Cravatex
Performance Highlights
Y/E March (` cr) Total operating income Operating profit OPM (%) Adj. PAT
Source: Company, Angel Research
BUY
CMP Target Price
% chg (qoq) (5.3) (15.6) (57)bp (18.6) 1QFY12 43 3 6.2 2 % chg (yoy) 30.8 (0.8) (149)bp (15.2)
`507 `682
12 Months
1QFY13 57 3 4.7 2
4QFY12 60 3 5.2 2
Investment Period
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Net Debt Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code
Cravatex Ltd (Cravatex) reported a poor set of numbers for 1QFY2013. Its top-line came in 30.8% higher at `57cr, in line with our estimate of `59cr. The rise in the top-line was on account of a healthy growth of 60% in domestic sales which compensated for the revenue dip of 37% from the international segment. The EBITDA for the quarter dipped marginally by 0.8% yoy and came in at `2.7cr, lower than our estimate of `3cr. Operating margin contracted by 149bp mainly on account of 99bp yoy increase in other expenses. Consequently, the net profit for the quarter was lower by 15% yoy at `1.6cr, against our estimates of `2.4cr.
Trading 131 (0.2) 0.8 799 / 336 798 10 17,657 5,363 CRAV.BO CRAV.IN
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 75.0 0.7 0.3 24.0
3m 10.2 (24.0)
1yr 5.5
3yr 19.4
24.0 805.0
Outlook and valuation: On the back of the above developments, Cravatex net revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.9% over FY2012-14E to `340cr. The EBITDA is expected to be `20cr while the margin is expected to rebound to 6% in FY2014E. The net profit is to post a CAGR of 26% to `15cr in FY2014E. At the current market price of `507, the stock is trading at an attractive valuation of 8.9x PE FY2014E earnings. We continue to recommend Buy on Cravatex with a revised target price of `682 based on a target PE of 12x for FY2014E.
Key financials (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) Net sales % chg Adj. net profit % chg OPM (%) EPS (`) P/E (x) P/BV (x) RoE (%) RoCE (%) EV/Sales (x) EV/EBITDA (x)
Source: Company, Angel Research
FY2010 58 32.2 4 98.7 5.2 14.4 35.2 7.3 20.7 8.9 2.4 46.2
FY2011 91 56.1 6 73.6 7.5 25.0 20.3 5.5 27.3 14.8 1.6 21.6
FY2012 241 163.6 9 42.5 5.8 35.6 14.2 4.1 28.6 19.6 0.6 11.1
FY2013E 289 19.9 11 14.4 5.2 40.7 12.4 3.1 25.2 18.2 0.5 10.4
FY2014E 340 17.8 15 39.6 6.0 56.8 8.9 2.4 26.5 21.2 0.5 7.7
1QFY13 56.8 36.5 64.3 5.4 9.5 12.3 21.6 54.1 2.7 4.7 1.0 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.1 0.7 30.9 1.6 2.9
4QFY12 60.0 46.8 78.0 5.4 9.1 4.6 7.7 56.9 3.2 5.2 1.7 0.2 1.0 2.3 3.8 1.1 47.2 1.2 2.0
% chg (qoq) (5.3) (22.0) (1.0) 166.5 (4.8) (15.6) (57)bp (38.7) 54.5 (0.5) 2.4 (33.0) 33.9
1QFY12 43.4 27.8 64.1 4.0 9.1 8.9 20.6 40.7 2.7 6.2 0.6 0.3 1.1 2.8 6.6 0.9 33.0 1.9 4.4
% chg (yoy) 30.8 31.1 36.0 37.1 32.9 (0.8) (149)bp (6242.9) 18.8 (2.3) (17.8) (23.0) (15.2)
FY2012 240.5 154.9 64.4 19.9 8.3 51.8 21.5 226.5 14.0 5.8 3.6 1.0 4.2 13.6 5.6 4.4 32.2 9.2 3.8
FY2011 91.2 49.9 54.6 8.2 9.0 26.4 28.9 84.4 6.8 7.5 1.5 0.9 4.8 9.3 10.1 2.8 30.3 6.4 7.1
% chg 163.6 210.7 142.4 96.4 168.4 105.0 (167)bp 136.4 22.4 (12.3) 46.4 55.5 42.5
Estimates(`cr) 59 3 5.1 2
(` cr)
(` cr)
(%)
40 30 20 10 0
100 50 0
2 1 0
2.7
2.8
3.2
3.0
2.7
3.9
4.3
3.2
23
24
26
24
43
53
84
60
57
1QFY11
2QFY11
3QFY11
4QFY11
1QFY12
2QFY12
3QFY12
4QFY12
1QFY11
2QFY11
3QFY11
4QFY11
1QFY12
2QFY12
3QFY12
4QFY12
1QFY13
Revenue (LHS)
EBITDA (LHS)
Investment arguments
Strategic partnership and organic growth to drive 24% growth
Cravatex is a market leader in fitness equipment distribution through its brand Proline Fitness. The company distributes products of Johnson Health Tech (third largest fitness company in the world); during the year this distribution agreement has been extended till 2025. Cravatex operates through a wide network of 51 retail stores across India. The company also recently signed two new exclusive distribution agreements with Polar Electro OY of Finland for heart rate monitors and Miha Body Tec of Germany. Both of these companies have cutting edge products. The company also has strategic partnerships with reputed health club chains in India such as Talwalkars and Golds Gym to provide them with high-quality equipment and customer service. Talwalkars expectation of around 30% growth in its business coupled with new strategic alliances provide healthy growth visibility for Cravatex. Owing to robust organic growth and strategic partnerships, the net revenue for the fitness equipment segment is expected to grow at 24% CAGR over FY2012-14E.
1QFY13
2.7
(%)
50
3 6.2
Financials
Exhibit 5: Key assumptions
Particulars (%) Total revenue growth Sportswear segment Volume growth Change in price/unit Revenue growth Fitness equipment segment Volume growth Change in price/unit Revenue growth
Source: Angel Research
The revenue from fitness equipment segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 24% over FY2011-14E to `155cr in FY2014E on the back of new strategic alliances with Polar Electro OY (Finland) and Miha Body Tec (Germany) and expansion plans of health club chains such as Talwalkars and Gold Gym to whom the company provides with fitness equipments. Also, Cravatex plans to expand its existing network of retail stores, which will provide it greater visibility among retail consumers. In case of the sportswear segment, the revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 16% over FY2011-14E to `182cr in FY2014E, owing to the acquisition of the sublicense for distribution through specified channels in the UK and Ireland. It is also expected that the retail-led approach of FILA along with the governments potential reform to allow up to 51% FDI in the retail sector will together enhance the companys earnings.
(`cr)
(` cr)
8 4 0 (4) (2.5) (1.1) FY2009 3.0 FY2010 6.8 FY2011 14.0 FY2012 15.1 FY2013E 20.3 FY2014E
0 (2) (4)
EBITDA (LHS)
Source: Company, Angel Research
(%)
12
(%)
Subsequently, on the back of enhanced top-line and improved operating performance, the net profit of the company is expected to post a CAGR of 26.4% over FY2012-14E, from `9cr in FY2012 to `15cr in FY2014E.
(` cr)
42.5 4 20.3 1.9 FY2009 3.7 FY2010 6.4 FY2011 PAT (LHS)
Source: Company, Angel Research
39.6 14.4
40 20
9.2 FY2012
10.5 FY2013E
14.7 FY2014E
(%)
60
600 300 0
Feb-08 Feb-09 Feb-10 Feb-11 Aug-07 Aug-08 Aug-09 Aug-10 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12
Price
Source: Company, Angel Research
6x
12x
18x
24x
Company Background
Cravatex is a trading company and mainly operates in two segments a) distribution of fitness equipment (share reduced from 49% in FY2007 to 40% in FY2011) and b) distribution of sports footwear and apparel of the brand FILA (share increased from 24% of the total revenue in FY2007 to 56% in FY2011). The company is a market leader (28% market share of organized sector) in distribution of fitness equipment under its brand Proline Fitness and represents the 100-year old Italian brand, FILA, in India. Cravatex has acquired sub-license to distribute the products of FILA in the UK and Ireland through its wholly owned subsidiary, BB Ltd. It also provides sourcing services to several FILA licensees across the world including the Middle East and Africa. The company has also been forming strategic partnerships with various health club chains in India such as Talwalkars and Golds Gym in the fitness equipment segment. Cravatex has recently issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 by capitalizing the subsequent amount from the General Reserve account of the company.
Concerns
High cost of fitness equipment
India does not have quality fitness equipment manufacturers, due to which, a majority of the equipment are been imported, largely from the US. The duty structure on imported equipment is around 23%. Thus, considering the original cost of fitness equipment, the import duty inflates their cost, which further leads to higher fixed cost for both - individuals and institutions consumers.
Euro slowdown
The subsidiary in UK, which Cravatex recently acquired, is expected to deliver a potential annual revenue of around 10mn in two years. This revenue potential may be adversely impacted due to the recent slowdown in the euro zone.
Currency Impact
Cravatex imports most of its equipment. The rupee depreciation will make the imports expensive and increase the cost of acquiring the equipment. High procurement costs will thereby impact the margins of the company.
10
11
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 3 1 (6) (0) (1) 8 5 0 (2) 6 (6) (2) 0 (1) (0) (0) (2) 1 2 3 7 1 (6) (6) (3) 5 (2) 1 0 6 (7) (1) 0 3 (1) 0 2 (1) 3 2 9 1 (5) (14) (3) 5 (6) (2) (3) 5 1 1 0 9 (1) (5) 4 (1) 2 1
FY2012 14 1 (4) (17) (4) 6 (5) (2) 0 4 (4) (1) 1 11 (1) (2) 8 2 1 3
FY2013E FY2014E 16 1 (5) (8) (5) (2) (2) (1) 5 2 0 0 (1) (1) (1) 3 2 22 1 (6) (14) (7) (4) 0 (1) 6 5 0 0 (1) (1) (0) 2 2
12
FY2009 70.0 47.9 8.8 0.3 3.1 (125.5) 4.7 7 7 11 2 58 (4.4) 0.7 2.3 (6.9) 7.9 0.4 (12.7) (6.7) (10.0) 12.5 2.2 61 67 99 108 0.4 (5.4) (1.6)
FY2010 35.2 29.4 7.3 0.4 2.4 46.2 4.0 14 14 17 2 69 4.0 0.5 2.2 4.7 3.3 0.5 5.4 6.6 8.9 20.7 3.0 59 70 110 95 0.5 3.1 2.7
FY2011 20.3 17.9 5.5 0.5 1.6 21.6 3.3 25 25 28 3 92 6.6 0.7 2.3 10.3 6.1 0.7 13.4 13.4 14.8 27.3 4.3 64 86 97 101 0.7 2.5 3.9
FY2012 14.2 12.8 4.1 0.8 0.6 11.1 2.3 36 36 40 4 124 5.4 0.7 3.6 13.3 8.8 0.8 16.9 18.9 19.6 28.6 10.4 39 78 104 101 0.8 1.8 3.6
FY2013E 12.4 11.2 3.1 0.8 0.5 10.4 2.0 41 41 45 4 161 4.8 0.7 3.8 12.4 8.8 0.6 14.6 17.8 18.2 25.2 11.4 49 78 104 72 0.6 1.7 3.8
FY2014E 8.9 8.3 2.4 0.8 0.5 7.7 1.7 57 57 61 4 214 5.6 0.7 3.8 14.4 8.8 0.5 17.1 20.8 21.2 26.5 13.4 47 78 104 76 0.5 1.3 5.3
13
E-mail: research@angelbroking.com
Website: www.angelbroking.com
DISCLAIMER
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
Cravatex No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.
Ratings (Returns):
14