Markus Schwab, CPA/CITP/CGMA Administrative Services | Chief Financial Officer Chuck Olmsted Administrative Services | Accounting Manager
100 South Hill Street-P.O. Box T | Griffin, GA 30223 P 770.229.6401 F 678.692.0402 W cityofgriffin.com
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Table of Contents
3 9 10 11 12 13, 14 15 16 17 18 19, 20
Revenues Taxes Property Taxes Licenses and Permits Intergovernmental Charges for Services Fines and Forfeitures Other Revenues
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
I. Current Economics
Manufacturing and Transportation Regional manufacturers reported that activity expanded for the third consecutive month in March. Increases in new orders, production, Revenue Status Report - General Fund employment, and finished inventory contributed to the highest level of manufacturing activity since May 2012. Contacts noted profit As of March 31, 2013 margins slightly improved from mid-February through March. However, they do not expect production to be as high in the coming months (Unaudited - Internal Use Only) as they had in our previous report. District trucking contacts reported a slowdown in volume, citing reduced imports of retail goods from west coast ports, along with poor weather conditions. Still, volumes were ahead of year earlier levels. Strong movement of housing-related materials was cited as the housing recovery continued. Railroad companies described activity as flat to slightly down. Chemicals and oil and gas showed the strongest growth, while coal reflected some softening, particularly in export of thermal coal. Intermodal growth remained solid and the movement of forest products also improved. Domestic air freight traffic was up slightly, and international tonnage grew compared to the same period last year, marked by increases in Asian volumes and exports to Europe and Latin America, specifically Brazil. Banking and Finance Driven by historically low rates, consumers continued refinancing mortgage loans and businesses continued restructuring debt. Competition remained intense for high quality loan applicants and community bankers noted that large regional and national banking organizations were more willing to offer lower fixed-rate, longer-termed loans to attract these customers. Many community banking contacts indicated that their institution had exited the mortgage lending business altogether because of increased regulations. Some stated that commercial real estate loan demand had increased, particularly for branded hotel construction, healthcare, and multi-family projects. Banks also cited more willingness to lend to small businesses; however, the overall demand for loans and credit line usage continued to remain low. Credit spreads remained tight and some bankers reported downward pressure on loan pricing. Employment and Prices Since our last report, payroll growth continued to increase at a lackluster pace across the District, though contacts continued to report that uncertainty over fiscal policy and healthcare reform were contributing to reluctance in hiring. In Florida and Georgia, the two states in the District with the largest concentrations of employment, unemployment rates declined slightly since the previous report, while unemployment rates have fluctuated in the four other states due to changes in the size of those states labor force. Input costs remained mostly stable. Increases in prices for fuel and construction materials were viewed by most firms as transitory. Yearahead unit cost expectations were 1.9 percent in February and March, roughly unchanged since the beginning of the year, according to the Atlanta Feds Business Inflation Expectations Survey. Most businesses noted very little pricing power. Exceptions were transportation contacts who were able to successfully cover cost increases using fuel surcharges, and retailers, whose profit margins improved as sales levels ticked up somewhat over the reporting period. Natural Resources and Agriculture The energy industry remained an especially bright spot in the region. In particular, projects to increase the Gulf Coasts liquefied natural gas (LNG) export capacitythrough investment in new LNG export facilities at ports and new transportation infrastructure, like pipeline and LNG tankswere strong drivers of capital and labor demand. Drought conditions improved significantly in Georgia, southeastern Alabama, and the Florida panhandle. Since the last report, monthly soybean and corn prices rose moderately, while broiler prices reached record highs. Cotton prices continued to be below year-ago levels, but rose modestly since the last report. Driven by increasing global demand and low interest rates, contacts reported continued investment in new, more efficient equipment reducing both labor and fuel costs.
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Panel of Economists
The stock market is roaring along, the jobs numbers look good, and consumer confidence is up. At the same time, Italy is once again a matter of concern, a number of workers are in fact under-employed, and consumer confidence - and the stock market, for that matter - is not necessarily the best overall indicator. What should we be thinking about regarding the U.S. economy, now and for the next few months? John Lonski, chief economist, Moody's Investor's Service, and Ben Garber, an economist at Moody's, said: "Key indicators will include monthly job and income figures. If they slide below trend in light of government spending cuts, markets and economic performance will soften in the months ahead."
James Glassman, managing director and senior economist at J.P. Morgan Chase and Co., said: "The near-term outlook is faces uncertainty associated with the drag from the hike in the Social Security payroll tax and federal government sequestration cuts. But the economy entered the year with more momentum than many expected, and the rising stock market is creating substantial capital gains that are supporting consumption. At the same time, the falling number of weekly applications for unemployment benefits is confirmation that the job market continues to strengthen. I anticipate that the economy will grow faster in 2013 than last year, at about a 3% pace, and accelerate further in 2014, in line with the Fed's 3-4% growth range." "The European-27 area is expected to pick up speed in 2013, growing about 2 percent, up from no growth in 2012. The Italian election symbolizes a pushback on fiscal austerity by the electorate that has been such a drag on the region." Lacy H. Hunt, executive vice president of Hoisington Investment Management, said: "Economic growth in the first quarter, although not very good, is likely to be the best of year. Total tax increases on January 1 amounted to $275 billion, or 1.8% of $15.85 billion GDP in the fourth quarter. From Q4 2011 to Q4 2012, nominal GDP grew just 3.5%. This tax hike should drive yearly growth in nominal GDP to 2% or less from the fourth quarter of this year. Such poor top-line growth leaves little room for either real growth or inflation. Major tax increases have their most negative impacts in the second and third quarters after the tax increase. By the end of the third quarter, half of the contractionary effects of the tax will be felt, with a continuing drag from quarter four through the 12 after the enactment of the tax increase. The first quarter benefited from reconstruction expenditures related to super storm Sandy. The economic benefit will be considerably less in the second quarter, or just as the more tax effects begin to hit the economy much more sharply. The household sector is not well positioned to absorb these higher taxes. Real average weekly earnings in February were 0.2% below the year-earlier level. Adjusted for the FICA tax increase, real earnings would be more than 2% less than a year ago. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment in the first ten days of March dropped sharply, falling to a 25-month low, quite possibly serving as an early warning sign of deteriorating economic fundamentals. Earnings are far more significant to more households than gains in the stock market. Econometric studies show that the so-called wealth effect is negligible and not observable for households with less than $130,000 in annual income. While consumer spending rose in January and February, most of this gain was due to higher costs of necessities. Without growth in income, households were forced to sharply reduce their saving rate in February, which will need to be replenished. When taxes rise, the initial reaction of households is to try to maintain their standard of living by reducing their saving. But, as time passes, saving rises, thus accounting for the lagged impact of higher taxes on economic activity. The need to rebuild saving this year will be even greater because of this year's jump in the cost of necessities." "The weakness in real average weekly earnings indicates that the gains in employment this year have not generated income. Instead they mainly reflect that firms are substituting part time jobs for full time jobs. A mix or more part-time and fewer full-time jobs reduced total compensation since the former do not receive benefits. This trend will certainly continue through June 30, 2013, when firms must establish their base for the Affordable Care Act that goes into effect on January 1, 2014. The employment to population ratio, which is not biased by a shift from full to part-time work, has stagnated this year, indicating that the labor markets are not, contrary to conventional wisdom, getting better. In short, the U.S. economy faces considerable impediments to growth, and the rise in GDP is likely to be even slower than last year's paltry rise, with growth after the first quarter getting progressively softer."
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Jan. 1, 2012 Jan. 1, 2013 Feb. 1, 2013 Mar. 1, 2013 Apr. 1, 2013 Date 22-Mar-13
Rate Fed funds CDs: Three months CDs: Six months BAs: One month T-bills: 91-day yield T-bills: 52-week yield Commercial paper, dealerplaced, 3 months Bond Buyer 20-bond municipal index
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Notes
Moving Averages - The four-week moving averages are calculated as a simple average of Friday closing yield quotations for the most recently offered six-month Treasury bill (discount basis), two-year Treasury note, and 10-year Treasury note. Moving averages are used by analysts to monitor trends and trend changes. Generally, interest rates are increasing (prices falling) when the moving average yield is rising and the current rate exceeds the moving average. Conversely, current yields below a declining moving average are associated with lower interest rates (high prices on fixed-income securities). Some market timers buy (or sell) longer maturities when current market yields fall below (or penetrate above) their moving averages. The money market fund index - This index is the simple average of iMoneyNet Money Fund Averages /Taxable (All) seven-day money market fund indexes, as reported for the two weeks closest to the end of each month. The annualized return is calculated using these rates for a four-week period centering on the first of each month. The results should simulate returns from passive investment in an average money market fund. S&P Rated LGIP Index - This index is comprised of local government investment pools that are rated AAAm or AAm by Standard & Poor's and represents pools that strive to maintain a stable net asset value.
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Understanding Georgia's Motor Vehicles Ad Valorem Title Tax (TAVT) Distribution House Bill 386 Tax Reform Legislation
Should you have any questions, please feel free to contact Michael McPherson of GMA at (678) 686-6390.
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
10.90
8.40
Mar-2012
Mar-2013
Georgia
Spalding County
Georgia
Spalding County
Data comes from the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Taxes
Taxes account for approximately 38 percent of the City's general operating revenue coming from property taxes, local option sales taxes, insurance premium taxes, alcohol taxes, business occupation taxes, and motor vehicle taxes, etc Property taxes alone represent approximately 16 percent of general fund revenue followed by local option sales tax of approximately 13 percent of general fund revenue.
Intergovernmental
This category accounts for revenue sources (predominantly grants) from other governmental agencies.
Near 4 percent of total general fund revenue, traffic fines make up 65 percent of this category or $650000 with the balance (35 percent or $350000,) from traffic cameras (running red lights), seatbelt fines, and ordinance fines. Licenses and permits make up less than 1 percent of total general fund revenue. Licenses make up approximately 70 percent or $190000 of this category. The balance of 30 percent or $82200 comes from permits.
Service fees include business occupation tax administration fees, police service charges for copies, documents, etc., plan review and zoning document fees, and pavilion rentals. This category also includes a large portion ($5.4M) in administrative cost allocations coming from enterprise and internal services funds. Cost allocations, depending on their nature, can be non-cash book entries in order to comply with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP). Allocations are designed to shift and allocate costs to business units in order to show true operating costs.) These are revenues from leased office and parking lot spaces. This category represents interest and dividend earnings from investments. This category includes insurance settlements, claims, recoveries, and miscellaneous reimbursements.
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Budget Total Revenues By Category Operating Revenue Taxes Licenses and Permits Charges for Services Fines and Forfeitures Rents and Royalties Total Operating Revenue Non-operating Income Intergovernmental Interest/Investment Income Contributions and Donations Gain (Loss) on Sale of Capital Assets Total Non-operating Income Transfers in from Other Funds Total Revenues
Projection
Adjustments: Gain (Loss) on Sale of Capital Assets: 0 $ 660,490 $ 17,250 $ 17,250 0 17,250 0 17,250 0 503,047 1.87%
***No adjustments as of the report date.*** Gain (Loss) on Sale of Capital Assets after Adjustments: 0 660,490 Total Adjustments: 0 0 Total Revenues after Adjustments
ANALYSIS: Total General Fund Revenues as of the date of this report are forecast at $27.3 million after adjustments (up $503 thousand or 1.87 percent of Budget). As of March 31, 2013 the revenue forecast model projects Local Option Sales Tax (LOST) revenues at $3.52 million (up $118 thousand dollars or 3.5 percent of Budget).
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Budget Total Tax Revenues By Category Property Taxes Real Property Tax Public Utility Tax Motor Vehicle Tax Intangible Tax Railroad Equipment Tax Real Estate Transfer Tax Timber Tax Real Property Tax - Prior Year Heavy Equipment Tax Property not on Tax Digest Sub-total Property Taxes Franchise Taxes Franchise Fees - Electric Franchise Fees - Natural Gas Franchise Fees - Cable Television Franchise Fees - Telephone Sub-total Franchise Fee Taxes Food and Beverage Taxes Wine Tax Beer Excise Tax Liquor Excise Tax Sub-total Beer, Wine, Liquor & Mixed Drink Tax Payment in Lieu of Taxes Local Option Sales Tax (LOST) Hotel Motel Tax Business Occupation Tax Insurance Premium Tax Financial Institution Tax Penalty and Interest on Delinquent Taxes Penalty and Interest on Delinquent Business Licenses and Permits Homeowner's Tax Relief Grant Total Tax Revenues
Projection
% Variance 3.40%
2.52%
30.04%
0 576,251 56,125 632,376 9,213 3,489,006 0 347,870 1,191,620 91,965 31,081 1,650 0
0 586,540 50,480 637,020 9,210 3,517,770 0 351,450 1,191,690 92,240 31,250 1,080 0
0 86,540 10,480 97,020 9,210 117,770 0 (48,550) 91,690 17,240 (1,750) 1,080 0 350,580
17.31% 26.20% 17.97% 100.00% 3.46% -12.14% 8.34% 22.99% -5.30% 100.00%
24.68% 2.99% 27.67% 2.63% 33.59% 13.85% 26.15% 4.92% 0.50% 0.31%
3.40%
100.00%
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Jurisdiction
CITY OF GRIFFIN (LOST) SPALDING COUNTY-GRIFFIN BD OF EDUCATION (ELOST) SPALDING COUNTY BOARD OF COMMISSIONERS (LOST) SPALDING COUNTY BOARD OF COMMISSIONERS (SPLOST)
Tax Type
LOST ELOST LOST SPLOST $ $ $ $
Amount of Distribution Last For the Twelve Current Month Months Fiscal Year
320,956 $ 793,606 $ 471,733 $ 792,625 $ 3,486,678 $ 8,672,327 $ 5,185,622 $ 8,669,895 $ 2,597,219 6,448,707 3,851,433 6,445,595
Not everything that is faced can be changed. But nothing can be changed until it is faced
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
178
2010 4,798,935 $ 2.48% 43,489 $ 50.21%
190
2011 4,662,904 $ -2.83% 29,000 $ -33.32%
202
2012 4,699,665 $ 0.79% 56,200 $ 93.79%
214
FY 2013 (Projected) 4,278,320 -8.97% 31,250 -44.40%
28,953 $
(1) Property taxes as presented in the Comprehensive Annual Financial Report Statement of Revenues, Expenditures and Changes in Fund Balances Governmental Funds. Includes Real Property Tax, Public Utility Tax, Timber Tax, Real Property Tax - Prior Year, Motor Vehicle Tax, Railroad Equipment Tax, Intangible Tax, Heavy Equipment Tax, Property-Not-on-Digest, Real estate Transfer Tax, Homeowner's Tax Relief Grant (HTRG).
5,220 595,711,021 (11,179,865) -1.84% 580,056,101 (15,654,920) -2.63% 548,224,940 (31,831,161) -5.49%
50,826,550
40,876,237 (9,950,313) -19.58% 566,014,649 (14,591,412) -2.51% 8.636 $4,888,100 (127,175) -2.54%
34,913,558 (5,962,679) -14.59% 560,797,463 (5,217,186) -0.92% 8.636 $4,843,050 (45,050) -0.92%
36,982,207 2,068,649 5.93% 543,073,894 (17,723,569) -3.16% 8.636 $4,689,990 (153,060) -3.16%
36,456,368 (525,839) -1.42% 511,768,572 (31,305,322) -5.76% 8.989 $4,600,288 (89,702) -1.91%
580,606,061
8.638 $5,015,275
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Budget Total Licenses and Permits Revenues By Category Licenses Beer License Wine License Liquor License Sub-total Licenses Permits House Moving Permits Burn Permits Zoning & Land Use Permits Sign Permits Catering Permits Building Permits Plumbing Permits Electrical Permits Gas Permits Mechanical Permits Sub-total Licenses and Permits Insurance Regulatory Fees Interest on Business Licenses Sub-total Licenses and Permits Total Licenses and Permits Revenues $ $ 272,200 $
Projection 336,610 $
348,270 $
40,000 40,000 110,000 190,000 0 0 5,000 15,000 400 44,000 5,000 8,500 300 4,000 82,200 0 0 0 272,200 $
43,160 41,600 110,300 195,060 0 0 4,210 16,700 400 70,610 9,020 17,070 2,380 10,210 130,600 22,110 500 22,610 348,270 $
43,100 41,640 110,310 195,050 0 0 3,860 14,690 420 62,570 8,800 16,440 2,570 10,130 119,480 21,560 520 22,080 336,610 $
3,100 1,640 310 5,050 0 0 (1,140) (310) 20 18,570 3,800 7,940 2,270 6,130 37,280 21,560 520 22,080 64,410
-22.80% -2.07% 5.00% 42.20% 76.00% 93.41% 756.67% 153.25% 45.35% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 23.66%
1.77% 0.48% 0.03% 28.83% 5.90% 12.33% 3.52% 9.52% 57.88% 33.47% 0.81% 34.28% 100.00%
208,271 $
92,269 $
$319,097
$300,540 $284,588 $285,302 $314,530
2009
2010
2011
Licenses and Permits Revenue
2012
FY 2013 (Projected)
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Budget Total Intergovernmental Revenues By Category DNR Funding Federal DEA Overtime Reimbursement City of Atlanta HIDTA GMA Mutual Aid Reimbursements School Resource Officers Prism Training Revenue Spalding County Board of Education Reimbursement Spalding County Grants LCI Grant ARC LLEBG - Vest Grant Byrne Grant GMA Safety Grant FEMA Grants Sub-total Grants Total Intergovernmental Revenues $ $ 198,500 $
Projection 295,820 $
278,370 $
87.45% 9.79%
2.75%
0.00%
383,429 $
22,953 $
FY 2013 (Projected)
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Budget Total Charges for Services Revenues By Category Indirect Cost Allocations Returned Check Fees Election Qualifying Fees Business Occupation Tax Administration Fee Business List Reports Data Processing Fees Credit Card Fees Fire Inspections Cemetery Fees Pool Service Fees Sale of Recycled Materials Pavilion Rental Plan Review Fees Demolition Recovery Fees Customer Service Fee Zoning Application Fees Total Charges for Services Revenues $ $ 5,122,753 $
Projection 5,191,730 $
5,041,530 $
4,801,170 120 0 23,550 100 13,540 3,910 210 157,810 5,770 0 8,130 25,240 1,500 0 480 5,041,530 $
4,960,310 560 0 23,480 40 15,470 3,640 240 152,250 5,380 0 8,620 17,730 3,550 0 460 5,191,730 $
7 560 0 23,480 40 15,470 3,640 240 12,250 330 0 (3,380) 12,730 3,550 0 60 68,977
0.00% 100.00%
0.01% 0.81%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 8.75% 6.53% -28.17% 254.60% 100.00% 15.00% 1.35%
34.04% 0.06% 22.43% 5.28% 0.35% 17.76% 0.48% 4.90% 18.46% 5.15% 0.09% 100.00%
4,743,332 $
300,132 $
$5,191,730 $5,043,464
$4,913,673
$4,750,913 $4,454,639
2009
2010
2011
2012
FY 2013 (Projected)
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Budget Total Fines and Forfeitures Revenue By Category Police Revenue Traffic Fines Camera Traffic Light Fines Code Violations Seat Belt Fines Ordinance Fines Total Fines and Forfeitures Revenue* $ $ 1,000,000 $
Projection 881,840 $
900,340 $
-66.70% -11.82%
5.64% 100.00%
*** Seat Belt Fines --- beginning July 1, 2011 seat belt fines are combined with traffic fines.
$758,948 $728,000
$644,537
$636,100 $568,900
$403,596
$434,595
$318,276
$310,300 $293,660
30-Jun-09
30-Jun-10
Traffic Fines
30-Jun-11
30-Jun-12
30-Jun-13
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
Budget Other Revenues Investment Income Rents, Royalties and Other Rents Insurance Claims Miscellaneous Revenue Contributions and Donations Sub-total Rents, Royalties and Other Proceeds and Other Financing Sources Proceeds of GMA Leases Proceeds of Sales of Fixed Assets Sub-total Proceeds and Other Financing Sources Transfers: Transfer from Confiscated Assets Fund Transfer from Hotel Motel Tax Fund Transfer from Police Tech Fund Transfer from Court Tech Fund Transfer from Cemetery Fund Transfer from Water/Wastewater Fund Transfer from Electric Fund Transfer from Welcome Center Fund Transfer from Solid Waste Fund Transfer from Airport Fund Transfer from Storm Water Fund Transfer from Golf Course Transfer from Motor Pool Transfer from GBTA
Projection
8,000 $
12,940 $
10,500 $
2,500
31.25%
6.26%
0 0 0
0 17,250 17,250
0 17,250 17,250
100.00% 100.00%
43.21% 43.21%
(13,500) (979) 0 0
33.82% 2.45%
1,800,000 7,756,617
0 0 8,250 0
45,100
(21,480)
6,960
6,960
100.00%
17.43%
9,714,636
10,567,210
9,715,367 9,977,597 $
731 39,920
0.01% 0.40%
1.83% 100.00%
9,937,677 $ 11,477,300 $
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
191,521 $
883
14,884 $
Interest Income
$8,829
$8,829
2012
FY 2013 (Projected)
All truly wise thoughts have been thought already thousands of times; but to make them truly ours, we must think them over again honestly, till they take root in our personal experience. "
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Revenue Status Report - General Fund As of March 31, 2013 (Unaudited - Internal Use Only)
City of Griffin Department of Administrative Services Finance and Accounting Division 100 South Hill Street Griffin, Georgia 30223 www.cityofgriffin.com
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