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DAFTAR ISI

LEMBAR PENGESAHAN...............................................................................

i

ABSTRAK......................................................................................................... ii
KATA PENGANTAR....................................................................................... iv
DAFTAR ISI..................................................................................................... vi
DAFTAR GAMBAR......................................................................................... ix
DAFTAR TABEL.............................................................................................

x

DAFTAR LAMPIRAN..................................................................................... xiii
Bab 1 Pendahuluan..........................................................................................

1

1.1.Latar Belakang Masalah.............................................................................

1

1.2.Identifikasi Masalah...................................................................................

3

1.3.Tujuan Penelitian........................................................................................

3

1.4.Pembatasan Masalah..................................................................................

4

1.5.Asumsi........................................................................................................

4

1.6.Sistematika Penulisan.................................................................................

5

Bab 2 Tinjauan Pustaka.................................................................................. 7
2.1. Manajemen Permintaan..............................................................................

7

2.2. Peramalan (Forecasting)............................................................................ 11
2.2.1. Definisi Peramalan........................................................................... 11
2.2.2. Peranan dan Kegunaan Peramalan.................................................... 13
2.2.3. Jenis-jenis Peramalan........................................................................ 14
2.2.4. Karakteristik Peramalan Yang Baik................................................. 16
2.2.5. Jenis-jenis Plot Data.......................................................................... 17
2.2.6. Teknik Peramalan............................................................................. 19
2.2.7. Ukuran Statistik Standar................................................................... 23
2.2.8. Tracking Signal................................................................................. 25
2.3. Perencanaan Produksi................................................................................. 25
2.3.1. Definisi Perencanaan Produksi......................................................... 26
2.3.2. Metode-metode Perencanaan Agregat.............................................. 29
2.3.2.1. Perencanaan Produksi Dengan Metode Heuristik............... 30
2.3.2.2. Perencanaan Produksi dengan Metoda Matematis.............. 31

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1......................................................6................ Struktur Organisasi PT. Proses Produksi......... 44 2.........1....2......................5........................................ 69 4................... 43 2......2......................................................Pengumpulan Data..........................................1...68 4..........3..............4.....2.......................................2.......... Rencana Produksi Agregat............................... 40 2.......2.......................3.... 37 2.........1.5............................6................... 51 3... Konsep Dasar Tentang Aktivitas Jadwal Induk Produksi.............1........2................................... Ongkos-ongkos Yang Dikeluarkan.................................................................2....... 40 2........... 52 Bab 4 Pengumpulan Dan Pengolahan Data... Pemilihan Item-item MPS.............................1.......... Tugas dan Tanggung Jawab Penyusun Jadwal Induk Produksi....................... 55 4...............4........1...........5......... Deskripsi Pekerjaan Pipa AQ00B003G01 dan AU14B415H02................ Langkah-langkah Penelitian... Kayo Surya Utama... 46 Bab 3 Metodologi Penelitian..... Rought Cut Capacity Planning (RCCP)............ Flowchart Penelitian...... Uraian Jabatan...... Beberapa Pertimbangan Dalam Desain MPS.........................2.......5.................................................... 69 4.....2.........1..............1. Peramalan (Forecasting).................................... Proses Disagregasi.............................................. Jumlah Pekerja Dan Hari Kerja Dalam Pembuatan Pipa AQ00B003G01 dan AU14B415H02........................ 33 2............ Operation Process Chart AQ00B003G01 dan AU14B415H02....................... 51 3................................................................ Data Umum Perusahaan..1... Data Produksi.................... 74 vii .....2..........................2.............. 69 4................1.......................1..........1....................1..... Teknik Penyusunan MPS.......... 55 4...........2.................2................ 56 4........................5 Master Production Schedule (MPS)............ 32 2. 67 4..................... Jumlah Permintaan Pipa AQ00B003G01 dan AU14B415H02........1. .......................2..........5...1................................................................2.1..........................................................................5..................... Pendekatan “Britan and Hax”..... 66 4....1.............. 55 4.......4...................................... 61 4........... 61 4....2.........1................................ 55 4.......... Pengolahan Data........... 64 4........4........5..................................................... 37 2.1......

......................................83 4............................................................. ........................... 102 viii .................. Saran.........................2..........................................1................................................................. Jadwal Induk Produksi (MPS).......2..............................2................. 102 6.... 97 5............2................ Strategi 3 (Tenaga Kerja Berubah Sesuai Dengan Demand) Dengan Jumlah Tenaga Kerja Pembulatan Ke Atas....................................2...........................5...........2.................. Strategi 4 (Tenaga Kerja Berubah Sesuai Dengan Demand) Dengan Jumlah Tenaga Kerja Pembulatan Ke Bawah....................................................................................... 102 6........ ............ ................... Kesimpulan...................4....................................... 101 Bab 6 Kesimpulan dan Saran... 91 4............ 96 5.2............................... ................... ....... Analisis Rencana Produksi Agregat (RPA).4..................................................96 5............ Analisis Disagregasi................................. RCCP (Rought Cut Capacity Planning)....2........................................................................................................................3.............. Analisis Jadwal Induk Produksi (MPS)............77 4..................................81 4.............. 96 5......................................... 100 5................................................ 100 5.............. Strategi 1 (Tenaga Kerja Tetap) Dengan Jumlah Tenaga Kerja Pembulatan Ke Atas.... Analisa Agregat................................................. Metode Transportasi............................2......................2.........3..................................79 4................2...................................................6......2........75 4................................... 93 Bab 5 Analisis.......................................2.................................................. Strategi 2 (Tenaga Kerja Berubah Sesuai Dengan Demand) Dengan Jumlah Tenaga Kerja Pembulatan Ke Atas........... Disagregasi........................ Analisis Peramalan Permintaan Produk Pipa Capilary Jenis AQ00B003G01 dan AU14B415H02.................................1............................. 85 4............2..2......................................3..................5.................................................................1.....................2............................ .............................................5......................................... Analisis Rought Cut Capacity Planning...................4.......................................................4.........

DAFTAR PUSTAKA LAMPIRAN ix .