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EEB Project
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Components of real GDP; the circular
flow of income; the role of government
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and international trade; aggregate
demand and aggregate supply
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By:
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Robin Kapoor
Sourabh Garg
Deepak Kumar
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Sanjay Pal
Sakshi Joshi
Vikas Sharma
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Tushar Garg
Pankaj Jain
Prateek Nahar
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Nitin Raheja
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EEB Project
Real GDP
Real GDP – Definition
• By eliminating the effect of price changes, real GDP allows economists to make
useful comparisons of a nation's output and services. Note that real GDP is also
known as constant-price GDP and inflation-corrected GDP.
• GDP is the sum of consumer spending, investment, government purchases, and net
exports, as represented by the equation:
Y = C + I + G + NX
Because in this equation Y captures every segment of the national economy, Y represents
both GDP and the national income. This because when money changes hands, it is
expenditure for one party and income for the other, and Y, capturing all these values, thus
represents the net of the entire economy.
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Components of GDP
The circle of money flowing through the economy is as follows: total income is spent
(with the exception of "leakages" such as consumer saving), while that expenditure allows
the sale of goods and services, which in turn allows the payment of income (such as wages
and salaries). Expenditure based on borrowings and existing wealth – i.e., "injections"
such as fixed investment – can add to total spending.
In equilibrium (Preston), leakages equal injections and the circular flow stays the same
size. If injections exceed leakages, the circular flow grows (i.e., there is economic
prosperity), while if they are less than leakages, the circular flow shrinks (i.e., there is a
recession).
In the simple two sector circular flow of income model the state of equilibrium is defined
as a situation in which there is no tendency for the levels of income (Y), expenditure (E)
and output (O) to change, that is:
Y=E=O
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This means that the expenditure of buyers (households) becomes income for sellers
(firms). The firms then spend this income on factors of production such as labor, capital
and raw materials, "transferring" their income to the factor owners. The factor owners
spend this income on goods which leads to a circular flow of income.
The five sector model of the circular flow of income is a more realistic representation of
the economy. The first is the Financial Sector that consists of banks and non-bank
intermediaries who engage in the borrowing (savings from households) and lending of
money. In terms of the circular flow of income model the leakage that financial
institutions provide in the economy is the option for households to save their money. This
is a leakage because the saved money can not be spent in the economy and thus is an idle
asset that means not all output will be purchased. The injection that the financial sector
provides into the economy is investment (I) into the business/firms sector.
The next sector introduced into the circular flow of income is the Government Sector that
consists of the economic activities of local, state and federal governments. The leakage
that the Government sector provides is through the collection of revenue through Taxes
(T) that is provided by households and firms to the government. The injection provided by
the government sector is Government spending (G) that provides collective services and
welfare payments to the community.
The final sector in the circular flow of income model is the overseas sector which
transforms the model from a closed economy to an open economy. The main leakage from
this sector are imports (M), which represent spending by residents into the rest of the
world. The main injection provided by this sector is the exports of goods and services
which generate income for the exporters from overseas residents.
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In terms of the five sectors circular flow of income model the state of equilibrium occurs
when the total leakages are equal to the total injections that occur in the economy. This
can be shown as:
OR S + T + M = I + G + X.
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1. Efficiency
2. Regulation
3. Equity
• Economic Considerations
1. Market Failure
2. Externalities: differences between private and social costs or benefits.
3. Political Considerations - play an important role in the design of regulatory
policies:
a. Preservation of consumer choice.
b. Limit concentration of economic and political power.
c. Important political considerations lead to the argument -- compelling power
for government to be in the marketplace.
1. Depends on the elasticity of demand for the final products of affected firms
a. Tax incidence vs. tax burden. The point of tax collection versus the issue of
who really pays.
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2. Problem of Underproduction
Utility Price Regulation
1. Unrestricted monopoly
2. Reduced dollar profit
3. Lower return on investment
a. Pricing problems
b. Output level problems
c. Inefficiency
d. Investment level
e. Regulatory lag and political influence
f. Cost of regulation
• Price Controls
When markets are free to choose a price and quantity, the result is equilibrium. Prices
become the mechanism that directs demanders and suppliers toward this point. If, in the
opinion of government, the resulting equilibrium price is too high or too low, then the
government may intervene in the market by imposing price controls. That is, government
must decide exactly how high is too high or how far a price can fall before it’s too low.
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The government may restrict the price from rising above a certain point by placing a price
ceiling on the good sold in this market. The price ceiling serves as a price maximum.
Similarly, if the price was too low, then the government could impose a price floor (price
minimum).
The point here is that if prices cannot reach what would be the equilibrium, then a gap will
emerge between the quantity demanded and quantity supplied.
One way in which the central authority may regulate an industry is by controlling the
market price. Price ceilings set below the equilibrium price cause shortages.
With a shortage, it is necessary to determine how the product will be allocated.
International trade has been a major driver of global growth and prosperity over the last
fifty years. As trade has expanded, global incomes have grown. Open economies have
been able to harness the power of trade to boost competitiveness and productivity, helping
improve living standards and sustain economic growth.
The world today is significantly more economically interdependent than it was fifty years
ago. World trade has expanded, with exports growing from $84 billion in 1953 to $6,272
billion in 2002. Much of the increase has been in trade between industrialized countries.
But developing countries and emerging markets are playing a growing role: exports from
developing countries as a whole accounted for 29 per cent of world trade in 2001.
Openness to trade helps drive productivity improvements and hence economic growth.
Income growth depends crucially on a country’s capacity to raise its productivity, i.e. its
capacity to find new ways of making more effective use of the resources which it has
available.
Globalisation and trade expansion will impact on the importance of these drivers for future
prosperity. For example, a continued pace of technological advance that drives
globalisation and innovation will further increases the demand for a highly skilled
workforce with the ability to absorb and generate new ideas and adapt to changing
techniques and shifting product demand.
Openness to trade strengthens the drivers of productivity through six important (and
mutually reinforcing) routes:
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Aggregate Demand
Aggregate demand is the total demand for final goods and services in the economy (Y) at
a given time and price level. This is the demand for the gross domestic product of a
country when inventory levels are static. It is often called effective demand or abbreviated
as 'AD'. The aggregate demand curve (AD) slopes downward (indicating that higher
outputs are demanded at lower price levels).
= C + I + G + (X-M)
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Aggregate demand normally rises as the price level falls. This can be explained in three
main ways:
As the price level falls, the real value of money balances held increases. This increases the
real purchasing power of consumers.
A lower price level increases the real interest rate - there will be pressure on the monetary
authorities to cut nominal interest rates as the price level falls. Lower nominal interest
rates should encourage an increase in consumer demand and planned investment.
International competitiveness
If the UK price level is lower than other countries (for a given exchange rate), UK goods
and services will become more competitive. A rise in exports adds to aggregate demand
and therefore boosts national output.
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Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Supply (AS) measures the volume of goods and services produced within the
economy at a given overall price level. There is a positive relationship between AS and the
general price level. Rising prices are a signal for businesses to expand production to meet
a higher level of AD. An increase in demand should lead to an expansion of aggregate
supply in the economy.
Aggregate supply is determined by the supply side performance of the economy. It reflects
the productive capacity of the economy and the costs of production in each sector.
• changes in size & quality of the labor force available for production
• changes in size & quality of capital stock through investment
• technological progress and the impact of innovation
• changes in factor productivity of both labor and capital
• changes in unit wage costs (wage costs per unit of output)
• changes in producer taxes and subsidies
• changes in inflation expectations - a rise in inflation expectations is likely to boost
wage levels and cause AS to shift inwards
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In the diagram above - the shift from AS1 to AS2 shows an increase in aggregate supply at
each price level might have been caused by improvements in technology and productivity
or the effects of an increase in the active labor force.
An inward shift in AS (from AS1 to AS3) causes a fall in supply at each price level. This
might have been caused by higher unit wage costs, a fall in capital investment spending
(capital scrapping) or a decline in the labor force.
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