Hisashi Ogawa
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this paper/presentation are the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), or its Board of Governors, or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this paper and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of their use. Terminology used may not necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.
Outline
Brief Guides to Health Impact Assessment
Development of Health Impact Assessment in the Asia-Pacific Region
Economic
Environmental
Social
Health Impact
* WHO Definition: Health is a state of complete physical, mental and social well-being, and not merely the absence of disease or infirmity.
1980
1990
2000
Conducting HIA of environmental hazards*, 2000-2005: China, Fiji, Lao PDR, Malaysia, Mongolia, Philippines, Viet Nam
Regional Forum on Environment and Health in Southeast and East Asian Countries, 2004Present
Environmental Burden of Disease estimates**, 2006 Regional Forums Thematic Working Group on HIA, 2010 Asia-Pacific HIA Conference, 2007Present National strategy for EHIA, Solomon Islands, 2009
2000
2010
Exposure-effect relationships for air pollution: log (annual mortality rate of respiratory diseases)=0.3033 log(SO2)+0.964 log (annual mortality rate of cardiovascular diseases)=1.991 log(SO2)+2.7426 log (annual mortality rate of lung cancer)=0.5722 log(SO2)+0.3149
127,000 from respiratory diseases 205,000 from cardiovascular diseases 44,000 from lung cancer 376,000 in total Economic loss:
US$10.3 billion-19.3 billion (1.1%-2.0% of GDP)
Public Health Monitoring Study on Metro Manila Air Quality GIS important in identifying exposure risk areas in MMLA
Public Health Monitoring Study on Metro Manila Air Quality Motor vehicles are the major source of PM pollution in MMLA
Manila Observatory, Quezon CIty (Mixed, Dry Season)
Apportionment by station
Good Shepherd Retreat House, Antipolo (Background, Dry Season) Biomass: 0.134 0.068 Oil: 0.089 0.062 Traffic: 0.523 0.159
ATENEO
Biomass: Zinc: 0.001 0 0.049 0.045 Tin: 0.005 0.003 Construction: 0.006 0.007
Nitrate: 0.013 0.012 Traffic: 0.749 0.095 Sulphate: 0.07 0.021
Biomass: 0.049 0.045 Lead: 0 0 Seasalt: 0.003 0.003 Tin: 0.002 0.001 Nitrate: 0.011 0.008
PGH
Oil: 0.018 0.006 Soil: 0.008 0.008 Zinc: 0.003 0.002 Construction: 0.013 0.016 Sulphate: 0.065 0.03
Traffic emissions are main sources of PM Contribution of industries are evident in Valenzuela PM in Antipolo station reflects a mix of sources
China, 2005 - Transport and Health (traffic-related air pollution; noise; road traffic injuries; and physical activity) Viet Nam, 2005 Health and Environmental Impacts of Pesticide Application Regional Workshop on Health and Environment Linkages (HELI) in Agriculture, 2006
4.5
1995
2000
2010
2020
The proportion of motor vehicle emission to the whole air pollution was 79% in 2005, and is increasing.
Lead poisoning in children is also common in China. However, after 6 months from the compulsory use of unleaded gasoline in 2000, the proportion of the lead poisoning in children aged 1-6 years decreased by about 13%.
Vehicle exhaust has become one of the main air pollution sources in many big cities
Transport 23.5%
Traffic policemen who are exposed to noise of 73.8 76.8dB(A) showed that the incidence of hearing impairment was 23.8%, which was nearly three times higher than general population.
600000 550000 500000 450000 400000 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0
40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 197819811984198719901993199619992002
197819811984198719901993199619992002
The number of casualties in road traffic accident
In 2002, the number of deaths on roads in China represented 9.3% of the total number of deaths in the world. The estimated annual cost of traffic injuries in China is equivalent to US$12.5 billion, almost four times the amount of the total public health services budget for the country.
Vehicle technologies: cleaner engine & fuel, and safety devices Driver-Pressure Motorization Increased private motor vehicles
Lifestyle change
Air pollution (PM, NOx, O3) Increased population Urbanization GHG emissions Noise
Traffic crash
Hearing impairment
Injury Social inclusion and well-being Heat-related; vector-, water-, and food-borne diseases
Barriers in transport
Increased heat wave, water shortage, rainfall, flooding
* From J. J. de Hartog, et al. 2010. Do the health benefits of cycling outweigh the risks? Environmental Health Perspectives, Vol. 118, No. 8, pp1109-1116.
*Observed: as of 2009 when the data were available. Projected: planned or desired level after 5 years. Assumed statistical value of life: 466,000,000KRW
12.7
13.2 12.3
2005
2006
2008
2009
Air Pollution
80 12 70 10 60
8
50
30 4 20 2 10
0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 NO2 2004 2005 O3 2006 CO 2007 2008 2009 Pm10 SO2
Future Prospects
More developing countries in Asia and the Pacific to develop systems and strengthen capacity for HIA in EIA Further experiences in applying HIA to social and economic determinants Country-level (or city-level) HIAs of priority environmental hazards and of development sectors (transport, housing, etc.) Further development of national HIA policies and institutions, if appropriate, through TWG activities