Do Now: Read the introduction below.

Annotate the text as you read! Fill in any

blanks and give your best answers to the
questions along the way!

Statistics

4/6

Agenda
Do Now 20 min
Finish Notes / Practice from last class 20 min
Notes and Practice 50 min

Based on a recent census, it was found that 75% of TMA students did not travel outside of DC
over spring break. You randomly select 30 students for a sample survey.

A)What is the probability that at least 60% of the students in your sample did
not travel outside of DC over spring break?

Based on a recent census, it was found that 75% of TMA students did not travel outside of DC
over spring break. You randomly select 30 students for a sample survey.

B) What is the cutoff for the highest 25% of sample proportions of TMA students
who did not travel outside of DC over spring break?

Example: We take a random sample of 30 TMA

students and construct a confidence interval for the
proportion of TMA students who like corn on the cob.
As a result, we are 95% confident that the true
proportion of TMA students who like corn on the cob
is between .83 and .89 (or 83% and 89%).

Constructing a Confidence Interval

1.Identify the population of interest and define the
parameter of interest being estimated.
2.Identify the appropriate confidence level and find the
critical value.
3.Verify any conditions (assumptions) that need to be met for
that confidence interval.
4.Calculate the confidence interval.
5.Interpret the interval in the context of the situation.

Requirements for using the formula calculating

the Confidence Interval for Proportions
1. The sample data is collected using a simple random sample.
2. The conditions for a binomial distribution are satisfied
3. There are at least 5 failures and 5 successes

Example 1: Suppose a market research firm is hired to estimate the percent of adults living in a
large city who have cell phones. Five hundred randomly selected adult residents in this city are
surveyed to determine whether they have cell phones. Of the 500 people surveyed, 421
responded yes. Using a 95% confidence level, compute a confidence interval for the true
proportion of adult residents of this city who have cell phones.
A) What is the population parameter of interest?
A) Calculate the confidence interval.

A) Interpret the confidence interval in the context of the situation.

Practice 1: The manager of the Chipotle in Eastern Market wishes to know if burritos orders are being completed within 2
minutes of the customers initial order. A random sample of 75 burrito orders found that 60 were completed within 2 minutes of
the customers order. Find the 95% confidence interval for the true proportion of burrito orders that are completed within 2
minutes.
A) What is the population parameter of interest?

B) Calculate the confidence interval.

C) Interpret the confidence interval in the context of the situation.

5%

5%

2.5%

2.5%

0.5%

0.5%

We can assume that the sample data was collected using a simple random sample.
The conditions for a binomial distribution are satisfied
(2 possible outcomes for each trial independent trial; set number of trials)

With a sample size of1000, there were at least 5 failures and 5 successes

A. What is the population parameter of interest?

B. Identify the appropriate confidence level and find the corresponding critical value.

C. Verify any conditions that need to be met for the confidence interval.

D. Calculate the confidence interval.

E. Interpret the confidence interval in the context of the situation.