Unit 6: Applications of Probability

Unit EQs: How can I use a Venn Diagram to organize various sets of data? How are everyday decisions
affected by an understanding of conditional probability? What connections does conditional probability have
to independence?
Standards:
Students will take their previously acquired knowledge of probability for simple and compound events and
expand that to include conditional probability and independence.
Students will be exposed to elementary set theory and notation.
Students will use their knowledge of conditional probability and independence to make determinations on
whether or not certain variables are independent.
Lesson 1: Compound Probability
Lesson 2:Conditional Probability Lesson 3: Independent Events
(Standards: CP.1, CP.7)

(Standards: CP.3, CP.4, CP.6)

(Standards: CP.2, CP.5)

Lesson EQ:

Lesson EQ:

Lesson EQ:

How can I communicate mathematically

using set notation?
In what ways can a Venn Diagram
represent complex situations?
How can I use a Venn Diagram to organize
various sets of data?

How can two-way frequency tables be

useful?
How are everyday decisions affected by
an understanding of conditional
probability?
What options are available to me when I
need to calculate conditional probabilities?

What makes two random variables

independent?
How do I determine whether or not
variables are independent?

Vocabulary:

Vocabulary:

Vocabulary:

Experimental Probability,
Theoretical Probability, Outcome,
Event, Set Notation, Sample Space,
Subset, Elements, Venn Diagram,
Intersection, Union, Addition Rule,

Conditional Probability, Two-Way

Frequency Table

Independent Event, Dependent

Event

Complement of an Event ( A or
A

6.
1.
1

Unit 7: Applications of Probability

Unit EQs: ?
Standards:

Students will take their previously acquired knowledge of probability for simple and compound
events and expand that to include conditional probability and independence.
Students will be exposed to elementary set theory and notation.
Students will use their knowledge of conditional probability and independence to make
determinations on whether or not certain variables are independent.
Lesson 1: Compound Probability
Lesson 2:
( days)
Lesson 3:
( days)
(Standards: CP.1, CP.7) (3 days)
Conditional Probability
Independent Events
(Standards: S.CP.3, S.CP.4, S.CP.6)

(Standards: S.CP.2, S.CP.5)

Lesson EQ:

Lesson EQ:

Lesson EQ:

Vocabulary:

Vocabulary:

Vocabulary:

7.
1.
1

Unit 6
Applications of Probability
Understand independence and conditional probability and use them to
interpret data
MCC9-12.S.CP.1 Describe events as subsets of a sample space (the set of outcomes)
using characteristics (or categories) of the outcomes, or as unions, intersections, or
complements of other events (or, and, not).
MCC9-12.S.CP.2 Understand that two events A and B are independent if the probability
of A and B occurring together is the product of their probabilities, and use this
characterization to determine if they are independent.
MCC9-12.S.CP.3 Understand the conditional probability of A given B as P(A and B)/P(B),
and interpret independence of A and B as saying that the conditional probability of A
given B is the same as the probability of A, and the conditional probability of B given A is
the same as the probability of B.
MCC9-12.S.CP.4 Construct and interpret two-way frequency tables of data when two
categories are associated with each object being classified. Use the two-way table as a
sample space to decide if events are independent and to approximate conditional
probabilities.
MCC9-12.S.CP.5 Recognize and explain the concepts of conditional probability and
independence in everyday language and everyday situations.
Use the rules of probability to compute probabilities of compound events in a
uniform probability model
MCC9-12.S.CP.6 Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of Bs
outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model.
MCC9-12.S.CP.7 Apply the Addition Rule, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) P(A and B), and
interpret the answer in terms of the model.
Investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability
models.
MCC7.SP.5 Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0
and 1
that expresses the likelihood of the event occurring. Larger numbers indicate greater
likelihood. A probability near 0 indicates an unlikely event, a probability around 1/2
indicates an event that is neither unlikely nor likely, and a probability near 1 indicates a
likely event.

MCC7.SP.8a Understand that, just as with simple events, the probability of a compound
event is the fraction of outcomes in the sample space for which the compound event
occurs.
MCC7.SP.8b Represent sample spaces for compound events using methods such as
organized lists, tables and tree diagrams. For an event described in everyday language
(e.g., rolling double sixes), identify the outcomes in the sample space which compose
the event.