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15 May 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Over Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Over Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Over Valued .......................................................... 13


Over Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

398.00

270.90

398.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
585

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

292.20

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

357

0.66

COBHAM

277.10

190.10

277.10

Neutral

Buy

309

0.82

MEGGITT

521.50

364.30

521.50

Sell

Sell

447

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1218.00

780.75

1218.00

Neutral

Neutral

1166

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1313.00

979.50

1328.00

Neutral

Sell

1125

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1738.00

1424.00

1745.00

Neutral

Neutral

1656

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

292.30

173.60

292.30

Neutral

Neutral

278

2.02

INCHCAPE

525.50

305.20

530.00

Neutral

Neutral

521

1.48

LOOKERS

100.50

56.50

102.00

Neutral

Neutral

110

1.23

24.00

13.50

25.00

Neutral

Buy

35

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

314.05

150.55

327.35

Neutral

Sell

-804

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

746.40

503.20

746.40

Neutral

Buy

942

1.17

58.86

25.29

58.94

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

302.50

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-161

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1585.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3214

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

549.50

348.00

572.00

Neutral

Neutral

596

0.55

DIAGEO

2069.00

1477.00

2085.00

Sell

Sell

1829

0.55

SABMILLER

3645.00

2348.50

3655.50

Neutral

Buy

4137

0.95

BARR (AG)

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

301.00

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

675

1.23

CARCLO

375.00

345.75

503.00

Neutral

Buy

419

0.73

2592.00

2094.00

2841.00

Neutral

Sell

2085

1.04

247.00

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

353

0.99

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2640.00

2080.27

2640.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

12508

1.45

VICTREX

1620.00

1185.00

1736.00

Neutral

Sell

1456

1.14

SYNTHOMER

216.70

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Neutral

216

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

216.00

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

390

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

86.00

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

242

0.51

BALFOUR BEATTY

222.70

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

932

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

311.40

114.00

323.30

Neutral

Buy

444

1.58

BELLWAY

1270.00

660.00

1377.00

Neutral

Buy

1812

1.15

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2125.00

1180.00

2140.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3255

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

187.00

115.50

187.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

336

0.83

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

730.00

399.30

778.50

Neutral

Sell

540

1.20

CARILLION

269.00

235.50

331.80

Buy

Strong Buy

743

1.12

CLARKE (T)

53.00

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

251

0.82

271.00

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

543

0.57

1406.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

808

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

948.00

579.00

995.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1592

1.01

KELLER

867.00

348.25

890.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2022

1.26

1199.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3186

0.97

69.75

49.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

209

1.07
1.39

COSTAIN GROUP
CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR

Target

Beta

MARSHALLS

122.25

76.00

130.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

277

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

540.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3205

0.87

15.75

9.25

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

32

1.15

NORCROS

1098.00

496.69

1109.00

Neutral

Buy

1376

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

214.90

107.30

215.90

Neutral

Buy

275

1.09

SIG

170.50

82.30

170.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

492

1.79

2.00

2.00

14.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

49

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

94.50

40.28

96.55

Neutral

Buy

123

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

TAYLOR WIMPEY

1442.00

906.50

1511.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2455

2.01

WOLSELEY

3370.00

2121.32

3370.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5323

1.46

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1342.00

935.00

1364.00

Neutral

Sell

830

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

675.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

911

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

124.00

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

267

1.29

INVENSYS

392.10

198.90

399.70

Neutral

Sell

372

1.41

LAIRD

204.90

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Sell

75

2.13

DIALIGHT

Target

Beta

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1524.00

1096.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1271

1.00

RENISHAW

1774.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2553

1.26

SPECTRIS

2153.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2395

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.15

Neutral

Strong Buy

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

177.25

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

441

1.58

XAAR

625.00

185.00

625.00

Sell

Sell

253

1.11

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

84.50

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

99

1.28

BODYCOTE

538.00

310.30

556.50

Neutral

Neutral

531

1.60

CASTINGS

330.00

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

731

0.99

VESUVIUS

373.30

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Buy

520

2.20

FENNER

366.00

329.30

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

576

1.42

HALMA

531.00

373.10

531.50

Neutral

Sell

412

0.75

HILL & SMITH

452.00

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

344

1.37

1325.00

776.00

1347.00

Neutral

Neutral

1434

1.41

277.40

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

563

1.82

2935.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2297

1.00

266.70

177.00

266.70

Sell

Sell

221

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

40.00

35.40

103.33

Neutral

Sell

30

SPIRAX-SARCO

2822.00

1900.00

2822.00

Sell

Sell

2389

0.84

VITEC GROUP

597.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Neutral

619

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2445.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2128

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

398.00

398.00

523.50

Buy

Strong Buy

689

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

291.90

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Sell

185

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

390.30

283.50

396.50

Neutral

Sell

207

0.57

TESCO

376.80

297.05

387.75

Neutral

Sell

266

0.68

87.00

18.88

87.00

Sell

Sell

64

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

2013.00

1167.00

2013.00

Neutral

Neutral

2160

0.62

CRANSWICK

1082.00

732.50

1082.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2133

0.43

DAIRY CREST

471.90

307.00

471.90

Neutral

Neutral

517

0.94

DEVRO

340.00

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

528

0.32

73.25

54.50

130.25

Neutral

Sell

-184

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

867.00

633.50

870.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1591

0.71

2822.00

2007.00

2845.00

Neutral

Neutral

2849

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.63

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

35

0.69

448.60

224.40

451.00

Neutral

Sell

382

0.54

1394.00

1000.00

1455.00

Neutral

Sell

1029

1.27

625.50

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

294

0.95

36.83

12.67

37.50

Neutral

Buy

41

1.51

136.50

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

53

1.13

31.00

19.50

40.25

Sell

Strong Buy

107

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

400.10

189.00

400.10

Neutral

Buy

528

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

835.00

606.50

855.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1590

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

53.00

38.00

65.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

92

1.25

KINGFISHER

325.50

254.10

330.60

Neutral

Buy

411

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

420.60

312.20

423.60

Neutral

Buy

544

0.65

56.25

42.00

71.00

Neutral

Buy

63

1.04

347.25

160.00

362.00

Neutral

Neutral

370

0.47

NEXT

4600.00

2899.00

4601.00

Neutral

Sell

3915

0.67

TED BAKER

1362.00

840.00

1397.00

Neutral

Sell

691

0.55

67.00

32.13

70.00

Neutral

Sell

53

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

146.50

126.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
117

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

788.00

584.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

579

0.39

OPTOS

156.00

145.75

257.00

Neutral

Neutral

168

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

766.00

580.00

769.00

Neutral

Sell

687

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

737.50

557.00

742.00

Neutral

Neutral

718

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

332.50

263.00

355.00

Neutral

Sell

295

0.92

80.00

55.25

91.50

Neutral

Buy

104

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock
ARM HOLDINGS
CSR
FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1076.00

469.00

1076.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
558

Beta
0.74

543.00

200.30

544.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1290

1.18

63.00

23.50

83.25

Neutral

Sell

48

0.90

312.60

296.00

624.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

525

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

136.50

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

695

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

204.50

170.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-504

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1275.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Neutral

1261

0.53

AMLIN

429.30

312.90

431.50

Neutral

Sell

90

0.46

BEAZLEY

230.00

132.50

231.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1302

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

541.00

399.00

541.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2019

0.30

HISCOX

575.00

385.08

575.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2596

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

914.00

659.00

914.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1734

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

113.10

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

938

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

490.00

345.00

492.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2944

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2382.00

1969.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4109

1.01

99.00

55.50

114.70

Neutral

Buy

111

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

347.20

158.00

350.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

802

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

802.50

700.00

820.00

Neutral

Sell

693

0.39

GREENE KING

749.50

474.30

749.50

Neutral

Sell

670

0.93

LADBROKES

209.90

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

259

0.93

1966.00

1396.63

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1524

1.18

CARNIVAL
ENTERPRISE INNS

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

555.50

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

664

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

375.40

217.40

375.40

Sell

Sell

326

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

144.40

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

52

1.25

10.00

5.61

13.12

Neutral

Strong Buy

53

1.27

157.00

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

517

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

485.90

275.90

488.10

Neutral

Sell

332

WETHERSPOON (JD)

622.50

373.50

622.50

Neutral

Buy

763

0.69

WHITBREAD

2710.00

1786.00

2710.00

Neutral

Sell

2047

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

429.40

245.70

430.70

Neutral

Sell

264

0.87

MARSTON'S

150.80

94.40

150.80

Neutral

Sell

21

1.21

Over Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

323.60

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

723

1.25

CHESNARA

257.75

155.25

257.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

404

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

182.60

106.00

182.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

365

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

219.50

138.70

220.40

Neutral

Neutral

210

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1163.00

660.00

1177.00

Neutral

Sell

1038

1.71

597.50

303.40

597.50

Sell

Strong Buy

1516

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

116.25

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-615

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

823.00

656.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1821

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

Target

Beta

47.00

28.50

60.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

163

1.03

738.00

363.50

744.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

4284

1.14
1.00

1013.00

672.50

1013.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7982

INFORMA

505.00

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-80

1.53

ITE GROUP

293.30

180.00

293.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

252

1.45

ITV

131.70

69.45

132.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1333

1.54

17.88

4.88

19.00

Neutral

Buy

816

1.27

1195.00

1115.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

333

0.63

81.00

36.25

82.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2746

0.79

277.25

265.00

377.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

914

0.16

35.01

26.85

35.01

Neutral

Sell

-613

0.50

STV GROUP

131.00

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

278

0.79

ST.IVES

150.00

67.50

153.00

Neutral

Sell

243

1.50

91.50

25.50

121.25

Neutral

Sell

-270

1.59

737.50

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1793

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

TRINITY MIRROR
UBM
WILMINGTON GROUP

156.50

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1416

WPP

1147.00

743.00

1147.00

Neutral

Sell

-529

1.35

HIBU

0.39

0.26

3.22

Neutral

Strong Buy

847

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1550.00

1550.00

2215.00

Buy

Sell

1185

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

239.00

215.00

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

232

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

939.50

884.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

860

1.41

1920.00

1681.00

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2905

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

340.35

293.55

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

981

#NA

LONMIN

265.10

240.84

428.18

Neutral

Buy

342

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4989.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

3000

0.34

RIO TINTO

2967.50

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2311

1.50

3.38

14.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

166

0.89

832.50

1299.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2132

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1254.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1227.00

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Neutral

1259

0.80

BP

468.55

391.95

475.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1585

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

276.10

248.20

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-22

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

7.94

7.66

12.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

14

0.82

856.50

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

454

1.31
1.36

67.00

55.00

120.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

306

393.30

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Sell

291

1.43

2355.50

2039.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

9569

0.84

390.50

264.20

404.30

Neutral

Sell

252

0.53

1039.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

922

1.04

826.50

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Neutral

814

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

117.00

101.20

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

253

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

389.10

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

321

0.69

4800.00

3300.00

4812.00

Neutral

Neutral

4837

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Target

Over Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.45

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

1.01

3342.50

2591.00

3390.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6562

0.47

BTG

346.60

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

169

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

704.50

460.00

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

729

0.25

1695.00

1317.50

1695.00

Neutral

Sell

1581

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

2.15

1.55

4.00

Neutral

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2055.00

1727.00

2153.00

Neutral

Sell

1377

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

45.50

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

-135

0.73

VERNALIS

22.75

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

36

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

424.80

274.50

426.20

Neutral

Sell

-615

1.18

BRITISH LAND

620.00

475.40

625.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1821

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

35.25

22.75

35.50

Sell

Strong Buy

163

0.85

991.50

595.00

991.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

4284

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2454.00

1708.00

2454.00

Sell

Strong Buy

7982

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

173.25

121.75

175.00

Neutral

Sell

-80

0.99

GRAINGER

149.90

83.10

150.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

252

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

572.00

367.80

572.50

Sell

Strong Buy

1333

1.10

HAMMERSON

551.00

409.20

551.00

Neutral

Buy

816

1.19

HELICAL BAR

277.00

164.00

277.00

Neutral

Buy

333

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

934.50

704.00

934.50

Sell

Strong Buy

2746

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

353.50

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

914

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

144.00

127.00

145.38

Neutral

Sell

-613

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

413.00

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

278

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

330.50

312.00

364.50

Neutral

Sell

243

0.35

71.00

32.50

71.00

Sell

Sell

-270

1.19

SAVILLS

582.00

300.80

601.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1793

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

638.50

492.00

639.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1416

1.05

SEGRO

288.70

209.40

288.70

Neutral

Sell

-529

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

307.30

145.50

307.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

847

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

215.00

147.00

215.00

Neutral

Sell

-13

1.01

UNITE GROUP

375.30

180.25

375.30

Neutral

Sell

53

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.41

1.00

2.75

Sell

Sell

-1196

1.03

390.70

215.50

390.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

1373

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

128.00

111.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

122

0.73

2265.00

1469.00

2322.00

Neutral

Sell

1322

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

453.90

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1353

1.00

KOFAX

320.00

242.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

323

1.11

27.25

18.25

27.25

Sell

Sell

24

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

681.50

431.48

706.00

Neutral

Buy

1009

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

130.00

130.00

222.00

Buy

Strong Buy

308

0.74

68.00

68.00

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-92

0.52

1925.00

1275.00

1970.00

Neutral

Neutral

2085

0.76

357.00

247.70

357.00

Neutral

Buy

418

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Over Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

463.50

237.30

468.00

Neutral

Sell

150

BREWIN DOLPHIN

208.00

136.30

222.00

Neutral

Sell

122

0.73

9950.00

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Sell

9380

0.84

CAMELLIA

Target

Beta
1.09

CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

393.00

247.50

406.25

Neutral

Sell

205

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

175.00

137.00

190.00

Neutral

Sell

134

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1063.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Sell

235

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

92.80

67.00

110.40

Neutral

Neutral

102

0.89

3.21

0.55

3.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

25

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

179.00

90.55

179.60

Neutral

Sell

66

1.44

ICAP

339.70

280.80

376.60

Neutral

Sell

237

1.07
1.70

HELPHIRE GROUP

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

439.50

227.30

439.50

Neutral

Sell

177

INVESTEC

497.60

310.40

513.50

Neutral

Sell

127

1.56

1335.00

930.00

1411.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3508

1.15

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

121.60

63.25

125.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

473

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1488.00

1151.00

1551.00

Neutral

Sell

1122

0.75

SCHRODERS

2481.00

1166.00

2481.00

Sell

Sell

1213

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1949.00

966.00

1949.00

Sell

Strong Buy

3835

1.27

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Over Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

213.00

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Buy

299

0.92

AGGREKO

1768.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Sell

1322

1.05

AMEC

1075.00

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Neutral

1157

1.04

613.50

212.20

635.00

Neutral

Sell

326

1.63

1163.00

827.00

1163.00

Sell

Sell

679

0.48

557.00

324.00

559.00

Neutral

Buy

818

0.76

1319.00

990.00

1320.00

Neutral

Sell

1008

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

442.50

214.00

445.00

Neutral

Neutral

452

0.39

CAPITA

938.00

602.00

942.50

Neutral

Sell

535

0.51

55.38

25.34

56.50

Neutral

Buy

69

0.78
0.74

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

COMPASS GROUP

870.00

616.00

870.00

Neutral

Sell

619

BERENDSEN

764.00

462.00

812.00

Neutral

Buy

1000

1.05

DE LA RUE

961.50

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Sell

612

#NA

DIGNITY

1433.00

803.50

1462.00

Neutral

Sell

824

0.22

DIPLOMA

580.00

417.00

627.50

Neutral

Sell

496

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

263.10

195.20

265.00

Neutral

Buy

328

1.04

FILTRONA

745.00

428.00

750.00

Neutral

Sell

355

1.13

G4S

258.90

240.00

313.50

Neutral

Buy

299

0.58

95.80

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Buy

124

1.10

HOMESERVE

215.00

137.50

248.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

499

0.94

INTERSERVE

498.20

271.40

510.50

Neutral

Buy

702

1.28

3412.00

2456.00

3451.00

Neutral

Sell

1480

0.78

44.25

26.50

45.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

96

1.17
0.72

HAYS

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

31.00

21.25

34.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

57

MENZIES (JOHN)

799.50

542.00

799.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1321

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

392.80

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Sell

326

1.42

MITIE GROUP

270.00

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Buy

350

0.55

97.00

87.50

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

244

0.33

PAYPOINT

849.50

605.00

912.50

Neutral

Sell

704

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

227.60

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Buy

293

1.33

REGUS

176.70

82.65

177.50

Neutral

Sell

109

1.46

93.50

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Sell

56

1.25

OFFICE2OFFICE

RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM

535.50

394.28

547.50

Neutral

Neutral

543

0.90

RICARDO

390.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Buy

481

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

218.00

176.25

232.00

Neutral

Buy

315

1.24

RPC GROUP

404.00

351.00

477.00

Neutral

Buy

547

0.78

RPS GROUP

234.10

197.00

274.20

Neutral

Neutral

253

1.51

SERCO GROUP

632.00

509.50

635.50

Neutral

Sell

592

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

83.50

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

172

1.46

SPEEDY HIRE

53.25

22.25

53.25

Sell

Neutral

53

1.26

153.50

73.75

153.50

Neutral

Sell

52

0.63

53.00

39.50

59.00

Neutral

Buy

63

0.93

333.00

237.00

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

636

0.86

78.88

42.00

78.88

Sell

Strong Buy

187

0.79

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

311.50

200.70

311.50

Neutral

Buy

352

42.57

27.28

43.08

Neutral

Strong Buy

84

0.70

700.00

390.80

749.00

Neutral

Sell

615

0.53

Beta
0.91

87.00

67.00

87.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

134

1.24

1214.00

695.00

1239.00

Neutral

Sell

759

0.09

193.50

154.45

197.20

Neutral

Sell

173

0.54

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

269.90

178.00

273.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
179

Beta
1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

416.00

309.50

425.00

Neutral

Buy

460

0.98

CLARKSON

1650.00

1150.00

1673.00

Neutral

Sell

1490

0.80

EASYJET

1130.00

481.20

1153.00

Neutral

Sell

678

0.77

FIRST GROUP

220.80

175.70

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

568

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

954.50

535.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

401

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1522.00

1086.00

1558.00

Neutral

Buy

1877

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

212.80

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

254

1.35
1.41

NORTHGATE

335.00

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

618

STAGECOACH GROUP

313.00

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

367

0.89

54.50

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-44

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

384.90

306.30

393.10

Neutral

Buy

527

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

847.00

641.00

847.00

Neutral

Buy

936

0.50

PENNON GROUP

695.00

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

866

0.59

SSE

1611.00

1294.00

1611.00

Neutral

Buy

1882

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

2077.00

1513.00

2077.00

Neutral

Sell

1702

0.35

760.50

617.50

760.50

Neutral

Neutral

755

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

15 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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