6, 2013, 429467
doi:10.1093/cjip/pot006
Advance Access publication 12 April 2013
Introduction
1
2
431
While some analysts have described Chinas protest note as a provoked response to
Malaysia and Vietnams joint submission to UNCLCS, from Malaysias viewpoint, however, Chinas recent actions in the South China Sea and the nine-dotted-line map have
raised concerns about the big powers potentially offensive intentions. This viewpoint is
reflected in a paper presented by Kadir Mohamad, former secretary-general of the
Malaysian Foreign Ministry and former foreign policy advisor to the Prime Minister, at
an international workshop, in which he wrote that Chinas actions and the map have
created doubts, uncertainties and concern about Chinas actual intentions. See p. 4 of the
paper, The Way Forward: The Necessary First Steps Towards A Solution presented at
the Second MIMA South China Sea Conference, Kuala Lumpur, September 5, 2012.
433
10
11
12
13
435
14
15
16
HEDGING BEHAVIOUR
BALANCING
Strategy
(Pure form)
Risk-Contingency Options
IndirectBalancing
Returns-Maximizing Options
Dominance- EconomicDenial
Pragmatism
BindingLimitedEngagement Bandwagoning
Neutrality Point
BANDWAGONING
Strategy
(Pure form)
The Argument
The basic argument of the article is that the substance of Malaysias China
policywhich bears all the hallmarks of hedgingis a result of the net
effects of power asymmetry, geographical proximity, and the elites domestic
political authority. We contend that the Waltzian and Waltian propositions
only partially explain the phenomenon at hand because they focus primarily
on the causal effects of asymmetry and proximity, thus ignoring domestic
factors, and because they overemphasize the negative dimension of the two
variables, thus overlooking the positive, integrative, and instrumental aspects of power and geography. We hold that, although power gap and geographical factors are central to the smaller statebig power interactions,
their causal impact is not unidirectional. A rising powers growing strength
and proximity may be a source of mounting apprehension to smaller states,
but may also be a source of increasing attraction and inducement.
Ultimately, whether or not and to what extent the two variables will
prompt smaller actors to be either fearful of or attracted to a rising power
The Chinese Journal of International Politics, Vol. 6, 2013
437
Historian Wang Gungwu observes that Malaccas relationship with Ming China was a
mutually beneficial one: Malacca needed help against Siam and China needed a base for
fleets to the Indian Ocean. He adds that after 30 years of Chinese protection, Malacca
was obviously ready to look after itself and it did so with increasing confidence and success
for the remainder of the century. See Wang Gungwu, The First Three Rulers of Malacca,
Journal of the Malaysian Branch of the Royal Asiatic Society, Vol. 41, No. 1 (1968), pp. 11
22. See also Geoff Wade, Melaka in Ming Dynasty Text, in MBRAS, Southeast AsiaChina Interactions (Kuala Lumpur: The Malaysian Branch of the Royal Asiatic Society,
2007), pp. 33637.
439
18
19
20
21
Jay Taylor, China and Southeast Asia: Pekings Relations with Revolutionary Movements
(New York: Praeger, 1976); Melvin Gurtov, China and Southeast Asia: The Politics of
Survival (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1971/1975).
Speech of Tun Ismail bin Dato Abdul Rahman, Minister of Home Affairs and Acting
Minister of Foreign Affairs, to the Foreign Correspondents Association, Johore Bahru,
June 23, 1966, in R. K. Jain, ed., China and Malaysia, 19491983 (New Delhi: Radiant,
1984), p. 91.
Chin Kin Wah, The Defence of Malaysia and Singapore: The Transformation of a Security
System, 19571971 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1983).
Hari Singh, Malaysia and the Communist World, 196881, Ph.D. Dissertation, La Trobe
University, 1988, p. 68.
23
24
25
Abdullah Dahana, China dan Malaysia dalam Arena PerangDingin 194974 (China and
Malaysia during the Cold War Era, 194974) (Bangi: Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan
Malaysia, 2002), p. 123.
Chandran Jeshurun, Malaysia: Fifty Years of Diplomacy, 19572007 (Kuala Lumpur: The
Other Press, 2007), p. 27; R. K. Jain, China and Malaysia, pp. 3940.
J. Saravanamuttu, The Dilemma of Independence: Two Decades of Malaysias Foreign
Policy, 19571977 (Penang: Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, 1983), p. 27.
Hari Singh, Malaysias National Security: Rhetoric and Substance, Contemporary
Southeast Asia, Vol. 26, No. 1 (2004), pp. 125.
Saigon, which he viewed as a frontline state against communist expansionism. The next few years saw Malaya providing arms and training in counterinsurgency to South Vietnam, to display its solidarity with Saigon.22 In
March 1959, Malaya came out strongly to deplore Chinas suppression of
the Tibetan revolt. In October the same year, it co-sponsored with Ireland a
resolution tabled at the UN General Assembly, calling for respect for the
fundamental human rights of the Tibetan people and for their distinctive
cultural and religious life.23 In October 1962, when the IndiaChina border
war broke out, Malaya was forthright in criticizing Chinas action. It
launched a Save Democracy Fund to help India defend itself against
Chinese aggression.24 Domestically, the Malayan government insulated
the local Chinese community from the political and socio-cultural pulls
reverberating from the home of Chinese civilization.25 Publications from
China were banned; travel restrictions to and from the mainland were
imposed; and the Bank of China branches in Malaya were all ordered to
close.
On September 16, 1963, Malaya merged with the former British colonies
of Singapore, Sarawak, and North Borneo (now Sabah) to form a larger
Federation of Malaysia. From 1963 to 1966, Indonesia launched
Konfrontasi, a low-intensity military campaign, to crush the infant
nation. In the event, Beijing gave support to Jakarta. This deepened the
Perikatan elites fear that Maos China and Sukarnos Indonesia had
forged a pact to establish hegemony over the region, with tiny Malaysia
as the target of the two larger countries expansionism. The end of
Konfrontasi in 1966 ended the threat from Indonesia, but did not ease the
pressure of power asymmetry from China.
441
26
27
28
29
30
David Hawkins, The Defence of Malaysia and Singapore: From AMDA to ANZUK
(London: The Royal United Services Institute, 1972).
Robert J. McMahon, The Limits of Empire: The United States and Southeast Asia since
World War II (New York: Columbia University Press, 1999), p. 157.
Chin Kin Wah, The Defence of Malaysia and Singapore, pp. 14478.
Muthiah Alagappa, Malaysia: From the Commonwealth Umbrella to Self-reliance, in
Chin Kin Wah, ed., Defence Spending in Southeast Asia (Singapore: ISEAS, 1987), pp.
16593; Lau Teik Soon, ASEAN and the Future of Regionalism, in Lau Teik Soon, ed.,
New Directions in the International Relations of Southeast Asia: The Great Powers and
South East Asia (Singapore: Singapore University Press, 1973), pp. 16585.
Noordin Sopiee, The Neutralisation of South-East Asia, in Hedley Bull, ed., Asia and
the Western Pacific: Towards a New International Order (Sydney: Nelson, 1975), p. 136.
In July 1967, the British government announced that it would withdraw its
forces east of Suez, particularly from their bases in Malaysia and Singapore,
by the mid-1970s.26 In January 1968, due to mounting financial pressures,
the Wilson government announced its decision to accelerate the timetable
for withdrawal to March 1971. In July 1969, during a trip to Guam,
President Richard Nixon stated that although the United States would
continue to honour all its treaty commitments, in cases other than those
whose survival we consider vital to our security, the United States shall
look to the nation directly threatened to assume the primary responsibility
of providing the manpower for its defence.27 In 1971, the British began the
withdrawal of forces from its bases in Singapore and Malaysia. AMDA was
replaced by the Five Power Defence Arrangementsamong Britain,
Australia, New Zealand, Malaysia, and Singaporewhich obligated all
partner states to consult one another in the event of external aggression
against Malaysia and Singapore, but with no obligation for the partners to
act.28 At around the same time, the United States also started to reduce its
ground troops in mainland Southeast Asia as enunciated by President
Nixons Guam Doctrine in 1969.
These developments, which highlighted the risks of abandonment, were
watershed moments for Malaysias security planners. They convinced the
smaller states elite that they could no longer find security in the protective
arms of their Western allies as in the past. This realization compelled the
elite to stress self-reliance and regionalism in their security planning.29 In
adjusting to the new realities that the British lion no longer had any teeth,
the Australian umbrella was leaking, and the American eagle was winging its
way out of Asia,30 the Malaysian elite realized that they now had to cope
with their own security problems, and to reckon with their giant neighbour
largely by themselves.
These changing structural conditions thus called for major adjustments in
the smaller states external policy. They compelled the ruling Perikatan
elitenow under the leadership of Tun Abdul Razakto abandon the
countrys long-standing pro-West stance, and to replace it with a posture
of non-alignment and regional neutralization, first enunciated by Tun Dr
Ismail in 1968. This policy shift was formalized in April 1970, when Ghazali
31
32
33
34
35
Shafie, the foreign ministrys permanent secretary, called for the endorsement of the neutralization not only of the Indo-China area but of the entire
region of South East Asia, guaranteed by the three major powers, the
Peoples Republic of China, the Soviet Union and the United States, against
any form of external interference, threat or pressure.31 The Malaysian
policy elite judged that, in order to get the big powers to recognize, undertake, and guarantee Southeast Asia as an area of neutrality, the ASEAN
states should acknowledge and accommodate each of the big powers legitimate interests, while observing a policy of equidistance with all the
powers.32
The new strategic outlook necessitated a shift in Malaysias China policy,
because neutralization required formal relations between the neutralised
and the guarantor.33 Tun Ismailthe then Deputy Prime Minister of the
Razak governmentstated it plainly: We cannot ask Communist China to
guarantee the neutrality of Southeast Asia and at the same time say we do
not approve of her.34 That China had now shown a more moderate external
posture made it easier for Malaysia to explore reconciliation with the giant
neighbour.
The policy shift was driven in part by the ruling elites domestic security
concerns. The elites calculated that, given the perceived pending departure
of their Western patrons, establishing relations with Beijing was a move
necessary to reduce the threat of the MCP guerillas, who were then restricted
mainly to the MalaysiaThailand border. Zakaria Ali, who led the
Malaysian team in the normalization negotiations during the 19731974
period, recalls that normalization was necessary to sever the line of support
given by the PRC, certainly by the Chinese Communist Party, to the
MCP.35
The early 1970s thus saw a process of engagement and normalization
negotiations between Malaysia and China, which culminated in Razaks
historic visit to Beijing and the establishment of diplomatic ties on 31
May 1974, making the country the first ASEAN member to do so.
In a well-documented and well-analysed study of Malaysias normalization of relations with China, Abdul Razak Abdullah Baginda argues that
while the external changes in the late 1960s and early 1970s provided opportunities for policy rethinking, it was domestic developments that influenced
443
36
37
38
39
40
Abdul Razak Abdullah Baginda, The Normalisation of Malaysias Relations with China,
19701974, Ph.D. dissertation, Oxford University, 2009.
Scholars like Chee and Crouch see this as a watershed event in Malaysian politics, which
marked the end of the consociational model that had served as the foundation of intercommunal compromises and domestic political order in the multi-ethnic country for the
first two decades. See Stephen Chee, Consociational Political Leadership and Conflict
Regulation in Malaysia, in Stephen Chee, ed., Leadership and Security in South East Asia:
Institutional Aspects (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 1991), pp. 5386;
and Harold Crouch, Government and Society in Malaysia (Ithaca: Cornell University Press,
1996), pp. 2027.
Gordon P. Means, Malaysian Politics: The Second Generation (Singapore: Oxford
University Press, 1991), pp. 1932; James V. Jesudason, Ethnicity and the Economy: The
State, Chinese Business, and Multinationals in Malaysia (Singapore: Oxford University
Press, 1989).
Razak Baginda, Malaysian Perceptions of China, p. 235. See also Razak Baginda, The
Normalisation of Malaysias Relations with China.
J. Saravanamuttu, Malaysia-China Ties, Pre and Post 1974: An Overview, in Loh Kok
Wah, Phang Chung Nyap and J. Saravanamuttu, The Chinese Community and MalaysiaChina Ties: Elite Perspectives (Tokyo: The Institute of Developing Economies, 1981).
43
44
45
Ibid., p. 29.
Shafruddin Hashim, Malaysian Domestic Politics and Foreign Policy: The Impact of
Ethnicity, in Karl D. Jackson et al., eds, ASEAN in Regional and Global Context
(Berkeley: Institute of East Asian Studies, University of California, 1986), p. 159.
Robert O. Tilman and Jo H. Tilman, Malaysia and Singapore 1976: A Year of Challenge,
A Year of Change, Asian Survey, Vol. 17, No. 2 (1977), p. 153.
Joseph Liow, Malaysias Post-Cold War China Policy, p. 53.
Amitav Acharya, Constructing a Security Community in Southeast Asia: ASEAN and the
Problem of Regional Order (London & New York: Routledge, 2001), p. 84.
445
46
47
48
49
50
Authors interview with Dato Abdul Majid Ahmad Khan, the former Malaysian
Ambassador to China 19982005, November 4 2009, Selangor, Malaysia. Majid served
as the Political Counselor at the Malaysian Embassy in Beijing during Mahathirs historic
visit in 1985.
See James Clad, An Affair of the Head, Far Eastern Economic Review, July 4, 1985, pp.
1214.
Stephen Leong, Malaysia and the Peoples Republic of China in the 1980s: Political
Vigilance and Economic Pragmatism, Asian Survey, Vol. 27, No. 10 (1987), pp. 110926.
Ibid.
Ibid.; J. N. Mak, The Chinese Navy and the South China Sea: A Malaysian Assessment,
Pacific Review, Vol. 4, No. 2 (1991), pp. 15061.
part of the BN elite to gain economic benefits from China. This was especially so after Mahathir came to power in 1981. At the beginning of his
administration the new premier paid attention to strengthening Malaysias
economic ties with Japan under his Look East Policy, but also sought to
develop closer economic links with potential big markets such as China.
Indeed, it was during the first decade of Mahathirs tenure that economic
pragmatism was made a central theme of Malaysias China policy. This was
in part due to the premiers desire to reduce Malaysias dependency on the
West, and in part to the Malaysian elites conviction that Dengs economic
reform was likely to continue.46 Such desire was further reinforced by the
mid-1980s world economic recession, which exposed Malaysias vulnerabilities as a result of the countrys heavy dependency on the American and
European markets. It was against this backdrop that Mahathir led a big
delegation to China in late 1985. The trip was significant not only because it
was Mahathirs first visit to the giant neighbour, but also because it signalled
his decision to concentrate on economic matters as the way forward to
managing what was then considered to be the most sensitive foreign relationship for Malaysia.47 This top-down pragmatism cleared bureaucratic
hurdles and smoothed the path towards the signing of a series of important
documents aimed at facilitating bilateral trade and investment. In addition,
the two governments also agreed in 1988 to establish the Joint Committee on
Economic and Trade Cooperation. These arrangements laid the foundation
for future economic collaboration between the two countries.
Nevertheless, despite growing pragmatism in the interests of forging closer
economic ties, political vigilance remained.48 The Malaysian governments
suspicions of Chinas overseas Chinese policy were confirmed in 1984, when
it discovered that Chinese Malaysians were allowed to make clandestine
visits to China through special visas issued by the Chinese authorities in
Hong Kong, and that they were looked after and treated like returning
overseas Chinese by the Commission for Overseas Chinese Affairs in
China.49 Overlapping territorial claims in the South China Sea added to
this mistrust.50
These statements vividly portrayed a smaller states deep-seated apprehension towards a giant neighbour (and more broadly, the problems of power
asymmetry). That was November 1985. Today, 28 years later, China is much
more powerful economically and militarily. According to the Waltzian and
Waltian logics, Malaysia should have become even more fearful of the giant,
and opted to join an alliance to balance against it. Empirical records, as
noted, suggest otherwise. While there are lingering concerns among the
Malaysian armed forces about Chinas future intentions in the area, the
countrys political leadership has, by and large, held a positive perception
of the power to the north.52
In fact, as shall be discussed, the past three decades have witnessed a
turnaround in MalaysiaChina relations, from mutual suspicion to cordiality and partnership. Politically, present day bilateral ties are at their best.
Diplomatically, the two countries have developed a strategic cooperative
partnership, with institutionalized consultative mechanisms at the senior
official level. Economically, China has since 2009 become Malaysias top
trading partner and Malaysia is Chinas largest trading partner in ASEAN,
with total trade volume reaching US$100 billion in 2012. At the people-topeople level, the two countries have also seen a surge in tourism and
educational links.
51
52
Many wonder how, and in what ways, China will exercise its political and
military potency. Your neighbours, the smaller states in the region particularly,
worry how this would impinge upon their territorial integrity and sovereignty.
To be frank, some of us wonder whether China will seek to enhance its political
influence at our expense. In a comparative sense, we are defenceless and we have
no desire to seek recourse to massive defence build-ups or alliances both of
which are anathema to our way of life. If these concerns appear baseless to
you, I ask you to remember that historically small countries on the peripheries
of a big and powerful state have always had reason to be wary. In this connection, we welcome the many assurances of your leaders that China will never seek
hegemony and will never do anything to harm us. We also note your assurances
that Chinas developing military capacity is purely for its own defence. We
appreciate the enormous burden of self-restraint and responsibility that this
entails. I ask that you understand us, if despite these assurances, some concerns
linger on, for we are extremely jealous of our sovereignty and trust does not
come easily to us in view of our past experiences. Our experiences with China
have not entirely been free of problems and it would take time and mutual
efforts for us to put to rest some of the things left over from history.51
447
53
54
55
Wang Gungwu, China: 1989 in Perspective, in Ng Chee Yuen, ed., Southeast Asian
Affairs 1990 (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 1990), p. 72.
Joseph Liow, Malaysias Post-Cold War China Policy, p. 69.
Chai Ching Hau, DasarLuar Malaysia Terhadap China: Era Dr Mahathir Mohamad
(Malaysias Foreign Policy towards China: The Mahathir Mohamad Era), M.A. Thesis,
National University of Malaysia, 2000.
56
57
58
59
449
60
61
62
63
64
possible.60 Mahathirs desire to reset bilateral ties overlapped with the CCP
elites determination to improve Chinas relations with all ASEAN states in
the wake of Western sanctions after the Tiananmen incident in June 1989.
In order to counter the Wests isolation policy and ensure its continuing
access to markets and foreign investments, China embarked on a good
neighbourhood policy, aimed at engaging and stabilizing its relations with
peripheral countries, including the ASEAN states.61 Malaysia, on its part,
made concerted efforts to engage China, a convergence that gave rise to a
process of mutual engagement between them. In December 1990, Chinese
Premier Li Peng made a four-day visit to Malaysia. It was at a banquet for
his Chinese counterpart that Mahathir proposed his EAEG idea, stating
that countries in the region should further strengthen their economic and
market ties to counter the growing economic blocs in the West, and that
China ought to play an important role in the formation of such a bloc for
the promotion of fair trade in the world.62 Four months later, in April 1991,
Malaysia and China held their first bilateral consultative meeting.63 It created an institutionalized platform that allows senior officials of the two
countries foreign ministries to meet regularly for consultations on bilateral,
regional and international issues of mutual concern.64 Over the years, these
meetings have been instrumental in promoting understanding and building
confidence between the two countries, which not long ago had harboured
mutual suspicions of one another.
Bilateral interactions, importantly, helped initiate and set the stage for a
multilateral process between China and ASEAN countries. Together with its
ASEAN partners, Malaysia enthusiastically made efforts to integrate China
into ASEAN activities, to which Beijing responded positively. In July 1991,
three months after the first consultative meeting between the two countries,
Chinese Foreign Minister Qian Qichen was invited by the Malaysian
Foreign Minister Abdullah Ahmad Badawi to attend the opening session
of the 24th ASEAN Ministerial Meeting in Kuala Lumpur. Qians
65
66
67
Authors interview with Tun Abdullah Ahmad Badawi, the former Prime Minister of
Malaysia, Putrajaya, March 18, 2010.
Jusuf Wanandi, ASEANs China Strategy: Towards Deeper Engagement, Survival, Vol.
38, No. 3 (1996), pp. 11728; Yong Deng, Managing Chinas Hegemonic Ascension:
Engagement from Southeast Asia, The Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 21, No. 1
(1998), pp. 2143.
Cheng-Chwee Kuik, Multilateralism in Chinas ASEAN Policy: Its Evolution,
Characteristics, and Aspiration, Contemporary Southeast Asia, Vol. 27, No. 1 (2005),
pp. 10222.
attendance at the meeting, during which he also held informal talks with
ASEAN foreign ministers, marked the beginning of the ASEANChina dialogue process.65 In 1992, China attended the ASEAN meeting in Manila in
its capacity as the groups consultative partner. In 1993, China was invited
to the founding dinner of the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) in Singapore.
In 1994, China attended the first ARF meeting in Bangkok. It also agreed to
ASEANs suggestion to embark on an annual consultation on political and
security issues. In 1995, the first ASEANChina Senior Officials
Consultations at the vice foreign ministers level was held in Hangzhou,
China. In 1996, China became ASEANs dialogue partner.
Looking back, these interactions were crucial because they marked a process of mutual engagement between ASEAN countries and their giant neighbour via these embryonic regional multilateral forums, in spite of (and
because of) the overlapping territorial claims in the South China Sea.66
While the development of ASEANChina cooperation in the immediate
post-Cold War era was more a product of collective action than the work
of any single state, Malaysias instrumental role at the critical juncture
should not be overlooked.
Malaysias proactive diplomatic efforts are essentially the manifestation of
what can be called the binding-engagement policy. On its part, Chinas
actions in engaging Malaysia and other ASEAN states as well as in responding positively to ASEANs various regional initiativesdespite its earlier
hesitation about multilateralismhave made the transformation of
MalaysiaChina relations and development of ASEANChina cooperation
possible.67 Without Beijings positive response to invitations to take part in
various ASEAN-based activities (the ASEAN meetings from 1991 to 1992,
the ARF from 1993 to 1994, the ASEANChina Senior Officials Meeting
(SOM) from 1994 to 1995, and later the APT in 1997), it would have been
difficult for medium- and small-sized ASEAN states to engage, bind, and
integrate the giant into a web of norm-based multilateral institutions.
ASEANChina relations would consequently have developed on different
trajectories. Similarly, without Beijings firm support for Kuala Lumpurs
EAEG, APT, and EAS proposals, it would have been difficult for the policy
elite of both capitals to transform MalaysiaChina relations within a decade
from those of guarded rapprochement to cordial partnership.
451
68
69
70
71
Cheng-Chwee Kuik, Zhongguo canyu Dongmeng zhudao de diqu jizhi de liyi fenxi
(An Interest-based Analysis of Chinas Participation in the ASEAN-led Regional
Institutions), Shijie jingji yu zhengzhi [World Economics and Politics], No. 9 (2004),
pp. 539.
Joseph Liow, Malaysias Post-Cold War China Policy, p. 63.
Razak Baginda, Malaysian Perceptions of China, p. 244.
Leong Shenli, Petronas Clinches RM92bil China Deal, The Star, October 31, 2006.
Mazwin Nik Anis, Penang Bridge Loan Deal Signed, The Star, July 14, 2007.
Keynote Address by YAB Dato Seri Abdullah Haji Ahmad Badawi, Prime Minister of
Malaysia, to the ChinaMalaysia Economic Conference, Bandar Sunway, February 24,
2004.
facility China has ever offered for a single project in a foreign country);72
granting Malaysia Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor (QDII) status
in June 2010, making the country one of the approved investment destinations for Chinas portfolio funds; and supporting Najibs proposal to set up
a joint-venture Kuantan Industrial Park in the Prime Ministers home state
of Pahang.
In a 2004 speech, Prime Minister Abdullah Badawi said: Malaysias
China policy has been a triumph of good diplomacy and good sense. . . . I
believe that we blazed a trail for others to follow. Our China policy showed
that if you can look beyond your fears and inadequacies, and can think and act
from principled positions, rewards will follow [emphasis added].73
In short, the transformation of MalaysiaChina relations since 1989 has
been made possible by each of three interrelated factors: (i) the removal of
political barriers; (ii) the Malaysian elites reassessmentbased on changing
sources of domestic legitimation and consolidationof Chinas role; and
(iii) Chinas corresponding actionsdriven by the CCP elites desire to consolidate domestic power basethat have contributed to a sustained and
mutually beneficial engagement process between the two countries.
This transformation shows that the consequences of power asymmetry are
far from fixed. Rather, they are the outcome of actionsreactions among
state elites who seek to consolidate their political authority at home. The
elite of a smaller state cannot deny the reality of power asymmetry, but they
can choose how to respond to it.
453
74
The station became operational in 1969 and was shut down after 1981 at the instruction of
Deng Xiaoping. See Chin Peng, Alias Chin Peng: My Side of History (Singapore: Media
Master, 2003), pp. 45060.
giants growing capabilities. This is particularly so when the powerful neighbour has the will to flex its muscles and make its presence felt. But even
when the colossus takes a more subdued approach to regional affairs, it is
still likely to cast a shadow over its smaller neighbours, either by its actions
or by its mere existence. Consequently, a proximate power tends to be
viewed as a permanent factor that smaller states must reckon with at all
times. After all, unlike a faraway-giant whose presence may be transient, a
giant next door will always be there.
Significantly, the logic of geography is not necessarily malign. The presence of a proximate and powerful giant can also have benevolent aspects.
Indeed, the effects of a giant neighbour are rarely completely negative or
positive, but often mixed and ambivalent. A giant next door may be a source
of threat to a small state, but may also be an indispensable source of support
to the same actor, either in mitigating a certain risk or in promoting a certain
goal. This may seem obvious, but it is an issue not duly addressed by
neorealist theorists, who tend to overemphasize the negative consequences
of proximity.
The case of MalaysiaChina interactions indicates that the consequences
of proximity are far from uni-directional; rather, they are multifaceted.
To the Malaysian ruling elite, during the Cold War, when Communist
China provided support and assistance to local communist insurgents, proximity to China constituted a security threat and political subversion.
The MCPs radio station, Suara Revolusi Malaya (Voice of the Malayan
Revolution), which was broadcast to communist supporters in Malaysia and
Singapore, was based in Chinas southern province of Hunan.74 During the
post-Cold War era, the negative ramifications of proximity include territorial disputes over the South China Sea, and various forms of trans-boundary
challenges.
On the other hand, however, the story of Malaysias post-Cold War interactions with the giant shows that proximity has positively shaped the bilateral ties. Geographical closeness, for instance, has encouraged a growing
two-way flow of goods, services, capital, and people between the two countries. This has created a growing need for more bilateral cooperation.
Geographical proximity per se does not cause bilateral cooperation. It is
the growing convergence of interests and exigenciesfrom the perspective of
the ruling elitesthat has driven the two countries to seek greater collaboration. Once the elites political will is in place, proximity plays a role in
fostering, facilitating, and further enhancing bilateral cooperation in various
sectors.
75
76
455
77
78
79
Malaysian Foreign Policy in the Era of Globalisation, Keynote Address by YAB Dato
Seri Abdullah Haji Ahmad Badawi, Prime Minister of Malaysia, to the Conference of the
Malaysian Heads of Missions, Putrajaya, July 5, 2004.
Dato Seri Dr. Mahathir bin Mohamad, Malaysia and China in the 21st Century:
Prosperity through Cooperation, Speech at the International Trade and Investment
Conference, Kuala Lumpur, January 23, 1995, http://www.pmo.gov.my/ucapan/?mp&
pmahathir&id1189.
Authors interview with Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad, the former Prime Minister of
Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, April 29, 2010.
80
81
Kian-Teng Kwek and Siew-Yean Tham, Trade between Malaysia and China:
Opportunities and Challenges for Growth, in Emile Kok-Kheng Yeoh and Evelyn
Devadason, eds, Emerging Trading Nation in An Integrating World: Global Impacts and
Domestic Challenges of Chinas Economic Reform (Kuala Lumpur: Institute of China
Studies, University of Malaya, 2007), pp. 12337.
Simrit Kaur, Najib Following in Dads Footsteps, The Star, May 31, 2009.
Malaysias pragmatic China policy is, first and foremost, driven by the
ruling elites desire to maximize commercial benefits from Chinas huge,
proximate, and growing economy. Such economic pragmatism is well illustrated by its successive leaders high-level visits to China that have always
been accompanied by large business delegations, resulting in many jointventure projects. Mahathir made seven such trips during his tenure, whereas
Abdullah made two (May 2004 and October 2006). The current Prime
Minister, Najib, has thus far made two visits, the first to Beijing in June
2009, the other in April 2012 while attending the eighth ChinaASEAN
Expo in Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region.
That this economic pragmatism has persisted and indeed flourished under
different leaderships reflects a sustained political will on the part of the
ruling elite to prioritize mutually beneficial economic ties over other
issues. The fact that the two countries economic structure is by and large
more complementary than competitive has further contributed to the momentum of such policy.
During the Mahathir years, MalaysiaChina trade climbed from US$307
million in 1982 to US$1.4 billion in 1992 and to US$14 billion in 2002.
During this period, the increase in the volume of bilateral trade was accompanied by a shift in trade patterns, with the scope of traded products expanding from traditional primary commodities (mainly rubber and palm oil)
to a wide range of manufactured goods like machinery, transport equipment, and electronic products.80 Intra-industry trade has become a feature
of bilateral economic ties. In 2002 and 2003, Malaysia overtook Singapore
for the first time as Chinas largest trading partner in the ASEAN region.
This trend has resumed since 2008.
In the post-Mahathir era, Malaysias trade with China grew at a rate
faster than that with the United States and Japan, the countrys two traditional key trading partners. Under Abdullah, bilateral trade doubled from
US$20 billion in 2003 to US$39 billion in 2008.81 Under Najib, Malaysias
economic ties with China have grown even faster and broader, in part due to
the ASEANChina Free Trade Agreement that took effect on January 1,
2010. Since 2009, China has become Malaysias largest trading partner,
457
82
83
84
85
overtaking Singapore, Japan, and the United States. In 2011, bilateral trade
reached a new high of US$90 billion wherein Malaysia enjoyed a US$30
billion surplus. The same year, China displaced Singapore as Malaysias
biggest export market. Palm oil was one of the key commodities exported
to China; other goods included information technology products such as
chips.82
Table 1 shows MalaysiaChina bilateral trade during the period 2001
2010. Tables 2 and 3, respectively, show Malaysias top five export destinations and top five import destinations for the period 20052010. This data
as a whole indicate not only the rapid growth of bilateral trade but also
Chinas growing economic importance to Malaysia.
To be sure, Chinas economic rise has brought both opportunities and
challenges to Malaysia (and for that matter, other regional countries with
similar resource endowments). The challenges take the two forms of competition in export markets for manufactured goods and diversion of foreign
direct investment to China.83 Malaysia has responded to them with efforts to
move up the technological ladder, promoting the service sector as the new
engines of growth, strengthening trade arrangements with selected countries,
and attracting capital inflows from China.84
Accordingly, post-Mahathir MalaysiaChina economic ties have been
characterized by the Malaysian governments intensified efforts to enhance
bilateral investment and financial cooperation.85 Under Abdullah, a bilateral currency swap arrangement was established, and more governmentlinked companies were encouraged to carve out a presence in China.
Under Najib, a number of initiatives have been taken to boost bilateral
investment and financial flows. In November 2009, Bank Negara
Malaysia (the countrys central bank) and the China Banking Regulatory
Commission (CBRC) signed an MOU to forge deeper cooperation between
the two regulatory authorities on banking supervision. In June 2010, the
CBRC granted Malaysia China Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor
Export
Import
(Unit: RM million)
Total Trade
Volume
Balance of
Payment
14 682.9
14 472.7
29 155.6
210.2
20 008.0
23 329.1
43 337.1
3321.1
2003
25 791.3
27 630.4
53 421.7
1839.1
2004
2005
32 286.0
35 153.1
39 273.7
49 879.9
71 559.7
85 033.0
6987.7
14 726.8
2006
42 620.0
58 259.6
100 879.6
15 639.6
2007
53 037.9
64 712.7
117 750.6
11 674.8
2008
63 435.0
66 853.7
130 288.7
3418.7
2009
67 358.5
61 025.7
138 384.2
6332.8
2010
80 595.1
66 432.9
147 028.0
14 162.2
Sources: Yearbook of Statistics Malaysia, various years from 2005 to 2010 (Department of Statistics, Malaysia).
(QDII) status, which was expected to increase the inflow of Chinese investments into Malaysia. In April 2011, the two countries inked an agreement to
set up a Bank Negara Malaysia representative office in Beijing to facilitate
trade in local currencies.86 In February 2012, Bank Negara Malaysia and the
Peoples Bank of China renewed their bilateral currency swap deal for
RM90 billion.87
Najib has, perhaps more than other prime ministers before him, endeavoured to leverage Malaysias geographical proximity and multi-ethnic demographic structure to boost bilateral economic ties with China. Speaking at
the Second World Chinese Economic Forum in Kuala Lumpur in
November 2010, the leader said:
The rise of China over the last two decades has brought overwhelmingly positive
developments to the Southeast Asian region, and Malaysia has done well in
tapping investments and technological transfers from China. With the global
financial crisis hitting the most exposed economies, China remains largely unaffected by the crisis, with well-grounded economic policies, strong fundamentals and significant domestic capacity. Chinas strength and future prospects
bode well for countries with large Chinese populations from the Chinese
diasporas.88
86
87
88
Farrah Naz Karim, Bank Negara in Beijing, New Straits Times, April 29, 2011, p. 1.
Chow How Ban, Fostering Closer Ties with China, The Star, April 28, 2012, http://thes
tar.com.my/columnists/story.asp?file/2012/4/28/columnists/madeinchina/11191625&
secmadeinchina
Dato Sri Najib Tun Abdul Razak, Prime Minister of Malaysia, Welcoming Address at the
Second World Chinese Economic Forum, November 2 2010, Kuala Lumpur, http://
1malaysia.com.my/zh/speeches/world-chinese-economic-forum/
2001
2002
(Unit: RM million)
Singapore
Japan
China
Hong Kong
105 238.1
83 595.8
50 509.5
35 153.1
31 221.3
2006
United States
Singapore
Japan
Hong Kong
China
2007
110 134.7
United States
90 198.9
Singapore
52 475.5
Japan
49 201.8
China
42 620.0
Thailand
94 485.4
87 884.0
55 648.2
53 037.9
29 576.5
Singapore
United States
Japan
China
Thailand
97 018.6
82 700.2
70 687.9
63 435.0
31 625.2
Singapore
China
United States
Japan
Thailand
77 009.1
67 358.5
60 811.2
53 345.5
29 808.2
Singapore
China
Japan
United States
Thailand
85 430.0
80 595.1
66 284.5
60 958.4
34 188.9
2009
2010
Total
Export
536 233.7
589 240.3
604 299.6
663 013.5
552 518.1
639 428.1
Sources: Yearbook of Statistics Malaysia, various years from 2005 to 2010 (Department of Statistics,
Malaysia). Bold values highlight values related to China.
Japan
United States
Singapore
China
Taiwan
62 733.5
55 869.1
50 586.2
49 879.9
23 958.0
2006
Japan
63 512.8
United States
60 068.1
China
58 259.6
Singapore
55 844.0
Thailand
26 269.4
2007
Japan
China
Singapore
United States
Taiwan
64 799.1
64 712.7
57 559.5
54 157.7
28 706.4
China
Japan
United States
Singapore
Thailand
88 853.7
64 877.8
59 135.0
57 138.9
29 152.2
China
Japan
Singapore
United States
Thailand
61 025.7
54 316.4
49 359.1
48 833.5
26 298.7
Japan
66 545.6
China
66 432.9
Singapore
60 443.0
United States
56 305.3
Thailand
32 977.6
2005
2008
2009
2010
(Unit: RM million)
5
Total
Import
432 870.8
478 147.9
502 044.6
519 804.3
434 669.8
529 194.6
Sources: Yearbook of Statistics Malaysia, various years from 2005 to 2010 (Department of Statistics,
Malaysia). Bold values highlight values related to China.
Najibs intent to translate the countrys proximity (to China) and its multiethnic demographic structure into an economic asset is well illustrated by the
twin industrial parks designed to boost bilateral economic cooperation. In
April 2012, merely a year after the idea was first mooted during Premier
The Chinese Journal of International Politics, Vol. 6, 2013
United States
2008
459
89
90
91
92
The QIP project is the third industrial park jointly developed by China with a foreign
country after the ChinaSingapore Suzhou Industrial Park and the ChinaSingapore
Tianjin Eco-City. See Qinzhou Industrial Park in Nanning Heralds Closer Ties between
China and Malaysia, New Straits Times, April 6, 2012, p. 12.
PM Proposes Sister Industrial Park in Malaysia, Bernama, April 1, 2012, http://www.
pmo.gov.my/?menunewslist&news_id9516&news_cat13&cl1&page1731&sort_
year2012&sort_month
MalaysiaChina Business Council, Council Update: Tan Sri Ong Ka Ting Expects
MCKIP to be Launched End of the Year, October 12, 2012, http://www.mcbc.com.
my/council-update/1873?langen.
Upon its full completion by 2020, MCKIP is expected to attract nearly RM7 billion investments and create 5500 new jobs for the local populace in Pahang, the prime ministers
home state. East Coast Economic Region Development Council (ECERDC), Media
Releases: MCKIP Expected to Attract RM7 Billion Investments, Generate 5,500 New
Jobs by 2020, September 20, 2012, http://www.ecerdc.com.my/ecerdc/mediareleases_
200912.htm
461
Malaysia, China Seek Stronger Ties in Higher Education, Tourism, Bernama, April 28,
2011.
Recognition for 146 Institutions from China, New Straits Times, March 14, 2012, p. 2.
generate lucrative commercial gains from its giant neighbour. Najib noted
on April 28, 2011 at a joint media conference with visiting Chinese Premier
Wen, after witnessing the inking of several agreements on higher education,
banking, energy, and infrastructure, that tourist arrivals from China had
rapidly increased, 1.1 million having visited Malaysia in 2010. He described
this trend as a promising development for the country.93 One of the documents signed that day was a mutual recognition agreement on higher education designed to boost student exchanges between the two nations. As of
March 14, 2012, a total of 146 higher learning institutions in China had been
accredited and recognized by the Malaysian Ministry of Higher Education,
while a list of 54 public and private higher learning institutions in Malaysia
had been submitted to the Chinese education authorities for accreditation.94
Robust and fruitful two-way economic links between Malaysia and China,
therefore, are the result of various factors, inter alia: cordial political relations, geographical proximity, complementary economic structure, and
socio-cultural linkages. Increasingly robust commercial links have constituted, justified, and consolidated the Malaysian elites long-held policy of
economic pragmatism. These economic benefits are particularly crucial to
the present government, which seeks to promote the Economic
Transformation Programme in efforts to shore up its performance legitimacy before the upcoming 13th general elections.
Malaysia to maintain its non-aligned posture and sustain its own independence
in the international arena.95
95
96
97
98
Authors personal communication with a former senior official who headed the Malaysian
Foreign Service, February 16, 2010.
Chen Weihua, Malaysian PM Able to Work with assertive China, China Daily,
September 29, 2010, http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/usa/2010-09/29/content_11364039.htm
Ibid.
I Am Still Here: Asiaweeks Complete Interview with Mahathir Mohamad, Asiaweek,
May 9, 1997.
This pragmatic and long-term view has profound bearing on the smaller
states policy choice. It has, for instance, led successive Malaysian leaders to
prefer diplomatic engagement and consultationrather than antagonism
and confrontationin their dealings with China in general, and with respect
to the Spratlys issue in particular.
Malaysia does not seem to have changed this policy preference, even
though Chinas increasingly assertive actions in the South China Sea over
the past few years have pushed the Philippines and Vietnamthe other
ASEAN claimant states in the disputed areato gradually embrace a military approach by moving closer to the United States. Malaysias views and
reactions, in comparison, are much more sanguine. In September 2010,
Prime Minister Najib said in New York: Malaysia does not see China as
indulging in power projection but wants to engage with major powers to
achieve a balance in the region.96 He added that although China has
become more assertive than ever before, we believe China would not want
to destabilize the region, and that there are mechanisms for us to undertake
conflict resolutions with China because Chinese people tend to be quite
pragmatic people. We believe we can work and consult with the Chinese.97
The geographical factorthat Malaysias claimed territory in the disputed
area is relatively distant from Chinacertainly plays a part in accounting
for Malaysias more relaxed posture. But there are structural and domestic
factors that explain why Malaysia, a long-time US security partner that has
generally welcomed Obamas pivot to Asia policy, has stopped short of
embracing US military power as leverage to counter-balance China, in the
way Manila and Hanoi have chosen to do in recent years. These factors will
be elaborated shortly. Here, suffice it to say that Malaysias more ambivalent policya tendency to hedge, but one limited by a prudent reluctance to
unnecessarily antagonize the giant neighbouris informed by its leaders
belief that the notion of a China threat is nothing more than a self-fulfilling-prophecy. As Mahathir categorically stressed in 1997, Why should we
fear China? If you identify a country as your future enemy, it becomes your
present enemybecause then they will identify you as an enemy and there
will be tension.98
463
This belief seems to have evolved into a deliberate policy of not viewing
China as a threat. As stated by a Malaysian veteran diplomat in February
2010:
The question of whether China is in fact a threat to the region, including
Malaysia, or is not a threat is a complex and debatable issue. But this point
must not be confused with Malaysias conscious and deliberate policy of
not viewing China as a threat. The transformation of the Malaysian attitude
towards China is very much the product of applying and putting into practice
one of the fundamental principles of Malaysian foreign policy, that is pragmatism [emphasis in original].99
99
Authors personal communication with a former senior official who headed the Malaysian
Foreign Service, February 16, 2010.
102
Lee Kam Hing and Tan Chee-Beng, eds., The Chinese in Malaysia (Shah Alam: Oxford
University Press, 2000).
An online survey conducted by Sin Chew Daily (formerly Sin Chew Jit Poh), the largest
Chinese-language newspaper in Malaysia, indicates that an overwhelming majority of
respondents (i.e. 92% or 8244 votes) oppose the loan of pandas, and only 8% (752
votes) are supportive of it. See Sin Chew Daily, June 18, 2012.
Mohd Najib Tun Abdul Razak, Deputy Prime Minister of Malaysia, Strategic Outlook
for East Asia: A Malaysian Perspective, Keynote Address to the Malaysia and East Asia
International Conference, Kuala Lumpur, March 9, 2006.
465
103
104
adopt countering and contradictory measures aimed at reducing the longerterm risks of putting itself at the mercy of other states. Malaysia, like other
rational actors, wants to keep its options open and preserve its autonomy for
as long as the structural conditions allow.103
These measures are implemented through the smaller states long-standing
practices of dominance denial (a political hedge whereby the state attempts
to use diplomatic and other non-military means to cultivate a balance of
political power in regional affairs, so that no single power can dominate or
impose its will over the others in the long run) and indirect balancing
(a military hedge whereby the state attempts to pursue a limited form of
alignment and armament to develop a fallback position without directly
targeting any specific actor).
Malaysias dominance denial can be observed from its leaders preference
for a stable distribution of power in the Asia-Pacific. In September 2010,
while speaking at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, Prime
Minister Najib said that ASEAN wants to engage with China as much as it
wants to engage with the United States, and that ASEAN states do not see
the region as exclusive to one power. There must be a nice equilibrium, so
the region will be a region of peace and stability.104
The countrys indirect balancing act is most evident in its successive leaders decisions in maintaining Malaysias traditional military ties with the
Western powers, especially the United States. In 2005, Malaysia under
Abdullah decided to renew the Acquisition and Cross-Servicing
Agreement with America (first signed in 1994 under Mahathir), which
enabled the two armed forces to share logistics and supplies for the next
10 years. In 2011, Malaysia under Najib decided to upgrade its status in the
US-led Cobra Gold military exercises from observer to participant. These
consistent decisions suggest that, although Malaysia is currently not confronted with any immediate threat, its leaders remain mindful of the contingent need to maintain the countrys military links with the United States
as a fallback measure to hedge against the uncertain strategic environment.
Such a hedging posture is reflected in Malaysias handling of the South
China Sea imbroglio. While the smaller state has made clear that it prefers to
manage the issue through diplomatic rather than military means, it has at
the same time attempted to hedge this position by quietly supporting a US
military presence in the region, and by emphasizing that territorial and jurisdictional disputes should be resolved peacefully through mechanisms
under international law. In April 2012, Najib and other ASEAN leaders
agreed that a framework on the Code of Conduct for the South China
Sea should first be discussed and finalized among ASEAN countries
105
Hamidah Atan, Resolve Disputes Peacefully, New Straits Times, April 5, 2012, p. 4.
before being presented to China for discussion.105 Three months later in July
2012, Malaysia and several other ASEAN members took the position of
including a reference in the draft joint statement to recent developments
in Scarborough Shoal.
These moves, however, do not signify that Malaysia is adopting a different approach to the South China Sea disputes. It is true that Malaysia,
like other ASEAN states, is increasingly concerned about rising tensions in
the South China Sea, especially since the strong protest that China issued
against the Joint Submission by Malaysia and Vietnam in May 2009 to the
UNCLCS. Nevertheless, this has not led the Malaysian political elite to
view China as a threat to Malaysia, mainly because Chinas actions thus
far have not directly undermined Malaysias physical interests in the
Spratlys. Unless China does threaten Malaysias security and interests in
the area, the Malaysian government is expected to adhere to its longstanding policy of not allowing the Spratlys issue to affect overall development of MalaysiaChina ties, and to continue emphasizing the use of
diplomatic means to manage the issue.
There are both domestic and structural reasons why Malaysian elites have
opted for diplomacy and persistently rejected a pure military approach to
handling the South China Sea issue. Malaysias relatively limited military
capability means that to counter China militarily it would have to align with
an external power strong enough to confront the giant. The United States is
the only candidate on the horizon. But joining a US-led alliance is not an
option that the Malaysian elite would consider, as it is bound to engender
other risks. Structurally, putting all eggs in the US basket would expose
Malaysia to the multiple risks of entrapment (being entrapped into great
power conflicts), abandonment (being abandoned by ones security
patron), and antagonism (unnecessarily antagonizing a proximate and
rising power).
Domestically, the option of joining the US camp would erode the very
bases of the UMNO-led coalition governments domestic legitimation,
because it would invite fierce domestic opposition, especially from the
Malay-Muslim majority, many of whom have been critical of US policy
on the IsraeliPalestinian conflict. Reliance on a foreign power is also
likely to erode Malaysias sacrosanct independence and sovereigntyan
important base of UMNOs domestic moral authority.
Domestic political considerations aside, such a military approach is strategically unjustified, for China is merely a security concern and notat least
not yetan immediate threat that must be managed by military means.
Moreover, the approach is strategically counter-productive, as it could
galvanize a potential problem into an actual threat. The approach is also
economically unwise, because a military confrontation would result in the
467
Conclusion
The preceding analysis has demonstrated that power asymmetry and geographical proximity have no inherent logic of their own. Contrary to neorealist deterministic view of the effects of power and proximity (that growing
capability and geographical closeness of a rising power tend to induce fear
and apprehension among smaller states), the case of Malaysias China policy
suggests that the effects of the two variables are at best mixed, i.e. they have
both positive and negative impact on a smaller states perception and policy
vis-a`-vis a giant neighbour. Our discussion in tracing the transformation of
Malaysias China policyfrom hostility during the Cold War to cordial
partnership in the post-Cold War eraindicates that their net effects have
been filtered through the imperative of the elites domestic legitimation.
Specifically, it is the ruling elites efforts to capitalize on the big powers
risefor the ultimate purpose of enhancing their own political authority at
homethat have driven the smaller state to reject both pure balancing and
pure bandwagoning, and instead adopt a hedging approach that is characterized by a desire to prioritize near-term economic and diplomatic benefits
over potential security concerns, as well as a determination to keep all options open. Future works on Malaysias foreign policyand more broadly,
smaller states alignment choicesmay focus on how this hedging proclivity
would affect the smaller states evolving policy towards the other great
powers, neighbouring countries, and regional multilateral institutions in
the face of enduring uncertainty.
loss of the vast commercial benefits that can be tapped from China. This is
not merely an economic issue, but a critical political concern, given the
growing salience of economic performance as a key source of domestic
legitimation for the ruling elite.
These bases of domestic legitimation have thus compelled Abdullah and
Najib to continue the major thrusts of their predecessors China policy,
largely by prioritizing practical economic and diplomatic gains over potential security concerns. Given that a stronger bilateral relationship with China
has helped to enhance the Malaysian ruling elites capacity to strengthen
both their economic foundations and political base over the past few decades, and given that China has remained more a potential than an imminent
security concern, the current policy of pragmatically engaging China while
keeping some fallback options on the table are deemed strategically sufficient, politically acceptable, and economically rewarding. It is precisely such
a goal prioritization and ends-means calculationon the grounds of the
elites domestic legitimationthat has contributed to the continuity of the
hedging approach in Malaysias China policy. Such an approach is likely to
continue for years to come.