INDONESIA EQUITY

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Tasrul
+62 (21) 2598 6888
DAILY TECHNICAL – November 2,2010
tasrul@id.oskgroup.com

Market Overview
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG),3,645.15, Naik Terbatas

IHSG hari ini diperkirakan cenderung naik terbatas dengan perkiraan support
terdekat di level Q (3,615.68) dan resistance di level R3 (3,663.56).

Daily risk saat ini sekitar level 60.12% dengan indikator MFI Optimized masih
cenderung naik namun sudah mulai terbatas .

Dan jika hari ini IHSG mampu bertahan minimal di level R2 (3,643.60) maka
diperkirakan kenaikkan akan berlanjut dengan mencoba kembali test resistance
kuat di sekitar sekitar level S4 (3,673.69).

Tabel 1. Risk & Reward, Support & Resistance

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Chart 1. IHSG MFI Optimized & VWAP Analysis

Beberapa saham pilihan hari ini antara lain :

Tabel 2. Stocks Pick

1. Astra Agro Lestari (AALI), Rp,25,050, Acc.Buy

indikator MFI Optimized semakin turun terbatas dan diperkirakan dalam waktu
dekat akan bottom reversal.

Support saat ini sekitar level S3 (24,950) dan resistance sementara di R2

(25,950) dengan daily risk saat ini sekitar level 17.02 %.

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Chart 2. AALI MFI Optimized & VWAP Analysis

2. Bank Danamon (BDMN), Rp,6,700, Acc.Buy

Diperkirakan harga saham akan menguji support terdekat di S2 (6,650) dan

resistance di R2 (7,050).

Indikator MFI Optimized saat ini akan test support trendline dengan daily risk
saat ini sekitar level 31.62 %

Chart 3. BDMN MFI Optimized & VWAP Analysis

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3. Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG), Rp,45,550, Acc. Buy

Harga saham ini diperkirakan akan naik kembali dengan menguji level resistance
sekitar R2 (46,500) dan support di R2 (45,150).

Indikator MFI Optimized terlihat bottom reversal dengan daily risk saat ini sekitar
level 39.39 %

Chart 4. ITMG MFI Optimized & VWAP Analysis

4. Jasa Marga (JSMR), Rp,3,600, Acc.Buy

Tanda bottom reversal terlihat semakin dekat dimana diperkirakan indikator MFI
Optimized berbalik arah di support trendline.

Diperkirakan resistance terdekat di sekitar level R2 (3,800) dan support di sekitar

level S2 (3,500) dengan daily risk saat ini sekitar level 29.62 %.

Chart 5. JSMR MFI Optimized & VWAP Analysis

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 5. Sampoerna Agro (SGRO), Rp,3,025, Acc.Buy

Diperkirakan koreksi saham ini mulai tertahan dengan berhasilnya harga saham
ini tutup positif pada perdagangan kemarin.

Meskipun indikaor MFI Optimized masih cenderung turun namun sudah relatif
terbatas dengan daily risk saat ini sekitar level 40.41 %.

Diperkirakan support sekitar level S3 (2,975) dan resistance terdekat di level R2

(3,100) sebelum menguji level resistance kuat di R4 (3,125).

Chart 5. SGRO MFI Optimized & VWAP Analysis

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OSK Research Guide to Investment Ratings

Buy: Share price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months
Trading Buy: Share price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain
Neutral: Share price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months
Take Profit: Target price has been attained. Look to accumulate at lower levels
Sell: Share price may fall by more than 10% over the next 12 months
Not Rated: Stock is not within regular research coverage

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