Annual

ISSN 0149-144X

RELIABILITY and MAINTAINABILITY

Symposium

2002 PROCEEDINGS

The International Symposium on Product Quality & Integrity

Seattle! Washington USA

2002 January 28 - 31

Annual RELIABILITY and IvlAINTAINABILLITY Symposium

2002 PROCEEDINGS

To cite the Proceedings as a reference: Proc. Ann. Reliability &Maintainability Symp., 2002.

The Symposium does not copyright this Proceed2ng.s itself but uses one of its cosponsors (IEEE)
to perform this service and associated administration.
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11

2002 PROCEEDINGS Annual RELIABILITY and MAINTAINABILITYSymposium

Tutorial Sessions
Improving Products and Processes Through Education
The Tutorial Notes for these sessions are included as a separate publication in the registration package
The Tutorial Notes can also be purchased separately.
See the Publications Price List on the back cover.

Introductory Material
...............John D. Healy
I A. INTRODUCTION TO RELIABILITY
IC. INTEGRATED RELIABILITY & MAINTAINABILITY
PROGRAM-PLANNING.. ........................................ Scott A. Fratianne and Dan C. Burrows
2A. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF RELIABILITY, MAINTAINABILITY, AND
Caroline Smith
SUPPORTABILITY DATA . . . . . . . . . . . .e . .
2C. ASSEMBLING SYSTEMSNETWORK RELIABILITY ..................................... Jason W. Rupe
3A. PRACTICAL RELIABILITY ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT
Ralph A. Evans
4B. FAULT TREE ANALYSIS IN PRODUCT RELIABILITY
........................... Milena Krasich and Julio C Gallardo
IMPROVEMENT
7A. INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT ........................ Michael V. Franks

Intermediate Material
2B. HUMAN RELIABILITY ANALYSIS. ....................................................... Joseph R. Fragola
2D. UNDERSTANDING ELECTRONIC PARTS FAILURE MECHANISMS ..............John W. Knepley
4A. TNTRODUCTION TO REPAIRABLE-SYSTEMS
MODELING.. .................................................... .C. Richard Cassady and Edward A. Pohl
8 8 . RELIABILITY & AVAILABILITY MODELING USING THE
SHARPE SOFTWARE PACKAGE.. ............................ Kishor S. Trivedi and Christophe Hire1
I OB. FAULT TREE ANALYSIS OF COMPUTER BASED SYSTEMS.. . . . . . . . . . . . . ..Joanne Bechta Dugan
l3A. INTRODUCTION TO SOFTWARE RELIABILITY RISK
MANAGEMENT.. ................................................................ .Norman F. Schneidewind

Special Topics
1B. WARRANTY AND RELIABILITY .............................. Wallace R. Blischke and D. N. P. Murthy
1 D. APPLYING PROBABILISTIC METHODS TO DESIGN AND
Ronald H. Salzman. Michael H. Packard and James A. McLinn
RELIABILITY MODELING
3 C . DYNAMIC ROBUST DESIGN ............................................................... Madhav S. Phadke
Alec A. Feinberg
SC. THERMODYNAMIC RELIABILITY ENGINEERING..
illiam A. Mercier
6D. IMPLEMENTING RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINT
........................ .Meng-Lai Yin
7D. HOW TO JUSTIFY YOUR MODELING RE
SA. UNDERSTANDING ACCELERATED LIFE. Pantelis Vassiliou and Adamantios Mettas
ANALYSIS... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
ONTE CARLO METHOD.. . . . . . . . Arie Dubi
9C. MODELING OF REALISTIC
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . John Bowles
12A FUZZY LOGIC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
,

2 0 0 2 PROCEEDINGS Ai7nuol RELIABILITY and MAINTAINABILITY .';vriiposuiii

Table of Contents
. .

Past Symposia .......................................................................................................................... inside cover

Management Committee, Board of Directors, Advisory Board ................................................................. iii
Past Symposia & General Chairs
.........................................................................................................
iv

The P. K. McElroy Award

The P. K. McElroy Award for the 2001 Best Paper ...............................

.v

Tutorial Sessions ....................................................................................................................................... x

FOREWORD
RELIABILITY AND SOCIAL POLICY ................................................................................................
William A. J. Golomski

xix

Session 4C - LIFE CYCLE COST AND COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS

Moderator: Sandra Leiker - U.S. Air Force

A STUDY OF ON-LINE MAINTENANCE PRACTICES AT US NUCLEAR PLANTS ...................

James Chow Lin
RISK-INFORMED RELIABILITY-FOCUSED DECISION ANALYSIS SUPPORT
FOR EFFECTIVE FACILITY-CHANGE MANAGEMENT ......................................................... 6
James Keith Liming and Brian Keith Olson
OPTIMIZING INTERVALS FOR INSPECTION & FAILURE-FlNlING TASKS ................................ 14
Bonnie S. Hauge
PRlORITIZING THE PURCHASE OF SPARE PARTS USING AN APPROXIMATE
REASONING MODEL ............................................................................................................... 20
Stephen W. Eisenhawer, Terry F. Bott, and Joseph W. Jackson
AVAILABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE (ACM), AN INTEGRATED APPROACH
.26
Daniele Saccardi, and Giuseppe Fabio Ceschini
4D - STATISTICAL METHODS FOR R&M ANALYSIS
Moderator: C. Richard Cassady - University of Arkansas
A PATH-BASED ALGORITHM TO EVALUATE ASYMPOTIC UNAVAILABILITY
FOR LARGE MARKOV MODELS ............................................................................................
Yannick Lefebvre and Marc Bouissou
A SIMPLE GRAPHICAL APPROACH FOR COMPARING RELIABILITY TRENDS .........................
OF DIFFERENT UNITS IN A FLEET.
Loon Ching Tang and Min Xie
FAILURE-DATA ANALYSIS BY MlXTURE OF 3 WEIBULL DISTRIBUTIONS ..............................
Tieling Zhang and Yukun Ren
SAMPLE SIZES FOR SYSTEM AVAILABILITY ...................................................
...................
Vijendra P. Singh and Swami Sankaran
COMPREHENSIVE REVIEW OF ESTIMATING SYSTEM-RELIABILITY CONFIDENCE
LlMlTS FROM COMPONENT TEST DATA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
..................................................
Xijin Tian
21111? PROCEEDINGS Ariricrol RELIABILITY and MAINTAINABILITY .S)mrposiuni

32

40

44
51

56

.:xi

SA - MAINTENANCE AND AVAILABILITY MODELING SPONSORED BY IIE

Moderator: John R. English - University of Arkansas
..61
SUPPLY-CHAIN RELIABILITY FOR CONTINGENCY OPERATIONS .................
Marlin U. Thomas
MAINTENANCE-COST MODELING FOR A REFRIGERATED-TRAILER FLEET ........................... 68
C. Richard Cassady, Darin W. Nutter, G. Don Taylor, and Chet Tuck Wong
RELIABILITY IMPROVEMENT OF AIRPORT GROUND-TRANSPORTATION VEHICLES
USING NEURAL NETWORKS TO ANTICIPATE SYSTEM FAILURE ................................... 74
Alice E. Smith, David W. Coit, and Curtis W. McCullers
INPUT DATA CHARACTERIZATION FACTORS FOR COMPLEX SYSTEMS
AFFECTING AVAILABILITY ESTIMATION ACCURACY .................................................... 80
Darren P. Durkee, Edward A. Pohl, Edward F. Mykytka
OPTIMIZING CONDITION-BASED MAINTENANCE DECISIONS
90
Andrew K.S. Jardine
SB - SAFETY & RISK MANAGEMENT ASSESSMENT
Moderator: Robert J . Loomis Jr. - United Space Alliance
NORMAL ACCIDENT-THEORY VALIDATED: INTERACTIVE COMPLEXITY
AND RESOURCE AVAILABILITY AS PREDICTORS OF RELIABILITY ............................. 98
Frederick G. Wolf
RELIABILITY & AVAILABILlTY EVALUATION FOR HIGHLY-MESHED
NETWORK-SYSTEMS ............................................................................................................ 104
Andrea Carpignano, Michelle Piccini, and Maurizio Gargiulo
GENERALIZED IMPERFECT COVERAGE PHASED-MISSION ANALYSIS .................................. 112
Joanne Bechta Dugan and Liudong Xing
HOW SAFETY-INVESTMENTS INCREASE PERFORMANCE: A PRACTICAL CASE .................. 120
Patrick M. W. Korvers, Peter J.M. Sonnemans, and Aarnout C. Brombacher
RISK ANALYSIS USING A HYBRID BAYES-APPROXIMATE REASONING METHODOLOGY. 127
.Terry F. Bott and Stephen W. Eisenhawer
6A - LESSONS LEARNED
Moderator: Heniy N. Hartt, BAE SYSTEMS
ULYSSES, SCYLLA. AND CHARYBDIS - AND THE STORY OF RELIABILITY ...........................
Giorgio Turconi
BEYOND ROOT-CAUSE ANALYSIS .................................................................................................
Per M. Johansson, Ida C. Gremyr, Anders P. Fundin, and Bo L.S. Bergman
RlSK ASSESSMENT IN RAILROAD SIGNALLING: EXPERIENCE GAINED
AND LESSONS-LEARNED .....................................................................................................
Jens Braband
A METHOD FOR ACHIEVING AN ENHANCED MISSION CAPABILITY ......................................
Larry H. Crow
INTEGRATING RELIABILITY-IMPROVEMENT MODELING INTO
PRACTICE: CHALLENGES AND PITFALLS .........................................................................
Russell Hodge and John Quigley, Ian James and Jane Marshall

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2002 PROCEEDINGS ..I! m

i d

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140

147
153

158

RELIABILITY and MAINTAINABILITY .Swipo+iiiin

6B - FAULT TREES AND FMECA

Moderator: Donald C. Johnston - United Space Alliance
FMEA OF MARINE SYSTEMS: MOVING FROM PRESCRIPTIVE TO
165
RISK-BASED DESIGN & CLASSIFICATION ............................................................
John A. Farquharson. Joel L. McDufYe'ee, and A. K. Seah, Takeshi Matsumoto
THE FAILURE-ANALYSIS MATRIX: A KINDER, GENTLER ALTERNATIVE
173
FOR FMEA FOR INFORMATION SYSTEMS .............................................................
Michael C. Signor
HOW TO AVOID THE GENERATION OF LOOPS IN THE CONSTRUCTION
......................................................
............ 178
OF FAULT TREE
Micaela Demichela, Norbert0 Picci
SERVICE FAULT-TREE-ANALYSIS: ITS USE FOR IMI'ROVTNG THE EFFICIENCY
OF SERVICE PROCESSES ..........................................................................................
Aloysio Antonio Peixoto de Carvalho, Andre Macedo, and Carlos Alberto Scapin
PROBABILITY EVALUATION OF SYSTEM-FAILURE OCCURENCE BASED ON
MINIMAL CUT-SETS .........................................
............ 190
Takehisa Kohda and Koichi Inoue
7B - R&M PROGRAMS IN A COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL ENVIRONMENT
Moderator: Ralph L. Harper, Jr. - Raytheon Technical Service Company
REFRIGERATOR FAILURE EARLY PREDICTION BASED ON WARRANTY DATA ................... 195
Ke Liu
AUTOMATED REAL-TIME TESTING (ARTT) FOR EMBEDDED CONTROL SYSTEMS .............647
Jon Hawkins, Reginald B. Howard, and Haung V. Nguyen
CAN CABLE-TELEVISION AVAILABILITY REACH THAT OF THE TELCOS? THE
............ 200
ROAD TO 5 NINES ...... .....................................................
Michael G. Gonzales
RELIABILITY-ANALYSIS SYSTEM FOR RISK MANAGEMENT OF LNG RECEIVING
TERMINALS AND PIPING NETWORKS ............................................................................... 205
Daisuke Takagi, Kazuo Koyama and Kazutaka Miura, and Katsunori Kawai
INTEGRATED SYSTEM FOR RELIABILITY-MODELING OF COLD PLASTIC
............212
DEFORMATION TOOLS USED IN THE CAR INDUSTRY ...........................
Calin Florin Baban, Alexandru Viorel Pele, and Marius Baban
............ 217
RANDOM VIBRATION ANALYSIS AND PARAMETER OPTIMIZATION
Ming-Xiao Jiang
~

7C - SOFTWARE RELlABILlTY & MAINTAINABILITY ANALYSIS

Moderator: Samuel J . Keene. Jr. - Seagate Technology
............ 222
SCENARIO-BASED UNIT TESTING FOR RELIABILITY ..................
Silke Kuball , Gordon Hughes, and Julio C Gallardo, and Ian
THREE MODIFIED DEPENDENCY-TESTS FOR SOFTWARE FAILURES ....
............228
Ching-Cheng Wang and Ronald Jung-Wen Chen
............235
AN INTEGRATED MEASURE OF SOFTWARE MAlNTAINABILITY .......
Krishan K. Agganval, Yogesh Singh, and Jitender Kumar Chhab
INVESTIGATING A SPECIFIC CLASS OF SOFTWARE RELIABILITY-GROWTH MODELS ....... 242
Peter A. Keiller and Thomas A. Mazzuchi
RELIABILITY ESTIMATION OF HIERARCHICAL SOFTWARE SYSTEMS .............
Sylvain P. Leblanc and Paul A. Roman
2002 PROCEEDINGS Anriunl FELIABILIT( and MAINTAINABILITY .Symposium

,/I

...

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8C - R&M OPTIMIZATION
Moderator: C. Richard Cassady - University of Arkansas
MAINTANANCE OPTIMIZATION UNDER UNCERTAINITIES, USING
lNTERVAL-METHODS & EVOLUTIONARY STRATEGIES ............................................... ,254
Claudio M. Rocco
MODELLING OF MAINTENANCE, WITHlN DISCRETE-EVENT SIMULATION .......................... 260
Les Warrington, Jeffery A. Jones, and Neil Davis
USE OF FUNCTIONAL REPRESENTATION DIAGRAM FOR RELIABILITY IMPROVEMENT ... 266
James Chow Lin
TWO-DIMENSIONAL RELIABILITY-MODELING FROM WARRANTY DATA ............................ 272
Guangbin Yang and Ziad Zaghati
THE FAILURE OF MTTF IN AVAILABILITY EVALUATION ......................................................... 279
Hairong Sun and James J. Han
9A - DEFECT DETECTION IN SOFTWARE ENGINEERING
Moderator: Harold E. Ascher - Harold E. Ascher & Associates
MAKING THE (BUSINESS) CASE FOR SOFTWARE RELIABILITY ..............................................
David B. Nicholls and Tom McGibbon
AN APPROACH FOR UNDERSTANDING AND TESTING THIRD PARTY
SOFTWARE COMPONENTS...................................................................................................
Jennifer M. Haddox, C C Michael and Gregory M. Kapfiammer
RELIABILITY-CENTERED SOFTWARE TESTING ..........................................................................
Zigmund M. Bluvband
UTILITY OF POPULAR SOFTWARE DEFECT MODELS
............
...........
............
Patrick J. Hartman
VALIDATION OF GUIDANCE CONTROL SOFTWARE REQUIREENTS
SPECIFICATION FOR RELIABILITY AND FALILT-TOLERANCE ......................................
Frederick T. Sheldon and Hye Yeon Kim

285
293
300
306

3 12

9B - ACCELERATED LIFE TESTING

Moderator: Pantelis Vassilou - ReliaSoft Corp.
ACCELERATED TESTS TO SIMULATE METAL-MIGRATION IN HYBRID CIRCUITS ...........
Satish Bhakta, Gary Mortensen. Tim Muotka, and Scott Lundberg
RELlABILITY QUANTIFICATION OF INDUCTION MOTORS - ACCELERATED
DEGRADATION TESTING APPROACH ................................................................................ 325
Wendai Wang and Dan Dragomir-Daescu
RELIABILITY STRESS-TEST METHOD: IMPACT ON THE NEW-PRODUCT
INTRODUCTION PROCESS, TIME TO MARKET, FIELD RELIABILITY
.............
.............. 232
IMPACT, AND RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT . . .
Shams Jawaid, Seifi Zaki and Jon Ferguson
PLANNING MULTIPLE-LEVELS CONSTANT-STRESS ACCELERATED LLFE TESTS ................338
Loon Ching Tang and Min Xie
MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF TIME-DEPENDENT STRESS ACCELERATED LIFE DATA .... 343
Adamantios Mettas and Pantelis Vassiliou
11

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2002 PROCEEDINGS A m u a l RELIABILSTY and MAINTAINABILITY Symposium

9D - APPLICATION OF SOFTWARE TOOLS TO R&M ANALYSIS

Moderator: Keith M. Janasak - Raytheon
.........................................
QRAS - THE QUANTITATIVE RISK ASSESSMENT SYSTEM..
Frank J. Groen, Carol Sophie Smidts, Ali Mosleh, and S. Swaminathan
EFFECTIVE AUTOMATED SNEAK CIRCUIT ANALYSIS ...............
.........................................
Christopher John Price and Nigel Hughes
THE APPLICATION OF RODON TO THE FMEA OF A MICROGRAVITY
FACILITY SUBSYSTEM .............................................................................
Edward J. Zampino and Dirk Burow
.............
PLAUSIBLE REASONING THEORY IN RCM ANALYSIS
Donald C. Johnston
ENHANCING PRODUCT RELIABILITY USING REMM ..................................................................
Jane Marshall, Lesley Walls, and Jeffery A. Jones
INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL: USING THE WEB FOR KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
AND DATA UTILIZATION IN RELIABILITY ENGINEERING ............................................
Adamantios Mettas and David Rock

349
356

372
379

1OC - MODELING & SlMULATION

Moderator: Neal Breugger - U.S. Air Force
RESEARCH ON THE MODEL AND SOFTWARE-PACKAGE FOR SHIP
ELIABILITY ANALYSIS ..
............................................................................................
386
Hong Yi, Yufang Zhan
d Changchun Li, and Mingjun Chen
RELIABILITY THERMAL ANALYSIS AND OPTIMIZATION WIRABILITY
DESIGN OF MULTI-LAYER PRINTED WIRE BOARDS ....................................................... 392
Xijin Tian and Olgierd A. Palusinski
INTEGRATED MODELING OF SYSTEM FUNCTIONAL, MAINTENANCE
& ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS ................
............... 399
Jeffery A. Jones, Les Warrington, and Neil Davis
......
404
MULTI-PHASE RELIABILITY ANALYSIS FOR DYNAMIC & STATIC PHASES
Leila Meshkat, Yong Ou and Joanne Bechta Dugan
AVAILABILITY MODELING FOR THE APPLICATION OF MANUFACTURING EQUIF'MENT .. 41 1
Aron Brall
10D - PRODUCT DESIGN & ASSURANCE
Moderator: Jason W. Rupe - Qwest Communications Int'l
IMPROVING DESIGN FOR RELIABILITY WITH IN-SERVICE DATA ANALYSIS .......................
Ian James and Jane Marshall and Lesley Walls
RELIABILITY OF LEAD-FREE SOLDER INTERCONNECTS: A REVIEW .....................................
Sandeep Tonapi and K . Srihari, and Peter Borgesen

THE USE OF lNDIRECT EVIDENCE FOR BAYESIAN RELIABILITY ANALYSIS ........................

417
423

429

James Chow Lin

2002 PROCEEDINGS ilnnuol RELIABILITY and MAINTAINABILITY .Symposium

xv

11A - ADVISORY BOARD PANEL

THE FUTURE OF RELIABILITY ENGINEERING AS A PROFESSION
Moderator: John English - University of Arkansas
THE FUTURE OF RELIABILITY ENGINEERING AS A PROFESSION ........................................... 434
Kailash C. Kapur
RELIABILITY -LOOKING AHEAD .................................................................................................. 436
Ted Mitrou
RELIABILITY SPECIALISTS - A CRITICAL NEED ......................................................................... 438
Gustav Vassiliades
11C - RELIABILITY MODELING OF SYSTEMS
Moderator: Randall L. Riddle - U.S. Air Force
THE DESIGN & EVALUATION OF ALL VOTING TRIPLE MODULAR
REDUNDANCY SYSTEM ........................................................
.............
.........
Hyung Joon Jean, Hyun, Keyseo Lee and Hyntae Lee
FAULT-INFORMATION MODEL AND MAINTENANCE CYCLE FORECASTING
.......
FOR SHIlS POWER SYSTEM......................................................
Wei Gu and Jianxing Chu
RELIABILITY/AVAILABILITY OF K-OUT-OF-N:G SYSTEM WITH M
.....................................................................................
COLD-STANDBY UNITS ..........
Wendai Wang and James L
ON RELIABILITY MODELING and ANALYSIS of HIGHLY RELIABLE LARGE SYSTEMS ...
James Loman and Wendai Wang
APPROXIMATION METHOD AND FORMULAS FOR AVERAGE UNAVAILABILIY
OF SYSTEMS WITH LATENT FAULTS .................................................................................
Anapathur V. Ramesh, David W. Twigg, and Tilak C. Sharma

439

445

450

460

1 I D - TL9000 SESSION SPONSORED BY ASQ

Moderator: David C. Davis -SAIC

USING TL 9000 REQUIREMENTS TO IMPROVE TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PRODUCT QUALITY AND RELIABILITY ............................................................................ 467
Sandford Liebesman and Thomas F. Yohe
DEVELOPMENT OF QUALITY INDEX for TL 9000 MEASUREMENTS ....................................... . 4 71
Aridaman K. Jain
USING TL 9000 MEASUREMENTS ................................................................................................... 476
Richard F. Morrow and Ashok V. Dandekar
I S 0 9000: 2000 - T H E CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR INTERNAL AUDITORS .......480
Sandford Liebesman
12B - QUALITY & PRODUCT ASSURANCE
Moderator: Ralph L. Harper, Jr. - Raytheon Technical service Company
QFD IMPLEMENTATION IN A DISCRETE-SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY ................................ 484
Cher Ming Tan and Teck Khim Neo
WARRANTY, PRODUCT SPECTRUM, AND CUSTOMER ROLE ................................................... 490
Melkote K. Ramaswamy

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2002 PROCEEDINGS Annual RELIABILITY and MAINTAINABILITY Symposium

ANALYZING FUZZINESS IN PRODUCT QUALITY & RELIABILITY INFORMATION-FLOW

DURING TIME-DRIVEN PRODUCT-DEVELOPMENT PROCESS ....................................... 496
Yuan Lu and Aarnout C. Brombacher, Elke Den Ouden and Patrick K. M. W. Korvers
RELIABILITY MODELS OF REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS CONSIDERING THE EFFECT
OF OPERATION CONDITIONS .............................................................................................. 503
P.V.N. Prasad and Kancharla R.M. Rao
MEASURTNG RELIABILITY-CENTERED-MAINTENANCE IMPLEMENTATION ........................ 5 11
Donald C. Johnston
12C - RELIABILITY PREDICTION METHODS
Moderator: David W. Coit - Rutgers University
A FAILURE-FORECAST METHOD BASED ON WEIBULL AND STATISTICAL-PATTERN
ANALYSIS ..............................................................
.................516
Kevin Fitzgibbon, Ron Barker, Tige Claton, and Nathan Wilson
FAULT-FREQUENCY PREDICTION OF CHASSIS COMPONENTS
FOR HEAVY-DUTY TRUCKS ................................................................................................ 522
Gunnar L. J. Wickstrom
RELlABILITY PREDICTION BASED ON CRITICALITY-ASSOCIATED SIMILARITY
...... 528
ANALYSIS ...........................................................................
Alazel Jackson, Tyrone Jackson and Aridaman K. Jain
RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY FOR 1-SHOT SYSTEMS..................................... 536
Rene L. Bierbaum and Donald L. Wright
SYSLEB - A TOOL FOR THE CALCULATION of the SYSTEM RELIABILITY from RAW
542
FAILURE-DATA .............................................................................................................
Pozsgai Peter, Anna Krolo and Bernd Bertsche and Andreas Fritz
12D - R&M TECHNIQUES AND APPLICATIONS
Moderator: Gary S. Wasserman - Wayne State University
THE EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION: THE GOOD, THE BAD AND THE UGLY. A
.................................
550
PRACTICAL GUIDE TO ITS IMPLEMENTATION
Kenneth E. Murphy, Charles M. Carter and Steven 0. Brown
A SIMPLIFIED AVAILABILITY MODELING TOOL for NETWORKS WITH 1:1
.................................. 556
REDUNDANT SOFTWARE-HARDWARE SYSTEMS
Wei Hou and 0. Geoffrey Okogbaa
COMPARISON OF RELIABILITY & AVAILABILITY EVALUATION
............ 563
TECHNIQUES FOR DISTRIBUTION NETWORK SYSTEMS ..
Emiliano Roggero, Alessandra Mosso, Andrea Ponta and Enrico Carpaneto
PROBABILISTIC ASSESSMENT OF AVAILABILITY FROM SYSTEM PERFORMANCE DATA 569
Jan B. Smith and W. Bryan Smith
APPLICATION OF BAYES STATISTICS TO REDUCE SAMPLE-SIZE, CONSIDERING
A LIFETIME-RATIO ............................................................................................................... ,577
Anna Krolo, Bettina Rzepka, and Bernd Bertsche
APPLICATION OF SEMI-MARKOV PROCESS AND CTMC TO EVALUATION
584
OF U P S SYSTEM AVAILABILITY .....................................................................
Ricado M. Fricks, Liang Yin and Kishor S. Trivedi

2002 PROCEEDINGS Annual RELIABILITY and MAINTATNABILITY Symposium

xvii

13C - R&M IN AEROSPACE

Moderator: Bonnie S. Hauge - United Space Alliance
.......................... 592
A RELIABILITY-DRIVEN MISSION FOR SPACE STATION ............
Martin L. Shooman and Pasquale M. Sforza
THE KNOWLEDGE-PATH TO MISSION SUCCESS: OVERVIEW OF THE NASA PBMA-KMS ...601
J. Steven Newman and Stephen M. Wander
DYNAMIC MODELING OF DEGRADATION DATA .................................................................... 607
Ming-Xiao Jiang and Yongcang Zhang
A DISCRETE-EVENT SIMULATOR FOR PREDICTING OUTAGE TIME & COSTS
612
AS A FUNCTION OF MAINTENANCE RESOURCES ......................
Myron Hecht and Jady Handal

13D -ENVIRONMENTAL TESTING AND STRESS SCREENING

Moderator: Ralph L. Harper, Jr. - Raytheon Technical Services Company
RELIABLITY TESTS ON POWER DEVICES
......................................................................... 618
Santiago Fernandez-Gomez, Jorge Marcos Acevedo, and Jose Manuel Lopez Pallas
INCREASE RELIABILITY for SCREENING BY COATING PLASTIC PARTS ................................ 622
A. J. Morrison
ELECTRONIC PACKAGTNG ADHESIVE FATIGUE-LIFE PREDICTION
..................................... 628
USING THERMAL-CYCLING STEP-STRESS TESTING
Xijin Tian and John L. Prince
ESTABLISHMENT OF ACCELERATED CORROSION-TESTING CONDITIONS ........................... 636
Lev M. Klyatis
IMPROVrNG THE RELIABTLITY OF A NEWLY-DESIGNED MOBILE PHONE
BY ENVIRONMENTAL TESTS AND ACCELERATED LIFE TESTS ................................... 642
Sang Jun Park, Jong Shin Ha, Wan So0 Choi and Sang Duck Park
Author Index for this Proceedings .......................................................................................................... 653
........................................................ 655
Key Word Index for this Proceedings ......
................................................................................................ 657
2002 Exhibition and Exhibitors
Call for Papers for 2003 ......................................................................................................................... 659
............................... 661
Call for Exhibits ...................................................
Symposium Activities not otherwise listed in these Proceedings ............................................................ 662
Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................................... 662
. .
. .
Cosponsoring Societies...................................................................................................... inside back cover
...................................................................
back cover
Publications Price List

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2002 PROCEEDINGS Annual RELIABILITY and MAINTAINABILITY Syniposiuni