NATIONAL TAIWAN UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

DEPARTMENT OF CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING

Course
COST MANAGEMENT

- ASSIGNMENT 2 -

Total Project Cost

by Monte Carlo Simulation

Instructor:

Professor J.-S. Chou

Student:

Ung Thanh Khiet M10105813

Taipei, April - 2013

TABLE OF CONTENT

1. Assuming data of project cost items ........................................................................ 2

2. Simulation for TPC .................................................................................................. 3
2.1. Correlation r=0.3............................................................................................. 3
2.2. Correlation r=0................................................................................................ 4
2.3. Correlation r = -0.3 ......................................................................................... 5
3. Comparing TPCs PDF and CPF ............................................................................. 7
4. Simulating the problem by using sofware CRYSTAL BALL ................................ 9
5. Appendix ................................................................................................................ 12

Page 1

Problem:
1. Assume 7 work items with its distribution as normal, lognormal and triangular.
The total cost of project (TPC) y:
7

y xi
i 1

2. To conduct simulation for TPC if all cost components are correlated with
coefficient r1= 0.3; r2 = 0 and r3= -0.3 respectively.
Simulation 50 times with 20 sets
3. Draw TPCs PDF and CPF and discussing your results.
4. Simulating the problem by using sofware (Crystal Ball or @Risk) and
comparing the result from manual spread and from software.

Solution:
1. Assuming data of project cost items
It is considered a high-rise building project with below basic information about
main items and cost distribution.
Table 1: Project cost items

Distribution:
-

Normal distribution: the CDF is given by

X k
FX (x) k

Lognormal distribution: the CDF is given by

Page 2

 ln x
FX x

Triangular distribution:

The inverse of F(x) as follows:

ma

for
:
0

y*
m

a
(b

a)

ba
F1 (y | a, m, b, n)
b 1 y b m b a for : m a y 1

ba

2. Simulation for TPC

2.1. Correlation r=0.3
-

Matrix of r value
Matrix of r

2
0.30
1.00
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30

3
0.30
0.30
1.00
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30

4
0.30
0.30
0.30
1.00
0.30
0.30
0.30

5
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
1.00
0.30
0.30

6
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
1.00
0.30

7
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
1.00

2
18.04
68.81
12.89
12.13
12.32
18.52
48.72

3
11.26
12.89
26.81
7.57
7.69
11.56
30.42

4
10.60
12.13
7.57
23.77
7.24
10.88
28.64

5
10.77
12.32
7.69
7.24
24.50
11.05
29.07

6
16.19
18.52
11.56
10.88
11.05
55.38
43.71

7
42.59
48.72
30.42
28.64
29.07
43.71
383.38

C (Covariance matrix)
Matrix C

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
1.00
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
52.56
18.04
11.26
10.60
10.77
16.19
42.59

Tranformation matrix A is obtained as follows:

i 1

aii COV Xi, Xi a 2ij

j 1

Page 3

COV X i , X j h 1aih a jh
i 1

aij

Matrix A

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
7.25
2.49
1.55
1.46
1.48
2.23
5.87

2
0.00
7.91
1.14
1.07
1.09
1.64
4.31

aii
3
0.00
0.00
4.81
0.85
0.86
1.30
3.41

4
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.44
0.71
1.07
2.82

5
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.46
0.91
2.40

6
7
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
6.64 0.00
2.10 17.34

Matrix A can be checked as:

CX ACX ' AT

Check A

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
52.56
18.04
11.26
10.60
10.77
16.19
42.59

2
18.04
68.81
12.89
12.13
12.32
18.52
48.72

3
11.26
12.89
26.81
7.57
7.69
11.56
30.42

4
10.60
12.13
7.57
23.77
7.24
10.88
28.64

5
10.77
12.32
7.69
7.24
24.50
11.05
29.07

6
16.19
18.52
11.56
10.88
11.05
55.38
43.71

7
42.59
48.72
30.42
28.64
29.07
43.71
383.38

Run simulation with 50 realizations. See Appendix 1.

2.2. Correlation r=0
Matrix of r

Matrix C

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

3
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

4
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

5
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00

6
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00

7
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
52.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 68.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 26.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 23.77 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.50 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.38 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 383.38

Page 4

Matrix A

Check A

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
7.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2
0.00
8.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

3
0.00
0.00
5.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

4
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.88
0.00
0.00
0.00

5
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.95
0.00
0.00

6
7
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
7.44 0.00
0.00 19.58

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
52.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 68.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 26.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 23.77 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.50 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.38 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 383.38

Run simulation with 50 realizations. See Appendix 2.

2.3. Correlation r = -0.3
-

With r = 0.3, we calculate tTranformation matrix A:

Matrix A

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
7.25
-2.49
-1.55
-1.46
-1.48
-2.23
-5.87

2
0.00
7.91
-2.12
-1.99
-2.02
-3.04
-8.00

3
0.00
0.00
4.46
-3.15
-3.20
-4.81
-12.66

4
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.78
-8.47
-12.73
-33.49

5
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!

6
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
#NUM!
#NUM!

7
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
#NUM!
i 1

We occured this error #NUM! because the equation: aii COV Xi, Xi a 2ij
j 1

with value under square root is less than zero.

To compare the results of three neutral, positive and negative correlation cases, I
would like to propose the new negative coefficient r = -0.15.

Page 5

r = -0.15
Matrix of r

Matrix C

Matrix A

Check A

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

1
1.00
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15

2
-0.15
1.00
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15

3
-0.15
-0.15
1.00
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15

4
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
1.00
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15

5
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
1.00
-0.15
-0.15

6
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
1.00
-0.15

7
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
1.00

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
52.56 -9.02 -5.63 -5.30 -5.38 -8.09 -21.29
-9.02 68.81 -6.44 -6.07 -6.16 -9.26 -24.36
-5.63 -6.44 26.81 -3.79 -3.84 -5.78 -15.21
-5.30 -6.07 -3.79 23.77 -3.62 -5.44 -14.32
-5.38 -6.16 -3.84 -3.62 24.50 -5.53 -14.54
-8.09 -9.26 -5.78 -5.44 -5.53 55.38 -21.86
-21.29 -24.36 -15.21 -14.32 -14.54 -21.86 383.38
1
7.25
-1.24
-0.78
-0.73
-0.74
-1.12
-2.94

2
0.00
8.20
-0.90
-0.85
-0.86
-1.30
-3.42

3
0.00
0.00
5.04
-1.02
-1.03
-1.55
-4.08

4
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.63
-1.28
-1.93
-5.08

5
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.53
-2.55
-6.71

6
7
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
6.31 0.00
-9.96 13.28

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
52.56 -9.02 -5.63 -5.30 -5.38 -8.09 -21.29
-9.02 68.81 -6.44 -6.07 -6.16 -9.26 -24.36
-5.63 -6.44 26.81 -3.79 -3.84 -5.78 -15.21
-5.30 -6.07 -3.79 23.77 -3.62 -5.44 -14.32
-5.38 -6.16 -3.84 -3.62 24.50 -5.53 -14.54
-8.09 -9.26 -5.78 -5.44 -5.53 55.38 -21.86
-21.29 -24.36 -15.21 -14.32 -14.54 -21.86 383.38

Run simulation with 50 realizations. See Appendix 3.

Page 6

The result of TPC with 50 times and 20 sets as follows:

Sim. Set
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Mean
Standard Deviation
Standard Error
Minimum
Maximum
Lower 95%
Upper 95%

r = 0.3
501.04
499.61
506.57
501.04
503.14
506.30
507.94
497.74
501.46
500.82
500.29
510.95
511.08
502.83
501.70
497.91
500.01
514.80
506.27
502.14
503.68
4.68
0.15
497.74
514.80
503.44
503.93

r=0
r = -0.15
503.87
503.39
500.09
504.09
501.83
500.27
499.44
500.67
499.67
502.84
502.70
503.40
503.60
498.12
500.73
503.62
500.01
507.48
505.88
508.07
502.70
501.32
507.83
503.92
504.64
504.76
506.73
500.52
503.16
506.85
505.13
501.51
512.32
504.08
501.19
502.01
504.79
503.79
508.42
503.74
503.74
503.22
3.35
2.48
0.11
0.08
499.44
498.12
512.32
508.07
503.56
503.09
503.91
503.35

3. Comparing TPCs PDF and CPF

Page 7

When we simulate TPC with 50 times and 20 sets, result is showed as follow:
E (TPC)
503.45
Var (TPC)
1,438.93
s (TPC)
37.93
Assume TPC is Normal

Dicussion:
In positive correlation condition r = 0.3, the result we got after simulating for total
cost is different from independent result because the standard deviation is greater than
the standard of the first case.
In negative correlation condition r = -0.15, the result we got after simulating for
total cost is different from independent result because the standard deviation is smaller
than the standard of the first case.
Three scenarios show three levels of risk prefer status, the lowest risk seeker or
risk averse in case of correlation coefficient r = 0.3 and the highest risk seeker or risk
averse in case of correlation coefficient r = -0.15
Based on risk assessment, in case of correlation condition r = 0.3, the CDF line is
lowest, that mean it will be got more uncertainty for decision maker. However, in
positive risk aspect, decision maker have a trend seek risk to gain more benefit than
original plan, and otherwise.

Page 8

4. Simulating the problem by using sofware CRYSTAL BALL

Using software step by step:
-

Defining distribution of items:

Defining correlation matrix:

Defining Forecast cell:

Page 9

- Set Run preferences, set number of trials run to 50

Run and get the result

r = 0.3

From Crystal Ball

From manual spread

r=0

From Crystal Ball

From manual spread

Page 10

r = - 0.15

From Crystal Ball

From manual spread

Comment:
The two results from Crystal Ball look similiar. But the chart from CB are smoother.
And, clearly, using CB is quicker, more efficiently.

Page 11

5. Appendix
APPENDIX 1: Simulation case r = 0.3
#

s1

s2

s3

s4

s5

s6

s7

x'1

x'2

x'3

x'4

x'5

x'6

x'7

x1

x2

x3

x4

x5

x5

x6

Min-Mid
Mid-Max

x7

502.95
TPC

1 0.936 -0.665 1.442 0.382 -0.206 -1.531 -1.588 64.32

84.85 52.46 68.68 54.26 63.80 101.71 64.20

84.52 52.77 68.58 54.70 54.71 54.70 63.80 101.71 490.29

2 -1.296 0.068 -0.081 1.157 0.335 0.335 0.385 48.15

85.09 42.51 68.35 53.40 71.76 128.18 48.52

84.76 42.30 68.24 53.84 53.95 53.84 71.76 128.18 497.59

3 -0.120 1.173 1.992 -0.352 -0.810 1.027 -1.731 56.67

96.76 55.56 66.31 51.96 80.81 104.66 56.23

96.78 56.53 66.13 52.24 52.77 52.24 80.81 104.66 513.39

4 -0.767 -1.028 1.060 1.488 -1.180 -1.901 0.216 51.98

77.74 47.57 70.39 47.45 56.75 120.12 51.85

77.96 47.33 70.40 46.87 50.30 46.87 56.75 120.12 471.29

5 0.272 0.973 0.009 1.853 -0.442 -0.095 0.728 59.51

96.16 46.41 74.79 53.82 74.03 146.72 59.07

96.12 46.12 75.32 54.27 54.32 54.27 74.03 146.72 551.66

6 -2.801 0.735 -2.450 -0.065 0.630 1.247 -0.373 37.23

86.62 29.55 59.42 50.29 71.43 100.16 40.17

86.25 31.71 59.50 50.26 51.63 50.26 71.43 100.16 439.47

7 -1.032 1.243 2.306 1.046 0.541 -0.279 0.042 50.06

95.05 55.73 71.53 57.96 73.36 135.86 50.15

94.92 56.75 71.65 57.41 58.16 58.16 73.36 135.86 540.85

8 -0.560 -0.580 1.383 -0.022 3.058 -0.051 -0.841 53.48

81.80 49.95 64.73 66.34 72.90 115.85 53.21

81.65 49.90 64.56 58.94 63.13 63.13 72.90 115.85 501.20

9 -0.097 0.948 -1.590 1.678 0.993 -1.053 -0.499 56.84

95.04 38.12 72.09 58.14 65.87 118.67 56.40

94.90 38.37 72.26 57.50 58.31 58.31 65.87 118.67 504.78

10 -1.689 1.693 -0.578 0.689 -0.201 -1.137 0.603 45.30

96.98 41.36 67.02 51.43 62.14 129.26 46.19

97.02 41.23 66.86 51.63 52.39 51.63 62.14 129.26 494.33

11 -0.161 0.929 0.435 0.623 -1.171 -1.047 -0.076 56.37

94.73 47.73 69.00 49.37 65.25 124.29 55.94

94.57 47.50 68.92 49.14 51.12 49.14 65.25 124.29 505.61

12 0.762 2.240 -1.108 -0.222 -0.027 0.007 1.771 63.07 107.40 43.25 66.69 55.34 74.60 164.71 62.82 109.23 42.99 66.52 55.66 55.71 55.71 74.60 164.71 576.58
13 -1.620 -0.377 -0.162 -1.165 -2.752 0.025 -1.455 45.80

80.77 41.11 57.01 36.95 62.84

77.56 46.59

14 0.669 0.589 -0.865 0.924 -1.213 -0.593 -0.511 62.39

94.10 42.39 70.08 49.14 68.16 117.44 62.09

93.90 42.18 70.08 48.86 51.00 48.86 68.16 117.44 502.70

15 0.946 0.038 0.922 1.596 2.763 0.258 -0.765 64.40

90.43 50.78 74.40 68.69 80.19 131.61 64.29

90.07 50.83 74.88 58.97 63.59 63.59 80.19 131.61 555.46

16 2.146 -0.875 -1.553 0.101 -0.843 0.582 -2.171 73.10

86.20 39.71 66.43 50.21 75.42

85.83 39.74 66.26 50.16 51.59 50.16 75.42

17 0.002 -0.561 -0.895 0.387 -0.020 -0.287 0.840 57.55

83.35 39.89 65.46 51.81 67.29 133.87 57.10

83.09 39.91 65.28 52.07 52.66 52.07 67.29 133.87 498.62

18 -0.858 -0.447 1.117 -0.827 -0.919 0.365 -1.393 51.32

82.11 48.36 60.64 47.52 70.37

81.94 48.17 60.62 46.95 50.32 46.95 70.37

19 1.718 0.172 -0.418 -1.297 -0.333 -0.347 0.353 70.00

93.42 45.69 61.68 52.97 70.45 134.67 70.83

93.17 45.39 61.60 53.38 53.58 53.38 70.45 134.67 529.50

20 -0.701 0.184 0.126 0.394 0.151 1.086 -0.344 52.46

87.49 44.56 66.13 53.22 77.54 119.21 52.28

87.10 44.27 65.95 53.66 53.80 53.66 77.54 119.21 500.01

21 1.812 0.735 -0.200 -0.027 -1.447 -1.199 -0.818 70.67

98.11 47.53 68.25 49.85 66.56 117.21 71.66

98.27 47.29 68.13 49.72 51.38 49.72 66.56 117.21 518.84

22 -0.138 0.772 0.675 0.726 -0.020 0.727 -0.716 56.54

93.54 48.74 69.52 54.65 78.29 120.25 56.11

93.31 48.58 69.48 55.06 55.06 55.06 78.29 120.25 521.07

23 0.509 0.317 2.644 0.473 0.535 -1.674 0.719 61.23

91.55 58.70 70.53 59.10 65.84 149.26 60.85

91.22 60.61 70.56 57.91 59.15 59.15 65.84 149.26 557.50

24 0.153 0.245 1.753 1.357 -2.689 -0.132 1.298 58.65

90.10 53.78 73.11 43.99 72.01 151.84 58.20

89.73 54.33 73.40 43.52 49.56 43.52 72.01 151.84 543.03

89.70 74.74

93.23 51.26

80.69 41.00 57.34 40.46 49.31 40.46 62.84

77.56 406.48

89.70 481.85

93.23 452.54

Page 12

25 -2.057 0.243 -1.874 -2.081 -0.936 0.580 1.462 42.63

84.59 32.91 51.52 42.95 65.02 125.35 44.10

84.28 34.17 52.71 42.76 49.46 42.76 65.02 125.35 448.38

26 -1.636 0.128 -0.702 1.351 -0.081 0.102 -1.215 45.68

84.72 39.06 68.26 50.71 68.57

84.41 39.18 68.14 50.76 51.89 50.76 68.57

27 0.479 -0.101 -2.041 -1.219 -2.501 -0.070 1.848 61.01

88.17 35.65 58.54 39.83 65.08 142.19 60.63

87.78 36.31 58.70 41.18 49.33 41.18 65.08 142.19 491.88

28 0.050 0.006 1.250 1.172 -1.895 0.581 -1.744 57.90

87.95 50.93 71.45 46.55 76.00

87.56 51.00 71.56 45.89 50.03 45.89 76.00

29 -0.814 -1.040 -0.644 0.841 -0.355 0.857 -0.541 51.64

77.52 39.29 65.98 49.12 72.78 106.79 51.54

77.78 39.37 65.80 48.83 50.99 48.83 72.78 106.79 462.91

30 0.233 -0.170 0.744 0.145 0.439 0.470 0.227 59.23

87.01 48.58 66.53 55.86 75.76 133.88 58.78

86.63 48.40 66.36 56.08 56.20 56.20 75.76 133.88 526.02

31 -1.394 -0.790 -0.396 -1.087 -0.888 0.059 1.529 47.43

78.06 39.87 57.05 45.00 64.37 132.82 47.93

78.25 39.88 57.37 44.36 49.70 44.36 64.37 132.82 464.98

32 0.414 0.631 -0.824 -0.317 -0.731 0.157 1.152 60.54

93.81 42.24 64.28 50.11 71.80 144.31 60.13

93.59 42.04 64.10 50.03 51.53 50.03 71.80 144.31 526.01

33 -0.120 -1.571 -1.708 0.566 0.378 1.274 0.705 56.67

75.05 34.65 64.31 51.73 75.23 128.42 56.24

75.62 35.52 64.13 51.98 52.60 51.98 75.23 128.42 487.13

34 -0.089 0.936 0.977 -1.403 -0.889 0.482 -1.514 56.90

94.97 50.46 60.57 49.77 74.36

94.83 50.47 60.56 49.62 51.33 49.62 74.36

35 -1.183 -1.131 1.723 0.643 -1.624 -0.535 0.952 48.96

75.89 49.99 66.48 44.72 64.27 131.67 49.21

76.34 49.95 66.31 44.12 49.65 44.12 64.27 131.67 481.86

36 0.135 -0.056 -0.582 0.722 2.665 1.091 -0.720 58.52

87.68 42.19 67.95 65.03 80.78 121.13 58.06

87.29 41.99 67.82 58.90 62.72 62.72 80.78 121.13 519.79

37 -0.741 0.254 -0.077 -1.399 -0.217 0.895 0.396 52.17

87.94 43.60 58.00 50.14 73.78 125.07 52.02

87.55 43.33 58.22 50.07 51.55 50.07 73.78 125.07 490.05

38 -0.516 1.560 -0.364 1.171 -1.015 0.510 2.545 53.80

98.84 44.06 70.91 49.93 75.52 172.82 53.51

99.09 43.78 70.97 49.81 51.42 49.81 75.52 172.82 565.51

39 0.837 -0.400 -0.180 -0.898 -0.976 2.094 0.698 63.61

86.70 44.82 61.75 48.66 83.90 138.52 63.41

86.32 44.52 61.67 48.28 50.78 48.28 83.90 138.52 526.62

40 -0.654 -0.462 -0.290 0.295 -0.128 0.146 -0.465 52.80

82.50 41.90 64.71 50.91 69.45 110.28 52.59

82.30 41.73 64.54 51.01 52.03 51.01 69.45 110.28 471.88

41 -0.815 1.031 -1.744 0.962 1.020 1.425 0.405 51.63

93.91 36.36 67.81 56.64 79.91 133.21 51.54

93.70 36.89 67.68 56.64 56.94 56.94 79.91 133.21 519.87

42 -0.423 1.604 0.818 -0.900 -2.018 0.416 0.000 54.47

99.42 49.94 62.90 45.19 73.57 125.02 54.14

99.75 49.89 62.76 44.54 49.73 44.54 73.57 125.02 509.67

43 -0.417 1.049 0.193 0.371 -1.055 0.003 -0.309 54.52

95.04 46.31 67.43 49.25 71.36 120.20 54.18

94.91 46.03 67.28 48.99 51.06 48.99 71.36 120.20 502.96

44 0.496 -0.274 1.274 -0.820 -0.031 -0.183 -1.632 61.14

86.85 51.42 62.97 53.81 71.06

86.47 51.55 62.83 54.26 54.31 54.26 71.06

45 0.820 -1.306 -0.243 -0.324 -0.626 -0.006 0.456 63.48

79.48 43.45 63.25 49.57 69.29 128.15 63.27

79.53 43.19 63.10 49.37 51.22 49.37 69.29 128.15 495.91

46 -0.382 -0.754 0.434 -0.799 1.189 0.482 -0.026 54.77

80.86 45.47 60.55 56.71 72.78 121.47 54.42

80.78 45.17 60.54 56.69 57.00 57.00 72.78 121.47 492.16

47 2.191 -0.408 0.058 -0.107 -1.427 0.800 1.011 73.43

90.00 48.05 67.44 49.42 79.07 151.11 75.16

89.63 47.84 67.29 49.20 51.15 49.20 79.07 151.11 559.30

48 0.799 1.156 -0.329 0.041 -0.243 0.431 0.550 63.33

98.92 45.81 67.41 54.11 76.81 142.85 63.11

99.18 45.52 67.26 54.56 54.57 54.56 76.81 142.85 549.30

49 0.230 -0.100 -0.415 -0.771 -0.096 0.227 -0.808 59.21

87.56 43.08 61.55 51.90 71.28 107.89 58.76

87.18 42.84 61.48 52.17 52.73 52.17 71.28 107.89 481.59

50 0.190 0.383 0.627 -0.509 -0.860 -2.125 0.885 58.92

91.29 48.58 64.06 50.04 57.31 136.61 58.47

90.94 48.41 63.89 49.95 51.49 49.95 57.31 136.61 505.58

95.63 46.49

98.64 57.45

99.83 56.46

99.33 60.76

95.63 453.17

98.64 488.10

99.83 486.13

99.33 486.26

Page 13

APPENDIX 2: Simulation case r = 0

#

s1

s2

s3

s4

s5

s6

s7

x'1

x'2

x'3

x'4

x'5

x'6

x'7

x1

x2

x3

x4

x5

x5

x6

x7

Min-Mid Mid-Max

503.49
TPC

1 -0.278

0.357 -0.371

0.454

0.136 -1.495 -2.125 55.52

90.74 42.91 67.31 53.67 59.75

82.71 55.13

90.38 42.68 67.16

54.12

54.18 54.12 59.75

82.71

451.93

2 -1.117

1.250

0.610

0.985

1.673 49.44

98.15 50.11 68.08 57.87 75.03 157.07 49.62

98.32 50.08 67.95

57.36

58.08 58.08 75.03 157.07

556.15

3 -0.066 -1.644 -1.302 -0.679

0.543 -1.082 -0.097 57.06

74.14 38.09 61.79 55.69 62.82 122.41 56.62

74.84 38.34 61.71

55.95

56.04 56.04 62.82 122.41

472.78

4 -0.735 -0.820 -0.503 -1.093

1.623 -0.296 -0.303 52.21

80.98 42.23 59.77 61.04 68.67 118.38 52.06

80.89 42.03 59.82

58.47

60.64 60.64 68.67 118.38

482.50

0.006

1.176

1.019

0.480

0.766 -0.211

6 -2.097 -1.749 -0.341 -0.710

0.558

0.502 -0.965 57.59

1.347 -0.646

97.53 47.32 68.83 51.96 74.61 105.42 57.13

97.64 47.07 68.74

52.25

52.77 52.25 74.61 105.42

502.86

0.669 42.34

73.27 43.07 61.64 59.67 66.07 137.43 43.88

74.11 42.82 61.56

58.11

59.62 59.62 66.07 137.43

485.48

7 -0.975 -0.829

0.065

0.422 -0.192

2.084

0.422 50.47

80.90 45.17 67.16 52.05 86.38 132.58 50.52

80.82 44.88 67.00

52.36

52.85 52.36 86.38 132.58

514.53

8 -0.356

0.725

1.809

0.564 -0.278

0.290

0.915 54.96

93.79 54.20 67.85 51.63 73.03 142.23 54.59

93.57 54.85 67.71

51.86

52.53 51.86 73.03 142.23

537.85

9 -1.392

0.669

1.082 -0.413 -1.821

1.191

0.366 47.45

93.33 50.44 63.09 43.99 79.74 131.50 47.94

93.08 50.44 62.94

43.52

49.56 43.52 79.74 131.50

509.16

0.513

1.099 -0.461 -1.749 -0.296 56.12

82.21 47.49 70.46 50.72 57.86 118.52 55.70

82.03 47.25 70.48

50.77

51.90 50.77 57.86 118.52

482.60

1.372 -0.693 -0.718

0.489 -1.270 -0.312 -0.953 67.48

82.04 41.11 67.49 46.71 68.55 105.67 67.81

81.87 41.00 67.34

46.06

50.07 46.06 68.55 105.67

478.30

1.898

10 -0.196 -0.671
11

12 -1.333 -2.119 -0.617

1.761

0.579 47.87

70.21 41.64 74.35 57.60 83.98 135.65 48.29

71.57 41.49 74.82

57.22

57.83 57.83 83.98 135.65

513.62

13 -0.233 -1.451

1.738 -0.090 -1.511 -0.508

0.186 55.85

75.74 53.83 64.66 45.52 67.10 127.96 55.44

76.21 54.40 64.48

44.85

49.79 44.85 67.10 127.96

490.45

14 -0.633 -1.166

0.070

0.583 -0.632 -0.216

0.699 52.95

78.11 45.20 67.94 49.87 69.27 138.01 52.73

78.30 44.90 67.81

49.74

51.39 49.74 69.27 138.01

500.75

15

0.664 -0.425 -1.346

0.051 -0.845 -1.453

0.459 62.35

84.26 37.87 65.35 48.82 60.06 133.30 62.05

83.96 38.15 65.17

48.47

50.85 48.47 60.06 133.30

491.15

16

1.053 -0.524 -0.319

0.117

0.152 -0.184

0.815 65.18

83.44 43.18 65.67 53.75 69.51 140.29 65.16

83.18 42.93 65.49

54.20

54.26 54.20 69.51 140.29

520.76

1.454

0.139

1.395 -1.015 52.66

81.55 56.58 72.19 53.69 81.26 104.45 52.47

81.42 57.83 72.38

54.14

54.20 54.14 81.26 104.45

503.95

1.140 -0.400 65.48 100.84 44.43 58.59 42.08 79.36 116.49 65.50 101.38 44.14 58.75

42.22

49.40 42.22 79.36 116.49

507.83

17 -0.672 -0.751

2.269

18

1.095

19

0.098 -0.456 -0.445 -0.350

20

1.619

0.930

1.574 -0.078 -1.336 -2.207

0.700

1.283

1.653 -0.131

0.961 -0.524

0.232 58.25

84.00 42.53 63.39 61.18 69.90 128.86 57.80

83.71 42.32 63.24

58.50

60.74 60.74 69.90 128.86

506.57

0.885 -0.602 69.28

93.58 51.48 69.78 50.41 77.46 112.53 69.95

93.35 51.63 69.75

50.39

51.70 50.39 77.46 112.53

525.07

0.306

94.64 37.41 63.76 47.25 73.15 128.51 50.77

94.48 37.76 63.60

46.64

50.23 46.64 73.15 128.51

494.91

21 -0.935

0.828 -1.435 -0.275 -1.163

22

1.300

1.771

0.225 66.96 102.47 61.10 70.83 55.55 65.61 128.73 67.20 103.27 63.94 70.88

55.83

55.90 55.90 65.61 128.73

555.54

23

0.476 -0.167 -1.648 -1.364 -0.689 -0.115

0.691 60.99

86.02 36.84 58.62

49.40

51.23 49.40 70.02 137.85

499.36

24

2.328

0.540 74.41 108.89 43.63 67.37 53.77 74.80 134.89 76.46 111.09 43.36 67.22

54.22

54.27 54.22 74.80 134.89

562.03

3.141

2.545 -0.233

1.175

0.465

0.514 -0.708

0.155

0.528

0.214 50.76

86.39 36.30 58.45 49.59 70.02 137.85 60.61

Page 14

25

1.189 -1.397 -0.459 -0.683

26 -0.272 -0.282

1.187

0.587 66.16

76.20 42.46 61.77 54.43 69.45 135.82 66.28

76.61 42.25 61.69

54.86

54.86 54.86 69.45 135.82

506.95

0.420

0.120 -1.202 55.57

85.44 50.98 70.47 55.08 71.77 100.78 55.17

85.10 51.06 70.50

55.45

55.47 55.47 71.77 100.78

489.84

0.787 -0.619

1.053 -0.481 39.75

91.60 41.76 68.94 49.94 78.71 114.91 41.96

91.27 41.60 68.86

49.82

51.42 49.82 78.71 114.91

487.12

1.102

0.289 -0.192

27 -2.454

0.461 -0.593

28 -0.572

1.413

0.004 -2.197 -0.537 -0.826

0.512 53.39

99.50 44.86 54.39 50.34 64.73 134.34 53.13

99.84 44.56 55.08

50.32

51.67 50.32 64.73 134.34

502.00

29

0.348

0.484

0.186

0.653 -0.652

0.744 60.06

91.80 45.80 69.92 56.23 66.03 138.89 59.64

91.47 45.50 69.90

56.36

56.55 56.55 66.03 138.89

527.98

30

0.846 -1.054 -0.768

0.295 -0.873 -0.603

1.352 63.67

79.04 40.86 66.54 48.68 66.39 150.79 63.48

79.12 40.77 66.36

48.30

50.78 48.30 66.39 150.79

515.22

0.170 52.46

88.78 50.38 66.99 53.30 79.96 127.65 52.29

31 -0.700

0.120

0.388

0.060

1.220

88.39 50.38 66.83

53.74

53.86 53.74 79.96 127.65

519.22

32

0.467

1.621 -0.956 -1.394

1.206

0.818 -0.497 60.93 101.23 39.88 58.31 58.97 76.96 114.58 60.53 101.82 39.90 58.49

57.86

59.04 59.04 76.96 114.58

511.33

33

0.525 -1.332

1.297 -2.509 -1.513 -0.669

0.614 61.35

76.73 51.55 52.87 45.51 65.89 136.34 60.98

77.07 51.71 53.81

44.84

49.79 44.84 65.89 136.34

490.65

34

0.697

0.985 -0.301 -0.243 -0.466 -0.442 62.59

1.398

1.070

0.989

99.38 49.93 63.63 51.80 67.41 115.66 62.31

99.71 49.89 63.47

52.06

52.65 52.06 67.41 115.66

510.50

0.372

1.191

0.954 55.89

78.88 41.98 69.42 54.84 79.74 143.01 55.49

78.98 41.80 69.36

55.24

55.25 55.25 79.74 143.01

523.63

36 -0.368

0.761 -0.024 -1.543 -0.384

0.373

0.080 54.87

94.10 44.71 57.58 51.10 73.65 125.89 54.51

93.90 44.42 57.84

51.23

52.16 51.23 73.65 125.89

501.44

37

1.552

0.352 -0.673 -0.448 -0.273 -1.546 -1.443 68.79

90.70 41.35 62.91 51.65 59.37

96.06 69.37

90.34 41.22 62.78

51.88

52.54 51.88 59.37

96.06

471.02

38

0.488

0.449 -0.896

91.50 40.19 71.65 48.00 75.48

35 -0.227 -1.073 -0.551

0.886

82.97 60.70

91.17 40.17 71.78

47.50

50.50 47.50 75.48

82.97

469.76

0.612 47.43

77.49 53.88 63.86 51.78 69.89 136.31 47.92

77.74 54.46 63.69

52.04

52.64 52.04 69.89 136.31

502.06

0.645 -0.358

1.522 53.90

91.78 43.55 69.31 56.19 68.21 154.12 53.60

91.45 43.28 69.25

56.33

56.51 56.51 68.21 154.12

536.43

0.615 -0.017 -0.501

0.807 44.29

83.25 45.63 68.10 52.92 67.15 140.11 45.39

83.01 45.33 67.97

53.32

53.54 53.32 67.15 140.11

502.28

0.112

0.962 62.79

89.10 34.90 65.65 58.85 77.53 143.16 62.52

88.71 35.71 65.47

57.81

58.94 58.94 77.53 143.16

532.03

0.022 -0.691 -0.800 65.65

69.73 41.99 60.11 53.11 65.73 108.66 65.69

71.18 41.81 60.14

53.53

53.70 53.53 65.73 108.66

466.74

0.021 -2.099 -0.507 57.49

91.11 40.70 63.94 53.10 55.26 114.39 57.04

90.77 40.63 63.77

53.53

53.70 53.53 55.26 114.39

475.37

0.891

0.955 -1.270 57.17

82.74 42.41 61.83 57.41 77.98

99.45 56.72

82.52 42.20 61.74

57.11

57.65 57.65 77.98

99.45

478.27

46 -0.316 -0.042 -0.198

0.853 -0.234

0.822 -0.597 55.25

87.43 43.81 69.26 51.84 76.99 112.63 54.87

87.05 43.54 69.19

52.11

52.69 52.11 76.99 112.63

496.38

47 -0.191 -0.036

2.413

0.670 -0.156 -0.299

0.905 56.16

87.48 57.33 68.37 52.23 68.65 142.04 55.74

87.10 58.80 68.25

52.56

52.98 52.56 68.65 142.04

533.14

48 -1.511

0.681

0.518 -1.589 -0.203

0.055 -0.951 46.59

49 -0.715

0.429

0.405 -0.121

39 -1.394 -1.241
40 -0.502

0.482 -0.249

41 -1.827 -0.546

1.343 -1.010

0.154

0.159 -1.919

0.864

42

0.724

43

1.119 -2.176 -0.550 -1.023

44 -0.007

0.402 -0.799 -0.239

45 -0.052 -0.608 -0.469 -0.670

50

0.618 -2.112 61.08

1.748 -0.255 -0.246 -0.132

0.125 -0.666 -0.632 -0.175

1.183

0.894

93.43 47.52 57.36 51.99 71.29 105.70 47.23

93.19 47.28 57.65

52.29

52.80 52.29 71.29 105.70

474.61

1.341 52.36

91.34 46.93 64.51 59.07 67.06 150.57 52.19

91.00 46.67 64.33

57.90

59.12 59.12 67.06 150.57

530.93

1.541 -0.885 -1.084 58.44

82.26 41.56 64.25 60.63 64.29 103.09 57.99

82.07 41.42 64.07

58.38

60.35 60.35 64.29 103.09

473.28

1.226 -0.513

Page 15

APPENDIX 3: Simulation case r = -0.15

#

s1

s2

s3

s4

s5

s6

s7

x'1

x'2

x'3

x'4

x'5

x'6

x'7

x1

x2

x3

x4

x5

x5

x6

x7

Min-Mid Mid-Max
1 -1.116 -1.118 -1.149 -1.456 -1.158 -1.623
2 -0.146

0.721

506.68
TPC

0.335 49.45

80.00 40.92 61.29 52.60 70.88 171.88 49.63

79.99 40.83 61.23

52.98

53.28 52.98 70.88 171.88

527.43

0.739 -1.559 -0.035 -0.140 -0.656 56.48

93.88 48.02 56.62 53.56 71.17 120.10 56.05

93.66 47.81 57.00

54.01

54.09 54.01 71.17 120.10

499.80

76.76 46.21 71.36 53.18 66.24 129.66 52.82

77.10 45.92 71.47

53.61

53.76 53.61 66.24 129.66

496.82

92.82 38.02 65.51 53.64 85.09 105.66 50.94

92.55 38.28 65.32

54.09

54.16 54.09 85.09 105.66

491.92

3 -0.620 -1.437 -0.081

0.972 -0.079 -0.895 -0.469 53.05

4 -0.908

0.477 -1.407 -0.277 -0.316

0.585

0.067 -0.512 -1.879 -1.141 -1.224

0.910 61.78

87.61 41.74 56.43 50.28 69.74 165.94 61.44

87.22 41.58 56.83

50.24

51.63 50.24 69.74 165.94

532.99

3.052 -0.011 -0.287 -0.727

0.350 -1.999 -0.601 79.67

83.89 41.03 59.80 53.56 55.82 129.83 83.73

83.61 40.93 59.85

54.01

54.09 54.01 55.82 129.83

507.78

1.190 -1.827 -0.659

0.413

0.794

0.824

0.353 66.17

71.31 42.24 68.37 57.44 75.31 118.81 66.29

72.47 42.04 68.25

57.13

57.68 57.68 75.31 118.81

500.86

0.376 -0.386 -1.389

0.049 -1.040

1.106

0.680 60.27

84.15 37.89 66.79 49.72 82.65 134.95 59.85

83.86 38.17 66.63

49.55

51.30 49.55 82.65 134.95

515.66

0.540 -0.691 -1.254 -0.730 -0.528 -0.546

0.811 61.46

81.44 38.72 63.19 53.04 72.42 153.68 61.09

81.31 38.88 63.04

53.46

53.64 53.46 72.42 153.68

523.88

0.229

0.520 50.18

92.55 47.08 54.96 55.14 76.93 141.09 50.26

92.26 46.82 55.56

55.50

55.52 55.52 76.93 141.09

518.45

0.387 -1.684 -2.287 -0.784 -0.459 -0.385

0.489 60.35

73.48 34.53 64.94 55.46 76.43 155.66 59.93

74.28 35.42 64.76

55.76

55.82 55.82 76.43 155.66

522.31

1.162 49.53

89.81 51.95 55.04 53.19 80.69 142.03 49.69

89.43 52.17 55.63

53.62

53.77 53.62 80.69 142.03

523.27

0.569 -1.635 -1.154 -0.882 76.30

77.68 50.61 65.14 42.23 62.71 121.76 79.00

77.91 50.64 64.96

42.31

49.41 42.31 62.71 121.76

499.28

10 -1.015
11

12 -1.105
13

0.428

0.079

2.588 -0.839

0.367 -2.190 -0.149

1.256 -2.056 -0.421

1.395

1.632 -0.958 50.96

0.887

14 -0.192 -0.420 -1.396 -0.394

0.123

0.269 -1.553 56.15

84.58 38.33 65.19 56.01 75.95 109.89 55.73

84.26 38.54 65.01

56.19

56.34 56.34 75.95 109.89

485.72

15 -0.321 -1.666 -0.992 -0.159

1.017

0.016 -0.142 55.21

74.51 41.59 67.02 60.51 72.75 126.94 54.83

75.16 41.44 66.86

58.35

60.26 60.26 72.75 126.94

498.25

16

0.389 -2.025 -0.062 -0.732 -1.497 -0.847

1.627 60.36

70.69 46.05 63.21 48.68 73.06 174.16 59.94

71.96 45.76 63.06

48.31

50.79 48.31 73.06 174.16

536.25

17

0.336

0.649 59.98

88.68 41.64 64.39 51.96 62.18 152.88 59.55

88.28 41.49 64.21

52.25

52.77 52.25 62.18 152.88

520.84

18

0.187 -0.852

1.715

0.141 -1.044 58.90

80.56 49.47 65.73 60.30 66.70

95.73 58.44

80.51 49.37 65.55

58.30

60.11 60.11 66.70

95.73

476.40

19

2.539 -0.718 -0.403 -0.668 -0.323

0.735 -0.977 75.95

78.73 41.48 61.17 51.55 76.35 106.22 78.51

78.85 41.34 61.12

51.76

52.47 51.76 76.35 106.22

494.15

1.064 -1.152 48.22

93.02 36.00 61.22 55.21 85.16 118.34 48.58

92.75 36.59 61.16

55.55

55.58 55.58 85.16 118.34

498.17

0.461 -0.271 -1.224 40.26

94.43 48.97 70.73 54.58 67.23 105.68 42.33

94.26 48.83 70.77

55.00

55.00 55.00 67.23 105.68

484.11

0.543 -0.640 57.82 101.13 38.40 57.51 54.18 76.85 117.11 57.37 101.71 38.61 57.79

54.62

54.63 54.62 76.85 117.11

504.05

0.188

0.647 67.75

79.63 39.36 68.45 55.90 70.27 126.33 68.12

79.66 39.44 68.34

56.11

56.24 56.24 70.27 126.33

508.40

1.345 -0.967 -0.641 -1.962 -0.066

0.756 58.04

98.72 38.69 61.92 44.73 76.38 150.59 57.59

98.96 38.86 61.82

44.13

49.66 44.13 76.38 150.59

528.33

0.160 -0.553 -0.192 -0.325 -1.612

0.795

0.183

20 -1.286

0.444 -1.873 -1.370 -0.454

21 -2.383

0.450

22

0.039

1.634 -0.977 -1.546 -0.083

23

1.408 -0.780 -1.009

24

0.070

0.535

1.039

0.580

0.657

Page 16

25

0.313 -0.401

0.624

0.057

0.535 59.81

84.10 48.10 64.84 55.39 70.99 120.31 59.38

83.81 47.89 64.66

55.71

55.76 55.76 70.99 120.31

502.80

26

1.127

0.121

0.527 -0.780 -1.406 -0.180 65.71

93.37 43.80 65.87 47.09 60.43 131.77 65.76

93.13 43.52 65.69

46.47

50.18 46.47 60.43 131.77

506.77

89.47 37.80 65.38 51.95 70.23 145.12 55.87

89.08 38.09 65.20

52.24

52.77 52.24 70.23 145.12

515.82

0.853

0.662

0.430

27 -0.173

0.180 -1.391 -0.239 -0.611 -0.759

28 -1.428

1.309 -1.318

1.658

1.758 -1.457 -0.141 47.18 100.29 38.12 74.05 60.12 55.94 121.84 47.72 100.75 38.36 74.48

29

1.415

0.390 -0.467

0.878

1.671 -0.099 -0.060 67.80

30

0.773 -0.073

0.091 -0.683 -0.106 -0.336

0.177 56.29

0.016 63.14

58.25

59.97 59.97 55.94 121.84

499.06

89.21 41.03 68.27 58.53 62.93 105.25 68.18

88.83 40.93 68.16

57.68

58.66 58.66 62.93 105.25

492.94

86.22 44.76 61.34 52.79 69.43 129.67 62.90

85.85 44.47 61.28

53.19

53.44 53.19 69.43 129.67

506.79

31 -1.635

1.395 -1.898 -0.345 -0.083 -2.013

0.872 45.69 101.26 35.28 65.44 55.04 62.01 166.04 46.50 101.86 36.01 65.26

55.41

55.42 55.42 62.01 166.04

533.11

32 -0.983

0.791

0.300 50.41

95.49 45.93 61.67 55.34 68.93 132.26 50.46

95.40 45.63 61.59

55.66

55.71 55.71 68.93 132.26

509.97

33 -0.872

0.388 -0.275 -0.349

0.489 -0.196 51.22

92.05 43.77 64.07 55.34 74.80 119.06 51.17

91.73 43.50 63.90

55.67

55.71 55.71 74.80 119.06

499.87

34

0.218

0.505 -2.060 -0.496 -1.319 67.36

87.88 47.60 65.45 41.01 69.00 115.05 67.67

87.49 47.36 65.27

41.67

49.36 41.67 69.00 115.05

493.50

0.409

0.483 40.08

84.94 45.25 69.78 59.03 54.98 161.60 42.20

84.61 44.95 69.76

57.89

59.10 59.10 54.98 161.60

517.19

0.197 -0.436 -1.648 -0.012

0.058 -0.921 59.68

89.03 42.23 57.52 55.12 74.55 120.20 59.25

88.64 42.03 57.79

55.48

55.50 55.50 74.55 120.20

497.96

37 -1.083

0.194

0.370

0.300 49.69

90.72 47.34 66.91 51.89 73.48 125.34 49.84

90.36 47.09 66.74

52.17

52.72 52.17 73.48 125.34

505.02

38

0.518 -0.226

1.354

0.207 -0.706

0.796

35 -2.408 -0.712 -0.417

36

0.296

0.359

0.365

0.353 -0.342
0.286

0.823 -2.737

0.335 -0.208

2.202 -1.736 -0.845 -1.810 60.14

91.58 42.95 74.83 41.84 65.00 107.27 59.72

91.25 42.71 75.37

42.08

49.39 42.08 65.00 107.27

483.41

39 -0.994 -0.370

1.165

0.817 -0.244

85.98 51.81 68.74 50.70 73.52

77.75 50.39

85.62 52.01 68.65

50.75

51.89 50.75 73.52

77.75

458.70

40

0.205

0.631

1.655 -1.322 -0.671 75.44

77.00 44.80 66.81 58.45 55.24 109.38 77.83

77.31 44.50 66.64

57.64

58.59 58.59 55.24 109.38

489.50

1.156 -1.802

2.469 -0.940

41 -1.110 -1.148 -1.725 -0.755

1.497 49.50

79.74 38.04 65.15 62.80 63.42 172.43 49.67

79.76 38.30 64.96

58.75

61.73 61.73 63.42 172.43

530.27

0.852

1.023 58.99

73.53 48.64 63.46 49.48 81.36 142.87 58.54

74.32 48.47 63.30

49.26

51.17 49.26 81.36 142.87

518.13

0.571 -0.521

0.471 61.60

88.80 46.00 62.08 55.19 65.55 130.39 61.25

88.41 45.70 61.98

55.54

55.57 55.57 65.55 130.39

508.85

0.989 -0.866 -0.096

42

0.200 -1.707

0.481 -0.531 -1.113

43

0.560

0.209

0.354 -0.447

44

0.037

0.702 -1.356

45

1.833 -0.254 -0.560 -0.918 -1.079

46

0.830 -0.707 -0.084

47 -0.626

0.372

0.115

48 -0.074 -0.127 -1.192

0.609 57.81

93.49 37.34 70.44 48.58 71.72 137.19 57.36

93.25 37.70 70.46

48.18

50.74 48.18 71.72 137.19

515.86

0.919 -0.699 70.83

83.41 40.82 60.29 48.73 80.35 115.56 71.85

83.16 40.74 60.30

48.36

50.81 48.36 80.35 115.56

500.32

0.662 -0.057 -0.734 -0.376 63.56

80.94 44.41 68.25 51.97 65.24 123.98 63.36

80.86 44.12 68.13

52.26

52.79 52.26 65.24 123.98

497.95

0.455 -0.603 -0.284

0.212 53.00

91.61 45.57 67.23 49.71 69.78 131.81 52.78

91.27 45.27 67.08

49.55

51.30 49.55 69.78 131.81

507.53

0.068 -0.474

0.591 57.00

86.83 39.00 66.79 52.16 75.55 138.16 56.56

49 -1.694

2.095

50

1.586 -1.053 -0.592

0.116

0.604 -2.821 50.33

2.893 -0.934

0.146

0.237

86.45 39.12 66.62

52.48

52.93 52.48 75.55 138.16

514.94

94.30 46.15 108.82 60.80 57.59

51.50

52.31 51.50 72.58

94.30

491.73

2.481 58.38 100.65 38.01 61.99 55.82 69.32 156.42 57.93 101.15 38.27 61.89

56.05

56.16 56.16 69.32 156.42

541.15

0.886 -0.826 45.26 107.07 58.84 57.29 51.32 72.58

0.537 -0.123

Page 17

Page 18