probability table

Prob

cumulative
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.1

demand
0
0.2
0.6
0.8
0.9

0
1
2
3
4

simulation
week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29

rand variable
0.241037834
0.636937861
0.13238258
0.107332865
0.051925674
0.419510589
0.859186363
0.911321394
0.836322112
0.54789198
0.214770812
0.521555896
0.491503438
0.756347738
0.190096627
0.472991001
0.054071174
0.673878598
0.875349676
0.549555276
0.143507631
0.664980172
0.847962287
0.597094022
0.130688253
0.78642117
0.815357221
0.450775072
0.57821365

inventory

demand
1
1
1
2
3
4
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1

shortage
1
2
0
0
0
1
3
4
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
0
2
3
1
0
2
3
1
0
2
3
1
1

sales
0
-1
0
0
0
0
0
-2
-2
0
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0
-2
0
0

4300
4300
0
0
0
4300
12900
8600
4300
4300
4300
4300
4300
4300
0
4300
0
8600
8600
4300
0
8600
4300
4300
0
8600
4300
4300
4300

shortage cost inventory cost

0
-500
0
0
0
0
0
-1000
-1000
0
0
0
0
-500
0
0
0
0
-500
0
0
0
-1000
0
0
0
-1000
0
0

50
50
50
100
150
200
200
100
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
100
100
150
100
50
50
100
50
50
50
100
50
50
50

total revenue
4250
3750
-50
-100
-150
4100
12700
7500
3250
4250
4250
4250
4250
3750
-50
4200
-100
8450
8000
4250
-50
8500
3250
4250
-50
8500
3250
4250
4250
4031.034483

probability table
Prob

cumulative
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.1

demand
0
0.2
0.6
0.8
0.9

0
1
2
3
4

simulation
week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29

rand variable
0.241037834
0.636937861
0.13238258
0.107332865
0.051925674
0.419510589
0.859186363
0.911321394
0.836322112
0.54789198
0.214770812
0.521555896
0.491503438
0.756347738
0.190096627
0.472991001
0.054071174
0.673878598
0.875349676
0.549555276
0.143507631
0.664980172
0.847962287
0.597094022
0.130688253
0.78642117
0.815357221
0.450775072
0.57821365

inventory

demand
2
3
3
5
7
9
10
9
7
6
7
8
9
10
10
12
13
15
15
14
15
17
17
16
17
19
19
18
19

shortage
1
2
0
0
0
1
3
4
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
0
2
3
1
0
2
3
1
0
2
3
1
1

sales
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

4300
8600
0
0
0
4300
12900
17200
12900
4300
4300
4300
4300
8600
0
4300
0
8600
12900
4300
0
8600
12900
4300
0
8600
12900
4300
4300

shortage cost inventory cost

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

100
150
150
250
350
450
500
450
350
300
350
400
450
500
500
600
650
750
750
700
750
850
850
800
850
950
950
900
950

total revenue
4200
8450
-150
-250
-350
3850
12400
16750
12550
4000
3950
3900
3850
8100
-500
3700
-650
7850
12150
3600
-750
7750
12050
3500
-850
7650
11950
3400
3350
5360.344828

prob

cum
0.15
0.55
0.3

days
0
0.15
0.7

1
2
3

simulation

breakdown
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

r1
0.03231287
0.88415275
0.61010423
0.22645161
0.92302534
0.81070489
0.47050919
0.78318009
0.23703635
0.8078915
0.10697079
0.65130602
0.13219463
0.28799652
0.6510586
0.81788262
0.38361707
0.67172458
0.4156482
0.22112757

time
between
breakdown
0.71903125
3.76117588
3.12436678
1.90347727
3.84296832
3.60156608
2.7437469
3.53989851
1.94745514
3.5953114
1.30825557
3.22814132
1.45434319
2.14661228
3.2275281
3.61747452
2.47747312
3.27835221
2.57883137
1.88096813

r2
repair time
0.066010681
0.802126717
0.849025277
0.693089263
0.157900835
0.815238484
0.626462382
0.547479401
0.200588965
0.663359849
0.681240889
0.385148424
0.73239234
0.979919834
0.44834284
0.840434878
0.708094621
0.764338303
0.78306647
0.387932633

cost
1
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
2
3
3
3
3
2

2000
6000
6000
4000
4000
6000
4000
4000
4000
4000
4000
4000
6000
6000
4000
6000
6000
6000
6000
4000
96000

cum time
0.719031
4.480207
7.604574
9.508051
13.35102
16.95259
19.69633
23.23623
25.18369
28.779
30.08725
33.31539
34.76974
36.91635
40.14388
43.76135
46.23883
49.51718
52.09601
53.97698

breakdown distribution
prob

cum
0.4
0.5
0.1

days
0
0.4
0.9

1
2
3

simulation

breakdown
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

r1
0.044032
0.42979114
0.66103861
0.19785759
0.72582548
0.71503675
0.67991609
0.487217
0.67143517
0.37350976
0.23433383
0.27640021
0.69408478
0.22529755
0.20415082
0.75566657
0.03092002
0.57685758
0.4019662
0.23293075

time
between
breakdown
1.25902826
3.93350748
4.87825686
2.66887118
5.1117235
5.07359075
4.94742147
4.18805588
4.91646885
3.66692668
2.90448237
3.15442668
4.99870504
2.84793112
2.71098311
5.21574506
1.05504539
4.55706844
3.80404827
2.89577401

maintenan

r2
repair time
0.134688761
0.620780885
0.137699431
0.417460061
0.693900833
0.380365426
0.941568288
0.345781016
0.317173955
0.058363369
0.269714205
0.027985756
0.783458995
0.871693371
0.296933801
0.316042088
0.664400675
0.496472264
0.571654752
0.494553284

maintenance

cost
1
2
1
2
2
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
2

2000
4000
2000
4000
4000
2000
6000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
4000
4000
2000
2000
4000
4000
4000
4000
62000
20000
82000

cum time
1.259028
5.192536
10.07079
12.73966
17.85139
22.92498
27.8724
32.06046
36.97692
40.64385
43.54833
46.70276
51.70147
54.5494
57.26038
62.47612
63.53117
68.08824
71.89229
74.78806