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Module 2 Objectives
Data Gathering and Analysis
Assess the value of data contained in the information base used during the initiation of a project. Consider the basic characteristics for the types of measurements commonly used as project selection criteria.
Project Charter
Formally recognizes the existence of a project.
Project Charter Business need
It authorizes the Product description project manager to apply organizational resources Constraints to project activities.
Assumptions A signed contract may serve as a project charter for the seller.
PMBOK p 54-55 5
Project Targets
Dimensions of Project Success Performance
Specs
Project efficiency Impact on Customer Business impact on organization Opening new future opportunities
Due Date
Budget Limit
M&M Text, p 4
Intermediate Phase
Final Phase
Value Finish
The success measurement may yield different results at different points of time: During the project At the end of the project Far beyond the end of the project
March 31, 2002 For academic use only.
PMBOK, p 13
Risk Quantification
Evaluating risks and risk interactions Assess range of possible outcomes Determine which risk events warrant response Complications: Opportunities and threats interaction Single risk cause multiple effects Opportunity for one, threat to another False impression of precision and reliability
March 31, 2002 For academic use only.
PMBOK, p 137
High
Med
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE
Medium Low
Low
IMPACT
Low Medium
Desmond, 2001
High
10
Pay
A 6 s is 0%
F dF Penalty
w No % 30
Yes
30%
Pay
75 + F dF
No 70 %
Pay 75 + F dF
F dF
Use 1
Use 2
Later 70%
Pay
e1
0%
Pay
F dF
Pay
No
Y es
Use 3
Key:
No 1 0%
Pay
$0
Penalty Node = 22.5 + F dF Use 2 Node = 59.25 + F dF Use 1 Node = 17.98 + F dF Use 3 Node = .9F When .9F = 17.78 + F dF I am indifferent about which ticket to buy. 0 = 17.78 + .1F dF indicates that a NoRefund ticket should be purchased when the equation < 0.
Note: Since airfares and discounts vary greatly, any useful decision tree must be able to compare the expected penalty to the discount and expected fare.
Keeney, 2000
11
Economic Analysis
Considers such information as:
Cost estimates Stream of revenue Operating costs Present values Taxes Tax effort of deprecation - Time estimates - Time value of $ - Cost of capital - Net cash flow
12
Sponsor
Public
Performing Organization
March 31, 2002 For academic use only. PMBOK p 16 13
Risk Averse
Range of choices limited Risky alternatives eliminated Past strategy exerts more influence Safe, conservative, reasonable, highly probable Defensive, minimize weaknesses, threats, uncertainty
Highly Volatile Industries Absorb greater risk Consider broader, diverse strategies
March 31, 2002 For academic use only.
Module 2 Objectives
Proposal Development
Understand the basic solicitation documents (RFI, RFQ, and RFP) and the role they play in project bid/proposal development. Discuss the importance of selection criteria when making procurement decisions that will initiate a project/subproject.
15
Procurement Processes
Procurement Solicitation Planning Planning Bidders List Solicitation Source Contract Contract Selection Administration Closeout Bid Analysis
Issue
IFB RFI RFQ RFP
or
Receive
Bids Brochures Quotations Proposals
Contract Execution
Contract Closeout
Requisition
March 31, 2002
Time
For academic use only.
Keeney, 2001
16
Reading Assignments
From Chapter 2
Text
Pp 25 34 Pp 39 73
For Chapter 3
Text
Pp 85 - 128 Pp 134 - 137
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