2x

Adjusted
Individual Forecasts
Average Standard Standard Average
Production
Style
Price Laura Carolyn Greg Wendy Tom Wally Forecast Deviation Deviation Forecast
in China
Gail
###### 900
1000 900
1300 800 1200
960
152
303
960
Isis
$99.00 800
700 1000
1600 950 1200
930
192
385
930
Entice
$80.00 1200
1600 1500
1550 950 1350
1440
164
327
1440
Assault
$90.00 2500
1900 2700
2450 2800 2800
2650
166
332
2671
2671
Teri
###### 800
900 1000
1100 950 1850
950
112
224
950
Electra
###### 2500
1900 1900
2800 1800 2000
2020
277
555
2041
Stephanie ###### 600
900 1000
1100 950 2125
910
188
377
910
Seduced
$73.00 4600
4300 3900
4000 4300 3000
4220
277
555
4241
4241
Anita
$93.00 4400
3300 3500
1500 4200 2875
3655
635
1269
3676
3676
Daphne
###### 1700
3500 2600
2600 2300 1600
2160
483
965
2181
Total
20000 20000 20000 20000 #### 20000
19895
20000
10588
*yellow cells indicate data set outliers, which were omitted for the average forecast and standard deviation calculations
*the grey cells reflect an adjusted average forecast, as the total initial forecasted output of 19,895 indicated by the red cell, is less than the
required total of 20,000. The difference, totalling 105 parkas, was divided evenly between the parkas forecasted to be the most popular, to
create a final total of 20,000.

Style
Gail
Isis
Entice
Assault
Teri
Electra
Stephanie
Seduced
Anita
Daphne
Total

Price
######
$99.00
$80.00
$90.00
######
######
######
$73.00
$93.00
######

Individual Forecasts
Laura Carolyn Greg Wendy Tom
900
1000 900
1300 800
800
700 1000
1600 950
1200
1600 1500
1550 950
2500
1900 2700
2450 2800
800
900 1000
1100 950
2500
1900 1900
2800 1800
600
900 1000
1100 950
4600
4300 3900
4000 4300
4400
3300 3500
1500 4200
1700
3500 2600
2600 2300
20000 20000 20000 20000 ####

Wally
1200
1200
1350
2800
1850
2000
2125
3000
2875
1600
20000

2x
Production
Average Standard Standard Production in Hong
Forecast Deviation Deviation in China
Kong
1017
194
388
1017
1042
323
646
1042
1358
248
496
1358
2525
340
680
2525
1100
381
762
1100
2150
404
807
2150
1112
524
1048
1112
4017
556
1113
4017
3296
1047
2094
3296
2383
697
1394
2383
20,000
9838
10162

Production
in Hong
Kong
960
930
1440
950
2041
910

2181
9412

e red cell, is less than the

o be the most popular, to