Marico
Performance Highlights
Quarterly Result(Consolidated)
(` cr) Revenue EBITDA OPM (%) Adjusted PAT 1QFY13 1,267 185 14.6 124 1QFY12 1,041 125 12.0 85 % yoy 21.7 47.7 257bp 45.7 4QFY12 918 110 12.0 71 % Diff 38.1 68.0 260bp 73.3
NEUTRAL
CMP Target Price
Investment Period
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Net Debt (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code FMCG 12,278 308 0.2 200/134 70,260 1 17,558 5,320 MRCO.BO MRCO@IN
`191 -
For 1QFY2013, Marico posted a 21.7% yoy growth in its consolidated net sales to `1,267cr, aided by a robust volume growth. The operating margin for the quarter rose by 257bp yoy to 14.6%. The growth in the OPM was led by a healthy 656bp expansion in gross margin to 49.4%. The improvement in margins was due to lower copra prices, a major raw material in the manufacture of coconut oil. The adjusted profit for the quarter grew by 45.7% yoy to `124cr. Key highlights during the quarter: The overall volume growth for the quarter stood at 14%. Volume growth in the consumer products business in India stood at ~16%, with Parachute(rigid packs) reporting ~18% yoy volume growth and Saffolas (refined edible oil) volume growing by ~12% yoy. The companys volume market share in the branded coconut oil segment in India (represented by Parachute and Nihar) stood at 56.5% for 1QFY2013 (vs. 53.1% in 1QFY2012). Saffola has maintained its leadership position in the super premium refined edible oils segment with a market share of 58.3% for 1QFY2013 (vs. 53.3% in 1QFY2012). The international business (IBG) grew by ~17% yoy during the quarter. However, organic growth for the IBG segment stood at a mere ~3% yoy, with the remaining 14% yoy growth coming on account of forex gain. Outlook and valuation: Going ahead, we expect Marico to post a healthy growth in the domestic business aided by its strong brands. The recent acquisitions made by the company too are expected to fuel growth in the future. At the current market price, the stock is trading at 22.5x FY2014E EPS. We believe the stock is fairly priced and hence, recommend a Neutral rating on the stock.
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 59.8 3.6 29.4 7.2
3m 6.9 5.4
1yr 2.5
3yr 17.0
17.4 138.4
FY2011 3,135 17.8 238 -1.6 13.3 3.9 49.3 12.8 36.5 24.9 3.9 29.3
FY2012 4,008 27.9 319 34.4 12.1 5.2 36.7 10.2 30.8 23.0 3.0 25.4
FY2013E 4,840 20.7 417 30.7 13.1 6.8 28.1 7.7 31.4 26.5 2.4 19.4
FY2014E 5,643 16.6 520 24.6 13.1 8.5 22.5 5.9 29.7 26.6 2.0 16.3
Amit Patil 022-39357800 Ext: 6503 amit.patil@angelbroking.com
V Srinivasan
022-39357800 Ext: 6831 v.srinivasan@angelbroking.com
1QFY13 1,267 641 50.6 95 7.5 156 12.3 191 15.1 1,082 185 14.6 17 19 18 166 166 13.1 40 24.2 2 124 10 61 2.0 124
1QFY12 1,041 595 57.2 71 6.8 97 9.3 153 14.7 916 125 12.0 10 17 9 108 108 10.3 21 19.6 2 85 8 61 1.4 85
% chg 21.7 7.7 34.3 60.3 24.4 18.1 47.7 257bp 73.7 14.4 92.7 54.4 54.4 91.4
4QFY12 918 426 46.5 84 9.1 119 12.9 179 19.5 808 110 12.0 11 19 11 90 (2) 88 9.6 19 21.4 (0)
% chg 38.1 50.4 13.3 31.4 6.5 34.0 68.0 260bp 50.6 1.4 67.5 84.3 87.9 113.4
FY2012 4,667 2,425 52.0 336 7.2 523 11.2 784 16.8 4,068 599 12.8 25 83 29 520 520 11.1 104 20.0 8
FY2011 3,997 2,099 52.5 307 7.7 449 11.2 668 16.7 3,523 474 11.9 42 73 43 402 2 404 10.1 78 19.4 5 321 8 61 5.2 319
% chg 16.8 15.6 9.4 16.4 17.4 15.5 26.4 (40.4) 14.6 (32.7) 29.2 28.7 32.8
45.7
70 8 61
77.7
408 9 61
27.3
45.7 45.7
1.1 71
77.8 73.3
6.6 408
27.3 28.0
May 9, 2012
1QFY2013 1QFY2012 1,270 1,190 934 256 81 397 202 185 17 (7) 31.3 17.0 19.8 6.7 (9.0) 1,043 981 762 218 63 263 134 118 16 (6) 25.2 13.7 15.5 7.4 (8.9)
% chg 4QFY2012 21.8 21.3 22.6 17 29 50.8 50.3 56.5 5.2 913 839 620 218 74 240 122 109 13 (4) 26.2 14.5 17.5 6.0 (5.1)
May 9, 2012
974
Top-line (LHS)
May 9, 2012
918
(%)
30.0 20.0 10.0 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 12.7 12.7 12.2 10.5 12.0 12.0 11.5 12.0
(20)
OPM
Gross margin
PAT (LHS)
International business registers 17% yoy growth largely on back of forex gains
Maricos International FMCG Business Group (IBG) recorded ~17% yoy growth in 1QFY2013 and registered a turnover of `255cr. However, organic growth for the IBG segment stood at a mere ~3% yoy, with the remaining 14% yoy growth coming on account of forex gain. The business now constitutes around 24% of the groups turnover. High inflation, slowing GDP growth and a sharp depreciation in the Bangladeshi Taka has led to a 2% decline in revenues from Bangladesh. However, on a positive note, Parachute continues to hold a market share of ~80% and Hair Code hair dye reported a market share of ~29%, thus establishing itself as the number 1 player in the hair dye market in the country. During the quarter, Marico introduced variants of value added hair oils under the brand Nihar. In all, Bangladesh contributed around 40% of the overall sales of IBG. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region witnessed a better quarter due to the improving overall business scenario. The Hair Code business performed well during the quarter. Fiance was backed by campaign reinforcing its value for money (VFM) positioning. Fiance also made a foray into the gel segment on the VFM platform towards the end of the quarter. The MENA region grew by 5% during 1QFY2013 and accounted for ~25% of IBG revenue. South Africa which accounts for ~10% of the IBG revenue registered a 12% yoy growth during the quarter. Caivil continued to be the market leader in the kids hair care market. The company was able to capitalize on the downtrading in the market due to its presence in the VFM segment through Black Chic. In Vietnam, X-Men a leading mens grooming brand, gained market share (currently enjoys 47% market share) due to the launch of a new campaign. X-Men for Boss targeted at a slightly older audience is also performing well. During the quarter, the male grooming range (shampoo and body wash) manufactured in Vietnam was launched under the brand Code 10 in Malaysia. The South East Asian business grew by 28% yoy during the quarter.
May 9, 2012
1Q13
Investment arguments
Impressive volume growth across categories/strong pricing power: Marico has not witnessed any significant slowdown in volume growth despite the steep price hikes. Over the past few months, raw-material prices have been softening; so, we do not expect any steep price hikes further. Going ahead, we expect the company to post margin expansion over FY20121-4E due to the softening raw material prices. International business to bounce back going ahead: The international business now contributes ~24% to the companys top-line. Marico maintains its leadership position in different categories in different regions. We expect the companys international business to post better performance going ahead due to signs of improvement seen in the macro-environment in its international markets.
May 9, 2012
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue line indicates 5-year average
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: #Denotes CAGR for FY2012-14E;*December year ending
Company Background
Marico is one of India's leading FMCG companies, offering products in the beauty and wellness segment. The company is present in over 25 countries across Asia and the Africa. The company offers products in the hair care, skin care and edible oils segments. Marico's product portfolio includes brands such as Parachute, Saffola, Hair & Care, Nihar, Mediker, Revive and Manjal. The company's brand Parachute is a household name in India.
May 9, 2012
FY09 2,388 2,388 25.4 2,084 1,278 243 166 398 304 23.4 12.7 36 268 24.5 11.2 36 12 5.0 0 245 28.8 15 230 41 16.7 189 (0) 189 204 32.3 8.5 3.3 3.3 32.3
FY10 2,661 2,661 11.4 2,286 1,262 351 193 480 375 23.4 14.1 60 315 17.5 11.8 26 18 5.9 0 308 25.7 10 298 64 20.9 234 2 232 241 18.5 9.1 4.0 3.9 18.5
FY11 3,126 3,127 17.5 2,719 1,618 346 230 524 407 8.6 13.0 71 337 6.8 10.8 41 30 9.2 0 326 5.8 (49) 375 85 26.1 290 5 285 236 (2.4) 7.5 3.9 3.9 (1.6)
FY12 4,008 4,008 28.2 3,524 2,099 449 307 669 485 19.0 12.1 73 412 22.4 10.3 42 33 8.1 0 402 23.5 2 401 78 19.4 322 5 317 319 35.4 8.0 5.2 5.2 34.4
FY13E 4,840 4,840 20.7 4,208 2,504 542 348 813 632 30.4 13.1 76 556 35.0 11.5 39 33 6.0 0 550 36.7 0 550 126 22.8 425 8 417 417 30.7 8.6 6.8 6.8 30.7
FY14E 5,643 5,643 16.6 4,906 2,908 632 412 954 737 16.6 13.1 78 659 18.4 11.7 37 60 8.8 0 681 23.8 0 681 154 22.6 527 8 520 520 24.6 9.2 8.5 8.5 24.6
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with
May 9, 2012
FY12 61 1,082 1,143 25 762 42 1 1,973 706 403 303 40 554 296 123 22 1,278 159 218 902 644 634 1,973
FY13E 61 1,452 1,513 25 722 42 1 2,302 745 484 261 149 559 396 123 13 1,551 193 236 1,122 750 801 2,302
FY14E 61 1,925 1,986 25 682 42 1 2,735 783 567 217 157 564 596 123 2 1,946 402 236 1,308 869 1,077 2,735
828 414 203 210 58 128 12 64 670 90 130 450 314 355 828
1,112 468 242 226 113 146 83 62 897 111 190 596 414 483 1,112
1,704 618 337 281 33 541 89 99 30 1,160 221 161 779 529 632 1,704
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with
May 9, 2012
FY11 376 71 (82) 23 85 45 348 (465) (9) (474) 29 277 47 23 235 110 111 221
FY12 401 73 (45) 25 78 (73) 301 (108) (226) (335) 3 40 47 25 (29) (62) 221 159
FY13E 550 76 (140) 12 126 17 389 (153) (100) (253) 0 (41) 50 12 (103) 34 159 193
FY14E 681 78 (70) (16) 154 12 531 (52) (200) (252) 0 (40) 47 (16) (70) 209 193 402
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with
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10
FY09 57.5 48.4 25.6 0.3 5.1 39.5 14.5 3.3 3.3 3.9 0.7 7.4 35.7 49.6 53.0 4.9 52 17 42 41
FY10 48.5 38.5 17.7 0.3 4.6 32.1 10.8 4.0 3.9 4.9 0.7 10.7 32.5 43.0 43.6 4.6 61 21 46 51
FY11 49.3 32.8 12.8 0.3 3.9 29.3 7.4 3.9 3.9 5.8 0.7 14.9 24.9 39.4 36.5 3.5 70 21 53 43
FY12 36.7 30.0 10.2 0.4 3.0 25.4 6.4 5.2 5.2 6.3 0.7 18.6 23.0 39.0 30.8 3.3 66 17 52 39
FY13E 28.1 23.8 7.7 0.3 2.4 19.4 5.4 6.8 6.8 8.0 0.7 24.6 26.5 40.8 31.4 3.5 66 18 51 43
FY14E 22.5 19.6 5.9 0.3 2.0 16.3 4.5 8.5 8.5 9.7 0.7 32.3 26.6 40.7 29.7 3.5 66 18 51 41
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with
May 9, 2012
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E-mail: research@angelbroking.com
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
Marico No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors
Ratings (Returns):
May 9, 2012
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