Los estudios de mercado efectuados para este proyecto indican que en los ltimos aos la demanda no est siendo cubierta por la
nacional. Las proyecciones para el insumo (demanda) se basan en 3 hiptesis: pesimista, probable y optimista; los cuales no dejan
de los casos, de la existencia de un mercado amplio real y potencial.
Proyeccin de la Demanda (T.M.)
AOS
DEMANDA PROY
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
734
742
753
767
784
800
810
832
849
942
PRODUCCION
ACTUAL
310
310
310
310
310
310
310
310
310
310
DEMANDA I.
.......
.......
.......
.......
.......
.......
.......
.......
.......
.......
PRODUCCION:
La capacidad mxima de la planta ser de
800 T.M.
40%
b) Esprragos en Fco. de V.
60%
Las construcciones e instalaciones de la planta se efectuarn en el lapso de un ao : 2007. Asi mismo, el periodo de operacin del p
aos.
DEPRECIACIONES:
Construcciones y edificaciones:
Maquinaria y equipo:
10%
10%
valor residual
del valor real
del valor real
6,000.00
40%
6,400.00
4,900.00
1,700.00
..
2,400.00
900
500
del rubro sueldos y salarios, dependen del volumen
FINANCIAMIENTO:
COFIDE le ha ofrecido a la empresa, un prstamo de por el
Plazo :
Pagos anuales
Tasa inters.
intereses + comisiones :
Periodos de gracia:
60%
BANCO
Monto :
Plazo :
Pagos anuales
Tasa de inters
intereses + comisiones :
APORTE PROPIO :
Monto :
aos.
16%
1
aos
10%
4
de la inversin.
aos
20%
30%
de la inversin.
360.00
350.00
5,436.00
:
:
:
7,896.00
9,080.00
10,295.00
30%
de la utilidad imponible.
20
10
vida til
aos
aos
aos.
Capacidad de
la planta
800
AOS
DEMANDA
PROYECTADA
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
734
742
753
767
784
800
810
832
849
942
TM
PRODUCCION
DEMANDA
ACTUAL
INSATISFECHA
310
310
310
310
310
310
310
310
310
310
424
432
443
457
474
490
500
522
539
632
%
53.00%
54.00%
55.38%
57.13%
59.25%
61.25%
62.50%
65.25%
67.38%
79.00%
ESTRUCTURA DE INVERSIONES
Inversiones fijas
Tangibles
Terreno
Edificio
Maq. Y Equipo
TOTAL TANGIBLE
Intangibles
Estudios, Patentes
Imprevistos (5%)
Intereses
Capital de trabajo
INVERSION TOTAL EN EL Py.
SIN FINANCIAMIENTO
CON FINANCIAMIENTO
12,408.00
57,800.00
122,500.00
192,708.00
12,408.00
57,800.00
122,500.00
192,708.00
9,600.00
9,495.00
9,600.00
9,495.00
25,787.15
10,500.00
222,303.00
10,500.00
248,090.15
INVERSION
222,303.00
COFIDE
BANCO INV PROPIA
60%
10%
30%
PRESTAMO
133,381.80 22,230.30 66,690.90
TASA INTERES
16%
20%
INTERES PRE OP 21,341.09 4,446.06
TOTAL INTERES 25,787.15
Capacidad de
prod.:
800
Ao
Produccin
Capacidad
usada
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
424
432
443
457
474
490
500
522
539
632
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
Conserva en
DEPRECIACIONES
Construcciones y Edificaciones
Maq. Y Equipo
TOTAL
Valor Real
57800.00
122500.00
COSTO DE PRODUCCIN
Capacidad
RUBRO / AO
Costos fijos
Sueldos (60%)
Seguros
Depreciacin
Otros costos fijos
TOTAL DE COSTOS FIJOS
Costos Variables
Salarios (40%)
Esparragos
Envses y otras materias primas
Preservantes y otros
Otros costos variables
TOTAL COSTOS VARIABLES
COSTOS TOTALES
60%
40%
40%
60%
Conserva en hojalata
Produccin esparragos
en hojalata
Precio Conserva en
hojalata
venta
Capacidad
usada
212
216
221.5
228.5
237
245
250
261
269.5
316
360.00
360.00
360.00
360.00
360.00
360.00
360.00
360.00
360.00
360.00
76,320.00
77,760.00
79,740.00
82,260.00
85,320.00
88,200.00
90,000.00
93,960.00
97,020.00
113,760.00
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
valor residual
10%
10%
vida til
20
10
aos
aos
Produccin
esparragos en fco
vidrio
212.00
216.00
221.50
228.50
237.00
245.00
250.00
261.00
269.50
316.00
DEPRECIACIN
2,601.00
11,025.00
13,626.00
53.00%
2008
54.00%
2009
55.38%
2010
57.13%
2011
3,600.00
2,400.00
13,626.00
500.00
20,126.00
3,600.00
2,400.00
13,626.00
500.00
20,126.00
3,600.00
2,400.00
13,626.00
500.00
20,126.00
3,600.00
2,400.00
13,626.00
500.00
20,126.00
1,272.00
3,392.00
2,597.00
901.00
477.00
8,639.00
1,296.00
3,456.00
2,646.00
918.00
486.00
8,802.00
1,329.00
3,544.00
2,713.38
941.38
498.38
9,026.13
1,371.00
3,656.00
2,799.13
971.13
514.13
9,311.38
28,765.00
28,928.00
29,152.13
29,437.38
CANTIDAD
6,000.00
2,400.00
500
6,000.00
6,400.00
4,900.00
1,700.00
900
11,506.00
11,571.20
11,660.85
11,774.95
17,259.00
54.27
81.41
21,351.45
17,356.80
53.57
80.36
21,351.45
17,491.28
52.64
78.97
21,351.45
17,662.43
51.53
77.30
21,351.45
Precio Conserva
en fco vidrio
venta
350.00
350.00
350.00
350.00
350.00
350.00
350.00
350.00
350.00
350.00
74,200.00
75,600.00
77,525.00
79,975.00
82,950.00
85,750.00
87,500.00
91,350.00
94,325.00
110,600.00
150,520.00
153,360.00
157,265.00
162,235.00
168,270.00
173,950.00
177,500.00
185,310.00
191,345.00
224,360.00
DEPRECIACIN =
Vreal - Vresidual
vida til
59.25%
2012
61.25%
2013
62.50%
2014
65.25%
2015
67.38%
2016
79.00%
2017
3,600.00
2,400.00
13,626.00
500.00
20,126.00
3,600.00
2,400.00
13,626.00
500.00
20,126.00
3,600.00
2,400.00
13,626.00
500.00
20,126.00
3,600.00
2,400.00
13,626.00
500.00
20,126.00
3,600.00
2,400.00
13,626.00
500.00
20,126.00
3,600.00
2,400.00
13,626.00
500.00
20,126.00
1,422.00
3,792.00
2,903.25
1,007.25
533.25
9,657.75
1,470.00
3,920.00
3,001.25
1,041.25
551.25
9,983.75
1,500.00
4,000.00
3,062.50
1,062.50
562.50
10,187.50
1,566.00
4,176.00
3,197.25
1,109.25
587.25
10,635.75
1,617.00
4,312.00
3,301.38
1,145.38
606.38
10,982.13
1,896.00
5,056.00
3,871.00
1,343.00
711.00
12,877.00
29,783.75
30,109.75
30,313.50
30,761.75
31,108.13
33,003.00
11,913.50
12,043.90
12,125.40
12,304.70
12,443.25
13,201.20
17,870.25
50.27
75.40
21,351.45
18,065.85
49.16
73.74
21,351.45
18,188.10
48.50
72.75
21,351.45
18,457.05
47.14
70.72
21,351.45
18,664.88
46.17
69.26
21,351.45
19,801.80
41.78
62.66
21,351.45
COFIDE
ANUALIDAD =
Interes =
33,027.02
16%
Aos
Saldo inicial
Interes 10%
Amortizacin (a)
Anualidad (A)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
133,381.80
133,381.80
114,327.26
95,272.71
76,218.17
57,163.63
38,109.09
19,054.54
21,341.09
21,341.09
18,292.36
15,243.63
12,194.91
9,146.18
6,097.45
3,048.73
0.00
19,054.54
19,054.54
19,054.54
19,054.54
19,054.54
19,054.54
19,054.54
21,341.09
40,395.63
37,346.90
34,298.18
31,249.45
28,200.72
25,152.00
22,103.27
BANCO
ANUALIDAD =
Interes =
Saldo final del
capital
133,381.80
114,327.26
95,272.71
76,218.17
57,163.63
38,109.09
19,054.54
0.00
8,587.32
20%
Aos
Saldo inicial
Interes 8%
1
2
3
4
22,230.30
16,672.73
11,115.15
5,557.58
4,446.06
3,334.55
2,223.03
1,111.52
Amortizacin (a)
Anualidad (A)
5,557.58
5,557.58
5,557.58
5,557.58
10,003.64
8,892.12
7,780.61
6,669.09
2008
150,520.00
28,765.00
121,755.00
8,618.50
113,136.50
33940.95
79,195.55
2009
153,360.00
28,928.00
124,432.00
8,618.50
115,813.50
34744.05
81,069.45
2010
157,265.00
29,152.13
128,112.88
8,618.50
119,494.38
35848.3125
83,646.06
Inversin total
Utilidad Media
2008
150,520.00
28,765.00
121,755.00
12,916.36
25,787.15
83,051.49
24,915.45
58,136.05
2009
153,360.00
28,928.00
124,432.00
12,916.36
21,626.91
89,888.74
26,966.62
62,922.12
2010
157,265.00
29,152.13
128,112.88
12,916.36
17,466.66
97,729.85
29,318.96
68,410.90
intereses
6
4,297.86
Inversin total
Utilidad Media
Utilidad Media =
2012
168,270.00
29,783.75
138,486.25
11,078.50
127,407.75
38222.325
89,185.43
2013
173,950.00
30,109.75
143,840.25
11,078.50
132,761.75
39828.525
92,933.23
2014
177,500.00
30,313.50
147,186.50
9,080.00
138,106.50
41431.95
96,674.55
2015
185,310.00
30,761.75
154,548.25
9,080.00
145,468.25
43640.475
101,827.78
2016
191,345.00
31,108.13
160,236.88
10,295.00
149,941.88
44982.5625
104,959.31
2015
185,310.00
30,761.75
154,548.25
9,080.00
2016
191,345.00
31,108.13
160,236.88
10,295.00
145,468.25
43,640.48
101,827.78
149,941.88
44,982.56
104,959.31
94,143.81
Tiempo de Pago =
2.36
Capacidad de Pago=
107,769.81
% Rentabilidad =
42.35
2012
168,270.00
29,783.75
138,486.25
15,376.36
9,146.18
113,963.71
34,189.11
79,774.60
2013
173,950.00
30,109.75
143,840.25
15,376.36
6,097.45
122,366.44
36,709.93
85,656.51
2014
177,500.00
30,313.50
147,186.50
9,080.00
3,048.73
135,057.77
40,517.33
94,540.44
Utilidad Media =
85,585.15
Tiempo de Pago =
2.90
Capacidad de Pago=
99,211.15
% Rentabilidad =
34.50
9 ao , 9 meses Y 14 das
2017
224,360.00
33,003.00
191,357.00
10,295.00
181,062.00
54318.6
126,743.40
2017
224,360.00
33,003.00
191,357.00
10,295.00
181,062.00
54,318.60
126,743.40
FLUJO D
RUBRO/AO
INGRESOS
INGRESO POR VENTA
VALOR EN LIBROS
TERRENO
VALOR DE RECUPERO
EDIFICIO
MAQUINARIA Y EQUIPO
VALOR RESIDUAL
EDIFICIO
MAQUINA Y EQUIPO
CAPITAL DE TRABAJO
TOTAL INGRESO
EGRESO
INVERSION TOTAL
COSTO DE PRODUCCION (- DEPRECIACION)
GASTO ADMINISTRATIVO Y VENTA (-AMORTIZACION)
IMPUESTO
TOTAL EGRESO
FLUJO DE CAJA ECONOMICO
1
150,520.00
150,520.00
222,303.00
222,303.00
-222,303.00
15,139.00
5,436.00
33940.95
54,515.95
96,004.05
FLUJO DE
RUBRO/AO
INGRESOS
INGRESO POR VENTA
VALOR EN LIBROS
TERRENO
VALOR DE RECUPERO
EDIFICIO
MAQUINARIA Y EQUIPO
VALOR RESIDUAL
EDIFICIO
MAQUINA Y EQUIPO
CAPITAL DE TRABAJO
TOTAL INGRESO
EGRESO
APORTE PROPIO
COSTO DE PRODUCCION (- DEPRECIACION)
GASTO ADMINISTRATIVO Y VENTA (-AMORTIZACION)
1
150,520.00
150,520.00
66,690.90
15,139.00
5,436.00
21,341.09
4,446.06
92,478.05
-92,478.05
COSTO DE OPORTUNIDAD :
21,341.09
4,446.06
19,054.54
5,557.58
24,915.45
95,889.71
54,630.29
22%
972,059.72
CCP=
18.20%
60%
10%
30%
153,360.00
157,265.00
162,235.00
168,270.00
173,950.00
177,500.00
153,360.00
157,265.00
162,235.00
168,270.00
173,950.00
177,500.00
15,302.00
5,436.00
34744.05
55,482.05
97,877.95
15,526.13
5,436.00
35848.3125
56,810.44
100,454.56
15,811.38
7,896.00
36515.7375
60,223.11
102,011.89
16,157.75
7,896.00
38222.325
62,276.08
105,993.93
16,483.75
7,896.00
39828.525
64,208.28
109,741.73
16,687.50
5,897.50
41431.95
64,016.95
113,483.05
153,360.00
157,265.00
162,235.00
168,270.00
173,950.00
177,500.00
153,360.00
157,265.00
162,235.00
168,270.00
173,950.00
177,500.00
15,302.00
5,436.00
15,526.13
5,436.00
15,811.38
7,896.00
16,157.75
7,896.00
16,483.75
7,896.00
16,687.50
1,599.64
18,292.36
3,334.55
19,054.54
5,557.58
26,966.62
93,943.64
59,416.36
133,381.80
22,230.30
66,690.90
15,243.63
2,223.03
19,054.54
5,557.58
29,318.96
92,359.86
64,905.14
INTERES
16%
20%
22%
12,194.91
1,111.52
19,054.54
5,557.58
31,234.45
92,860.37
69,374.63
9,146.18
0.00
19,054.54
0.00
34,189.11
86,443.59
81,826.41
9.60%
2.00%
6.60%
18.20%
6,097.45
0.00
19,054.54
0.00
36,709.93
86,241.68
87,708.32
3,048.73
19,054.54
40,517.33
80,907.74
96,592.26
10
185,310.00
191,345.00
224,360.00
12,408.00
578,000.00
0
185,310.00
191,345.00
5780
12250
10,500.00
843,298.00
17,135.75
5,897.50
43640.475
66,673.73
118,636.28
17,482.13
7,112.50
44982.5625
69,577.19
121,767.81
19,377.00
7,112.50
54318.6
80,808.10
762,489.90
10
185,310.00
191,345.00
224,360.00
12,408.00
578,000.00
0
185,310.00
191,345.00
5,780.00
12,250.00
10,500.00
843,298.00
17,135.75
1,599.64
17,482.13
2,814.64
19,377.00
2,814.64
18,735.39
166,574.61
20,296.77
171,048.23
54,318.60
76,510.24
766,787.76
1,000,000.00
800,000.00
600,000.00
400,000.00
200,000.00
0.00
1
-200,000.00
-400,000.00
FLUJO DE CAJA ECONOMICO
E CAJA FINANCIERO
10
11
EVALUACION ECONOMICA
AOS
FCE
0
-222,303.00
1
96,004.05
2
97,877.95
3
100,454.56
4
102,011.89
5
105,993.93
6
109,741.73
7
113,483.05
8
118,636.28
9
121,767.81
10
762,489.90
VAN =
TIR ECONOMICO
BENEFICIO/COSTO
47.22%
2.64
EVALUACION FINANCIERA
AOS
FCF
0
-92,478.05
1
54,630.29
2
59,416.36
3
64,905.14
4
69,374.63
5
81,826.41
6
87,708.32
7
96,592.26
8
166,574.61
9
171,048.23
10
766,787.76
22%
VAN =
TIR FINANCIERO
BENEFICIO/COSTO
18.20%
VALOR ACTUAL
-222,303.00
81,221.70
70,056.74
60,829.92
52,261.38
45,940.28
40,240.83
35,205.35
31,137.07
27,038.04
143,238.36
364,866.66
VALOR ACTUAL
-92,478.05
44,778.92
39,919.62
35,743.71
31,315.65
30,275.71
26,600.01
24,011.73
33,941.43
28,568.02
104,972.82
307,649.57
70.68%
6.00
59.22%
62.22%
65.22%
90.68%
95.68%
100.68%
68.22%
56.22%
53.22%
85.68%
50.22%
47.22%
44.22%
41.22%
38.22%
35.22%
32.22%
29.22%
26.22%
300,000.00
250,000.00
200,000.00
150,000.00
100,000.00
50,000.00
0.00
-50,000.00
-100,000.00
23.22%
VAN
TIR
TIR
105.68%
80.68%
75.68%
70.68%
65.68%
60.68%
55.68%
50.68%
45.68%
40.68%
140,000.00
120,000.00
100,000.00
80,000.00
60,000.00
40,000.00
20,000.00
0.00
-20,000.00
-40,000.00
-60,000.00
35.68%
VAN
Variacion
-24.00%
-21.00%
-18.00%
-15.00%
-12.00%
-9.00%
-6.00%
-3.00%
0.00%
3.00%
6.00%
9.00%
12.00%
15.00%
18.00%
21.00%
Variacion
-35.00%
-30.00%
-25.00%
-20.00%
-15.00%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
RESUMEN
ECONMICO
PUNTO DE EQUILIBRIO
RENTABILIDAD
TIEMPO DE PAGO
CAPACIDAD DE PAGO
VALOR ACTUAL NETO
TASA INTERNA DE RETORNO
BENEFICIO - COSTO
21,351.45
42.35
6 aos , 2 meses y19
107,769.81
364,866.66
47.22%
2.64
FINANCIERO
21,351.45
34.50
9 ao , 9 meses Y 14 das
99,211.15
307,649.57
70.68%
6.00