Weekend warriors and fitness fanatics alike can find all their gear at Dick's Sporting Goods. But until the retailer revamped how it analyzes its product lines, building and tracking reports for sales and inventory took a marathoner's effort.
Until 2003, the company relied on merchandise management software that tracked inventory for its stores and distribution points. The software could compile sales figures for athletic gear and clothing into a report, but it couldn't aggregate and drill down, for instance, on how products were being sold and stored in different regions, according to Miles Mewherter, vice president of application development and enterprise reporting. Beyond that, Dick's had no single repository where reports and figures were kept, says Mark Schroer, the chain's director of enterprise business intelligence and reporting. Instead, employees kept their own sales and inventory analyses, derived from the merchandising system, within their own business units and often on their own computers. There was no standard formatting of sales and inventory reports. And the company hadn't put in place any format for naming reports, so some were lost by the people who had created the reports because they couldn't remember the file names, Schroer says. Still, employees insisted on using the system, shunning attempts by information-technology managers to push tools from Cognos, a maker of business intelligence software, which helps companies mine, analyze and report corporate data. "They were used to it," Mewherter says of the merchandising system. And since Dick's didn't set up a formal training program, users found it easy to ignore the new tools, he adds. To move toward standardizing reports, the team at Dick's decided to build a data warehouse a single repository to store all of the company's sales and inventory statistics with an Oracle database. The chain then deployed business intelligence software from MicroStrategy to mine the warehouse and create standard reports displaying, among other things, how apparel and equipment were selling from store to store and in different regions across the country. At the same time, the company initiated a training program to promote user adoption. And to make sure users embraced the new system, Dick's got rid of the merchandising system and its reporting tools. The company built the business intelligence and data warehouse system, Schroer says, with a key purpose in mind: "Our goal was to have it be the place to go, for anyone in the business, when they wanted information." How it got there, though, is a lesson for all companies and particularly mid-market firms looking to grow in change management, systems planning and, above all, finding the sweet spot in data analysis.
Business intelligence software wasn't around at the retailer's humble beginnings, when Dick Stack, at the spry young age of 18, left his job at an upstate New York Army/Navy store in 1948 to open his own bait-and-tackle shop. According to company lore, Stack's former boss scoffed when the young employee suggested expanding the store's product line to include fishing supplies, telling the teen he'd "never make a good merchant."
Turns out the boss underestimated the entrepreneur. Nearly 60 years later, Stack's company now publicly traded and led by his son, Edward offers everything from cricket bats to yoga mats across the U.S. The chain now boasts 268 stores in 34 states, with $3.11 billion in revenue in the 2006 fiscal year. But as Dick's grew, it needed a game plan for analyzing how it inventoried and sold its various product lines. Back in 2003, the company had some basic reporting tools included in a merchandising system from STS, a specialty vendor acquired in December 2000 by the U.K.-based NSB Group, a competitor in the retail software market. While acknowledging that the STS system is not primarily a reporting system, Schroer says it took too long to create reports. Gathering data to run a report required several steps, he says. To start, an employee had to go to a computer connected to a Microsoft Access database, where financial reports and statistics were stored. Once there, the employee had to define the specific data he wanted for instance, how batting gloves were selling in the stores. Then the system sent that data through a Unix server to the employee's personal computer, where it had to be downloaded into an Access database or Microsoft Excel spreadsheet and checked for accuracy. If the employee needed another data set, he had to start all over again. The entire process, on average, took up to an hour, Schroer says. But for more complex analysis for instance, incorporating separate data sets, like how those batting gloves were selling in offseason months, or what regions sold more that could stretch several times over. Beyond that, though, the quality of the data in those reports was questionable. Since there was no warehouse storing all the company's statistics, there was no telling whether the data sources used to create a report were accurate, Mewherter says. Dick's had deployed some business intelligence tools, including Cognos Business Intelligence Series 7, as well as Crystal Reports (a product of Business Objects) and Brio (now owned by Hyperion, which was bought in April by Oracle). But users never embraced the software. Mewherter says it was an internal issue namely, the absence of a training program and not technological blips that forced out Cognos, Crystal Reports and Brio. "We had tools that were being poorly used because we hadn't trained people well," he says. That led employees to think the Cognos tools didn't work. Part of the problem was that users weren't included in mapping out how Dick's would use the software to mine data and create reports, Schroer says. The dismissal by users meant going back to the drawing board. "Instead of taking what we had with Cognos, which in their mind was a failed package, we decided to go through the whole process again," he says. That effort began with the data warehouse. Under Mewherter, Dick's built the warehouse on an Oracle 8i database, with customized capabilities to extract data, transform it to meet business requirements and load it into the warehouse. (They've since upgraded to 9i and were moving to 10g at press time.)
Then Dick's set up a bake-off between business intelligence vendors. "We said, 'Let's involve business users and do the whole selection process the way it should have been done all along,'" Schroer says
Mewherter and Schroer agreed that MicroStrategy's flexibility along with its experience with retailers put the software over the top of other big-name competitors, like Cognos, Brio and Business Objects, who were also brought in for testing. The vendor's technology, in fact, does set it apart from the competition. MicroStrategy uses relational online analytical processing, or ROLAP, which works directly with a relational database. The MicroStrategy server sits between the user and the relational database that powers the data warehouse and calculates data based on the dimensions the employee prescribes; it thus changes the relational data into multidimensional data, or data combined from various sources, according to Boris Evelson, principal analyst for business intelligence with Forrester Research. MicroStrategy is the only large ROLAP vendor today, Evelson says, though Business Objects and Microsoft have experimented with the technology. Right out of the box, Schroer saw improvements in how users created reports. Since MicroStrategy interfaces directly with the data warehouse, employees no longer had to download figures or statistics to their computers, as they did with the STS system. MicroStrategy allows Dick's to create two types of reports: "canned" and "self-service." For "canned" reports, the team analyzed thousands of reports created via the STS system taking into account the specific needs of each business unit, based on their past reporting experience and winnowed them down to templates. Those templates were organized around business functions like ordering and receiving or sales and margin analysis. Users could then narrow the focus by region, department or product, Mewherter says. Dick's went from more than 2,000 reports derived from STS to about 200 on MicroStrategy. The chain has since cut that to 50 since upgrading to the latest version, MicroStrategy 8, Schroer says. Customization became a big plus for users, he points out. Instead of going back into the system to add levels of granularity, the MicroStrategy tool lets users expand their options. For instance, if an analyst wants to examine how one store's sales stacked up against others in the district, or how that district compared with the entire chain, he can add those fields right into the report. Before, he had to locate reports, plug in the data and then re-run the report. That was one of the scenarios Schroer says took hours. With MicroStrategy, in most cases, the same task takes less than five minutes, because the figures and statistics all come from the data warehouse instead of being scattered in different databases. The vendor also offers a "self-service" report tool that walks users through a series of prompts, asking them which elements they'd like to include. For example, the tool might ask the employee if he wants to track sales of a specific item, by its style or color, at a range of stores. "It's really looking at the elements available and seeing if that's what you want," Schroer says. Still, even after all that effort, the team watched as users retreated to STS, for no other reason than a high comfort level with the system's tools, despite requiring more steps and time. "The difficulty we had was that it was too easy for them to go back to the old way of doing things," he explains. Initially, the team tried to find managers with influence in departments like allocation, planning, procurement, replenishment and store operations to use and promote the software to their teams. "You can't involve everyone," Schroer says. "But you have that person help in the design, and they can go back to their area and say, 'Look at all the things this can do.'" Still, the plan had only marginal success, he says: Only about 25 employees became users. But the team at Dick's anticipated a bit of an uphill battle, since they had both systems implemented at once. So, right as they finished deploying the software, Mewherter, Schroer and company
launched a computer-based training program for the MicroStrategy software. Employees got at least three hours of instruction on how to create, customize and run reports, Schroer says. As they learned the new system, Dick's, as planned, began phasing out the STS system and implementing new JDA merchandise management software. "That forced adoption," Schroer says, noting that the number of users on the MicroStrategy system jumped tenfold, from about 25 to 250, in less than a year. They've since added at least 50 more users, he says. Dick's would not reveal how much it paid for MicroStrategy's suite or any estimated return on investment. (Both Mewherter and Schroer say that management has never requested one.) But recent financial results show that Dick's has improved its operations while boosting revenue. Earnings have more than doubled since the business intelligence initiative began, according to regulatory filings. In the fiscal year ended Jan. 31, 2004, Dick's pulled in $1.47 billion in net sales. In the most recent annual filing, for the year ended Feb. 3, 2007, the company reported $3.11 billion in revenue. And Dick's operating income has grown year over year by at least 20% since going with MicroStrategy. In the 2005 fiscal year the first full year since the deployment operating income rose 28%, to $110.87 million, from $86.33 million the previous year. In its most recent filing, Dick's reported a whopping 49% jump, approaching $200 million in the 2006 fiscal year. Instead of drawing a direct line between the business intelligence project and the company's operational improvements, Mewherter calls the initiative an "enabler" a system that helps users fine-tune their reports. "Rather than saying here's Mike's purchase order reports and Betsy's purchase order reports, now we have one report that users can customize and make their own," Mewherter says. "That's business intelligence."
In 2003, the national retailer deployed business intelligence software to improve operations by better analzying the way it sold and stored items across its stores. Since then, the company's annual operating margins have bested the average of its top competitors.
Evolving a business plan is a detailed iterative process which is an ongoing activity even once when the business is established. The manner in which a business plan is presented as given below may suggest that it is a linear process but it is not. At every stage one has to revisit the plan made earlier and revalidate the information, analysis and the assumptions made. The views expressed in this note are personal to the author and do not represent Deloittes viewpoint on the same.
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has, booting the computer/laptop connecting to internet etc. is more hassle than simply calling the service provider? o What value does your service bring to him?
How much volume do you expect? At those volumes do you expect to break even? Is the information, on which the business plan is made, right and from reliable sources? Are the conclusions right? What are the assumptions? How do we know that the assumptions are right? What validation has been done? Can the business be easily copied? How will one prevent some bigger player with better brand recall and more financial muscle not to copy the business model (assuming it is profitable) Why will the business model work? Has anyone tried and failed before? If it has not worked earlier when someone else tried, why will it will work now? Is it one of those great ideas which as a consumer you will definitely take it if is offered free but dont see the need to pay for it? If it is in a business which is essentially an intermediary between the customer and some other business, think of what the business partner will say - My customer will come to me anyway. Why should I pay you to route my own customers to me! There should be strong case for the business partner to use your intermediation services. Does the offering complicate the way a customer solves his problem? Instead of availing your offering, if the customer can as well pay a few rupees more or go for a less optimal solution than go for the optimal or only little more optimal solution that you offer, why would he come to you?
BUSINESS PLAN DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Executive Summary of the Business Plan Chapter 1 Need for the offering and overall concept
The need for the offering and the details of the offering should be explained before going on to discuss about the other elements of the business plan. The big idea should emerge from this chapter.
existing segmentation in the market. The information presented in this section should be enough to evaluate the threat to the proposed business from the existing players. Segmentation of the market and Targeting the right segment and Positioning your offering (STP, in marketing jargon) is one of the most important activities in evolving a market strategy. This exercise leads to answers to several fundamental questions about a business. A market can be segmented across several parameters or dimensions. Some of the parameters used frequently to segment a consumer (B2C) market often are gender, socio economic class, age, occupation, attitude towards life, and several other parameters. Similarly in a B2B market, there are several segments e.g. organized, small, medium, large etc. Segmenting the market is the first step to evolving a marketing strategy in a given market. In a market where there are existing players, analyzing their offering and positioning would also throw some light on the existing segmentation in the market. This is not to mean that one has to follow the existing segmentation in the market. Many successful products/offerings both by new entrepreneurs as well by existing players have redefined the segmentation in the market. Once the market is segmented, and the existing players profiled and their positioning in the respective segments identified, an analysis of the players and the segments can be done to assess the relative attractiveness of the segments. This would involve, identifying which segments are crowded, have competition with deeper pockets, segments with entrenched competition (better brand name), high and low growth segments, underserved segments, profitable segments, segments with high and low barriers etc. Once the Segmentation Analysis is done, defining your strategy for the chosen segment becomes relatively easier. This is not to suggest that the segmentation exercise should be done before you dream about the big idea. But it is extremely important to know which segment will find your offering attractive enough to pay for it. It is important to profile the target customers. This is one of the most important phases of evolving a market strategy. Profiling should be done to as much detail as possible. Profiling should contain all the details which will help you to put the customer in one segment or in a different segment. If this is carefully done, you may realize that your customers come from two or more distinctly different segments. In such a case you may have to have a different strategy for each segment. Profiling the customers also helps understanding the whole purchase process right from the felt need, to awareness about offerings in the market, to purchase decision, payment, repeat purchase, after sales support, if applicable. In a B2B market the whole process would be different than from a B2C business. For example in a B2B business, one has to understand who in the organization will be initiating the purchase order, who will approve and who will place the order and who will pay. What are the priorities of these people who will be involved? If the problem you are solving is not high amongst his priorities, the attention he pays you will be to that extent diluted and the effort will have to be that much more. All these aspects have to be factored into the strategy at some point in some manner. Uniquely positioning your product/service differently is the next step in evolving the market strategy. Typically for VC fundable projects, uniqueness in the positioning is highly desirable,
though lack of unique positioning does not mean that is not a profitable business idea. (This perhaps only mean that it wont satisfy VCs (normally higher) return expectations.) The Segmentation Targeting and Positioning exercise allows you to identify who is your customer and more importantly who is not thus allowing you to find out what he wants and fine tune your offering. In other words, it allows you to firm up the Unique Selling Proposition (USP) of your offering. Offerings without a USP generally tend to be low margin/slow growth/commoditized businesses unless backed by other organizational strengths which for an upcoming entrepreneur is difficult to achieve. Or alternatively in a commoditized business, players try to differentiate through better service, better quality, relationships, better design and so on. Industry trends and future outlook could be in terms of shifts in consumption trends, demographic trends, technology trends and any other trends. These trends are very critical to be analyzed to ensure that you have the right offering and the right strategy. These trends are also useful inputs the demand estimation. It is necessary to study the legal framework that could be applicable for the business. Atleast identify the laws that could be applicable and if necessary fine tune your strategy based on any legal restrictions. For some businesses, (say for example energy saving devices) studying the regulatory framework is necessary so that the entrepreneur can suitably avail of the incentives offered by the government. The offerings present in some other market (say internationally) which are in no way a competition to your service but could be used to learn about the business model due to similarity can be profiled. The information presented in this section should lead to learnings from their business models.
An entrepreneur may not have the time or the resources to conduct a rigorous market research exercise but whatever research has been done, it may be useful to document. More importantly, it is necessary that research is done. If the entrepreneur is doing this himself, it is important that he meets as many unknown people/parties as possible. People who know you may be inclined to give you a biased feedback. Or worse, they may be from the same socioeconomic segment of the population that you are from and this segment may not be what your offering is targeted at. In such case such research has limited utility. In this section it is also useful to document of customer feedbacks obtained through websites, direct mails, appreciation letters etc. In this section, it is also important to document the feedback of your important business partners e.g. if you are engaging a large number of small retailers, you have to document their feedback. This feedback should not only include their view of how the product/offering will fare in the market but also about their terms of business i.e. in terms of margins, responsibility and liability, investments to be made by them, their concerns if any, as applicable.
include IT enabled engineering services people? Does it also include HR/Admin staff of IT companies? Should it also include employees with families, if yes what is the family size? Is the term IT employee is loosely being used for young people with higher disposable income? If yes, then in that case should it also include employees in other industries say financial services? Should it be limited to employees or it could include other walks of life? Say housewives or small time businessmen or students? All these answers are also will lead to clarity about the offering as well as clarity about the segment. In the above example, it might be difficult to get the IT employees in a city like Bangalore. Even if this is available, it would be difficult to get data about the population within that age. And it would be even more difficult to validate the fact that an average customer who is in this segment will use it twice a day. So one has to make assumptions based on several factors and data obtained from different sources and doing some primary research. It is true that demand estimation is based on several assumptions and validating them beyond a point appears difficult, given the limited resources at disposal. However, it is important that you must be clear of the assumptions made. And as long as the assumptions are reasonable, it is good enough. At the end of the day a demand estimate is just that an estimate. One can argue this way or that way but as long as it is reasonable it is fine.
the product/offering with respect to price. This has to be backed by adequate research as this will also feed into breakeven analysis. Needless to say, the pricing has to suit the target consumer and his spending habits. Place refers to the distribution channel through which your offerings will reach the customer. Depending upon the nature of the product and your strategy, it could be online, it could have a brick and mortar interface, or it could be telephonic. If you are planning to use franchisee formats or any other formats where business partners will be play an important role, your marketing strategy should recognize the value they bring to your business, identify the risks they take vs. the risks taken by you and how you will reward them. You should have a plan on how you will convince them to stock your products and to promote your products to end consumers. If any investment is required at a distributors/ place, you should plan the investment required and your business plan should provide a clear answer to what is the investment required, who makes the investment, and what are the returns on that marginal investment. How the risks and rewards are shared between you and the business partner needs to be clearly delineated. Investment need not be limited to capital investment it could also be in terms of training of resources to explain your offering to the customer. Here also, as mentioned earlier it is just not adequate to conceptualize the whole thing. It is important that it should be validated through market research. Promotion Strategy should clearly address how the awareness will be created and the financial implications/assumptions made. For a promotional campaign to be cost - effective, it has to be provide as much awareness within the target population while minimizing the spend overflow to non target segments. The link between the target segment, promotional spend and your revenues should be understood. Initial promotional offers should be given
outsourcing arrangements/contracts you propose to enter into have to be discussed in detail. The key inputs to the business, such as raw materials, need to be discussed in detail if applicable. How you propose to keep tab on the quality of the product/service is a crucial aspect you need to discuss. If there are several outsource partners, the overall experience of the customer will be greatly influenced by the quality of output of your outsourcing partners. Hence it is crucial to have a clear strategy on this. If too many aspects of your business are outsourced, one must be clear about the value one is adding in between and whether this is a sustainable position. Assuming that the business offers good margins, it is possible that the outsourcing partners eat into your customer base by offering the same service in which case your position is not sustainable.
project costs and reasonable approximations would suffice. However, needless to say, more accurate estimates are more desirable. However it is more important to capture all the cost elements even if some accuracy is compromised. Though the financer will anyway thoroughly scrutinize your assumptions in case he is convinced about the idea, reasonably accurate projections will help you to plan better. Break even analysis will give insights to whether the volumes are adequate to cover the fixed costs and whether the pricing of the products is appropriate enough to cover the overall costs and make a reasonable profit. A well built financial model will be truly reflective of the business. The financial model could be used to analyze the sensitivity of various demand, price and cost assumptions and assess the (quantitative) key success and risk factors for the business. In order to analyze the sensitivity of the project return parameters to various business parameters, the financial model should parameterize the various aspects of the business and feed it into the financial model in the form of a quantifiable input parameter. A critical aspect of the financial planning, which is an integral part of the overall business plan, will be to see if the investment into the business can be phased over installments. This reduces the risks for the investor. The form of the investment should also be looked into i.e. debt vs. equity vs. quasi equity. However for startups, which anyway do not have the assets to serve as collateral for debt, this may not be a great issue. However, valuation of the equity and the percent the entrepreneur is willing to share for a given quantum of funds is an issue one has to give adequate thought to.
This concluding chapter would also talk about the risk factors and success factors as the entrepreneur sees them. The risk and success factors as identified by the entrepreneur, of course, will be suitably supplemented by the VCs experience and insights but an attempt has to be made by the entrepreneur. The risk mitigating measures could include developing standard terms and conditions for product use. It would be advisable to take professional help for technology related risks particularly if your offering contains payment gateways etc. Risks and threats arising out of business partners, if applicable, need to be assessed. A concluding section on expectations from VCs would be useful.