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DATA CURAH HUJAN HARIAN RATA-RATA

JAKARTA SELATAN 2000 - 2010


TAHUN 2000
JAN
11
37
4
2
14
5
20
32
2
15
2
19
14

FEB
3
35
28
33
13

MAR

7
9
5

APR

80
14
1
10

5
24
19
10
4

30

JUNI

JULI

AGS

3
2
24

17

4
2

3
3

7
15
25

2
3
16

14
3
53

NOV
2

DES

60
20
3

16
3
2

14
1
35
3

7
1
60
27
13

6
2
15
4

42
4
9
26

18
12

4
11

4
10

21

10
13
17

12

2
5

OKT

54
1

57
12
5

SEP

3
50

MEI
58

19
2
5

5
33
53
2

16
3
15
13

30
4
7

9
19
2
1
1
6

3
5
4
5
14

7
10
12
5
4

DATA CURAH HUJAN HARIAN RATA-RATA


JAKARTA SELATAN 2000 - 2010
TAHUN 2001
JAN

FEB
5
13

MAR

APR
8

8
1
10

9
8
7
15

15
2
5
2
1
60

2
15
2
40
24
2
4
14
3
1
8
2

7
50
10

3
14
18
6
5
3
23
1
1

30
1
2

66
2

36
6
5
3
3
9
11
6
2
1

MEI

JUNI

28

17
1

76
1

1
59
16
16
8
3
13
45
29
7
4
6
22

5
2
40

JULI

AGS

SEP

2
46
3
55
1

OKT

NOV

124
12

11
7
1

3
15

64
3

25

50

24
12
2
1

2
1
2
1

DES
2

3
1

10
10
40
20

1
5
1
2
62
8

2
1
32

23

32

20
60

3
2
6
1
1
1

17
14

10

15
7
7
4
11

12

28
2

2
2
41

DATA CURAH HUJAN HARIAN RATA-RATA


JAKARTA SELATAN 2000 - 2010
TAHUN 2002
JAN
29
28
2
17
7
16
3
12
19
32
7
1
42
67
28
17
2
9
51
12
64
81
1
1
15
83
42
47
90
8

FEB
67
56
22
37
16
18
13
3
31
8
21
48
5
12
3
11
1
2
7
8
1

MAR
45
17

APR
6

MEI

JUNI

JULI

AGS

SEP

OKT

NOV

4
10
4

1
16
2
28
10

26
5
16

4
5
40

56

16
1
7

55
3

10
2

15
36

1
1

34
38
34
41

1
56
7
5

1
6
3

18
17

2
3
19
6

DES

12
9
5

DATA CURAH HUJAN HARIAN RATA-RATA


JAKARTA SELATAN 2000 - 2010
TAHUN 2003
JAN

FEB

MAR

APR

MEI

JUNI

JULI

AGS

SEP

OKT

NOV

DES

DATA CURAH HUJAN HARIAN RATA-RATA


JAKARTA SELATAN 2000 - 2010
TAHUN 2004
JAN

FEB

MAR

APR

MEI

JUNI

JULI

AGS

SEP

OKT

NOV

DES

DATA CURAH HUJAN HARIAN RATA-RATA


JAKARTA SELATAN 2000 - 2010
TAHUN 2005
JAN
3

FEB

MAR
17

47

15

32
5
14
2
4

16
2
2
13

28
60
68
2
2
28
19
39
4
3
87

18
4
52
10
34
4

14
30
5

JUNI

JULI
58

SEP

OKT
67

4
3
6
36

6
4

2
3
3

18

3
2
16
68
24
29
2

5
1
57
28

8
4
40

12
2

5
13
16
20

53
2
1

100

12
20

2
2
5
2

2
1

28
14
22

6
1

27

2
5

9
30

45

2
22
3
10

DES
16

30

39
17
2
8

NOV
2

1
51

28
19
8

AGS
3
30
11
6

50
14

14
3

7
2
43

MEI

23
40

2
10
20
7

APR

14
2
21

49
7
4
2
2

31

DATA CURAH HUJAN HARIAN RATA-RATA


JAKARTA SELATAN 2000 - 2010
TAHUN 2006
JAN
1

FEB

2
3

MAR
3
13
7
19
2
13

APR

MEI
38
11

11
3
1
40
2
46
27
1
3
20
9
18
27
3
38
16
23
4

JULI

AGS

SEP

OKT

NOV
10
5

23
2

13
15

19
10
7
8

4
2

7
5

5
2
10

59
30
15
5
9
10
41
10
5

23
2
2
21
32
38
5
11
2
8

DES
6
9
5

19

8
2
1

JUNI

72
3
23
3
9

49

61
6

23
39
3
43

17
9
23

14
16
7

5
10
3
11

3
31

4
31

24
11
2

49
5
4

5
7

8
20

21
19
14

7
33
35

DATA CURAH HUJAN HARIAN RATA-RATA


JAKARTA SELATAN 2000 - 2010
TAHUN 2007
JAN
4
26
2

FEB
82
178
86
33
26
76
3
58
58

MAR
5
5
14
3
4
12
3
6
18
30

APR

3
52
35
21

MEI
2
2

JUNI
2
5

11
5
4

52
3

JULI

AGS

SEP

OKT

NOV
57
12
6

4
73
5

3
3
47
3

8
4

25
4
27
19
49
28

DES
12
4
3
109
15
58
72

5
8

6
21
11
37
83

21
4
47

4
3
29
14
4
19
5
3

3
7

4
2

16
4

42

6
1

5
2
11

3
7
12
21
27
41
6

24
42
5

37
9

3
23
3
1

19
15
4
16

21
16
43
23

4
2
20

13
56
10
8

27
11

21
58
4
36
17
9
4
9
3
2

DATA CURAH HUJAN HARIAN RATA-RATA


JAKARTA SELATAN 2000 - 2010
TAHUN 2008
JAN
17
36
11
36
3
11
18

15
12

FEB
18
168
88
5
49
14
39
19
46
22
5
15
8
19
20
21
7
37
4
12
5
2
6
8
4
42
12
3

MAR
35

APR
2

2
9
15

15
4
12
2

MEI
26

14
4
51

JUNI

JULI

AGS

SEP
29
5

OKT

17
10
66

5
7
8
4
90
14
6
4

7
8

10

39
40
32

5
3
4

28

19

5
14
4
3
5

8
21
14
4

12
40
1
3

5
7
12
8
10
2

DES
3

3
6
6
13

17

10
2
8

NOV
4
3
4
32
11
4

2
3
3
5
21
7
2
6
4
6
14
5

71
4
39

29
11

14

28

8
11
7
13

4
5
14
21

DATA CURAH HUJAN HARIAN RATA-RATA


JAKARTA SELATAN 2000 - 2010
TAHUN 2009
JAN
10

7
17
4
3
6
59
29
65
4
2
4
11
2
3
10
2
2
14

FEB
12
38
19
22
4
18
9
5
3
5
2

MAR
9

APR
43

JUNI

4
11
45

20

2
29

AGS

SEP

OKT

51
87
6

10
2
4

15
9
61

45

28
3
10

15
38
41
48

62
2

48
1
2

6
38

22

4
18
3
42

10

3
45

20
56
16

50
2
2

10
77

5
17

DES
7
3

31
6

29
3

53

NOV

3
42
19

26

11
5
9

JULI

14
25
21

MEI
9

39

13

28
23
6

40
2
5
10
2
2
20

1
2

DATA CURAH HUJAN HARIAN RATA-RATA


JAKARTA SELATAN 2000 - 2010
TAHUN 2010
JAN
3

FEB
1
4

MAR
7
19

APR

MEI

JUNI
9

23
9
35
3
1
10
31
6
9
11
31
5
18
13
7

2
2
4
3
29

AGS

4
9
20
1

30

1
19
1
17
37
1
78
3
6
9
14
1
3
25

40
30
28
28
4

3
1
1

35

NOV

29

38

24
4

35

8
2
40
40

50
40
13

58
21
25

73
8
44

14
7
4

4
20
11
10

4
2

2
20
1
20
9
16
2

39
1

1
26
8
38
9

1
4

1
4
20
12
31
64
9
27
4

4
3
2

1
10
0
4
4
0

8
15
57

2
1
21

7
31
6

2
10
8

30
0
37
3

3
35

12
10

23
9

18
8

DES

7
1
12
1
5
8

OKT
4
25
50
62

20

1
1

15

SEP

5
7

JULI

5
5
8

119
49

4
26

28
20
1
16
18
28

8
12
4
7
10
17
7

Tahun
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

Curah Hujan
80
124
90
95
127
100
72
178
168
87
119

no

R (mm)

Tr

(Xi-Xa)

(Xi-Xa)^2

Kt

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

72
80
87
90
95
100
119
124
127
168
178

12.0
6.0
4.0
3.0
2.4
2.0
1.7
1.5
1.3
1.2
1.1

0.08
0.17
0.25
0.33
0.42
0.50
0.58
0.67
0.75
0.83
0.92

-40.73
-32.73
-25.73
-22.73
-17.73
-12.73
6.27
11.27
14.27
55.27
65.27

1658.71
1071.07
661.89
516.53
314.26
161.98
39.35
127.07
203.71
3055.07
4260.53
12070.18

1.35
0.93
0.67
0.41
0.20
0.00
-0.22
-0.44
-0.67
-1.00
-1.39

Average = Xa
Stdev
Count

112.73
34.74
11
0.91
0.13

Skew

Sy = Si

Normal

Xt
159.70
144.97
136.00
127.06
119.68
112.73
105.21
97.40
89.62
78.08
64.28
Total
Deviasi
% Error

Normal

Deviasi Kuadrat Persentase Error


7691.06
121.80
4220.84
81.21
2401.44
56.33
1373.71
41.18
608.89
25.97
161.98
12.73
190.24
11.59
707.70
21.45
1396.99
29.43
8084.82
53.52
12932.75
63.89
39770.43
519.11
63.06
47.19

(Yi-Ya)

(Yi-Ya)^2

1.86
1.90
1.94
1.95
1.98
2.00
2.08
2.09
2.10
2.23
2.25
2.03

-0.18
-0.13
-0.10
-0.08
-0.06
-0.03
0.04
0.06
0.07
0.19
0.22

0.0314
0.0173
0.0090
0.0065
0.0032
0.0012
0.0017
0.0035
0.0048
0.0364
0.0466
0.1615

Log Normal

Yt
2.2064
2.1525
2.1197
2.0870
2.0600
2.0346
2.0071
1.9785
1.9501
1.9079
1.8573

Xt
160.85
142.08
131.74
122.19
114.82
108.29
101.64
95.17
89.14
80.88
72.00
Total
Deviasi
% Error

Deviasi Kuadrat
7893.62
3853.55
2002.11
1036.04
392.66
68.70
301.30
831.12
1433.47
7589.47
11235.46
36637.50
60.53

Normal

Gumbel

Persentase Error
123.40
77.60
51.43
35.76
20.86
8.29
14.59
23.25
29.81
51.86
59.55
496.39
45.13

Yt
2.442
1.702
1.246
0.903
0.618
0.367
0.133
-0.094
-0.327
-0.583
-0.910

Yn
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996

Sn
0.9676
0.9676
0.9676
0.9676
0.9676
0.9676
0.9676
0.9676
0.9676
0.9676
0.9676

Xt
Deviasi Kuadrat Presentase Error
182.4599
12201.40
153.42
155.8995
5760.73
94.87
139.5235
2758.72
60.37
127.2015
1383.95
41.34
116.9801
483.13
23.14
107.9487
63.18
7.95
99.56416
377.75
16.33
91.41205
1061.97
26.28
83.06091
1930.64
34.60
73.84886
8864.44
56.04
62.10643
13431.32
65.11
Total
48317.24
579.45
Deviasi
69.51
% Error
52.68

Log X
1.86
1.90
1.94
1.95
1.98
2.00
2.08
2.09
2.10
2.23
2.25
2.03

Log Person

(Log X - Log Xa)^3


-0.005569
-0.002274
-0.000859
-0.000519
-0.000184
-0.000041
0.000069
0.000204
0.000332
0.006938
0.010055
0.008152

G
1.350358
0.928765
0.557068
0.274784
0.105413
-0.0075
-0.0075
-0.0075
-0.0075
-0.0075
-0.0075

Log Xi Deviasi Kuadrat Presentase Error

R
2.206202 4871.174287
96.93583103
1.43
-49.2525
2.152621 6060.214453
97.30922404
0.81
-27.8983
2.105381 7207.096283
97.58002149
0.44
-15.1546
2.069505 7731.771891
97.70054962
0.17
-5.8552
2.04798
8640.078066
97.84423183
-0.04
1.377693
2.033629 9597.409773
97.96637062
-0.22
7.577312
2.033629 13681.13186
98.29106775
-0.39
13.43251
2.033629 14875.79556
98.35997631
-0.54
18.59886
2.033629 15616.59379
98.39871703
-0.69667 23.99482
2.033629 27544.83618
98.78950632
-0.85
29.27598
2.033629 30964.16359
98.85751159
-1.04273 35.91395
Total
146790.27
1078.03
Total
Deviasi
121.16
Deviasi
% Error
98.00
% Error

Haspers

Haspers

Deviasi Kuadrat Persentase Error


14702.17488 168.4062851
11642.03959 134.8728544
10435.56703 117.4191071
9188.218468 106.5057726
8765.136365 98.54979683
8541.953335 92.42268842
11144.4956 88.71217909
11109.40122 85.00092283
10610.06711 81.10644095
19244.35468 82.57382348
20188.44504 79.82362248
135571.85
1135.39
111.01
103.22

Utk Interpolasi

Nilai Variabel Reduksi Gauss

No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

Periode Ulang
Peluang
T tahun
1.001
0.999
1.005
0.995
1.010
0.990
1.050
0.950
1.110
0.900
1.250
0.800
1.330
0.750
1.430
0.700
1.670
0.600
2.000
0.500
2.500
0.400
3.330
0.300
4.000
0.250
5.000
0.200
10.000
0.100
20.000
0.050
50.000
0.020
100.000
0.010
200.000
0.005
500.000
0.002
1000.000
0.001

KT*

-3.05
-2.58
-2.33
-1.64
-1.28
-0.84
-0.67
-0.52
-0.25
0
0.25
0.52
0.67
0.84
1.28
1.64
2.05
2.33
2.58
2.88
3.09

KT*/T

117.500
50.000
17.250
6.000
3.143
2.125
1.500
1.125
0.758
0.500
0.325
0.224
0.170
0.088
0.036
0.014
0.006
0.003
0.001
0.000
0.003

Tr =
Kt =

12
1.352

Tr =
Kt =

6
0.928

Tr =
Kt =

4
0.67

Tr =
Kt =

3
0.412651

Tr =
Kt =

2.4
0.2

Tr =
Kt =

2
0

Tr =
Kt =

1.714286
-0.21645

Tr =
Kt =

1.5
-0.44125

Tr =
Kt =

1.333333
-0.665

Tr =
Kt =

1.2
-0.99714

Tr =
Kt =

1.090909
-1.39455

Sumber: Suripin, 2004

* digunakan utk Metode Normal & Log Normal

Cs =

0.044123
Nilai G interpolasi antara Coef Cs 0.0 - 0.1

2
5
10
25
50
100
0
0
0.842
1.282
1.751
2.054
2.326
0.044123 -0.007501 0.839353 1.286412 1.766002 2.077385 2.358651
0.1
-0.017
0.836
1.292
1.785
2.107
2.4

Tr
1.090909
1.2
1.333333
1.5
1.714286
2
2.4
3
4
5
6
10
12
25

G
-0.007501
-0.007501
-0.007501
-0.007501
-0.007501
-0.007501
0.105413
0.274784
0.557068
0.839353
0.928765
1.286412
1.350358
1.766002

Standard Variable untuk setiap harga Return Period


T = Return Period dan = Standard Variate
T

1.00

-1.86

0.81

38

2.49

94

3.37

1.01

-1.35

0.88

39

2.51

96

3.39

1.02

-1.26

0.95

40

2.54

98

3.41

1.03

-1.23

1.01

41

2.56

100

3.43

1.04

-1.19

1.06

42

2.59

110

3.53

1.05

-1.15

1.17

43

2.61

120

3.62

1.06

-1.12

10

1.26

44

2.63

130

3.70

1.08

-1.07

11

1.35

45

2.65

140

3.77

1.10

-1.02

12

1.43

46

2.67

150

3.84

1.15

-0.93

13

1.50

47

2.69

160

3.91

1.20

-0.85

14

1.57

48

2.71

170

3.97

1.25

-0.79

15

1.63

49

2.73

180

4.03

1.30

-0.73

16

1.69

50

2.75

190

4.09

1.35

-0.68

17

1.74

52

2.79

200

4.14

1.40

-0.63

18

1.80

54

2.83

220

4.24

1.50

-0.54

19

1.85

56

2.86

240

4.33

1.60

-0.46

20

1.89

58

2.90

260

4.42

1.70

-0.40

21

1.94

60

2.93

280

4.50

1.80

-0.33

22

1.98

62

2.96

300

4.57

1.90

-0.28

23

2.02

64

2.99

350

4.77

2.00

-0.22

24

2.06

66

3.02

400

4.88

2.20

-0.13

25

2.10

68

3.05

450

5.01

2.40

-0.04

26

2.13

70

3.08

500

5.13

2.60

0.04

27

2.17

72

3.11

600

5.33

2.80

0.11

28

2.19

74

3.13

700

5.51

3.00

0.17

29

2.24

76

3.16

800

5.56

3.20

0.24

30

2.27

78

3.18

900

5.80

3.40

0.29

31

2.30

80

3.21

1000

5.92

3.60

0.34

32

2.33

82

3.23

5000

7.90

3.80

0.39

33

2.36

84

3.26

10000

8.83

4.00

0.44

34

2.39

86

3.28

50000

11.08

4.50

0.55

35

2.41

88

3.30

80000

12.32

5.00

0.64

36

2.44

90

3.33

500000

13.74

5.50

0.73

37

2.47

92

3.35

Tr
12
6
4
3
2.4
2
1.714286
1.5
1.333333
1.2
1.090909
Ra =
R1 =
R2 =
Sx =
T1 =
T2 =
1 =
2 =


1.43
0.81
0.44
0.17
-0.04
-0.22
-0.39
-0.54
-0.69667
-0.85
-1.04273
112.73
72
80
-34.4423
12
6
1.43
0.81

Curah Hujan Rancangan dengan Metode Gumbel


Tr
2
5
10
20
25
50

Yt
0.2665
1.4999
2.2502
2.9606
3.1985
3.9019

Yn

Sn

0.4996

0.9676

Xt
104.3577
148.6435
175.5835
201.0907
209.6326
234.8886

Curah Hujan Rancangan Metode Gumbel


Tr
2
5
10
20
25
50

Yt
0.2665
1.4999
2.2502
2.9606
3.1985
3.9019

Yn

Sn

0.4996

0.9676

Xt
104.3577
148.6435
175.5835
201.0907
209.6326
234.8886

Mengubah curah hujan menitan menjadi jam-jaman


Metode Gumbel
T ( year )

60

120

180

240

300

(mm/hour)
360

2
5
10
20
25
50

2.360586
3.362339
3.971723
4.548702
4.741921
5.313214

1.487076
2.118141
2.502029
2.865502
2.987223
3.347115

1.134852
1.616444
1.909405
2.186788
2.279678
2.554327

0.936799
1.334345
1.576179
1.805153
1.881833
2.10855

0.807309
1.149904
1.35831
1.555634
1.621714
1.817094

0.714912
1.018296
1.20285
1.37759
1.436107
1.609125

Perhitungan Intensitas Hujan


Periode Ulang 2 tahun
t

(jam)

(mm/jam)

1
2
3
4
5
6

2.360586
1.487076
1.134852
0.936799
0.807309
0.714912
7.44

I*t

I^2

2.360586
2.974153
3.404555
3.747197
4.036546
4.28947
20.81

5.572369
2.211396
1.287888
0.877593
0.651748
0.511099
11.11

I^2 * t

Log t

Log I

No.

1
2
3
4
5
6
Sum

Log t *
Log I

5.572369
0
0.37302
0
0
4.422792 0.30103 0.172333 0.051877 0.090619
3.863665 0.477121 0.054939 0.026213 0.227645
3.510372 0.60206 -0.02835 -0.01707 0.362476
3.258741 0.69897 -0.09296 -0.06498 0.488559
3.066593 0.778151 -0.14575 -0.11341 0.605519
23.69
2.86
0.33
-0.12
1.77

Formula Prof. Talbot (1881) :

a
I
t b

[I . t] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t] [I ]
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

[ I ] [ I . t ] N [ I 2t ]
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

N=
a=
b=

6
4.864224
1.125149

Formula Prof. Sherman (tahun 1905):

a
tn

log a

[log I ] [(log t ) 2 ] [log t . log I ] [log t ]


N [(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]

N=
log a =
n=
a=

[log I ] [log t ] N[log t . log I ]


N[(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]

Formula Dr. Ishiguro (tahun 1953) :

a
[I . t ] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t ] [I ]
a
I
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]
t b
b

[I ] [I . t ] [I 2 . t ] N
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]

Perhitungan Intensitas Hujan


Periode Ulang 5 tahun

(Log t)^2

N=
a=
b=

6
1.524323
-0.36461

6
0.37302
0.666667
2.360586

(jam)

(mm/jam)

1
2
3
4
5
6

3.362339
2.118141
1.616444
1.334345
1.149904
1.018296
10.60

I*t

I^2

3.362339
4.236282
4.849332
5.33738
5.749519
6.109775
29.64

11.30532
4.48652
2.612891
1.780477
1.322279
1.036927
22.54

I^2 * t

Log t

Log I

No.

1
2
3
4
5
6
Sum

Log t *
Log I

(Log t)^2

11.30532
0
0.526641
0
0
8.973041 0.30103 0.325955 0.098122 0.090619
7.838673 0.477121 0.208561 0.099509 0.227645
7.121907 0.60206 0.125268 0.075419 0.362476
6.611393 0.69897 0.060661 0.042401 0.488559
6.221559 0.778151 0.007874 0.006127 0.605519
48.07
2.86
1.25
0.32
1.77

Formula Prof. Talbot (1881) :

a
I
t b

[I . t] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t] [I ]
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

[ I ] [ I . t ] N [ I 2t ]
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

N=
a=
b=

6
6.928435
1.125149

Formula Prof. Sherman (tahun 1905):

a
tn

log a

[log I ] [(log t ) 2 ] [log t . log I ] [log t ]


N [(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]

N=
log a =
n=
a=

[log I ] [log t ] N[log t . log I ]


N[(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]

6
0.526641
0.666667
3.362339

Formula Dr. Ishiguro (tahun 1953) :

a
[I . t ] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t ] [I ]
a
I
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]
t b
b

[I ] [I . t ] [I 2 . t ] N
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]

N=
a=
b=

6
2.171194
-0.36461

Perhitungan Intensitas Hujan


Periode Ulang 10 tahun
t

(jam)

(mm/jam)

No.

I*t

I^2

I^2 * t

Log t

Log I

Log t *
Log I

(Log t)^2

1
2
3
4
5
6

1
2
3
4
5
6

3.971723
2.502029
1.909405
1.576179
1.35831
1.20285
12.52

Sum

3.971723
5.004058
5.728216
6.304718
6.791552
7.2171
35.02

15.77459
6.260149
3.645829
2.484342
1.845007
1.446848
31.46

15.77459
0
0.598979
0
0
12.5203 0.30103 0.398292 0.119898 0.090619
10.93749 0.477121 0.280898 0.134022 0.227645
9.937367 0.60206 0.197606 0.11897 0.362476
9.225034 0.69897 0.132999 0.092962 0.488559
8.68109 0.778151 0.080211 0.062417 0.605519
67.08
2.86
1.69
0.53
1.77

Formula Prof. Talbot (1881) :

a
I
t b

[I . t] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t] [I ]
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

[ I ] [ I . t ] N [ I 2t ]
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

N=
a=
b=

6
8.184132
1.125149

Formula Prof. Sherman (tahun 1905):

a
tn

[log I ] [(log t ) 2 ] [log t . log I ] [log t ]


log a
N [(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]

N=
log a =
n=
a=

[log I ] [log t ] N[log t . log I ]


N[(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]

6
0.598979
0.666667
3.971723

Formula Dr. Ishiguro (tahun 1953) :

a
[I . t ] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t ] [I ]
a

I
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]
t b
b

[I ] [I . t ] [I 2 . t ] N
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]

N=
a=
b=

6
2.564698
-0.36461

Perhitungan Intensitas Hujan


Periode Ulang 20 tahun
t

(jam)

(mm/jam)

No.

1
2
3

1
2
3

I*t

I^2

I^2 * t

Log t

Log I

Log t *
Log I

(Log t)^2

4.548702 4.548702 20.69069 20.69069


0
0.657887
0
0
2.865502 5.731005 8.211104 16.42221 0.30103 0.457201 0.137631 0.090619
2.186788 6.560363 4.78204 14.34612 0.477121 0.339807 0.162129 0.227645

4
5
6

4
5
6

1.805153 7.220614 3.258579 13.03432 0.60206 0.256514 0.154437 0.362476


1.555634 7.77817 2.419997 12.09999 0.69897 0.191907 0.134138 0.488559
1.37759 8.265539 1.897754 11.38652 0.778151 0.13912 0.108256 0.605519
14.34
40.10
41.26
87.98
2.86
2.04
0.70
1.77

Sum

Formula Prof. Talbot (1881) :

a
t b

[I . t] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t] [I ]
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

N=
a=
b=

[ I ] [ I . t ] N [ I 2t ]
b
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

6
9.373053
1.125149

Formula Prof. Sherman (tahun 1905):

a
tn

[log I ] [(log t ) 2 ] [log t . log I ] [log t ]


log a
N [(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]

N=
log a =
n=
a=

[log I ] [log t ] N[log t . log I ]


N[(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]

6
0.657887
0.666667
4.548702

Formula Dr. Ishiguro (tahun 1953) :

a
[I . t ] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t ] [I ]
a
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]
t b
b

[I ] [I . t ] [I 2 . t ] N
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]

N=
a=
b=

6
2.937275
-0.36461

Perhitungan Intensitas Hujan


Periode Ulang 25 tahun
t

(jam)

(mm/jam)

1
2
3
4
5
6

4.741921
2.987223
2.279678
1.881833
1.621714
1.436107
14.95

I*t

I^2

4.741921
5.974446
6.839034
7.527331
8.108571
8.616643
41.81

22.48582
8.923502
5.196931
3.541294
2.629957
2.062404
44.84

No.

1
2
3
4
5
6
Sum

I^2 * t

Log t

Log I

Log t *
Log I

(Log t)^2

22.48582
0
0.675954
0
0
17.847 0.30103 0.475268 0.14307 0.090619
15.59079 0.477121 0.357873 0.170749 0.227645
14.16518 0.60206 0.274581 0.165314 0.362476
13.14978 0.69897 0.209974 0.146766 0.488559
12.37442 0.778151 0.157187 0.122315 0.605519
95.61
2.86
2.15
0.75
1.77

Formula Prof. Talbot (1881) :

[I . t] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t] [I ]
a
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

a
I
t b

N=
a=
b=

[ I ] [ I . t ] N [ I 2t ]
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

6
9.771201
1.125149

Formula Prof. Sherman (tahun 1905):

a
tn

log a

[log I ] [(log t ) 2 ] [log t . log I ] [log t ]


N [(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]

N=
log a =
n=
a=

[log I ] [log t ] N[log t . log I ]


N[(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]

6
0.675954
0.666667
4.741921

Formula Dr. Ishiguro (tahun 1953) :

a
[I . t ] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t ] [I ]
a
I
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]
t b
b

[I ] [I . t ] [I 2 . t ] N
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]

N=
a=
b=

6
3.062044
-0.36461

Perhitungan Intensitas Hujan


Periode Ulang 50 tahun
t

(jam)

(mm/jam)

1
2
3
4
5
6

5.313214
3.347115
2.554327
2.10855
1.817094
1.609125
16.75

I*t

I^2

5.313214
6.69423
7.662981
8.434202
9.085468
9.654751
46.84

28.23024
11.20318
6.524586
4.445985
3.301829
2.589284
56.30

I^2 * t

Log t

No.

1
2
3
4
5
6
Sum

[I . t] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t] [I ]
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

Log t *
Log I

(Log t)^2

28.23024
0
0.725357
0
0
22.40636 0.30103 0.524671 0.157942 0.090619
19.57376 0.477121 0.407276 0.19432 0.227645
17.78394 0.60206 0.323984 0.195058 0.362476
16.50915 0.69897 0.259377 0.181297 0.488559
15.5357 0.778151 0.20659 0.160758 0.605519
120.04
2.86
2.45
0.89
1.77

Formula Prof. Talbot (1881) :

a
I
t b

Log I

N=

a
t b

[I . t] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t] [I ]
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

[ I ] [ I . t ] N [ I 2t ]
b
N[ I 2 ] [ I ] [ I ]

a=
b=

10.94841
1.125149

Formula Prof. Sherman (tahun 1905):

a
tn

[log I ] [(log t ) 2 ] [log t . log I ] [log t ]


log a
N [(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]
n

N=
log a =
n=
a=

[log I ] [log t ] N[log t . log I ]


N[(log t ) 2 ] [log t ] [log t ]

Formula Dr. Ishiguro (tahun 1953) :

a
[I . t ] [I 2 ] [I 2 . t ] [I ]
a
I
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]
t b
b

[I . t] 2 a
aI2
N[It]b

[I ] . t N 2
b 2
N[ I ]

[I ] [I . t ] [I 2 . t ] N
N[I 2 ] [I ] [I ]

N=
a=
b=

6
3.430951
-0.36461

6
0.725357
0.666667
5.313214

[logI](t)2a.
logIa2tn
N[(logt)]
[logI]tN.
n 2
N[(logt)]

[I . t ] 2 a
aI2
N[I]tb
[I ] . t 2 N
b 2
N[I ]

Uji kecocokan rumus-rumus Intensitas Curah Hujan


Periode Ulang 2 Tahun
t

I*t

I^2 *t

I1

(I1-I)^2

(I1-I)/I*100

(jam)

(mm/jam)

(Talbot)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

1
2
3
4
5
6

2.360586
1.487076
1.134852
0.936799
0.807309
0.714912
7.441535

2.288886
1.556477
1.179163
0.949089
0.79414
0.682684

0.005141
0.004817
0.001964
0.000151
0.000173
0.001039
0.013284

3.037401
4.666951
3.904614
1.311902
1.631288
4.507956
19.06011

Deviasi
% Error

0.05

No.

1
1.414214
1.732051
2
2.236068
2.44949
10.83

2.360586
2.103043
1.965621
1.873599
1.805198
1.751169
11.86

5.572369
3.127386
2.230688
1.755186
1.457353
1.251931
15.39

1
2
3
4
5
6
Sum

3.18

Uji kecocokan rumus-rumus Intensitas Curah Hujan


Periode Ulang 5 Tahun

I*t

I^2 *t

I1

(I1-I)^2

(I1-I)/I*100

(jam)

(mm/jam)

(Talbot)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

1
2
3
4
5
6

3.362339
2.118141
1.616444
1.334345
1.149904
1.018296
10.59947

3.260211
2.216993
1.67956
1.35185
1.131145
0.972392

0.01043
0.009772
0.003984
0.000306
0.000352
0.002107
0.026951

3.037401
4.666951
3.904614
1.311902
1.631288
4.507956
19.06011

Deviasi
% Error

0.07

No.

1
1.414214
1.732051
2
2.236068
2.44949
10.83

3.362339
2.995503
2.799763
2.66869
2.571263
2.494305
16.89

11.30532
6.344898
4.52566
3.560954
2.956705
2.539941
31.23

1
2
3
4
5
6
Sum

3.18

Uji kecocokan rumus-rumus Intensitas Curah Hujan


Periode Ulang 10 Tahun
t

I*t

I^2 *t

I1

(I1-I)^2

(I1-I)/I*100

(jam)

(mm/jam)

(Talbot)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

No.

1
1.414214
1.732051
2
2.236068
2.44949
10.83

3.971723
3.538403
3.307187
3.152359
3.037274
2.946369
19.95

15.77459
8.853188
6.314762
4.968684
4.125561
3.54404
43.58

1
2
3
4
5
6

1
2
3
4
5
6
Sum

3.971723
2.502029
1.909405
1.576179
1.35831
1.20285
12.5205

3.851086
2.618797
1.98396
1.596857
1.336152
1.148626

0.014553
0.013635
0.005558
0.000428
0.000491
0.00294
0.037605

Deviasi
% Error

0.09

3.037401
4.666951
3.904614
1.311902
1.631288
4.507956
19.06011

3.18

Uji kecocokan rumus-rumus Intensitas Curah Hujan


Periode Ulang 20 Tahun
t

I*t

I^2 *t

I1

(I1-I)^2

(I1-I)/I*100

(jam)

(mm/jam)

(Talbot)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

No.

1
4.548702 20.69069
1.414214 4.052432 11.61226
1.732051 3.787627 8.282737

1
2
3

1
2
3

4.548702 4.410539 0.019089 3.037401


2.865502 2.999234 0.017884 4.666951
2.186788 2.272173 0.007291 3.904614

2
3.610307 6.517158
2.236068 3.478504 5.411279
2.44949 3.374392 4.648529
10.83
22.85
57.16

4
5
6

4
5
6
Sum

1.805153 1.828835 0.000561 1.311902


1.555634 1.530257 0.000644 1.631288
1.37759 1.315489 0.003857 4.507956
14.33937
0.049325 19.06011
Deviasi
% Error

0.10
3.18

Uji kecocokan rumus-rumus Intensitas Curah Hujan


Periode Ulang 25 Tahun
t

I*t

I^2 *t

I1

(I1-I)^2

(I1-I)/I*100

(jam)

(mm/jam)

(Talbot)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

1
2
3
4
5
6

4.741921
2.987223
2.279678
1.881833
1.621714
1.436107
14.94848

4.59789
3.126635
2.368691
1.90652
1.595259
1.371368

0.020745
0.019436
0.007923
0.000609
0.0007
0.004191
0.053604

3.037401
4.666951
3.904614
1.311902
1.631288
4.507956
19.06011

No.

1
1.414214
1.732051
2
2.236068
2.44949
10.83

4.741921
4.224571
3.948518
3.763665
3.626263
3.51773
23.82

22.48582
12.61974
9.001349
7.082588
5.880763
5.051836
62.12

1
2
3
4
5
6
Sum

Deviasi
% Error

0.10
3.18

Uji kecocokan rumus-rumus Intensitas Curah Hujan


Periode Ulang 50 Tahun
t

I*t

I^2 *t

I1

(I1-I)^2

(I1-I)/I*100

(jam)

(mm/jam)

(Talbot)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

1
2
3
4
5
6

5.313214
3.347115
2.554327
2.10855
1.817094
1.609125
16.74943

5.15183
3.503323
2.654063
2.136213
1.787452
1.536586

0.026045
0.024401
0.009947
0.000765
0.000879
0.005262
0.067299

3.037401
4.666951
3.904614
1.311902
1.631288
4.507956
19.06011

Deviasi
% Error

0.12

No.

1
1.414214
1.732051
2
2.236068
2.44949
10.83

5.313214
4.733536
4.424224
4.217101
4.063145
3.941535
26.69

28.23024
15.84369
11.30091
8.891969
7.383115
6.342424
77.99

1
2
3
4
5
6
Sum

3.18

Deviasi dan Persen Error Terkecil adalah meng

0
1

I2

(I2-I)^2

(I2-I)/I*100

I3

(I3-I)^2

(I3-I)/I*100

(Sherman)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

(Ishiguro)

(Kuadrat Error)

(Persentase Error)

2.360586
1.487076
1.134852
0.936799
0.807309
0.714912

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.399045
1.452288
1.114729
0.932087
0.814512
0.731133

0.00147908
0.001210205
0.000404914
2.2207E-05
5.18828E-05
0.000263142
0.00343143

1.629205452
2.339355482
1.773137187
0.503035692
0.892220072
2.269041461
9.405995346

0.00

0.03
0.00

1.57

I2

(I2-I)^2

(I2-I)/I*100

I3

(I3-I)^2

(I3-I)/I*100

(Sherman)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

(Ishiguro)

(Kuadrat Error)

(Persentase Error)

3.362339
2.118141
1.616444
1.334345
1.149904
1.018296

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

3.417118
2.06859
1.587782
1.327633
1.160163
1.041401

0.003000784
0.002455286
0.000821497
4.50541E-05
0.000105261
0.000533867
0.006961748

1.629205452
2.339355482
1.773137187
0.503035692
0.892220072
2.269041461
9.405995346

0.00

0.04
0.00

1.57

I2

(I2-I)^2

(I2-I)/I*100

I3

(I3-I)^2

(I3-I)/I*100

(Sherman)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

(Ishiguro)

(Kuadrat Error)

(Persentase Error)

3.971723
2.502029
1.909405
1.576179
1.35831
1.20285

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

4.036431
2.443498
1.875549
1.568251
1.370429
1.230143

0.00

0.004187065
0.003425919
0.001146254
6.2865E-05
0.000146873
0.000744917
0.009713894

1.629205452
2.339355482
1.773137187
0.503035692
0.892220072
2.269041461
9.405995346

0.04
0.00

1.57

I2

(I2-I)^2

(I2-I)/I*100

I3

(I3-I)^2

(I3-I)/I*100

(Sherman)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

(Ishiguro)

(Kuadrat Error)

(Persentase Error)

4.548702
2.865502
2.186788

0
0
0

0
0
0

4.622809 0.005491951 1.629205452


2.798468 0.004493596 2.339355482
2.148013 0.001503481 1.773137187

1.805153
1.555634
1.37759

0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0

1.796073 8.24567E-05 0.503035692


1.569514 0.000192646 0.892220072
1.408848 0.000977068 2.269041461
0.012741197 9.405995346

0.00

0.05
0.00

1.57

I2

(I2-I)^2

(I2-I)/I*100

I3

(I3-I)^2

(I3-I)/I*100

(Sherman)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

(Ishiguro)

(Kuadrat Error)

(Persentase Error)

4.741921
2.987223
2.279678
1.881833
1.621714
1.436107

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

4.819177
2.917341
2.239256
1.872366
1.636183
1.468693

0.005968434
0.004883461
0.001633923
8.96106E-05
0.000209359
0.001061839
0.013846627

1.629205452
2.339355482
1.773137187
0.503035692
0.892220072
2.269041461
9.405995346

0.00

0.05
0.00

1.57

I2

(I2-I)^2

(I2-I)/I*100

I3

(I3-I)^2

(I3-I)/I*100

(Sherman)

(Kuadrat
Error)

(Persentase
Error)

(Ishiguro)

(Kuadrat Error)

(Persentase Error)

5.313214
3.347115
2.554327
2.10855
1.817094
1.609125

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

5.399777
3.268814
2.509035
2.097944
1.833306
1.645637

0.007493183
0.006131034
0.00205134
0.000112503
0.000262844
0.001333105
0.01738401

1.629205452
2.339355482
1.773137187
0.503035692
0.892220072
2.269041461
9.405995346

0.00

0.06
0.00

1.57

cil adalah menggunakan Metode Sherman

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