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Macroeconomic Issues
ECON 3010 Intermediate Macroeconomics
Chapter 1 The Science of Macroeconomics

Why does the cost of living keep rising? Why are millions of people unemployed? Why are there recessions? Can policymakers do anything? Should they? What is the government deficit? How does it affect the economy? Why does the U.S. have a large trade deficit?

U.S. Real GDP per capita


(2005 dollars)
$50,000

U.S. Inflation Rate


(% per year)
25

9/11/2001
$40,000

20 15

World War I

$30,000

Great Depression World War I

First oil price shock

First oil price shock

Second oil price shock

Financial crisis

10 5 0 -5 -10

$20,000

Second oil price shock World War II

$10,000

Great Depression
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990

Financial crisis

$0 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

-15 2000 2010

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U.S. Unemployment Rate


(% of labor force)
30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Economic models
are simplified versions of a complex reality
Second oil price shock

World War I

Great First Depression oil price shock Oil price shocks World War II Great Depression

irrelevant details are stripped away

are used to
Financial crisis Financial crisis

World War I

show relationships between variables explain the economys behavior devise policies to improve economic performance

The market for UW mens BB tickets: Demand


demand equation:

The market for UW mens BB tickets: Supply


supply equation:

Qd

= D (P,W )

Price of tickets

Qs

= S (P,PH )

Price of tickets

The demand curve shows the relationship between quantity demanded and price, other things equal.

D
Quantity of tickets

The supply curve shows the relationship between quantity supplied and price, other things equal.

D
Quantity of tickets

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The market for tickets: Equilibrium


Price of tickets

The effects of an increase in wins


demand equation:
S

Q d = D (P,W )

Price of tickets

equilibrium price

D
Quantity of tickets

An increase in wins increases the quantity of tickets consumers demand at each price

P2 P1 D1 Q1 Q2 D2

equilibrium quantity

which increases the equilibrium price and quantity.

Quantity of tickets

The effects of heating price increase


supply equation:

Endogenous vs. exogenous variables


S2 S1

Q s = S (P,PH)
An increase in PH reduces the quantity of tickets UW supplies at each price

Price of tickets

The values of endogenous variables are determined in the model. The values of exogenous variables are determined outside the model: the model takes their values and behavior as given. In the model of supply & demand for tickets,
endogenous: exogenous:

P2 P1 D Q2 Q1
Quantity of tickets

which increases the market price and reduces the quantity.

P, Q d, Q s W, PH

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