Corporation Bank
Performance Highlights
ACCUMULATE
CMP Target Price
% chg (qoq)
5.4 21.5 17.3
`406 `453
12 Months
3QFY13
883 759 303
4QFY12
834 814 351
% chg (yoy)
11.6 13.3 1.2
Investment Period
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code
Corporation Bank reported healthy performance for the quarter, both on the operating as well as on the asset quality front. NII expectedly grew at 11.6% yoy, while non-interest income grew strongly by 35.3% yoy, higher than expected (aided by strong recoveries and robust fee income performance), thereby leading to operating profit growth of 13.3% yoy. While, the bank witnessed sequential improvement in asset quality (Gross NPA levels down by 10.3%), it utilized the higher non-interest income generated during the quarter to shore up its PCR (up by 402bp qoq) and hence reported flat earnings performance. Business growth healthy; Asset quality improves sequentially: During the quarter, the banks business grew at a healthy rate, with the advances and deposits registering a growth of 18.2% and 21.9% yoy, respectively. Saving deposits grew by healthy 16.6% yoy (9.8% qoq), while current deposits exhibited the typical year end surge for the bank, as it increased by 55.2% qoq. CASA ratio declined by 44bp yoy to 21.7% (up by 122bp sequentially). The yield on advances moderated by 4bp qoq, and consequentially, the NIMs also dropped by 4bp qoq to 2.3%. The treasury income for the bank came in at `124cr compared to `96cr reported in 4QFY2012. Non-interest income (excluding treasury) showed a strong growth of 39.8% yoy, majorly driven by strong increase of 66.6% yoy in recoveries from written off accounts, robust growth of 27.8% yoy in fee income. During the quarter, the bank witnessed improvement on the asset quality front, as gross NPA levels, on an absolute basis, declined by 10.3% qoq. The bank utilized the higher non-interest income generated during the quarter, to shore up its provisioning coverage ratio (up by 404bp qoq to 62.1%) and hence, the Net NPA levels, on an absolute basis, declined by higher 16.9% qoq. In relative terms, Gross and Net NPA ratios improved sequentially by 46bp and 44bp respectively to 1.7% and 1.2%. Additionally, the bank restructured advances worth ~`1,254cr, thereby taking its outstanding restructured book to `7,675cr. Outlook and valuation: The banks low CASA ratio (21.7% as of 4QFY2013) has contributed to higher margin pressures. At the current market price, the stock trades at 0.5x FY2015E ABV, below its historic trading range of 0.7-1.4x and median of 1.0x. We value the bank at 0.6x FY2015E ABV and recommend an Accumulate rating on the stock with a target price of `453. Key financials (standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) NII % chg Net profit % chg NIM (%) EPS (`) P/E (x) P/ABV (x) RoA (%) RoE (%)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 59.8 29.4 3.9 6.9
3m 3.1 (0.5)
Vaibhav Agrawal
022 3935 7800 Ext: 6808 vaibhav.agrawal@angelbroking.com
FY2012 3,147 7.0 1,576 11.5 2.1 106.4 3.8 0.7 1.0 20.4
FY2013 3,426 8.9 1,435 (8.9) 2.0 93.8 4.3 0.7 0.8 16.1
FY2014E 4,011 17.1 1,505 4.9 2.0 98.4 4.1 0.6 0.7 14.8
FY2015E 4,474 11.6 1,646 9.4 2.0 107.6 3.8 0.5 0.7 14.5
Sourabh Taparia
022 3935 7800 Ext: 6872 sourabh.taparia@angelbroking.com
Akshay Narang
022 3935 7800 Ext: 6829 akshay.narang@angelbroking.com
Harshal Patkar
022 3935 7800 Ext: 6847 harshal.patkar@angelbroking.com
4QFY13 4,068 3,059 907 10 92 3,137 931 567 443 302 124 63 78 1,498 576 284 291 922 460 136 84 240 463 107 356 23.1
3QFY13 3,871 2,838 911 1 120 2,987 883 387 320 239 67 44 37 1,270 511 263 248 759 406 324 (1) 83 353 50 303 14.1
% chg (qoq) 5.1 7.8 (0.4) 600.4 (23.9) 5.0 5.4 46.6 38.5 26.5 85.3 43.2 110.0 17.9 12.6 8.0 17.5 21.5 13.3 (58.2) (8,209.6) 188.6 31.1 115.3 17.3 905bp
4QFY12 3,586 2,691 805 11 79 2,752 834 423 327 236 96 38 53 1,257 443 216 227 814 338 178 (55) 214 477 125 351 26.3
% chg (yoy) 13.4 13.7 12.7 (5.9) 16.1 14.0 11.6 34.0 35.3 27.8 29.7 66.6 46.3 19.2 30.0 31.6 28.4 13.3 36.2 (24.0) (253.5) 12.0 (2.9) (14.6) 1.2 (315)bp
FY2013 15,334 11,449 3,432 42 412 11,908 3,426 1,608 1,328 987 280 153 188 5,034 1,997 990 1,006 3,037 1,351 928 (5) 429 1,686 251 1,435 14.9
FY2012 13,018 9,563 3,070 36 349 9,871 3,147 1,553 1,188 832 365 164 192 4,700 1,784 913 870 2,917 1,011 618 85 308 1,906 399 1,506 21.0
% chg (yoy) 17.8 19.7 11.8 17.0 18.1 20.6 8.9 3.5 11.7 18.6 (23.2) (7.1) (2.2) 7.1 12.0 8.4 15.6 4.1 33.6 50.2 (106.2) 39.2 (11.5) (37.2) (4.7) (608)bp
Actual 931 567 1,498 576 922 460 463 107 356
Var. (%) 1.5 37.4 12.6 7.6 16.1 4.8 29.9 100.2 17.5
4QFY13 3QFY13 % chg (qoq) 4QFY12 % chg (yoy) 118,717 104,443 166,005 140,384 71.5 15,237 20,759 35,996 21.7 12.3 8.3 8.0 11.5 7.7 2.3 38.4 2,048 1.7 1,411 1.2 62.1 (0.3) 0.3 74.4 9,818 18,904 28,722 20.5 12.6 8.1 8.1 11.6 7.8 2.4 40.3 2,284 2.2 1,698 1.6 58.0 2.8 0.8 13.7 100,469 18.3 136,142 (288)bp 55.2 9.8 25.3 122bp (24)bp 25bp (4)bp (4)bp (6)bp (4)bp (183)bp (10.3) (46)bp (16.9) (44)bp 404bp (307)bp (47)bp 73.8 12,305 17,808 30,113 22.1 13.0 8.3 8.0 11.7 7.8 2.4 35.2 1,274 1.3 869 0.9 65.3 0.8 0.5 18.2 21.9 (228)bp 23.8 16.6 19.5 (44)bp (67)bp 0bp (1)bp (20)bp (3)bp (10)bp 319bp 60.7 46bp 62.3 32bp (324)bp (104)bp (16)bp
8.30
20.0
8.06
8.02
15.7 16.6
24.9 13.9
20.2 19.2
13.1 10.9
18.2 21.9
66.0 64.0
11.75
11.50
4QFY12
1QFY13
2QFY13
3QFY13
4QFY13
Robust fee income growth and higher recoveries drive strong performance on non-interest income (excl. treasury) front
Non-interest income (excluding treasury) showed a strong growth of 39.8% yoy to `443cr on account of robust growth in fee income and higher recoveries. Fee income grew at a robust pace of 27.8% yoy to `302cr, while recoveries from written-off accounts were higher by 66.6% yoy to `63cr. The treasury income for the bank came in at `124cr compared to `96cr reported in 4QFY2012. Overall, non-interest income for the bank grew by 37.4% to `567cr.
61.0
1.3 0.9
1.7 1.2
2.0 1.4
2.2 1.6
1.7 1.2
0.5
56.0 54.0
291
35.2
41.0
39.3
40.3
239
263
284
38.4
25.0 20.0
1.1 1.0
Investment arguments
Modern and cost-efficient network to support moderate CASA growth
During FY2008-13, the CASA deposits of the bank grew at a CAGR of ~13% which was quite robust. We believe the banks efficient network (1,707 branches currently) supported by a consistent track record in early adoption of emerging technologies creates a positive traction in its deposit franchise, which is tempered mainly by substantial competition from larger banks. The bank also plans to open another 300 branches and 2,000 ATMs in FY2013-14 which would further give a boost to low-cost deposits.
Earlier estimates FY2014E FY2015E 14.0 12.0 21.8 2.2 0.4 15.0 7.5 1.9 65.0 14.0 13.0 21.6 2.2 7.8 10.0 7.5 1.7 70.0
Revised estimates FY2014E EFY2015E 15.0 11.0 21.4 2.0 (3.8) 15.0 10.0 1.8 68.0 15.0 13.0 21.2 2.0 6.4 10.0 10.0 1.7 70.0
Earlier estimates 3,937 1,460 5,397 2,176 3,221 1,175 2,046 573 1,473
Revised estimates 4,011 1,547 5,558 2,246 3,312 1,222 2,090 585 1,505
Var. (%) 1.9 6.0 3.0 3.2 2.8 4.0 2.2 2.2 2.2
Earlier estimates 4,400 1,573 5,973 2,368 3,606 1,153 2,453 834 1,619
FY2015E Revised estimates 4,474 1,647 6,121 2,471 3,650 1,157 2,494 848 1,646
Var. (%) 1.7 4.7 2.5 4.4 1.2 0.4 1.7 1.7 1.7
Sep-02
Sep-03
Sep-04
Sep-05
Sep-06
Sep-07
Sep-08
Sep-09
Sep-10
Sep-11
Sep-12
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-12
Mar-13
Sep-13
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *Target multiples=SOTP Target Price/ABV (including subsidiaries), # Without adjusting for SASF
Company background
Corporation Bank is a mid-size PSU bank, with a balance sheet size of ~`1.9lakh cr. The bank has a network of 1,700+ branches, mainly concentrated in the southern states (~50%), with majority being in the parent state of Karnataka (~26%). The banks recent branch additions have been largely in rural and semiurban areas, which have aided a shift in its branch mix. Resultantly, rural and semi-urban branches now account for ~54% of the total branches as against ~50% in previous year.
Ratio analysis
Y/E March Profitability ratios (%) NIMs Cost to Income Ratio RoA RoE B/S ratios (%) CASA Ratio Credit/Deposit Ratio CAR - Tier I Asset Quality (%) Gross NPAs Net NPAs Slippages Loan Loss Prov. /Avg. Assets Provision Coverage Per Share Data (`) EPS ABVPS (75% cover.) DPS Valuation Ratios PER (x) P/ABVPS (x) Dividend Yield DuPont Analysis NII (-) Prov. Exp. Adj. NII Treasury Int. Sens. Inc. Other Inc. Op. Inc. Opex PBT Taxes RoA Leverage RoE 1.9 0.5 1.4 0.6 2.1 0.9 2.9 1.3 1.7 0.5 1.2 18.6 21.9 2.3 0.5 1.8 0.2 1.9 0.9 2.8 1.3 1.5 0.4 1.1 19.8 21.9 2.0 0.6 1.4 0.2 1.7 0.8 2.4 1.2 1.3 0.3 1.0 19.9 20.4 1.9 0.8 1.2 0.2 1.3 0.7 2.1 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.8 20.0 16.1 2.0 0.6 1.4 0.1 1.4 0.7 2.1 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.7 20.1 14.8 2.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 0.7 2.2 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.7 20.1 14.5 5.0 1.0 4.1 4.3 0.8 4.9 3.8 0.7 5.0 4.3 0.7 4.7 4.1 0.6 5.0 3.8 0.5 5.4 81.6 402.6 16.5 95.4 481.5 20.0 106.4 542.3 20.5 93.8 594.1 19.0 98.4 677.7 20.5 107.6 762.2 22.0 1.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 80.8 0.9 0.5 1.3 0.4 74.7 1.3 0.9 1.4 0.4 65.3 1.7 1.2 1.8 0.5 62.1 2.4 1.2 1.8 0.5 68.0 2.9 1.2 1.7 0.4 70.0 28.6 68.2 15.4 9.3 26.0 74.4 14.1 8.7 22.1 73.8 13.0 8.3 21.7 71.5 12.0 8.1 21.4 74.1 11.7 8.1 21.2 75.4 11.2 8.0 2.0 37.1 1.2 21.9 2.4 38.5 1.1 21.9 2.1 37.9 1.0 20.4 2.0 39.7 0.8 16.1 2.0 40.4 0.7 14.8 2.0 40.4 0.7 14.5 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15E
10
E-mail: research@angelbroking.com
Website: www.angelbroking.com
DISCLAIMER
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
Corporation Bank No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors
Ratings (Returns):
11