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Analysts Leslie Guelcher Karen Omniewski

INTL 576: Law Enforcement Intelligence

Boston Police Department For Police Use Only 24 April 2012

Table of Contents
Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................ 2 Section II: Crime Series Matrix Analysis ....................................................................................... 4 Time Matrix .............................................................................................................................. 4 Space Matrix ............................................................................................................................. 7 Behavior Matrix ...................................................................................................................... 12 Target Matrix .......................................................................................................................... 15 Offender Matrix ...................................................................................................................... 17 Section III: Forecasts .................................................................................................................... 20 Section IV: Crime Pattern Bulletin ............................................................................................... 22 Section V: Appendices .................................................................................................................. 23

Executive Summary
Synopsis As crime analysts for the Massachusetts State Police, we are assigned to the Violent Crime Unit. On 1/20/10, our supervisor requested that we analyze a series of sexual assaults and a related murder and produce a project-briefing book report of our findings, analysis and recommendations. The briefing book shall include any spreadsheets, chart, graphs or maps as needed to support the analysis and recommendations. The suspect was described by the victims as a muscular, athletically built, male Caucasian, between 25 and 35 years of age, weighting between 150 and 225 pounds and from 5 feet 8 inches to 6 tall. All the victims stated the attacker was very articulate in speech, but very demanding, demeaning, and specific in his sexual demands. Several stated he had alcohol on his breathe but was not drunk; on occasions, he had bloodshot eyes and smoked a small cigar. Some of the victims observed multiple military types of tattoos on the suspect. Tasking and Methodology We will break down the incidents and utilize MS Excel formulas to analyze time, space, behavior, victims, and offenders. In addition, we will prepare a briefing book that includes the following elements: Cover Sheet Section I: Executive Summary Section II: Crime Series Matrix Analysis For each of the Crime Series Matrix (Time, Space, Behavior, Offender, and Target) use the format of facts and findings. Section III: Forecasts Section IV: Crime Pattern Bulletin Section V: Appendices Key Findings It is highly likely that additional rapes and sexual assaults will occur on a Saturday night or Sunday early morning between the hours of 10 pm and 2 am. There is a strong correlation between the assaults and major holidays. In addition, since a number of the assaults took place over Mothers Day weekends, there may be an underlying psychological issue between the offender and his mother. Each of the assaults occurred within a few miles of an interstate highway, cemetery and local colleges. It is likely that the offender will continue to select his victims in locations that are near to the Massachusetts Turnpike (I-90), close to college campuses, and likely with cemeteries nearby. It is likely that the offender prefers areas of the city that are close to local bars and allnight restaurants in addition to proximity to college campuses and cemeteries. The offender will likely continue to choose his victims from similar activity spaces.

It is unlikely that the opportunistic behavior of the offender will change. It appears the motivation of the offender is to cleanse the women of whatever he perceives is evil or dirty. It is unlikely that the death of the most recent victim will stop the offender. It is likely the offender is taking items from the victims as trophies of his success. His need to belittle the women he assaults may be a reflection of how he has felt belittled by an important female in his life. The escalation in violence may indicate he is not feeling fulfilled unless the victim is fully degraded and demoralized. Caucasian women in their early 20s are being targeted by this offender. At particular risk are those who live near college campuses and are students. It is likely the offender targets his victims after seeing them either at the same bar he is going to or at a place he would stop for food after being at a bar. Forecasts It is likely the next assault will occur on 15 January 2012, which coincides with Martin Luther King weekend and is a Sunday, or on 8 April 2012, Easter Sunday. The offender will likely return to either Worcester or Chicopee for his next attack. He is unlikely to murder his next victim, having learned what not to do with victim 10. However, the overall violence of the assault is not likely to diminish much. Recommendations Focus of the investigation should likely be near bars, all night restaurants, and college campuses, within 4 to 6 miles off the Massachusetts Turnpike in the cities of Chicopee, Boston, and Worcester, MA. Probable provocation factors might drive the suspect to include an aggressive female who fights back and is not submissive to him. Probable interrogation techniques would include employing the expertise of an aggressive female interrogator, and the offender should be confronted directly. The sexual assault offender in this case appeared to change his style of offense as the serial sexual assaults progressed. Initially, the offender seemed to be a disorganized offender, appearing nervous and in a hurry for the first known victim. After developing and honing the sexual assault technique the offender became increasingly organized. The fact that body of the last known victim was not hidden or moved as would be the case with most organized offenders; it is likely because the offender did not intend to murder the victim. However, since the serial sexual assaults intensified and culminated in the death of the last victim, it is likely that the offender will become more organized in the murder of subsequent victims.

Section II: Crime Series Matrix Analysis Time Matrix


Analytical Findings Cyclical Distribution: How crimes repeat themselves (hour of day, day of week, day of month) Facts: All of the assaults took place on Saturday or Sunday. The majority of the assaults took place between 10 pm and 2 am. There is no pattern to the days of the month of the assaults. Findings: It is highly likely that additional rapes and sexual assaults will occur on a Saturday night or Sunday early morning between the hours of 10 pm and 2 am, because the majority of the previous assaults were within this time-frame. The only assault that did not fall into this time-frame was against victim #10, where the coroner determined that the time of death was between 6 pm and midnight on a Sunday night. Linear Distribution: How case distribution pattern and timeline relate to one another (cluster, uniform, random) Facts: The frequency of the assaults decrease over time. He has not assaulted anyone in the 3rd quarter of 2007, 2008 or 2009. The amount of time between assaults is not consistent.

Figure 1: Number of days between attacks and day of the week

Findings: The initial assaults occurred within 1 to 2 months of each other. Once the assaults included rape, the interval between crimes increased from anywhere between 3 and 6 months. The final interval, of 595 days, is likely an exception. Potential reasons for the break include imprisonment, a rape incident that was not reported, or a rape/murder where the body has not been discovered. The most likely reason is that he was incarcerated without his DNA being taken, which would explain why it isnt in CODIS. It is likely the next assault will occur anywhere between Tuesday, 4 January 2011 and Sunday, 12 August 2012. Using ATAC, the next assault is predicted to occur on 8 April 2012, Easter Sunday. The average prediction date is 15 January 2012, which coincides with Martin Luther King weekend and is a Sunday. Temporal Environment: Correlates the temporal problem with other temporal factors (day or night, holiday, special event) Facts: The majority of the assaults took place on the weekend of a national holiday or event. The first February assault was the only one not on a holiday. Findings: There is a strong correlation between the assaults and major holidays. The majority of the holidays coincide with either long-weekends or breaks for most colleges. There is likely some connection between the breaks and the opportunity for assault. In addition, since a number of the assaults took place over Mothers Day weekends, there may be an underlying psychological issue between the offender and his mother.

Activity Schedule: Can tell activity space of the perpetrator and victim (sleep/work schedule, days available) Facts: Commits crimes on Saturday nights. The average time of assaults, eliminating the outlier victim 10, is 1:14 a.m. The offender reportedly smells of alcohol. The early victims were either at a bar earlier in the evening or near a fast-food style restaurant. The later victims either worked at or were at bars earlier in the evening.

Findings: The offender likely has a traditional job, where he works Monday through Friday since all of the assaults take place on Saturday night. The assaults generally occur around 1 am on Sunday morning, demonstrating that the offender may be out drinking in a bar before the assault. He may have seen his victims at the bar prior to the assault. For those victims who were not at a bar, they were potentially identified as targets by the offender because he was frequenting the location after drinking at a bar.

Space Matrix
Analytical Findings Spatial Distribution: How locations of crime relate to one another Facts: The Massachusetts State Police-Violent Crime Unit supplied data for a series of sexual assaults and an associated murder statewide. The sexual assaults and murder occurred in clusters and were uniform in their spatial distribution. The offenders first three known sexual assaults occurred in Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts. These initial sexual assaults occurred within one mile of one another, and these offenses took place in the offenders vehicle. The initial victims encounter sites were within blocks of their workplace and/or homes. However, the third victims assault location was approximately four miles from the encounter site.
Figure 2: Boston, MA assault locations

Assault & encounter site

Encounter Site only

Assault site only

The offender traveled west approximately 35 miles to Worcester, Worcester County, Massachusetts where the fourth, sixth, and eight victims assaults occurred. The Worcester sexual assaults were clustered in a one to three mile radius of each other. The fourth victims encounter site was within a few blocks of the victims parked car. However, the crime scene for this victim was approximately 17 miles from the encounter site. The remaining of the Worcester sexual assaults occurred inside the victims residences.
Figure 3: Worcester, MA assault locations

Assault & encounter site

Encounter Site only

Assault site only

Following the sexual assault of the fourth victim, the offender again headed west approximately 42 miles to Chicopee, Hampden County, Massachusetts, where his fifth, seventh, and ninth sexual assaults occurred. The encounter site for the fifth victim was in the parking lot near her residence. The crime scenes for these victims were in their residences, and again all encounter sites occurred within one to three miles of each other.

Figure 4: Chicopee, MA assault locations

Assault & encounter site

Encounter Site only

Assault site only

The offender drove east approximately 75 miles to Boston, Suffolk County, Massachusetts for his last known sexual assault/murder. The sexual assault took place within one to three miles of the first three encounter sites, and took place in the victims home. Findings: The greatest distance between encounter sites was approximately 75 miles from Chicopee, MA to Boston, MA. The clusters of sexual assaults occurred in three distinct city locations, Boston, MA, Worcester, MA, and Chicopee, MA. The cities are arranged in a linear fashion from the easternmost city of Boston approximately 35 miles in a western direction to Worcester, MA, and continuing 42 miles further westward in a linear fashion to Chicopee, MA. Within each city cluster, the sexual assault encounter sites occurred in one to three miles of one another. It is highly likely that future sexual assaults perpetrated by the offender will occur within these city boundaries. Spatial Environment: Describes the correlation between significant locations and other spatial phenomena Facts: The offender encountered his initial victims in downtown urban areas. The first four victims were encountered while walking near a Metro station, bus stop, or bar and fast food restaurant. All but the last two victims of sexual assaults that occurred in their residences preassault activities were either serving or spending the evening at local bars or restaurants. Many of the victims were students at local college campuses that were within short distances from the encounter sites. Two of the crime scenes were in area cemeteries.

Findings: The offenders sexual assaults in Boston, MA were three to six miles off Exit 20 of the Massachusetts Turnpike. Each of the Boston sexual assaults occurred within one to three miles of Boston College and Newton Cemetery. Newton Cemetery, the crime scene for one of the Boston sexual assaults is also within four miles of I90. The offenses that took place in Worcester, MA were easily accessible from Exits 10 and 11. Two of the three sexual assaults in Worcester occurred within 4 miles of I90. The furthest distance off Exit11 was to Bowdoin Street in Worcester, MA, which was a distance of approximately 20 miles. Each of the Worcester offenses was located within three miles of several local colleges including Becker College, Clark College, and the College of the Holy Cross. In addition, the assaults occurred within a few miles of several area cemeteries. Chicopee sexual assaults all occurred three miles from Exits 5 and 6 off I-90, are within two miles of Elms College, and within two miles of both Calvary and Fairfield Cemeteries. It is likely that the offender will continue to select his victims in locations that are near to the Massachusetts Turnpike (I90), close to college campuses, and likely with cemeteries nearby. Movement: Describes the dynamics of the spatial problem Facts: The movement of the crimes is systematic in its spatial relationship. The first three known offenses occurred in Boston, the movement of the offender headed west to Worcester, then further west to Chicopee. The offender oscillated between Worcester and Chicopee for the fourth through ninth sexual assaults in an alternating pattern, before finally returning to his original sexual assault location in Boston, MA. The spatial movement is very limited within the clusters of sexual assaults ranging from only one to three miles between the assaults sites. Findings: It is likely that the offender will continue to commit the sexual assaults in the Boston area as well as along the I90 Massachusetts corridor. The offender is likely to travel the Massachusetts Turnpike to both Worcester and Chicopee. As no sexual assaults from the same offender have been reported beyond the Chicopee city limits to the west and the Boston city limits to the east, it is unlikely that offender will change his spatial movement. The offender is also likely to continue to assault victims in close proximity to the Turnpike.

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Activity Space: Derived by distance or density calculation of known crime scenes Facts: The activity space surrounding the victim encounter scenes is in highly populated urban areas with access in both Worcester and Boston to mass transit. The hubbub of activity is in local bar s and all-night restaurants close to college campuses. Most of the crime scenes are in residential areas of the cities, but close to business areas and exceptionally close to interstate highway systems. Two exceptions for the crimes scenes occurred in area cemeteries. Findings: It is highly likely that the offenders travel route is the Massachusetts Turnpike. It is likely that the offender prefers areas of the city that are close to local bars and all-night restaurants in addition to proximity to college campuses and cemeteries. The offender will likely continue to choose his victims from similar activity spaces.

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Behavior Matrix
Analytical Findings Category: What makes the crime behaviorally distinctive Facts: Distinctive crime behavior The offender is an opportunistic rapist. The offender demonstrated little planning or preparation. The only planning apparent was in later assaults when he brought cotton cord with him. There was no concern for the welfare or comfort of the victims. The sexual assaults occurred during the service of dominance and power. As the assaults escalated the injuries suffered by the victims were greater than minor cuts and scratches, and excessive force was necessary to attain victim compliance. The offender burned and sodomized many of the victims. The offender humiliated the victims through derogatory and demeaning remarks. The offender also robbed his victims of personal property. In his final known sexual assault the offender committed a murder. Modus Operandi (MO) factors The offender began his serial sexual assaults as a disorganized offender. However, with the success of each offense the offender learned to improve his skill as a rapist, and became more organized in his offenses. The offender had low contact with his victims. The offender brandished a gun in the commission of the crimes. The first victims were forced into a light van and forced to perform oral copulation on the offender. A condom was used for the rapes only. Residences where the sexual assaults occurred were entered through unlocked windows or by forcing the victim into the home through the front door. The offender tied some of his victims with cotton cord.

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Findings: It is unlikely that the opportunistic behavior of the offender will change. The offenders motivation is vindictive in nature, and has increased in its intensity and severity with each subsequent sexual assault. It is likely that that if apprehension of the offender does not occur, the violent nature of the sexual assaults will continue to escalate. It is likely that the MO of the offender will remain consistent. It appears the motivation of the offender is to cleanse the women of whatever he perceives is evil or dirty. It is unlikely that the death of the most recent victim will stop the offender. It is likely that the death of the victim was not intended. Signature: Style in which MO is performed Facts: The signature of the offender is very demeaning and degrading to the victim. The offender subjected his later victims to torture and humiliation. The offender often took some things from his victims that were of little value, i.e. their panties, a few dollars, and student identification. The offender blindfolded some of them with a pillow case. Many of the victims were burned with a small cigar. The offender quoted a bible verse about cleanliness, and forced the victims to wash following the sexual assault. In addition, the offender would often wash the victims himself, soak the bed linens, and in two cases poured kitchen cleaning fluid over the victims bodies. Findings: It is likely the offender is taking items from the victims as trophies of his success. As his crimes have progressed, his obsession with cleanliness has also increased. This obsession after the assaults will probably manifest itself in other areas of his life. For example, he may be somewhat obsessive about washing hands and his home is likely orderly. His need to belittle the women he assaults may be a reflection of how he has felt belittled by an important female in his life. Evolution: how does the signature and/or MO change over time Facts: The offender began by forcing victims into a van, brandishing a gun. The early assaults only included forcing the women to orally copulate. He progressed to abducting the women, driving to secluded cemeteries and raping the victims. The offender then found a victim, victim 5, who was entering her home and forced her inside. The assaults escalated from this point. In some cases he would blindfold the victim with a pillowcase. In all cases he restrained the victim on the bed. He used the victims nylons and belt in the first home rape. From that incident on, he brought cotton cord with him to restrain each victim. The assaults became more violent with each progression. He hit and degraded victim 6, in addition he burned victims 7 and 8 with a cigar. Victim 9 had cleaning fluid poured over her, in addition to physical abuse, degrading comments and burns. Finally, victim 10 had signs of all of the previous types of abuse, plus bite marks. Victim 10 did not survive the assault.

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Findings: It is likely that the offender is finding it more difficult to feel clean himself after each incident. The escalation in violence may indicate he is not feeling fulfilled unless the victim is fully degraded and demoralized. It is unlikely the offender wanted his last victim to die. If he views that assault as unsuccessful, he may be feeling inadequate or unfulfilled. If his tendency to learn after committing each crime continues, he may regress somewhat in his MO so as not to murder his next victim. Mission Creep: Describes how the category of crime changes over time Facts: The offender began with a sexual need and found a victim how he could threaten with a gun into performing. He brandished a gun for the majority of the assaults. The assaults moved from oral copulation to include rape then physical assault then sodomy and finally murder. Findings: The offender likely seeks both a sexual release and a method of debasing women that is becoming more difficult to obtain with each passing incident. The escalation in violence of each assault will likely continue. There is a chance, however, that he will not murder again, as this may have been an accident.

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Target Matrix
Analytical Findings Description: Physical and non-physical appearance Facts: The average age of all of the victims is 21, with all of them between 20 and 23 years of age. All victims live near college campuses, with the majority of them being students. All victims are Caucasian women.

Findings: Caucasian women in their early 20s are being targeted by this offender. At particular risk are those who live near college campuses and are students. Actions: Victim cooperation or non-cooperation Facts: One victim, number 6, tried to fight off the offender; he retaliated by pulling out his gun and slapping her. Perhaps because of the presence of a gun, all of the other victims cooperated with the offender.

Findings: Cooperating with the offender does not spare the victim from physical assault, rape, sodomy or oral copulation. The offender most likely uses the threat of force and/or death to

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maintain control over the victims. For the majority of the victims, if they follow his instructions, he does not murder them. Motivation: Actions describing why they have been targeted Facts: The majority of the victims had either been at a bar or restaurant/fast-food store prior to being assaulted.

Findings: It is likely the offender targets his victims after seeing them either at the same bar he is going to or at a place he would stop for food after being at a bar. Movement: How the target changes in space, time and behavior Facts: Began with targeting young women on city streets. Moved to a woman as she was unlocking her front door. Then progressed to breaking into homes in order to assault victims. Findings: Victims were initially chosen as they were walking either home or to transportation. As the offender progressed, he began breaking into homes through unlocked windows. In one instance he forced a victim into her home by brandishing a gun. It is unknown how he gained entry into the last victims home.

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Offender Matrix
Analytical Findings Description: Physical description, weapons, vehicles, property, etc. Facts: Offender: The offender was described as a male Caucasian between the ages of 25 and 35, weighing 150 to 225 pounds, and is 5 feet 8 inches to 6 feet tall. The attacker was athletically built and muscular with multiple military-type tattoos. Victims reported the offender having alcohol on his breath, but not being intoxicated. The eyes of the offender reportedly were bloodshot, and he smoked a small cigar. The offenders speech was very articulate, but was demanding and demeaning. The offender has been positively linked to all ten reported sexual assaults and one murder via DNA samples that were collected from each of the crime scenes or from the victims bodies. Weapon: The weapon that was brandished was a gun. However, the description of the weapon was not consistent in victim statements, ranging from a small handgun to a large gun, and a more precise description of chrome gun, in one instance. The offender also used cotton cord from his pocket to restrain some of the victims. Vehicle: The victims that saw the offender vehicle gave very similar descriptions. The vehicle was a light colored or white van with a cargo space in the rear. Inside the van, victims noticed a toolbox, gym bag, sleeping bag, mattress and pillows. One victim noted that the rear light did not work when the door opened.

Findings: It is likely that the light colored van is the offenders primary means of transportation, and will continue to be used in the commission of the crimes. There is little that the offender can do to change his physical appearance, so it is likely that will remain consistent. The offender prefers to intimidate with a handgun, although in victims statements

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the gun was not used to cause harm. With the progression of the sexual assaults the offender heightened the level of aggression. Actions: Tells what the offender does during his crime and possibly at other times Facts: The offender was very forceful during the sexual assaults. In the first few sexual assaults the offender forced the victim into his van under threat of physical violence. The offender approach initially was from behind the victim, but became more brass in subsequent assaults when he confronted the victim from the front, and ultimately entered victims residences without their knowledge assaulting them in their bedrooms. The offender called many of the victims by derogatory names, forced oral copulation, rape, and sodomy. The offender blindfolded, gagged, restrained, and physically assaulted the victims by burning them with a small cigar. The offender always wore a condom for the rape, but not for oral copulation or sodomy. As the sexual assaults escalated the offender washed the victims and soaked the bedding. In the last two assaults, kitchen-cleaning fluid was used to cleanse the victims bodies. In a few instances the offender quoted a verse from the bible about cleanliness. In the sexual assaults where the victim survived, the offender took belongings from the victim including money, jewelry, panties, and a photograph.

Findings: It is likely that the offender feels that women are dirty, thus using a derogatory word like whore while assaulting the victims. The aggression of the sexual acts escalated with each assault, and the offenders treatment of the victim became more demeaning and abhorrent. The offender apologized on one occasion to a victim after he hit her implying that the devil caused him to strike her. That was the only reported incidence that indicated any feeling of remorse toward the victim, however meaningless. The offender more often treated the victims as less than human, with complete disregard and disrespect. The act of cleaning the victims is likely to be the offenders need to clean the ugliness of womankind, not preventing apprehension.

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Motivation: Underlying reason for being a criminal Facts: The motivation for these sexual assaults appears to be a self-fulfilling need. Power and control and anger seem to be the offenders motivating factors. Yet, sexual gratification is a secondary effect. The offender is a vindictive rapist, where women are the central and exclusive focus. The offenders behavior is physically injurious and appears to intentionally and primarily humiliate and demean the victims. Findings: It is likely that the offender is vindictive in nature. The offenses were characterized by humiliating, degrading and physically harmful behavior toward the victims. It is likely that the motivating factors are complex, and have deeper subconsciously motivated causation. Movement: Describes how offender changes behavior, spatial environment, timing, and target selection as progresses in criminal career Facts: The offenders spatial environment changed from the sexual assault in the van to the residences of the victims. The offender occasionally committed the crime at a location separate from the victim encounter site, however as the rage and sexual assaults escalated the offender preferred to assault the victims in their residences. The timing of the crime and the selection of the targets remained relatively consistent throughout the serial assaults. The most obvious movement was exhibited in the behavior of the offender. The offenders behavior became more aggressive and violent with each successive assault, culminating in the murder of the last sexual assault victim. Findings: It is likely that the movement of the offender will continue to escalate in violence until apprehended or dead. The movement of the spatial environment will likely stabilize. The offender has successfully avoided apprehension, and has perfected his stalking and victim selection to likely feel invincible. It is likely that the timing of the offenses will change as the ability to resist the desire for sexual assaults declines. Waiting for the next meaningful date will likely be out of the realm of the offenders ability to restrain the impulse to commit these more violent assaults.

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Section III: Forecasts


Time, Behavior, Location for Next Attack It is likely the next assault will occur on 15 January 2012, which coincides with Martin Luther King weekend and is a Sunday, or on 8 April 2012, Easter Sunday. The offender will likely return to either Worcester or Chicopee for his next attack. He is unlikely to murder his next victim, having learned what not to do with victim 10. However, the overall violence of the assault is not likely to diminish much. Target and Offender Profile Target Profile Caucasian women, ages 20 to 23, who live near college campuses and within a few miles of Interstate 90, plus frequent bars or work at all-night food establishments, are particularly at risk. Offender Profile Based on the modus operandi and signature of the offender in addition to the spatial and temporal elements of the crime, a profile of the offender has been developed. Demographics The physical attributes of the offender described by the victims are a Caucasian male between the ages of 25 and 35 standing between 5 feet 8 inches to6 feet tall, and weighing 150 to 225 pounds. It is highly likely that the offender lives near and has knowledge of the cities where the offenses occurred. The likelihood of his original primary residence being Boston is high since the first three attacks occurred in the Boston area. It is likely that he is married. Personal and physical characteristics The victims stated that he was articulate, yet demanding and demeaning. Thereby, it is likely that the offender is of above average intelligence. It is likely that the offender works in an occupation where some travel along the Massachusetts Turnpike is required. It is likely that at one time the offender was in the military. The offender does not likely work on the weekends. The offender knows where the cemeteries are in the cities of the sexual assault and may work in the cemetery field. The psychosexual development of the offender is immature. The van is light colored and probably in fair condition. The spatial attributes of the van yield more into the development of the offender profile. The fact that the victims observed a mattress, sleeping bag, toolbox and gym bag likely indicate that the offender used the van as more than just a method of transportation. It

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is likely that the offender used the van for work or for rest or sleep during travel. It is likely that he observed or stalked his later victims using the van while assessing the opportunity for the assault. Habits The offender is a smoker, preferring small cigars. Described as muscular and athletically built, the offender likely worked out. It is probable that he frequented bars. Pre-offense behavior It is likely that prior to committing the assaults the offender went to bars. Although, not appearing intoxicated, the offenders eyes were described as bloodshot, likely indicative of drinking or lack of sleep. The motivating factor to the offenders assaults is anger, power, and control with sexual gratification as a secondary factor. It is probable that negative events involving women in his life occur prior to the assaults and abductions. It is likely that the offender had low contact with the victim, but may have observed them in the bar or restaurant. Some minimal stalking of the victims is likely, more so with successive assaults. Post-offense Behavior The offender washes the victims or forces them to shower themselves, and in the final two known assaults the victim was washed with kitchen cleaner fluid. He would also occasionally shower. The offender would rummage through drawers or pants pockets to take tokens from the victims. The victims statements suggested that the offender drove away in a vehicle. Recommendations to Assist Task Force Focus of the investigation should likely be near bars, all night restaurants, and college campuses, within 4 to 6 miles off the Massachusetts Turnpike in the cities of Chicopee, Boston, and Worcester, MA. Probable provocation factors might drive the suspect to include an aggressive female who fights back and is not submissive to him. Probable interrogation techniques would include employing the expertise of an aggressive female interrogator, and the offender should be confronted directly. The sexual assault offender in this case appeared to change his style of offense as the serial sexual assaults progressed. Initially, the offender seemed to be a disorganized offender, appearing nervous and in a hurry for the first known victim. After developing and honing the sexual assault technique the offender became increasingly organized. The fact that body of the last known victim was not hidden or moved as would be the case with most organized offenders; it is likely because the offender did not intend to murder the victim. However, since the serial sexual assaults intensified and culminated in the death of the last victim, it is likely that the offender will become more organized in the murder of subsequent victims.

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Section IV:

CRIME ALERT
Leslie Guelcher and Karen Omniewski 1-800-KAPTURE April 24, 2012

Massachusetts State Police-Violent Crimes Unit

Sexual Assaults/Murder
Information: Please be on alert. Mass. State Police are investigating a series of rapes that occurred 9/2/2006 to 12/26/2010 in Boston, Worcester, and Chicopee. The rapes mainly occurred in victims homes, which were located near college campuses, cemeteries and Interstate 90. The suspect is an unknown white male, approximately 58-6 tall, 150225 lbs., with multiple military-style tattoos. The suspect entered the homes through unlocked windows and assaulted the female resident. The offender drove away from the scene after the assaults. The final assault ended with the murder of the victim. It is believed she died during the course of the assault by asphyxiation due to a sock and vomit in her esophagus. No further information is available at this time. If you have any information on these incidents, please call the Mass. Violent Crimes Unit at 1-800-KAPTURE. Potential Target Areas: Boston

The above image is a resemblance of the suspect and not intended to be an exact likeness.

Worcester

Subject: Age: 25-35 Race: Caucasian Sex: Male Height: 58 to 6 Weight: 150 -225 lbs.

General Safety Information: Lock your doors and windows in all Characteristics: residences day & night, even if you are Multiple militarygoing to be home for just a few minutes. type tattoos If you hear or see anything out of the Articulate in speech ordinary, please call the PD at 911. Bloodshot eyes Know who is at your door before Smokes a small cigar opening it. Insist on seeing identification if you dont know the person. Weapon: Use discretion and caution when taking handgun; small handgun short cuts through isolated parts of town.

Chicopee

The Massachusetts State Police Department, Violent Crimes Unit encourages you to post this bulletin in appropriate areas within your control.

Section V: Appendices
Excel Spreadsheets Time Analysis

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Space Analysis

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Behavior Analysis

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Target Analysis

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Offender Analysis

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ATAC Analysis Outputs

Maps

Legend for following maps:

Assault & encounter site

Encounter Site only

Assault site only

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Hot spot map for Boston, Suffolk County, MA

Boston, Suffolk County, MA assault locations

Hot spot map for Chicopee, MA

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Chicopee, MA assault locations

Hot spot map for Worcester, MA

Worcester, MA assault locations

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Graphs Time Analysis

Behavior analysis

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Target Analysis

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Offender Analysis

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Sources Google Earth ATAC Bartol, C.R. & Bartol, A.M. (2008). Introduction to forensic psychology: Research and application (2nd ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. Holmes, R.M. & Holmes, S. T. (2009). Profiling violent crimes: An investigative tool (4th ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. Read Chapter 1. Retrieved from http://www.sagepub.com/upm-data/23999_1___Psychological_Profiling.pdf Douglas, J.E., Ressler, R.K., Burgess, A.W., Hartman, C.R. (1986). Criminal profiling from crime scene analysis. Behavioral Sciences & the Law, 4(4), 401-421. Paulsen, D. J., & Robinson, M. B. (2008). Crime mapping and spatial aspects of crime (2nd ed.). Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall. Douglas, J.; Burgess, A.W.; Burgess, A.G.; & Ressler, R.K. (1997). Rape and Sexual Assault. Crime Classification Manual. San Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass.

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