Presented to: Dr/Amall Asfour Prepared by: Rawda Sayed Mohamed Hassan
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
3. Vision & Mission Statements......................Page 5 4. Environmental & Industrial Analysis (SWOT ANALYSIS) Internal Analysis................................Page 7 o Financial Analysis..Page 7 o Internal Strengthes &Weaknesses ............Page 11 External Analysis o PEST Analysis...........Page 13 o (Market Analysis) Porters Five Forces.....Page 15 o External Opportunities & Threats..Page 17 5. Evaluation Models Internal Factors Evaluation (IFE)......................Page 19 External Factors Evaluation (EFE)........Page 21 Competitive Profile Matrix (CPM)............Page 23 6. Revaluation of Vision & Mission............Page 24 7. Long Term Objectives.Page 25 8. Defining Alternative Strategies IE MATRIX.......................Page 26 SWOT Analysis Matrix..........Page 27 9. Decision (QSPM)..................Page 30 10. Conclusion...............Page 35 11. References...............Page 36
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1. Abstract:
In these papers I am going to make an analysis on Continental Airlines, in terms of their vision, mission, objectives & strategies in the light of their external & internal environment. This will be done through using various matrices that will help to identify their current situation within their market such as external factors evaluation matrix (EFEM), internal factors evaluation matrix (IFEM), competitive profile matrix (CPM), & SWOT analysis. Finally, after doing these metrics it will be easy to formulate and recommend strategies for Continental Airlines and determining which current strategies need to be adopted to achieve their vision & objectives.
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2. Introduction:
2.1 Companys History:
Continental Airlines is one of the top American airlines established in 1934, by its owners Walter Varney and Louis Mueller under the name of Varney speed lines. It operated between Pueblo, Colorado to El Paso, Texas with stops in Las Vegas, Santa Fe and Albuquerque, New Mexico. Mueller gained control over the carrier and in 1936, sold 40 percent of the company shares to Robert Six. In July 1937, Robert Six changed the name of Varney Speed Lines to Continental Airlines. In October 1st, 2010 two of the worlds best airlines United Airlines and Continental Airlines merged together to form the new United Continental Airlines. Both companies have been in the industry for decades and committed in providing the customers and employees best in class service. United Continental Holdings, Inc. is served by more than 80,000 employees worldwide and operates about 5,800 flights a day. This makes it possible for people to travel to 371 destinations throughout North America, South America, Europe, Asia and Nigeria with non-stop or one-stop service from virtually anywhere in the United States. The airline is currently operating under United name (http://pss.united.com/web/en-US/default.aspx), and aircrafts is having the Continental logo and colors to retain the companys strong brand image. Its rank among its major competitors in the U.S market is the second as ranked in 2011 from the following reference http://airtravel.about.com/od/basedinnorthamerica/tp/top10na.htm: 1- Delta Airlines 2- United Continental Airlines 3- Southwest Airlines 4- American Airlines 5- U.S Airways
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( *According to a letter on a Customer Care comment card signed by Larry Kellner, the Chairman and CEO of Continental Airlines, The members of the Continental Airlines team have made a strong commitment to becoming the airline industry's leader in quality customer service... our employees are always expected to deliver the highest level of service possible. They have been authorized to act in your best interest and to solve problems on the spot.) (*Gordon Bethune did some brilliant things to get everyone on board with his vision when he took over at Continental Airlines.It was a symbol that screamed out: You run this airline, not a rulebook that prevents you from being creative).
From Above mentioned statements we can dedicate that:Their Competitive advantage is mainly focusing on providing superior customer service through empowering their employees and creating an organizational culture that encourage creativity in solving problems rather than a rigid culture.
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Mission:
Mission statement is also not stated in the case or its website and accordingly I tried to deduce its mission statement after careful study done on its overall business operations and its guiding principles and values. My suggested mission statement is as follows: At United Continental Airlines Inc., we strive to provide an excellent customer service and travelling experience to maintain our leadership in the airline industry worldwide. As an airline company we are not just providing flight transportation but a full package for travellers seeking comfort, caring, and reliable services during their trip. We achieve this through: 1- Our people, our greatest strength and most enduring competitive advantage. Accordingly we work on creating a favorable organizational culture for our employees and assisting them with on-going extensive training programs. 2- Strict security measures to ensure our customers safety. 3- Our international flights cater to our customers cultures, with language, food choices, and movies. 4- We are committed to make our environment as better as possible, through using new technologies that help reducing fuel waste. 5- Maintaining an ongoing research to improve our services globally, and eliminating non-value-added costs for achieving higher profits.
Concept
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes
Yes
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Key Ratios
Year 2004
Year 2005
Year 2006
Industrial ratios(2006)
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio Quick Ratio 0.9:1 0.8:1 1:1 0.9:1 1:1 1:1 0.86:1
Profitability Ratios
Return on Assets Return on Equity (3.89)% (263)% (0.64)% (30)% 3.03% 98.8% 3.08%
(4.1)%
(0.606)%
2.6%
1.9 %
Growth Ratios
Net Income Growth % Total Revenue Growth % (83.37)% 13.2% 604.4% 17.1% 9.9 %
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From the above table we could conclude the following: 1- Liquidity Performance: Continental airline has a moderate liquidity performance as its current ratio is ranging between 0.9 &1 which means that the current assets are exactly equal to its liabilities. However its position relative to the market especially in the year 2006 is good as it is above the industrial performance. This means that it has a better liquidity position when others are suffering from low liquidity. In addition if we examined its performance throughout the 3 years we will examine that it has been developed. But still it need to work on enhancing this position to be above 1 since the ideal current ratio is 2:1 because the higher the ratio the more safety & ability to pay & meet its shortterm liabilities and obligations.
As for the ideal quick ratio it is 1.5:1, which means that Continental has quick ratio below the ideal but still it is capable of paying its short term debts since it has assets that can be easily turned into cash as clearly mentioned in year 2006 it is 1:1.
2- Debt Management Performance: Here it is clear that Continental airlines is relying greatly and may be is depending totally only on debts for financing its investments which represents 96% in year 2006 from its total assets. In other words we can say that every dollar of asset is financed with 96.0 cents of debt. This is an unfavorable situation and represents a weakness point because it is much higher than the industrial percentage which is only 49.9%.
3- Asset Management: These ratios measure the efficiency of continental airlines in utilizing their assets to generate profit. As clear from the previous table Continental airlines is achieving progress in this capability through successive years from 2004-2006 and its performance is even higher than the market.
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4- Profitability: These ratios will reflect to what extent Continental airlines is doing well in generating profits. It will indicate if the company is investing its assets & stockholders money wisely or not. Continental airlines used to suffer from a great loss in both years 2004 & 2005 but succeeded in recovering this loss & pushing up its Net Income highly to a great extent in year 2006 which seems to be very close to the industry average in the return on assets. While in case of the profit margin Continental airlines exceeded the industry average. This reflects its strengthes in having a high earning power in year 2006 through developing its assets & equity management.
5- Growth Performance: Continental airlines showed an outstanding performance in growth & development. It is very obvious that this company has a strength point in its ability to grow after being in a sever loss to the extent that it was achieving higher growth rate than the industry average. This company has a great opportunity to be a market leader for its high possibility for growth.
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one given by Fortune magazine that named Continental airlines one of its 10 Green Giants in 2007 and another award as Americas Most Admired companies and Best Airline
in North America. These rewards reflect that this company has a very strong image.
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12. Top managers are young (open-minded) & exist in the company since 1995 which reflects to what extent they will be loyal to the company. 13. To strengthen its relation with the environment Continental has a separate department called security & environmental affairs. 14. Using biofuel instead of jet fuel. The biofuel blend included components derived from algae and Jatropha plants, both sustainable, second-generation sources that do not impact food crops or water resources or contribute to deforestation (Environmental protection).
Weaknesses:
1. It depends completely on debts for financing its investments. This is may be to recover the loss it used to suffer from the years before 2006. 2. Its Go forward plan does not attend the environmental issues directly. 3. The airline has faced a decrement in its overall AQR Airline Quality Rating scores in terms of customer complaints, on-time performance & overbooking and has been recorded by the U.S Transportation department that Continental has poor on-time performance, despite its efforts. 4. It was slow to adopt online bookings and currently has only 24% of its revenues from its website while others like Southwest get 70% of their revenues from website bookings. 5. Minimal presence in major foreign destinations such as Middle East & Africa.
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2- Economic Forces: Considering the scale of operations and business conducted between different countries, the operations of Continental is dependent on the exchange rates of currencies of different countries. And is affected by the fluctuations in the value of currency and the general economic health of the country to which it conducts its services/operations. Also the airline industry is highly affected by fluctuations in fuel price which is a major risk especially in the presence of some bad political relationships such as confrontation with Iran that could cause prices to rise. For example based on the industrial records of oil prices, every 1 dollar increase in fuel prices lead to $1.6 billion extra costs on the airline. In 2012 prices of oil will increase from $110 per barrel to $134.7 per barrel which means an increase by $24.7 this means that Continental airlines will incur extra costs of about $39.5 billion (almost $40 billion). 3- Social Forces Since Continental Airlines is visiting multiple countries around the world each with a different norms, customs & values It should put in consideration culture differences in everything it provides even in the contents of the meal provided such as not providing Beef for Indians. In the domestic environment of U.S. work culture also has some effect on the airline industry. Most employees use flights as a means of transportation for jobs. There are people who fly to their office destinations in the morning and fly back to their home towns by evening. This has created opportunity for many U.S. airlines to start short distance flights which cater to this segment of consumers. 4- Technology Forces:
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Technology is one field that keeps changing with every passing day. The advancements made in the field have had its impact on the aviation industry as well. The airlines have to incur costs to update and upgrade their fleet regularly due to the changes in technology. Consumers expect more from the airlines for the money they pay. The move from standard paper tickets to e-tickets itself was a big break-through for the airlines industry. CAL has adapted well to the changing technological climate and has been able to sustain by the momentum.
Airline industry has a very high intensity of competition among airline firms especially in the US market because the number of competitors is very high and customers can switch brands easily searching for lower prices as there are a lot of companies who has a low cost leadership such as South-West Airlines. 2. Threat of New Entrants: At first glance, you might think that the airline industry is pretty tough to break into but this is not true. This depends on whether there are substantial costs to access bank loans and credit. If borrowing is cheap as the case of U.S, then the likelihood of more airliners entering the industry is higher. The more new airlines that enter the market, the more saturated it becomes for everyone. Brand name recognition and frequent fliers point also play a role in the airline industry. An airline with a strong brand name and incentives can often lure a customer even if its prices are higher. 3. Power of Suppliers: The airline supply business is mainly dominated by Boeing (Airplane Manufacturer) and Airbus. For this reason, there isn't a lot of aggressive competition among suppliers. And so the bargaining power of suppliers is high. Also, the likelihood of a supplier integrating vertically isn't very likely. In other words, you probably won't see suppliers starting to offer flight service.
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4. Power of Buyers: The bargaining power of buyers in the airline industry is high because today customers can shop around for the best price using the internet and some customers are just searching for the least price without caring for any other complementary services. In addition the airline industry is considered as somehow a standard service and so switching from one company to another will be very easy from the customer point of view & this place a sever forces over the airline companies. 5. Availability of Substitutes: For domestic airlines, the threat might be a little higher than international carriers. When determining this Continental airline should consider time, money, personal preference and convenience in the air travel industry as a comparison to the land & sea transportation.
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Threats:
1. Rise in fuel prices by $24 per barrel in year 2012 will cause Continental to incur more extra costs of $40 billion. 2. Rise in security costs & regulations due to the risk of terrorism. More restrictions on the contents of carry-on baggage lead to reduction in bookings & more cost incurred. 3. Customers today are having a high bargaining power due to their ability to easily shop for the best price through the internet.
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4. Domestic Market is becoming less attractive due to the high competition intensity. 5. Easy entrances of new competitors as well as those who were under bankruptcy are starting to return back much stronger than before. 6. Many airline carriers have a cost leadership such as South West Airlines are offering lower prices.
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0.07
0.28
3- Incentive programs are related to 0.06 the staff performance in achieving and helping the company to reach top records in the on-time arrivals. 4- It serves more international 0.08 markets than any other U.S. aircraft. It serves 190 international destinations. 5- Its fleet is one of the youngest 0.05 globally. This leads to increased efficiencies and major cost reductions. 6-Received an array of awards for service quality and overall reputation. 7- Using biofuel instead of jet fuel. The biofuel blend included components derived from algae and Jatropha plants, both sustainable, second-generation sources that do not impact food crops or water resources or contribute to deforestation (Environmental protection). 0.06
0.18
0.32
0.20
0.18
0.06
0.24
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8- Ability to customize their service according to the arrival destination. 9-They have diversified services beside the basic transportation such as travel insurance, currency exchange, Continental clubs. Key Weaknesses 1- Its Go forward plan does not attend the environmental issues directly. 2- Depending on debts for financing its investments by 96% 3- It has been recorded that continental has poor service quality in terms of on-time performance and overbooking & bumping. 4- Minimal presence in major foreign destinations such as Thailand, Dubai and all other countries in Middle-East & Africa (except Nigeria).
0.09
0.36
0.05
0.20
0.1
0.30
0.05 0.1
2 2
0.10 0.20
0.08
0.16
0.07 3.11
From the above IFE Model we can conclude that Continental Airlines has an outstanding position internally as its total weighted score is 3.11 which is above the average score (2.50) and this indicates that it has some key internal strengthes that could allow it to compete successfully in the global market. However there are some significant improvements needed in its internal operations to overcome its weaknesses such as improvements in its on time arrival records & more adoptions are required to cope with the fast technology especially the online booking.
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0.08
0.24
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.4
0.06
0.18
0.09
0.36
7- Customers prefer the online booking for 0.05 saving time. Key Threats 1- Rise in fuel costs by $ 24 in 2012 will cause extra costs by $40 billion. 2- Increase in security costs due to the terrorist event of 11th Sep in US. 3- Intensive competition due to some competitors have been recovered from bankruptcy and recovered back much 0.08
0.1
0.24
0.08
0.24
0.06
0.06
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stronger due to their ability to reduce their costs. 4- New rivals can easily enter the market due to the low cost of getting loans and starting a new business. 5- High bargaining power of customers as a result of their power to shop for the best price online. 6- Many rivals exist in the domestic market has a cost leadership that allow them offer the same service at much lower prices. 7-Southwest airlines succeeded to achieve 70% of its revenues from its website booking in 2006 while Continental was just 24 %. TOTAL 0.04 2 0.08
0.06
0.12
0.07
0.14
0.06
0.12
2.79
From the above EFE Model we can conclude that Continental Airlines has above moderate position in adopting itself to the external environment as its total weighted score is only 2.79 and this indicates that it has a lot of opportunities not yet utilized such as more expansion to more international countries also there are some key threats that Continental need to avoid or adapt itself to come over them such as the intensive competition & the emergence of new companies with a competitive advantage in using technology & reducing costs.
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Financial Position Customer Loyalty Market Share Management Advertising Price Competitiveness Global expansion Product quality Total
2 2 2 4 4 3 4 4
4 3 3 3 4 3 4 4
3 4 4 2 3 3 3 3
3.25
This Matrix showed that Continental airline has lower value than Delta but still it is in a competitive position within its market. And the difference between Continental & Delta is not huge which means that it has a prospect for gaining the market leadership.
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7. Long-term Objectives:
1- Double its sales revenue in the next year 2012 as compared to 2011($ 37 billion) in order to be able to face the 20% increase in fuel prices which will add $40 billion on Continentals operating costs. 2- Increase fuel efficiency by 32% from fleet investments during the next 7 years, including 19 new aircrafts of type 737-900s along with five or six 787s to make a total investment of (24-25 new aircrafts) this year that will help to achieve 12% efficiency. Later 20% efficiency could be achieved through an investment in (132 new aircrafts) (50 Boeing 787s, 57 Boeing 737s and 25 Airbus A350s) that will be added through 2013-2019. 3- Accessing new international destinations in Europe, Africa & Middle East with minimum 34 ports to be served by a non-stop or one-stop service in each destination in the coming 6 years. 4- Increase the share of online booking to 50% out of its total revenue within the coming 2 -4 years by consulting an IT company to improve the service & facilitate the process to encourage customers to book online. 5- Increase our global market share by 20% within 2-3 years. 6- Comprehensive 6 month training for employees especially in booking, customer support & handling complaints to achieve the targeted AQR of the company (ranked top third). 7- Increase the investment in environment protection y 30 % to maintain our reputation and leadership as a green giant company.
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First: IE MATRIX:
According to the EFE score (2.79) & IFE score (3.11) of Continental airlines its position on IE Matrix will be in quadrant 4 which implies the use of Grow & Build strategies. Grow & Build Strategy includes: 1- Market Development 2- Product Development 3- Horizontal Integration 4- Vertical Integration. I will use the SWOT Matrix to highlight the most relevant strategies that Continental can follow or adapt to for achieving its objectives
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Strengthes
S1: Second Global Company with an old existence since 1934 and a good brand reputation. S2: Good Financial Position S8: Ability to customize their service according to the arrival destination. S9: Diversified services W4: Minimal presence in major foreign destinations such as Thailand, Dubai and all other countries in the Middle-East & Africa (except Nigeria). W3: Continental has poor service quality in terms of on-time performance & overbooking.
Weaknesses
Opportunities
O3: The EU-US Open Skies. O4: Merge with the United Airlines in October 2010
O3 S1 S8 S9 Market Penetration In the European markets with an extensive promotion campaign. O4 S9: Differentiation Strategy
Threats
T1: Rise in fuel costs. T3: Competitors got recovered from bankruptcy much stronger.
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Finally from the above SWOT Analysis Matrix we can conclude that we have 5 basic alternative strategies for Continental Airlines: 1- Market Penetration (Intensive Strategy): in the European market with an extensive promotional campaign such as ticket discounts, offering free complimentary services (such as picking the traveler from the airport to hotel for free) when make a booking during a certain period, free club membership for a limited time, customizing meals, movies & songs according to the passengers on fight. 2- Market Development (Intensive Strategy): Through using the opportunity of merging with the giant airline United Airlines that already has hubs at the Middle-East & Africa which will allow Continental to have route to these new destinations such as Dubai, Qatar & Kuwait.
3- Product Development (Intensive Strategy): In order to achieve the objective of increasing efficiency in fuel consumption by 32% through purchasing new aircrafts that proved being more fuel efficient according to the latest technologies. This strategy could be achieved through 2 stages:
a) Purchasing 19 new aircrafts of type 737-900s along with five or six 787s to make a total investment of (24-25 new aircrafts) this year that will help to achieve 12% efficiency. b) Later 20% efficiency could be achieved through an investment in (132 new aircrafts) (50 Boeing 787s, 57 Boeing 737s and 25 Airbus A350s) that will be added through 2013-2019. 4- Horizontal Integration: Integration with those competitors who succeeded in overcoming their crisis & returning much stronger than before this would help to minimize their threat on Continental airlines. 5- Differentiation Strategy: Through utilizing its strength in providing a customized services along with the complementary services such as Continental Clubs Continental
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airlines could create a differentiated service or competitive advantage especially under the opportunity of the merge with United Airlines that implies more countries & different cultures will be accessed by Continental.
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9. Decision Stage:
Using the QSPM (Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix) we could prioritize the above mentioned strategies in order to take an action.
Strategy 1 Strategy 2 TAS Market Development TAS Strategy 3 Product Developme nt TAS Strategy 4 Horizontal Integration TAS
Key Factors
Weight
Market Penetration
Opportunities O1: International markets are highly attractive due to growing demand for travel. O2: Air Transportation is the most favored by travellers O3: The EU-US Open Skies. O4: Merge with the United Airlines in October 2010. 0.1 2 0.20 4 0.4 3 0.3 1 0.1 0.1 -
0.07
0.14
0.28
0.07
0.21
0.08
0.32
0.24
0.08
0.16
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O5: U.S. work culture emphasis to focus on that segment that needs a short distance flight O6: Advanced technologies are being adopted to reduce fuel consumption O7: Customers prefer the online booking for saving time. Threats T1: Rise in fuel costs. T2: Increase in security costs. T3: Some competitors have been recovered from bankruptcy much stronger. T4: New rivals can easily enter the market due to the low cost of getting loans.
0.06
0.12
0.24
0.18
0.06
0.09
0.27
0.18
0.36
0.09
0.05
0.08
0.24
0.16
0.32
0.08
0.08
0.24
0.16
0.32
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.16
0.12
0.04
0.08
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T5: High bargaining power of customers T6: Many rivals exist in the domestic market has a cost leadership. T7: Southwest airlines succeeded to achieve 70% of its revenues from its website booking while Continental was just 24 %. Total Strengthes S1: It is the second global Company with a good brand reputation. S2: Good Financial Position S3: Incentive programs are related to staff performance.
0.06
0.24
0.18
0.12
0.06
0.07
0.28
0.07
0.14
0.21
0.06
0.08
0.32
0.24
0.08
0.16
0.07
0.14
0.21
0.28
0.07
0.06
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S4: It serves more international markets. S5: Its fleet is one of the youngest globally. S6: Received an array of awards for an overall reputation. S7: Using biofuel instead of jet fuel. S8: Ability to customize their services based on destination. S9: Diversified Services
0.08
0.32
0.24
0.08
0.16
0.05
0.15
0.25
0.10
0.05
0.06
0.12
0.24
0.06
0.18
0.06
0.18
0.12
0.24
0.06
0.09
0.05
Weaknesses W1: Its Go forward plan does not attend the environmental issues directly. W2: Depending on debts for financing its investments by 96%
2 0.1
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.1
1 0.05
0.05
0.20
0.10
0.15
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W3: Poor Service Quality W4: Minimal presence in major foreign destinations. W5: Slowly adoption to online booking. STAS
0.1
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.08
0.08
0.32
0.16
0.24
0.07
4.17
4.55
3.43
2.5
Finally STAS is representing the total attractiveness score which reveals which strategy is the most attractive in the light of all relevant external & internal factors. The higher score represents the most attractive strategy and accordingly it is better for Continental airlines to prioritize its strategies as follows: 1- Market Development. 2- Market Penetration. 3- Product Development. 4- Horizontal integration.
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10.Conclusion:
Form the previous analysis if Continental Airlines followed the mentioned strategies given by the opportunity of getting merged with United Airlines it is going to achieve its vision & longterm objectives which can be summarized as follows: 1- An increase in their overall market power in terms of market development by serving new destinations around the world which means widening its operating scope. 2- Becoming the first & largest Airline company worldwide and increase its market share globally. 3- Maximizing its profit which will enable it to overcome any increase in costs as a result of the increase in fuel prices. 4- Reducing its long term costs. 5- Achieving more efficient fuel consumption on long distances because successive taking off & landing increase fuel consumption.
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11. References:
Strategic Management Concepts & Cases 13th edition Fred David United States - Airlines 0072 - 0756 2009. Datamonitor Industry Profile. Reference Code: 0072-0756 Publication Date: October 2010. www.datamonitor.com http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=UAL&annual http://www.century-of-flight.net/Aviationhistory http://www.bized.co.uk/compfact/ratios/profit4.htm http://www.ehow.com/about_6496307_financial-ratios-analysis-plan-profitability.html http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/financials/ratios.asp?ticker=LUV:US http://www.investopedia.com/features/industryhandbook/airline.asp#ixzz1sIQpZsKS
http://web02.aviationweek.com/aw/mstory.do?id=news/om/2012/03/01/OM_03_01_2012_p18419630.xml&channel=mro&headline=Focus%20On%20Fuel%20Savings http://www.iata.org/pressroom/pr/pages/2011-06-06-01.aspx
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