Intersep

699.09692982
Tahun

2007

2008

2009

Bulan

Harga Saham
1
850.600
2
798.000
3
890.000
4
875.000
5
780.000
6
890.000
7
890.000
8
875.000
9
780.000
10
775.000
11
850.000
12
994.000
13
890.000
14
875.000
15
780.000
16
890.000
17
875.000
18
780.000
19
890.000
20
875.000
21
780.000
22
890.000
23
857.000
24
780.000
25
735.000
26
730.000
27
770.000

Slope
3.0440925122
Trend MA 12 Bulan Siklus (MA/T) Musiman (A/MA)
702.141
705.185
708.229
711.273
714.317
717.361
720.406
853.967
1.185
1.235
723.450
857.250
1.185
1.209
726.494
863.667
1.189
1.074
729.538
854.500
1.171
1.062
732.582
855.750
1.168
1.160
735.626
863.667
1.174
1.351
738.670
854.500
1.157
1.205
741.714
854.500
1.152
1.180
744.758
854.500
1.147
1.047
747.802
854.500
1.143
1.190
750.847
864.083
1.151
1.165
753.891
864.667
1.147
1.035
756.935
846.833
1.119
1.176
759.979
833.917
1.097
1.151
763.023
821.833
1.077
1.022
766.067
821.000
1.072
1.162
769.111
811.000
1.054
1.114
772.155
801.417
1.038
1.010
775.199
796.417
1.027
0.948
778.243
786.417
1.011
0.938
781.287
779.167
0.997
0.986

Bulan
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Perhitungan Indeks S
Bulan
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

2009

2010

2011

28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59

770.000
760.000
720.000
770.000
788.000
800.000
780.000
780.000
800.000
760.000
760.000
750.000
740.000
760.000
730.000
670.000
720.000
660.000
740.000
660.000
650.000
620.000
650.000
890.000
770.000
780.000
760.000
740.000
678.000
820.000
810.000
790.000

784.332
787.376
790.420
793.464
796.508
799.552
802.596
805.640
808.684
811.728
814.772
817.817
820.861
823.905
826.949
829.993
833.037
836.081
839.125
842.169
845.213
848.257
851.302
854.346
857.390
860.434
863.478
866.522
869.566
872.610
875.654
878.698

780.833
771.667
765.250
766.917
769.000
771.500
769.833
767.333
767.333
768.167
759.833
754.167
742.500
739.167
729.167
716.667
705.000
695.833
707.500
710.000
711.667
714.167
720.000
716.500
729.833
735.667
746.500
775.167
791.833
801.417
790.583
789.417

0.996
0.980
0.968
0.967
0.965
0.965
0.959
0.952
0.949
0.946
0.933
0.922
0.905
0.897
0.882
0.863
0.846
0.832
0.843
0.843
0.842
0.842
0.846
0.839
0.851
0.855
0.865
0.895
0.911
0.918
0.903
0.898

0.982
0.965
0.911
0.970
0.989
1.001
0.972
0.968
0.989
0.936
0.933
0.917
0.901
0.922
0.883
0.807
0.864
0.789
0.882
0.784
0.769
0.731
0.764
1.042
0.898
0.907
0.880
0.854
0.780
0.940
0.925
0.899

11
12
Rata-rata

Bulan
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

2012

2013

2014

60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91

994.000
820.000
765.000
760.000
756.000
738.000
770.000
750.000
740.000
710.000
660.000
745.000
670.000
820.000
765.000
760.000
756.000
738.000
770.000
750.000
740.000
710.000
660.000
745.000
670.000
820.000
765.000
760.000
756.000
738.000
770.000
750.000

881.742
884.787
887.831
890.875
893.919
896.963
900.007
903.051
906.095
909.139
912.183
915.227
918.272
921.316
924.360
927.404
930.448
933.492
936.536
939.580
942.624
945.668
948.713
951.757
954.801
957.845
960.889
963.933
966.977
970.021
973.065
976.109

785.917
786.750
787.583
792.750
783.583
771.083
767.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
740.333
1333.667
1333.667
1333.667

0.891
0.889
0.887
0.890
0.877
0.860
0.853
0.820
0.817
0.814
0.812
0.809
0.806
0.804
0.801
0.798
0.796
0.793
0.791
0.788
0.785
0.783
0.780
0.778
0.775
0.773
0.770
0.768
0.766
1.375
1.371
1.366

1.127
0.927
0.862
0.853
0.846
0.823
0.856
0.831
0.817
0.781
0.724
0.814
0.730
0.890
0.828
0.819
0.813
0.791
0.822
0.798
0.785
0.751
0.696
0.783
0.702
0.856
0.796
0.788
0.782
0.761
0.791
0.768

2014
92
93
94
95
96

740.000
710.000
7780.000
745.000
670.000

979.153
982.198
985.242
988.286
991.330

Indeks Musiman
2007

1.235
1.209
1.074
1.062
1.160
1.351

erhitungan Indeks Siklus

2007

1.185
1.185
1.189
1.171

2008
1.205
1.180
1.047
1.190
1.165
1.035
1.176
1.151
1.022
1.162
1.114
1.010

2009
0.948
0.938
0.986
0.982
0.965
0.911
0.970
0.989
1.001
0.972
0.968
0.989

2010
0.936
0.933
0.917
0.901
0.922
0.883
0.807
0.864
0.789
0.882
0.784
0.769

2011
0.731
0.764
1.042
0.898
0.907
0.880
0.854
0.780
0.940
0.925
0.899
1.127

2012
0.927
0.862
0.853
0.846
0.823
0.856
0.831
0.817
0.781
0.724
0.814
0.730

2013
2014 Rata-RataIndeks Musiman
0.890
0.856
0.911
0.8228687726
0.828
0.796
0.871
0.7865508885
0.819
0.788
0.923
0.8336361844
0.813
0.782
0.888
0.8016000692
0.791
0.761
0.882
0.7958262793
0.822
0.791
0.870
0.7857178639
0.798
0.768
0.906
0.8179661683
0.785
0.921
0.8317871535
0.751
0.907
0.8184560012
0.696
0.913
0.8241832999
0.783
0.916
0.8268204904
0.702
0.925
0.8351627376
Jumlah Rata-rata
10.8336
Faktor Penyesuaian
0.9028

2008
1.157
1.152
1.147
1.143
1.151
1.147
1.119
1.097
1.077
1.072

2009
1.027
1.011
0.997
0.996
0.980
0.968
0.967
0.965
0.965
0.959

2010
0.946
0.933
0.922
0.905
0.897
0.882
0.863
0.846
0.832
0.843

2011
0.842
0.846
0.839
0.851
0.855
0.865
0.895
0.911
0.918
0.903

2012
0.889
0.887
0.890
0.877
0.860
0.853
0.820
0.817
0.814
0.812

2013
0.804
0.801
0.798
0.796
0.793
0.791
0.788
0.785
0.783
0.780

2014 Rendah
0.904
0.902
0.903
0.897
0.897
0.891
0.908
0.889
0.923
0.885
0.927
0.881
0.961
0.882
0.865
0.863
0.859

Tinggi
1.157
1.152
1.147
1.143
1.151
1.147
1.152
1.141
1.133
1.121

1.168
1.174
1.179
Tinggi

1.054
1.038
1.116
Tinggi

0.952
0.843
0.898
0.809
0.778
0.949
0.842
0.891
0.806
0.775
0.976
0.878
0.876
0.844
0.789
0.913
Rendah
Rendah
Rendah
Rendah
Rendah
Rendah

Hasil Perkiraan Tahun Berikutnya

Slope = 0
Trend
Rendah
Tinggi
Rendah
Tinggi
518.897
665.472
710.949
911.774
493.027
633.490
677.652
870.714
519.010
668.668
715.625
921.977
497.937
640.354
688.736
885.725
492.145
640.266
682.868
888.391
483.809
630.006
673.408
876.898
504.499
658.804
704.404
919.850
502.977
663.560
704.469
929.381
493.537
648.249
693.395
910.758
495.187
646.190
697.871
910.679
494.869
642.360
699.577
908.079
497.891
645.735
706.017
915.662

0.856
0.853

1.111
1.106