry Proposal 1986 39.9% equity by Pepsi Other stakeholders Voltas and PAIC
Local manufacturing of soft drinks. Export import ratio 5:1 In 1994, pepsi had 32%
market share in Indian market.
20. 35. Entrance of Coke Entry in 1993 via agreement with Parle Exports and purchase of
Parles local brands. Construction of concentrate plant and bottling operations. 60%
market share from Parles brands and used Parles bottlers as franchise. Broke-even in one
year and then targeted national distribution.
21. 36. Porters Six Forces Model Barriers to Entry - High Competitive Rivalry Bargaining power
of buyers - Low Threat of substitutes Bargaining power of Suppliers - Low Government
22. 37. SWOT(PEPSI) STRENGTHS International Brand and Global Experience Benefitted
by learning from Coca Cola mistakes in India from 1958 to 1977 Good Market Research
on Indian market Willingness to comply with stringent Indian Laws WEAKNESS Lack of
Experience in Indian market OPPURTUNITIES Early entry (1980) facilitated no
competition from any major International Brand India huge size market with availability of
raw materials locally (vegetables) In 1988, local brands forced to withdraw from market
due to carcinogenic ingredient (BVO) THREATS Unfriendly political environment and
Indian legal framework. Competition from local manufacturers Low demand in Indian
market for carbonated drinks Heterogeneous nature of Indian market Poor infrastructure
especially in rural India
23. 38. SWOT(COCA-COLA) STRENGTHS Well established Global Brand Prior knowledge
of Indian market (1958-1977) Tie up with local players (Britannia Ltd) Strong Fiscals to
acquire local business (bottling plants/local brands) WEAKNESS Improper appreciation of
existing Indian Laws at entry time OPPORTUNITIES Liberalization of Indian economy after
1991 Availability of better infrastructure Local bottling plants were available for sale
Better acquisition opportunities (purchase of brands such as Thums Up, Limca, Citra, Gold
Spot & Maza from Parle) Scope for marketing diversified products (fruit drinks, soda and
packaged water) THREATS Strong Competition from Pepsi and other local brands due to
late entry (1993) Stricter legal framework (40% equity to Indian Investors) Decreasing
popularity of carbonated drinks in India Threats of disclosure of concentrate formula
MERCHANDISE 7X to local partner.