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Tahun

Penjualan (juta Rp)


Setengah Total
Setengah Rata-Rata
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
1991
13
1992
14
1993
18
1994
17
1994.5
17.25
1995
16
1996
18
1997
20
1998
22
1999
21
2000
22
2001
24
2002
23
2002.5
27.75
2003
29
2004
31
2005
35
2006
37

week

demand 3-week
1
650
2
678
3
720
4
785
5
859
6
920
7
850
8
758
9
892
10
920
11
789
12
844

6-week
Err:512
Err:512
682.6667
727.6667
788
854.6667
876.3333
842.6667
833.3333
856.6667
867
851

Err:512
Err:512
Err:512
Err:512
Err:512
768.6667
802
815.3333
844
866.5
854.8333
842.1667

Moving Average
Forecast
Actual

Moving Average
Forecast
Actual

week

demand
1
650
2
678
3
720
4
785
5
859
6
920
7
850
8
758
9
892
10
920
11
789
12
844
20 1027.0338

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.651747
R Square 0.424774
Adjusted R 0.367252
Standard Er72.23999
Observatio
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

1
10
11

Coefficients
Intercept 698.7121
X Variable 16.41608

series 1
f(x) = 16.4160839161x + 698.7121212121
R = 0.4247742291
series 1
Linear (series 1)

SS
MS
F
Significance F
38536.76 38536.76 7.384478 0.021655
52186.16 5218.616
90722.92
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
44.46064 15.7153 2.23E-008 599.6476 797.7766 599.6476 797.7766
6.041011 2.71744 0.021655 2.955872 29.8763 2.955872 29.8763

series 1
Linear (series 1)

Item
Roti tawar
Telur (1 kg)
Susu (lt)
Apel merah (500 mg)
Orange juice (355 ml)
Kopi (400 gr)

1995
2005
Harga ($) Kuantitas Harga ($) Kuantitas
0.77
50
1.98
55
1.85
26
2.98
20
0.88
102
1.98
130
1.46
30
1.75
40
1.58
40
1.7
41
4.4
12
4.75
12

p0q0
38.5
48.1
89.76
43.8
63.2
52.8
336.16

Hitunglah indeks harga Laspeyres, Paasche, Fisher, Drobisch, dan Marshal-Edgeworth deng

165.3796

109.9863

ptqo
99
77.48
201.96
52.5
68
57
555.94

p0qt
42.35
37
114.4
58.4
64.78
52.8
369.73

ptqt
pt (q0 + qt) p0 (q0 + qt)
108.9
207.9
80.85
59.6
137.08
85.1
257.4
459.36
204.16
70
122.5
102.2
69.7
137.7
127.98
57
114
105.6
622.6
1178.54
705.89

n Marshal-Edgeworth dengan tahun dasar 1995

166.8796
166.8864

166.958

168.3932

111.9905

JENIS TANAMAN
Padi
Jagung
Ketela Pohon
Kacang Tanah

2000
3155
983
7500
7270

2001
3282
942
7400
7180

TAHUN
2002
3466
961
7500
7400

2003
3527
992
7600
7550

2004
3541
1044
7100
7980

Susunlah indeks berantai untuk masing-masing komoditas!

Padi
3155
3282
3466
3527
3541

Jagung
Ketela Pohon
100
983
100
7500
104.0254
942 95.82909
7400
105.6063
961 102.017
7500
101.76
992 103.2258
7600
100.3969
1044 105.2419
7100

Kacang Tanah
7270
7180
7400
7550
7980

3155
3282
3466
3527
3541