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THE SAUDI ARABIA POWER TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION SECTOR OPPORTUNITIES & CHANGES

Presented by: ABHAY BHARGAVA INDUSTRY MANAGER ENERGY & POWER SYSTEMS FROST & SULLIVAN INTERNATIONAL INC.

AGENDA

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SAUDI ARABIA RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH ENVISAGED

Downstream Petrochemicals & Plastics

Power Sector

Water & Wastewater

General Infrastructure

Metals & Mining

SAUDI ARABIA Inflation % Population (Millions) Unemployment % Ease of doing business Percentage of GCC GDP Percentage of ME GDP Percentage of GCC Power T&D investments

6% 26+ 10-11 % 1 (11) 43% 27% 70%


Source: Frost & Sullivan research/ IMF/ World Bank data

SAUDI ARABIA POWER GENERATION GROWTH PLAN


GW

Significant growth in Power Generation

$100 Billion* spend between 20112020 on Power Generation

Private sector contribution expected to grow from 7.4% to 17%+


Source: Frost & Sullivan research/ SEC/ KACARE published data
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SAUDI ARABIA POWER GENERATION: INVESTMENT IMPACT


T&D lines: $ 8 10 Billion

Transformers: $ 7.5 - 8 Billion Forecasted cumulative investments till 2016

Switchgear: $ 5.5 - 6 Billion

Source: Frost & Sullivan research/ SEC published data

4500 5000 Km of 380kV lines to be laid by 2016

Number of customers expected to increase by 26%/ 1.7 Mn

Cumulative spend on T&D ~$30 Billion (2011 -2016)


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SAUDI ARABIA PRESENT T&D INFRASTRUCTURE

Source: SEC

Interconnection of regions the next priority in T&D infrastructure development


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SAUDI ARABIA TRANSFORMER LANDSCAPE


2010 KSA Transformer market ~ $ 1 Billion Only ~70 Million manufactured locally Local manufacturing focused primarily on distribution transformers Requirement - Technical capabilities & skilled manpower for local manufacturing Opportunities:
To develop local skill and expertise Tackle unemployment issues & contribute to Saudization Develop local vendors for supply of components to transformer manufacturers
Source: Frost & Sullivan research
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SAUDI ARABIA SWITCHGEAR LANDSCAPE

Source: Frost & Sullivan research


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SAUDI ARABIA SUB-STATION EPC LANDSCAPE

Source: Frost & Sullivan research


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SAUDI ARABIA OVERHEAD TRANSMISSION LINES EPC LANDSCAPE

Source: Frost & Sullivan research


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GLOBAL TRENDS SHAPING THE POWER DISTRIBUTION MARKETS


1990 2000
MicroGeneration Building Automation Energy Management Home Automation Systems Integration Building Automation IT Convergence Low Energy Lighting MicroRenewables Green Buildings Building Performance

2010
Operational Efficiency Smart Grids Intelligent Buildings

2020
Enhanced Management Intelligent Green Buildings Smart Towns

Evolution of Technology

Building Management & Control Building Control

Integrated Networking

Energy Control

Smart Buildings

Emergence of Smart & Intelligent Technology

Building Automation

Automated Meter Reading (AMR)

IT Convergence Boom in Renewables

Smart Metering Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI)

Virtual power plants Home Area Network (HAN)

Smart Cities/Towns

Energy Management

1990

2000

2010

2020
Source: Frost & Sullivan
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FUTURE SMART ENERGY OPPORTUNITY- GLOBALLY


Automation companies increasingly exploiting arising opportunities

Market moving towards total solutions

Advances in storage technologies

Home Area Network

Alliances between Utilities, Communication providers, OEMs & distribution companies

Autonomous distribution network Micro Grids

Future Opportunities
New technologies such as superconducing cables, and high voltage DC (HVDC)

Smart Meters

Smart Energy

Source: Frost & Sullivan research


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GLOBAL SMART TECHNOLOGY MATURITY CURVE


Smart Energy Technology Market: Regional Life Cycle Analysis (World), 2010

Time Scale

North America Western Europe Middle East Asia Africa Central & Eastern Europe

Latin America Development Growth Maturity Source: Frost & Sullivan

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SMART ENERGY UPCOMING TRENDS & OPPORTUNITIES FOR SAUDI ARABIA

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POWER T&D SECTOR IN SAUDI ARABIA - MARKET DRIVERS

Industrialization in Saudi Arabia Power Capacity Augmentation Grid Interconnectivity

Infrastructure replacement

Energy efficiency

Technology advancements

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POWER T&D SECTOR IN SAUDI ARABIA - THE MARKET CHALLENGES


Lack of coordination between stakeholders

Constant investments to meet Peaking demand

Technology adoption

Insufficient focus on Energy efficiency (Lack of) supporting Mandates/ Regulations

Financing (especially for higher cost Energy efficient equipment

Lack of qualified manpower

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SUMMARIZING OPPORTUNITIES

Network components (Substation equipment, Cables, Conductors, Distribution Components)

Local manufacturing of Transformers & Switchgear

Smart meters

Design, Installation. Commissioning, and Maintenance services

Automation Solution Providers & Network management services

Smart grid related services like DRM

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RECOMMENDATIONS FOR A SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE

Promote PromoteNational National Enterprises Enterprises

There Thereis isneed needto todevelop developlocalized localizedSaudi Saudimanufacturing manufacturingenterprises enterprises which whichwould wouldbe beable ableto toaddress addressmost mostof ofthe theequipment equipmentrequirement requirement for the power sector in the country for the power sector in the country Further Furtherdevelop developcapabilities capabilitiesof oflocal localenterprises enterprisesthrough throughfocus focuson on training training Provide Providean anenvironment environmentthat thatencourages encouragesJVs JVs especially especiallythose those focused on technology transfer and development of local talent focused on technology transfer and development of local talent Certified CertifiedTechnical Technicaleducation educationcourses coursesare area amust mustto tocreate createa anational national pool poolof ofhuman humantalent talent Focus Focusshould shouldbe beon ondeveloping developingcourses coursesthat thatare arerecognized recognizedby bythe the Industry, Industry,to toensure ensurerelevance relevanceof oftraining trainingwith withspecific specificindustry industry requirements requirements Saudi SaudiArabia Arabiashould shouldlook lookat atattracting attractingmore moreservice serviceproviders providersto toset setup up facilities in the country, in view of the large investments in the sector facilities in the country, in view of the large investments in the sector

Develop Developthe the Capabilities Capabilities

Develop Developnational national human humantalent talent

Attract AttractInvestment Investment for Industrial for Industrial Equipment EquipmentServices Services

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THANK YOU

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