Introduction Can you explain PV, AC and EV? Can you explain BCWS, ACWS and BCWP? What are the derived metrics from Earned Value? Can you explain earned value with a sample?
Introduction
This is a short and sweet FAQ which iterates through the most common metrics which will help you judge your project health. We have been developing lot of videos for project managers and architects , you can see all my videos at http://www.questpond.com , do let me know your feedbacks.
Many project managers traditionally use only Actual and Planned values. But its very much possible that you will not get proper results from the same. For instance consider the project shown in figure Actual and Planned. The project duration is 5 weeks. According to the planned value graph in Week1 we will spend 600$, in week3 we will spend 3800 $ and on the completion of project it is 6000$. But we where getting computers at a discounted cost in Week1 itself so we bought the computer. According to plan we are supposed to spend in Week1 750 $ but in actual we have spent 3000$. By comparing with the actual plan value we have concluded that we over budget by 2250 $ in the first week. But thats not the actual case; in reality we bought the computers on discounted rate. So the graph is showing something really wrong. This issue is solved by using EV (Earned Value).
Earned Value measures progress and gives us forecasting, thus giving us an actual measure of the health of the project. For instance see the figure Earned Value. We have given two views one is the planned value and the other is the earned value. According to the planned value its a four week project with 25% (2500 $) work completed on Week1, 50 % (5000$) work completed on Week2 and so on. Now when the project starts executing on Week1 only 20% work is completed which means we have spent 2000$ and on week2 only 30 % work is completed. 2000$ and 3000$ shows the earned value for Week1 and Week2.
Current Progress: - This shows how we are performing in the project. Forecasting: - Will help us answer how we will do in the project in future. How will we catch up: - In case the project is moving behind schedule or over budget how do we make up? Current Progress metrics Schedule Variance (SV) Schedule variance is the difference between Earned value and planned value
SV = EV PV
Description You are on right schedule. You are behind schedule. you are ahead of schedule.
Cost variance is the difference between earned value and the actual cost.
CV = EV AC
CV 0 Negative Positive
Description You are on right on budget. You are over budget. you are under budget.
Cost performance Index (CPI) CPI is the ratio of Earned value to Actual cost.
CPI = EV / AC
Description You are right on budget. You are over budget. you are under budget.
Schedule performance Index SPI is the ratio of (Earned Value) EV to (Planned Value) PV.
SPI = EV / PV
Description You are right on schedule. You are behind schedule. you are ahead of schedule.
Greater than 1
Forecasting EVA helps us to also forecast our project schedule below is the metrics for the same
Metrics Name Budget at completion ( BAC ) Estimate at completion ( EAC ) Schedule at completion ( SAC )
Description This is the total original budgeted cost. It is same as the planned value. This is the final cost of the project. EAC = PV / CPI where PV is the planned value and CPI is the cost performance index. This represents the estimated duration of the project. SAC = Schedule / SPI Where schedule is the estimate schedule and SPI is the schedule performance index.
VAC ( Variance at It is the forecast of the final cost variance. Completion ) VAC = BAC EAC. How will we catch up?
This is the third view which EV gives us. If the project is not on schedule how do we catch up with the same?. EV gives us something called as To-Complete performance Index (TCPI). TCPI is in an indication of how much we should perform to meet the project schedule.
Description We need to perform better than the schedule. We can reach the destination with schedule.
Below graph Bread Project shows the planned value and the actual cost graph. According to the planned value in 3 hours we will make 120 breads, in 7 hours we will make 280 breads and finally we will complete the 400 bread target in 10 hours. As the project moves ahead actually in the 3 rd hour we have only completed 80 breads with 3$ spent.
Ok, now that we know the actuals its time to calculate the EV, PV and the AC. In the 3rd hour below is the analysis.
Now its the time to calculate the earned value. Below figure Earned Value for Bread shows the simplified view of the bread project
EV (Earned Value) = 80 * 0.02 = 1.6$ (How much work has been completed?). So lets do all calculations.
Calculations 1.6 2.4 = -0.8 ( We are behind schedule ) 1.6 3 = -1.4 ( We are over budget ) 1.6/2.4 = 0.6 ( We are behind schedule ) 1.6/3 = 0.53 ( We are over budget ) (8-1.6)/(8-3) = 1.28 i.e. ( We have to perform 128 percent higher to reach our goal of making 400 breads in 10 hours )