Rhett Williams
Jerry Patton
Since its inception in 1882, Exxon Mobil Corporation has aimed to become the
world’s most successful petroleum, and petrochemical company. For this purpose, they
continuously strive to achieve the most superior financial and operating results. With the
growing expectations, shareholders, employees, and customers expects only the best out
of Exxon Mobil, and that is exactly what they provide to them by maintaining the highest
Exxon and Mobil decided upon a merger, and signed an agreement in 1998 to
form a new company with the name; Exxon Mobil Corporation. The Chairmen, and Chief
Executive officers of Exxon, and Mobil were thrilled with the merger and they should
their enthusiasm with the following words; “This merger will enhance our ability to be an
effective global competitor in a volatile world economy and in an industry that is more
and more competitive (“BBC News”).” On November 30, 1999, the merger was finally
Exxon and Mobil became a part of the American industry during the late 19 th
century, when the country was booming in various sectors of the economy including;
railroads, steel, and banking. Moreover, the petroleum industry rapidly developed with
petroleum interests under the banner of Standard oil Trust. The same year the two main
successors of Exxon and Mobil namely; Standard Oil Co. of New Jersey and Standard
Oil Co. of New York, or more commonly known as ‘Jersey Standard’ and ‘Socony,’ were
internationally, and large ‘kerosene clippers’ made their job easy since they facilitated the
shipments of products overseas in large quantities of bulk. Soon, they were able to spread
In 1911, the U.S. Supreme Court, ordered to terminate Standard Oil Trust, which
resulted in sudden disarray, and 34 four companies including Jersey Standard and Scoony
went into complete dismay. Moreover, the kerosene output of the country was withheld
by a formal product; gasoline, for the very first time. Hence, with the growing automotive
market, Mobil oil registered by Scoony in 1920 was able to make its place in the market.
is ensured by assessing concepts, and tests of new plays, and long term resource growth
is assessed. Furthermore, the already established plays are assessed which commonly
have potential for near-term additions to the basis of the resource. Finally, the
undeveloped, or partially developed plays, and discoveries are explored on a mature level
of exploration.
The company’s affiliates and divisions are largely engaged in the exploration, and
production of natural gas, crude oil, and the manufacturing of petroleum products. By
market capitalization, Exxon Mobil is the second largest in the world after the Chinese
Oil Company, PTR. Due to the shortage in supply because of the geopolitical conflicts in
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fairly rich regions, and the rapid growth in demand for oil, Exxon Mobil was able to
reach at the time in no time. The company’s earning largely came from the upstream
exploration and production of E&P activities, which helped in producing barrels of oil
headed by Exxon Mobil. Moreover, Exxon had a fairly good year as the revenue
experienced trouble intentionally. However, it can be said that the news that the
business in Venezuela seems like a bluff since the United States is the biggest market for
oil exports, and the home for oil refineries which have been especially made to
accommodate the Venezuelan brand of heavy, and high-sulfur crude. Moreover, to find
another customer to accommodate the Venezuelan needs would be very hard, and such a
harsh step could even create serious political problems for them. (“Wilson”)
North America. The company produces gasoline, kerosene, and lubricants by refining,
and processing crude oil. Valero mainly operates from the United States, and the
company has benefited from the growing demand of petroleum products in the United
States. The total revenue of Valero Corporation grew from 29 billion in 2002, to 95
billion in 2007. In order to expand its network of refineries, the company has made many
acquisitions. Valero has also aimed to enter new segments of business such as opening
retail gas stations. Till date Valero has approximately 5,800 retail gas stations, and
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wholesale branded outlets under the most well-known brand names other than Valero
which include; Diamond Shamrock, Ultramar, and Beacon. With a combined capacity of
approximately 3.1 million barrels per day, Valero Energy has successfully been able to
Selection/Companies:
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Exxon-Mobil (XOM)
Dividend: 2.07
Dividend: 1.82
have learned so much in just a few hours than I have known before. Overall many people
think oil companies are evil villains in society. In retrospect Exxon-Mobil is a high
technology based company that protects the environment first and foremost before any
owned many retail petrol stations around the US. I feel that this will not only be a great
finance project, but a learning experience on oil companies as well. Furthermore I also
see how politics’ can make a huge or substantial impact on these two companies. Valero
is more vulnerable due to the political instability in the US and being purely based
When one is referring to the oil and gas sector, it includes the oil and gas
extraction as well as refining. The United States is ranked 3 rd in the petroleum producing
countries, having more than 500,000 producing wells and a whopping 4000 oil and gas
extraction platforms in the water. Oil and gas provide 65% out of all the energy
consumed in the United States. Also, over more than 17 million barrels of crude oil are
processed every day. There are 16000 establishments being a part of the oil and gas
sectors and the value of total shipments of the oil and gas sector is $134 billion. The
companies that are involved in the oil and gas extraction industries are responsible for
operating and developing oil and gas field properties. Activities that encompass this
segment include exploration of crude oil and gas fields, drilling, developing and
equipping the wells, operating separators, desilting equipment, emulsion breakers, and all
such arrangements and installations that are necessary for the shipment from the
producing properties. The crude oil or petroleum refining segment or industry on the
other hand is responsible for breaking the crude oil into the useful components such as
Valero Energy Corporation is one of the major players of the oil refining industry
of the United States. The corporation processes crude oil through its refineries and
produces products such as gasoline, kerosene, lubricants, and numerous others. The
company is unique that despite being an oil giant, its operations are mainly concentrated
in the US which nevertheless is one of the biggest markets of petroleum products. The
refining industries market has become even more lucrative recently since there has been a
shortage of refining capacity in the United States and that no new refinery has been added
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in a long time. In fact it has been more than or around thirty years since any new refinery
has been built. Whatever expansion in refining capacity has been produced has been due
to the up gradation of existing refineries through technological advances and other ways.
One of the reasons no refineries have been added is due to the high cost involved and also
the strict environmental regulations that have been imposed. Nevertheless there has been
Hence it has not been surprising to find that this has resulted in rapid growth for
Valero. It is shocking to find that the company’s revenues have almost tripled in 5 years
to 95 billion dollars from 2002 to 2007. Not only is the company boasting this heavy
accolade, but also it claims to have a cost advantage over its rivals. It says that it refines
sour crude oil which has higher sulpher content and is cheaper. Thus this gives the
company lesser input costs and thus it can price its products more competitively. Other
refineries process sweet crude which is more expensive. The company seems determine
to capitalize on this cost advantage and is willing to go as far as to sell its Aruba refinery
Not only is Valero into reefing but is also has one of the largest retailing networks
in the country. In fact its network is the largest. It also operates in Canada and the
Caribbean under various brand names (Sampson 69). This widespread network gives it a
close contact to the customer. As the company is itself involved with distribution it does
not have to pay anything to distributors as commissions which would eat into its revenues
and this one of the contributing factors in its revenue growth. However such a sector is
highly correlated with the economic growth and slow economic growth is detrimental to
the company. The company also faces other challenges such as natural disasters,
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regulatory issues and environmental hazards. For example hurricanes Rita and Katrina
both proved disastrous for the company’s bottom line and also the company had to face
Exxon mobile is yet another energy company but it is not just any other. It has
revenue that is four times that of Valero and a ranking that tops the six big energy giants
of the world. Furthermore, it has the highest value of any company in the world and at a
time it was valued at over 500 billion us dollars. Not only that, its recent net income was
40 billion dollars, the highest ever in America’s corporate history. But all of this has not
completely been its own doing. The company is actually riding a wave of good omen. A
number of factors contribute to Exxon’s success. For example there has been no major
alternative of Petroleum as an energy source. Apart from that, petroleum process in the
world has not only been increasing but consumption has also been increasing despite the
supply being low. Also, its geography diverse portfolio means that it is less affected by
any discrepancy in a given part of a world. However despite all the gaga, the company is
at a mercy of the major energy producers that is OPEC which controls about 40% of the
world supply and thus has great control over prices. However Exxon has gone through
one of the amazing years of its financial life (Bender and Bender 44).
Exxon Mobil Corp. is featuring as one of “blend” stocks within the large-cap
firms in Business Week article by Beth Piskora. This strongly supports the idea of buying
Exxon Mobil Corp. since it is expected to be one of the sixteen companies to hit the
highest upside scale in next 12 months period. The reason for the substantial success of
Exxon Mobil Corporation lies beneath the record profit of $40.6 billion, because of
Exxon Mobil has been able to refine heavier petroleum with higher sulfur content than
any of its competitors which make them distinctive, and gives them a higher competitive
advantage because of which they have been able to increase their capital expenditure to
further expand.
Exxon increased its profits y $1.1 billion in Fiscal 2007 as compared to Fiscal
2006. According to a recent analysis, Exxon Mobil Corp. currently has $12.14 P/E Ratio
where the industry average is $11.19. P/B Ratio is 3.91 where the industry average is
3.01. In last three years period 2004-2007 a $10,000 investment in Exxon Mobil has
grown up to $25,000 where an alternate investment in S&P 500 has grown up to only
$15,000. As of March 18, 2008 Tuesday with 0.75% cut in interest rates by Federal Bank;
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XON) stock was traded at $88.47 with a $2.68 increase or +3.12%
from previous day’s closing where the main competitors BP’s and Chevron’s
Works Cited
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“Business: The Company File Oil Merger Faces Monopoly Probe.” BBC News. 2
Bender, Rob, and Tammy Cannoy-Bender. An Unauthorized Guide to: Mobil Collectibles
1999.
McIntyre, J. Sam. The Esso Collectibles Handbook: Memorabilia from Standard Oil of
Sampson, Anthony. The Seven Sisters: The 100-year Battle for the World’s Oil Supply.
Wilson, Peter. “Chavez’ Big Oil Bluff.” BusinessWeek. 11 February, 2008. 7 Sep 2008
<http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/feb2008/db20080211_0
52826.htm?campaign_id=rss_daily>.
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FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
EXXON
CASH FLOWS
Millions of U.S. Dollars 2,007.00 2,006.00 2,005.00 2,004.00 2,003.00
Net Income/Starting Line 40,610.00 39,500.00 36,130.00 25,330.00 21,510.00
Depreciation/Depletion 12,250.00 11,416.00 10,253.00 9,767.00 9,047.00
Amortization -- -- -- -- --
Deferred Taxes 124.00 1,717.00 (429.00) (1,134.00) 1,827.00
Non-Cash Items (2,175.00) (3,512.00) (1,263.00) 825.00 (3,723.00)
Changes in Working Capital 1,193.00 165.00 3,447.00 5,763.00 (163.00)
Cash from Operating Activities 52,002.00 49,286.00 48,138.00 40,551.00 28,498.00
Capital Expenditures (15,387.00) (15,462.00) (13,839.00) (11,986.00) (12,859.00)
Other Investing Cash Flow Items, Total 5,659.00 1,232.00 3,569.00 (2,924.00) 2,017.00
Cash from Investing Activities (9,728.00) (14,230.00) (10,270.00) (14,910.00) (10,842.00)
Financing Cash Flow Items (579.00) (270.00) (974.00) (430.00) (677.00)
Total Cash Dividends Paid (7,621.00) (7,628.00) (7,185.00) (6,896.00) (6,515.00)
Issuance (Retirement) of Stock, Net (30,743.00) (28,385.00) (17,280.00) (8,991.00) (5,447.00)
Issuance (Retirement) of Debt, Net 598.00 73.00 (1,502.00) (1,951.00) (2,124.00)
Cash from Financing Activities (38,345.00) (36,210.00) (26,941.00) (18,268.00) (14,763.00)
Foreign Exchange Effects 1,808.00 727.00 (787.00) 532.00 504.00
Net Change in Cash 5,737.00 (427.00) 10,140.00 7,905.00 3,397.00
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VALERO
CASH FLOWS
Millions of U.S. Dollars 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
Net Income/Starting Line 5,234.00 5,463.00 3,590.00 1,804.00 622.00
Depreciation/Depletion 1,376.00 1,155.00 840.00 605.00 511.00
Deferred Taxes (131.00) 290.00 255.00 345.00 287.00
Non-Cash Items (752.00) (452.00) 83.00 23.00 (432.00)
Changes in Working
Capital (469.00) (144.00) 1,082.00 203.00 429.00
Cash from Operating
Activities 5,258.00 6,312.00 5,850.00 2,980.00 1,417.00
Capital Expenditures (2,260.00) (3,187.00) (2,133.00) (1,292.00) (976.00)
Other Investing Cash
Flow Items, Total 1,678.00 216.00 (2,767.00) (1,393.00) (355.00)
Cash from Investing
Activities (582.00) (2,971.00) (4,900.00) (2,685.00) (1,331.00)
Financing Cash Flow
Items 287.00 143.00 (13.00) (8.00) 10.00
Total Cash Dividends
Paid (271.00) (184.00) (106.00) (79.00) (51.00)
Issuance (Retirement) of
Stock, Net (5,629.00) (1,898.00) (389.00) 201.00 276.00
Issuance (Retirement) of
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RATIO ANALYSIS
Valuation Ratios EXXON VALERO
S&P S&P
Company Industry Sector 500 Company Industry Sector 500
P/E Ratio (TTM) 9.93 9.8 6.53 26.36 7.68 2.51 42.81 26.37
P/E High - Last 5 Yrs. 16.29 5.45 3.47 30.62 13.85 0.06 1.97 30.67
P/E Low - Last 5 Yrs. 10.4 2.76 0.97 9 5.08 0.04 0.55 9.01
Beta 0.93 1.13 0.94 0.98 1.39 1 0.53 0.98
Price to Sales (TTM) 0.88 1.09 2.79 2.37 0.15 0.3 3.59 2.37
Dividends
S&P S&P
Company Industry Sector 500 Company Industry Sector 500
Dividend Yield 1.99 2.44 0.55 2.48 1.78 0.08 0.31 2.49
Dividend 5 Year Growth Rate 8.29 12.98 20.44 11.64 36.85 27.21 11.63 11.69
Payout Ratio(TTM) 17.9 28.89 21.83 49.51 11.3 6.38 12.42 49.56
Growth Rates
S&P S&P
Company Industry Sector 500 Company Industry Sector 500
Sales (TTM) vs TTM 1 Yr. 26.31 24.38 191.11 13.17 37.55 13.24 108.75 13.21
Ago
Sales - 5 Yr. Growth Rate 14.62 16.69 25.86 14.98 26.83 18.67 14.71 15.01
EPS (TTM) vs TTM 1 Yr. Ago 15.83 -- -- -- -54.17 -- -- --
EPS - 5 Yr. Growth Rate 35.09 32.02 30.42 19.4 106.08 32.61 17.3 19.44
Capital Spending - 5 Yr. 6.11 13.92 28.56 13.41 22.74 17.41 16.25 13.45
Growth Rate
Financial
Strength
S&P S&P
Company Industry Sector 500 Company Industry Sector 500
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 1.14 0.89 1.05 1.05 0.81 0.84 0.75 1.05
Current Ratio (MRQ) 1.35 1.18 1.34 1.28 1.19 1.33 0.99 1.28
LT Debt to Equity (MRQ) 5.87 18.16 50.69 113.45 33.53 86.12 311.84 113.56
Total Debt to Equity (MRQ) 7.72 25.21 70.6 159.71 34.66 125.9 507.29 159.9
Interest Coverage (TTM) 42.43 15.37 4.35 17.38 37.34 0.67 2.47 17.38
Profitability
Ratios
S&P S&P
Company Industry Sector 500 Company Industry Sector 500
Gross Margin (TTM) 20.63 24.96 23.11 36.87 5.51 17.16 24.46 36.9
Gross Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 21.42 28.01 35.68 36.94 9.72 19.86 20.29 36.96
Pre-Tax Margin (TTM) 16.64 16.45 9.74 14.83 2.97 6.32 8.82 14.87
Pre-Tax Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 15.93 15.24 20.06 17.91 6.57 7.48 11.41 17.94
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Net Profit Margin (TTM) 9.21 9.48 6.67 10.9 2.06 4.98 6.06 10.93
Net Profit Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 9.57 9.1 10.32 12.61 4.42 5.56 5.87 12.63
Management
Effectiveness
Secto S&P Secto S&P
Company Industry r 500 Company Industry r 500
Return on Assets (TTM) 17.63 12.17 6.81 8.14 5.74 7.38 6.61 8.17
Return on Assets - 5 Yr. 16.35 9.7 9.89 7.52 11.74 7.9 5.63 7.53
Avg.
Return on Investment 23.85 17.41 9.44 11.19 7.81 9.87 11.14 11.23
(TTM)
Return on Investment - 5 21.56 13.14 13.55 10.06 15.31 11.83 7.71 10.07
Yr. Avg.
Return on Equity (TTM) 36.19 26.94 13.9 20.08 13.1 14.11 89.76 20.13
Return on Equity - 5 Yr. 31.57 21.41 19.43 20.32 27.04 17.21 11.05 20.34
Avg.
Receivable Turnover (TTM) 13.14 12.29 7.79 10.77 18.84 5.85 8.74 10.78
Inventory Turnover (TTM) 25.29 14.16 5.29 9.52 23.31 4.04 7.74 9.53
Asset Turnover (TTM) 1.91 1.37 0.57 0.79 2.78 0.67 0.85 0.79
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DUPONT ANALYSIS
EXXON VALERO
Net Profit Margin 9.21 2.06
(TTM)
Asset Turnover (TTM) 1.91 2.78
EQUITY
MULTIPLIER 1.99 2.31
The ROE clearly reflects that Exxon is far ahead from Valero in terms of stability
and risk absorption. Even though high return comes with high risk, Exxon has the buffer
to absorb such risks with larger equity base earning more profits which increase retained
EXXON VALERO
For a company, total assets minus total liabilities. Net worth is a vital and very important
determinant of the value of a company, especially considering it is composed mainly of
all the money that has been invested since its inception, as well as the retained earnings
for the duration of its operation. Net worth can be commonly used to determine
creditworthiness because in a way, it provides us with a snapshot of the company's
investment history. Also called shareholders’ equity, net assets, or owner’s equity.
VALERO
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EXXON
Analyst Recommendations and Revisions
1 Month 2 Month 3 Months
1-5 Linear Scale Current Ago Ago Ago
(1) BUY 4 4 3 5
(2) OUTPERFORM 3 3 3 5
(3) HOLD 8 9 10 8
(4) UNDERPERFORM 0 0 0 0
(5) SELL 1 0 0 0
No Opinion 0 0 0 0
1. EXXON must resolve the issues that affect its public face, issues such as the Valdez
Spill and the Venezuelan conflict. Once resolved these issue would add value to its stocks
2. Since financing an expansion is not an issue for Exxon (due to a good net worth and
credit worthiness; as proven by its historical data and ratios), it should further diversify
its operations and try to capture some of the refinery business. Valero is not a competition
for Exxon for now, but refinery is not affected by oil prices and this has ensured Valero’s
high profits in recent years. A refinery for Exxon would be a measure leading to cost-
effectiveness and smoother flow of operations while adding value to its stock.
3. Oil stocks are not volatile as finance stocks, thus stability is a strength which should be
utilized by Exxon to give a much more stringent competition to industry. We see that the
4. Bad press, resentment for high prices, internal issues and transportation problems
trouble the company. All these can be resolved by a more welfare oriented approach
CONCLUSION
From the above analysis it can be said that, even though, Valero seems more
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favorable to acquire as its market value is considered strong and rising, the equity base of
Exxon is an undeniable strength. Moreover, Exxon is a more diversified entity and with
the help of its better equity base, it enjoys the liberty of a better expansion and
The size does matter when it comes to buffer against risk. The return associated
with the forecasts of the revenues and risks a mitigated due to a large equity base which
enables Exxon to absorb more risks. Past difficulties such as the oil spilt case of Valdez
has been met with least impact on rising stocks of Exxon. Valero, on the other hand, has
To sum it all up, our choice is Exxon due to its large equity base, ability to absorb
risks and stable returns which enables it to continuously add value to its stockholders.