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6-Risk-and-Rates-of-Return

6-1

= (0.1)(-50%) + (0.2)(-5%) + (0.4)(16%) + (0.2)(25%) + (0.1)(60%)


= 11.40%.

2 = (-50% - 11.40%)2(0.1) + (-5% - 11.40%)2(0.2) + (16% - 11.40%)2(0.4)


+ (25% - 11.40%)2(0.2) + (60% - 11.40%)2(0.1)
2 = 712.44; = 26.69%.
CV =

6-2

26.69%
11.40%

= 2.34.

Investment
$35,000
40,000
Total $75,000

Beta
0.8
1.4

bp = ($35,000/$75,000)(0.8) + ($40,000/$75,000)(1.4) = 1.12.


6-3

kRF = 5%; RPM = 6%; kM = ?


kM = 5% + (6%)1 = 11%.
ks when b = 1.2 = ?
ks = 5% + 6%(1.2) = 12.2%.

6-4

kRF = 6%; kM = 13%; b = 0.7; ks = ?


ks = kRF + (kM - kRF)b
= 6% + (13% - 6%)0.7
= 10.9%. 6 - 5

6-5

M
a. k

= (0.3)(15%) + (0.4)(9%) + (0.3)(18%) = 13.5%.

J = (0.3)(20%) + (0.4)(5%) + (0.3)(12%) = 11.6%.


k
b. M = [(0.3)(15% - 13.5%)2 + (0.4)(9% - 13.5%)2 + (0.3)(18% - 13.5%)2]1/2
=
= 3.85%.
14.85%
J = [(0.3)(20% - 11.6%)2 + (0.4)(5% - 11.6%)2 + (0.3)(12% - 11.6%)2]1/2
= 6.22%.
=
38.64%

6-6

c. CVM =

3.85%
13.5%

= 0.29.

CVJ =

6.22%
11.6%

= 0.54.

a.

=
k

P k

i i

i 1=

Y
k

= 0.1(-35%) + 0.2(0%) + 0.4(20%) + 0.2(25%) + 0.1(45%)


= 14% versus 12% for X.

b. =

(k

)2 P .
k
i

i=1

2

= (-10% - 12%)2(0.1) + (2% - 12%)2(0.2) + (12% - 12%)2(0.4)
X

+ (20% - 12%)2(0.2) + (38% - 12%)2(0.1) = 148.8%.


X = 12.20% versus 20.35% for Y.

X = 12.20%/12% = 1.02, while


CVX = X/ k
CVY = 20.35%/14% = 1.45.
If Stock Y is less highly correlated with the market than X, then it
might have a lower beta than Stock X, and hence be less risky in a
portfolio sense.

6-7

a.

kA
12%
12%
7%
1.4

=
=
=
=
=

kRF + (kM - kRF)bA


5% + (10% - 5%)bA
5% + 5%(bA)
5%(bA)
bA.

b. kA = 5% + 5%(bA)
kA = 5% + 5%(2)
kA = 15%.
6-8

a. ki = kRF + (kM - kRF)bi = 9% + (14% - 9%)1.3 = 15.5%.


b. 1. kRF increases to 10%:
kM increases by 1 percentage point, from 14% to 15%.
ki = kRF + (kM - kRF)bi = 10% + (15% - 10%)1.3 = 16.5%.
2. kRF decreases to 8%:
kM decreases by 1%, from 14% to 13%.
ki = kRF + (kM - kRF)bi = 8% + (13% - 8%)1.3 = 14.5%.
c. 1. kM increases to 16%:
ki = kRF + (kM - kRF)bi = 9% + (16% - 9%)1.3 = 18.1%.
2. kM decreases to 13%:
ki = kRF + (kM - kRF)bi = 9% + (13% - 9%)1.3 = 14.2%.

6-9

$142,500
$7,500
(b) +
(1.00)
$150,000
$150,000
1.12 = 0.95b + 0.05
1.07 = 0.95b
1.1263 = b.

Old portfolio beta =

New portfolio beta = 0.95(1.1263) + 0.05(1.75) = 1.1575 1.16.


Alternative Solutions:
1. Old portfolio beta = 1.12 = (0.05)b1 + (0.05)b2 + ... + (0.05)b20
1.12 = (bi )(0.05)

= 1.12/0.05 = 22.4.

New portfolio beta = (22.4 - 1.0 + 1.75)(0.05) = 1.1575 1.16.

2.

excluding the stock with the beta equal to 1.0 is 22.4 - 1.0

=
21.4, so the beta of the portfolio excluding this stock is b =
21.4/19 = 1.1263. The beta of the new portfolio is:
1.1263(0.95) + 1.75(0.05) = 1.1575 1.16.

6-10

$400,000
$600,000
(1.50) +
(-0.50)
$4,000,000
$4,000,000
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
+
(1.25) +
(0.75)
$4,000,000
$4,000,000
= (0.1)(1.5) + (0.15)(-0.50) + (0.25)(1.25) + (0.5)(0.75)
= 0.15 - 0.075 + 0.3125 + 0.375 = 0.7625.

Portfolio beta =

kp = kRF + (kM - kRF)(bp) = 6% + (14% - 6%)(0.7625) = 12.1%.


Alternative solution: First, calculate the return for each stock using
the CAPM equation [kRF + (kM - kRF)b], and then calculate the weighted
average of these returns.
kRF = 6% and kM - kRF = 8%.
Stock
A
B
C
D
Total

Investment
$ 400,000
600,000
1,000,000
2,000,000
$4,000,000

Beta
1.50
(0.50)
1.25
0.75

k = kRF + (kM - kRF)b


18%
2
16
12

Weight
0.10
0.15
0.25
0.50
1.00

kp = 18%(0.10) + 2%(0.15) + 16%(0.25) + 12%(0.50) = 12.1%.


6-11

First, calculate the beta of what remains after selling the stock:
bp = 1.1 = ($100,000/$2,000,000)0.9 + ($1,900,000/$2,000,000)bR
1.1 = 0.045 + (0.95)bR
bR = 1.1105.
bN = (0.95)1.1105 + (0.05)1.4 = 1.125.

6-12

We know that bR = 1.50, bS = 0.75, kM = 13%, kRF = 7%.


ki = kRF + (kM - kRF)bi = 7% + (13% - 7%)bi.
kR = 7% + 6%(1.50) = 16.0%
kS = 7% + 6%(0.75) = 11.5
4.5%

6-13

a. ($1 million)(0.5) + ($0)(0.5) = $0.5 million.


b. You would probably take the sure $0.5 million.
c. Risk averter.
d. 1. ($1.15 million)(0.5)
profit of $75,000.

2. $75,000/$500,000 = 15%.

($0)(0.5)

$575,000,

or

an

expected

3. This depends on the individuals degree of risk aversion.


4. Again, this depends on the individual.
5. The situation would be unchanged if the stocks returns were
perfectly positively correlated.
Otherwise, the stock portfolio
would have the same expected return as the single stock (15
percent) but a lower standard deviation.
If the correlation
coefficient between each pair of stocks was a negative one, the
portfolio would be virtually riskless.
Since r for stocks is
generally in the range of +0.6 to +0.7, investing in a portfolio
of stocks would definitely be an improvement over investing in
the single stock.
6-14

a. k M = 0.1(7%) + 0.2(9%) + 0.4(11%) + 0.2(13%) + 0.1(15%) = 11%.


kRF = 6%.

(given)

Therefore, the SML equation is


ki = kRF + (kM - kRF)bi = 6% + (11% - 6%)bi = 6% + (5%)bi.
b. First, determine the funds beta, bF.
of funds invested in each stock.
A
B
C
D
E

The weights are the percentage

= $160/$500 = 0.32
= $120/$500 = 0.24
= $80/$500 = 0.16
= $80/$500 = 0.16
= $60/$500 = 0.12

bF = 0.32(0.5) + 0.24(2.0) + 0.16(4.0) + 0.16(1.0) + 0.12(3.0)


= 0.16 + 0.48 + 0.64 + 0.16 + 0.36 = 1.8.
Next, use bF = 1.8 in the SML determined in Part a:

F = 6% + (11% - 6%)1.8 = 6% + 9% = 15%.


k
c. kN = Required rate of return on new stock = 6% + (5%)2.0 = 16%.
An expected return of 15 percent on the new stock is below the 16
percent required rate of return on an investment with a risk of b =
N = 15%, the new stock should not be
2.0.
Since kN = 16% > k
purchased. The expected rate of return that would make the fund
indifferent to purchasing the stock is 16 percent.

6-15

The answers to a, b, c, and d are given below:


1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Mean
Std. Dev.
Coef. Var.

kA
(18.00%)
33.00
15.00
(0.50)
27.00

kB
(14.50%)
21.80
30.50
(7.60)
26.30

Portfolio
(16.25%)
27.40
22.75
(4.05)
26.65

11.30
20.79
1.84

11.30
20.78
1.84

11.30
20.13
1.78

e. A risk-averse investor would choose the portfolio over either Stock


A or Stock B alone, since the portfolio offers the same expected
return but with less risk. This result occurs because returns on A
and B are not perfectly positively correlated (rAB = 0.88).5

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