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Ateneo Social Scienes Research Center
Av-ngo de Naga University
Naga City, Philippines
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Press Releosn 200701 (May 11, 2002)" atenea Socal Science Research Center, Ateneo te Naga Unversity, !log0 City, (O81) 4723178
If Jesse Robroda backs out or is disqualified
57% of household heads will vote for Leny Robredo
Fifty-seven percent (57%) of hevieehold heads vil vota for Ma. Leutior “Leny" Robredo in the evenl that Jesse Rehreds hacks
ut or is disqualified from the Naga City mayoraty race in the May 14, 2007 Elections, This Is one of the findings of the Ateneo Social
Scienge Research Center (ASSRC) survey conducted in Nage City on Apri 25 ta May 1, 2007
Conducted two weeks befora the elections and one woek betore the announcement of Jesse Rohrede’s disqualification, the
Survey shows him with shy-eight percent (66%) vote share of havsaholt Neads. Jojo Vilafuarte follows wit Seventoes percant (4758)
share, Leny Aebredo with three percent (3%), and Salam Emtia Dein with 0.8% Hf Jesse Robreva backs out or ls elsquaiifed, sighty
percent (8046) of those that chone him ag mayor whl vote for Leny Rairedo, Those wha wil transfer thelr votes to Leny Fabredo frerh
Jesse Rabredo tomprise 64% of the total raspandents covered by the survey. making fOr 57% when acted ta Leny's own 258 share
Some eleven percent (11%) were undecided, abstained, ot refused
tio pareant (72%) have already made up their minds
to answer Of those whe signified their choices, seventy
Survey backsround
Using strated random sampling method, the survey covered 410 randomly selected households in the 27 baangave of
Naga. thas a 54.9 percont margin of error an # 95% confidence lave!
The questions on choice of candidates were “rider questions’ to the 2007 Naga City Socio Eeonoimie Baseline Suvey, 2
esearch project tnat seeks to update the socio-economic profile of Naga City and establish a Saveline for the measurament of the
Lined Nations Milennium Development Goals Thus, the respondents were household hoads wnly, and not randomly coloctod
Yvoting-ene household membars (as 1 wes in previous ASSAC survei)
‘4s with previous ASSHC election surveys, tha election sunvey questions were not commissioned by shy party or inhvdual
‘The results are reteasad to the public as part of the ASSRC’s puble service, in pursult of the Ateneo de Naga University's commitment
to octively participate in the economic, social anc poitical ila of the commrunty and to fosiar the free exsirassion of belles ore
envletions in pursuit of uth, faith and Justa
Race to the Sangguniang Pantungsod
In the view-nayoralty contest, incumbent Vico Mayor Gabriel Bordada, J, (719) leads At: dvan Luis Carpio (1884) ‘Soma
tmineen percent (73%) ware Undidcided, abstained er refused te answer Of those who slanifed the!
have already made up ther minds,
In the race ar seats in the Sangguniang Paniunesod: John Bongat (80%) lands his nine ather partymates into the Magic 12 of
‘aly counciors. He is folawed by Esteban Abonal, Jr (65%) Lourdes Axende 163%), Bernadette Poco (63%) William
{82%}, Selvarior de! Cestito (82%), Maria Blzabeth Lavadia (50%), “nse Tunson (46%), Nelson Legacon (ce), and
(26%)
Remon Perea i¢ at 11" plasd, wth a bvanty-tive percent (25%) vote share of houssolé Nada
‘Congrassionsl contest
nthe contest for the conaression'a! seat in tho second istrict of Camarines Sur, incumbent Cangressman Lule Vatu
(28461 holds an edge over Sulpicia Roco, vt (37%) among household has in Naga City Some Atteen percent (1$96) were Un
abstained or rafusen te answer Of tose who signed th three percent (729) have already made up tele elo
GIF FG, Dolan, S.J, Hal, Ateneo de Naga Unversity Bagumtayan Sus, Naga City 4400 Philopines
DitectlinerTelefex, (084) ¢7Z-2178 + Trunkline (054) 472-2368 loca: 2560
mail ssre@si.adny et