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21 May 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Over Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Over Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Over Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Over Valued .......................................................... 13


Over Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

413.00

270.90

413.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
598

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

293.20

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

365

0.66

COBHAM

280.70

190.10

282.10

Neutral

Buy

314

0.82

MEGGITT

523.50

364.30

523.50

Neutral

Sell

452

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1197.00

780.75

1225.00

Neutral

Neutral

1185

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1352.00

979.50

1352.00

Neutral

Sell

1149

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1827.00

1424.00

1827.00

Neutral

Sell

1689

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

309.30

173.60

309.30

Sell

Neutral

295

2.02

INCHCAPE

565.50

305.20

565.50

Neutral

Neutral

553

1.48

LOOKERS

106.50

56.50

108.25

Neutral

Buy

117

1.23

25.00

13.50

25.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

38

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

326.20

150.55

327.35

Neutral

Sell

-788

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

769.90

503.20

769.90

Neutral

Buy

957

1.17

62.20

25.29

62.84

Sell

Sell

10

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

351.90

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-127

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1626.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3246

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

570.00

348.00

572.00

Neutral

Neutral

608

0.55

DIAGEO

2045.00

1477.00

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1823

0.55

SABMILLER

3586.00

2348.50

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

4087

0.95

BARR (AG)

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

330.00

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

658

1.23

CARCLO

379.00

345.75

503.00

Neutral

Neutral

396

0.73

2603.00

2125.00

2841.00

Neutral

Sell

2138

1.04

245.00

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

351

0.99

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2650.00

2080.27

2650.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

11819

1.45

VICTREX

1673.00

1185.00

1736.00

Neutral

Sell

1481

1.14

SYNTHOMER

198.00

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Neutral

211

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

194.00

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

378

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

94.00

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

255

0.51

BALFOUR BEATTY

226.30

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

994

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

342.50

114.00

346.30

Sell

Buy

470

1.58

BELLWAY

1362.00

660.00

1377.00

Neutral

Buy

1924

1.15

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2203.00

1180.00

2207.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3396

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

196.00

115.50

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

354

0.83

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

778.00

399.30

778.50

Neutral

Sell

572

1.20

CARILLION

254.20

235.50

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

800

1.12

CLARKE (T)

53.25

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

268

0.82

269.50

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

550

0.57

1456.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

862

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

986.50

579.00

995.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1702

1.01

KELLER

975.00

348.25

975.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2134

1.26

1200.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3350

0.97

70.00

49.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

218

1.07
1.39

COSTAIN GROUP
CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR

Target

Beta

MARSHALLS

128.00

76.00

130.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

293

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

551.50

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3399

0.87

15.88

9.25

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

34

1.15

NORCROS

1245.00

496.69

1272.00

Sell

Buy

1458

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

231.90

107.30

232.40

Neutral

Buy

293

1.09

SIG

171.50

82.30

172.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

513

1.79

1.88

1.88

14.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

51

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS
TAYLOR WIMPEY

103.00

40.28

103.00

Neutral

Buy

131

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

1542.00

906.50

1543.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2620

2.01

WOLSELEY

3473.00

2121.32

3473.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5573

1.46

Over Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1352.00

935.00

1364.00

Neutral

Sell

845

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

677.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

926

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

126.50

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

272

1.29

INVENSYS

402.70

198.90

402.70

Neutral

Sell

379

1.41

LAIRD

208.60

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Sell

76

2.13

DIALIGHT

Target

Beta

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1630.00

1096.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1294

1.00

RENISHAW

1761.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2589

1.26

SPECTRIS

2112.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2441

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.14

Neutral

Strong Buy

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

176.00

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

450

1.58

XAAR

649.00

185.00

695.00

Neutral

Sell

257

1.11

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

86.50

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

106

1.28

BODYCOTE

550.50

310.30

556.50

Neutral

Neutral

532

1.60

CASTINGS

339.00

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

726

0.99

VESUVIUS

366.60

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Buy

528

2.20

FENNER

357.90

329.30

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

576

1.42

HALMA

529.50

374.00

531.50

Neutral

Sell

410

0.75

HILL & SMITH

462.00

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

350

1.37

1342.00

776.00

1347.00

Neutral

Neutral

1419

1.41

285.00

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

560

1.82

2837.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2255

1.00

269.50

177.00

269.60

Neutral

Sell

221

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

41.75

35.40

96.69

Neutral

Sell

32

SPIRAX-SARCO

2811.00

1900.00

2822.00

Sell

Sell

2368

0.84

VITEC GROUP

590.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Neutral

627

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2386.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2116

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

410.70

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

717

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

289.30

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Sell

178

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

377.20

283.50

396.50

Neutral

Sell

195

0.57

TESCO

383.10

297.05

387.75

Neutral

Sell

262

0.68

THORNTONS

100.50

18.88

100.50

Sell

Sell

72

0.84

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1926.00

1167.00

2031.00

Neutral

Buy

2168

0.62

CRANSWICK

1115.00

732.50

1115.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2142

0.43

DAIRY CREST

472.00

311.10

477.60

Neutral

Neutral

517

0.94

DEVRO

347.20

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

531

0.32

73.75

54.50

130.25

Neutral

Sell

-182

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

855.00

633.50

874.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1600

0.71

2853.00

2007.00

2853.00

Neutral

Neutral

2845

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.38

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

36

0.69

465.60

224.40

465.60

Sell

Sell

394

0.54

1463.00

1000.00

1463.00

Neutral

Sell

1059

1.27

662.50

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

303

0.95

42.20

12.67

42.20

Neutral

Neutral

42

1.51

140.50

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

58

1.13

32.00

19.50

34.00

Sell

Strong Buy

110

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

401.70

189.00

405.20

Neutral

Buy

545

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

865.00

606.50

869.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1635

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

66.50

38.00

66.50

Neutral

Buy

98

1.25

KINGFISHER

330.50

254.10

330.60

Neutral

Buy

423

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

440.50

312.20

451.00

Neutral

Buy

563

0.65

56.25

42.00

71.00

Neutral

Buy

64

1.04

348.00

161.50

362.00

Neutral

Buy

385

0.47

NEXT

4675.00

2930.00

4693.00

Neutral

Sell

4020

0.67

TED BAKER

1425.00

840.00

1425.00

Sell

Sell

712

0.55

67.00

32.13

70.00

Neutral

Sell

55

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

146.00

126.50

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
118

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

782.50

584.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

581

0.39

OPTOS

127.25

122.25

222.75

Neutral

Buy

160

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

788.50

581.50

788.50

Neutral

Sell

711

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

725.00

557.00

742.00

Neutral

Neutral

706

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

337.75

263.00

355.00

Neutral

Sell

299

0.92

80.50

55.25

90.00

Neutral

Buy

105

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock
ARM HOLDINGS
CSR
FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1096.00

469.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
569

Beta
0.74

562.50

200.30

562.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1312

1.18

63.00

24.25

83.25

Neutral

Sell

49

0.90

336.90

296.00

624.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

536

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

133.70

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

712

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

222.00

170.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-496

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1275.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Neutral

1236

0.53

AMLIN

426.20

312.90

434.00

Neutral

Sell

65

0.46

BEAZLEY

237.60

132.50

237.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1296

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

532.50

399.00

543.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2038

0.30

HISCOX

576.00

385.08

577.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2583

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

902.50

659.00

914.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1726

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

115.90

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

934

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

494.00

345.00

500.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2907

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2410.00

1992.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4305

1.01

ENTERPRISE INNS

120.00

55.50

120.00

Neutral

Neutral

122

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

372.20

158.00

372.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

826

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

800.00

700.00

820.00

Neutral

Sell

725

0.39

GREENE KING

784.50

474.30

788.50

Neutral

Sell

704

0.93

LADBROKES

214.20

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

269

0.93

1962.00

1401.63

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1565

1.18

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

556.50

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

690

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

406.60

217.40

406.60

Sell

Sell

344

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

143.30

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

47

1.25

10.75

5.61

13.12

Neutral

Strong Buy

58

1.27

163.00

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

533

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

531.00

278.80

531.00

Neutral

Sell

344

WETHERSPOON (JD)

661.50

379.90

661.50

Neutral

Buy

793

0.69

WHITBREAD

2837.00

1794.00

2837.00

Sell

Sell

2124

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

450.00

246.35

450.00

Neutral

Sell

273

0.87

MARSTON'S

153.00

94.70

153.80

Neutral

Sell

23

1.21

Over Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

339.40

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

758

1.25

CHESNARA

270.00

155.25

270.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

417

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

185.60

106.00

186.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

380

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

216.80

138.70

221.60

Neutral

Neutral

213

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1180.00

660.00

1193.00

Neutral

Sell

1066

1.71

635.00

303.40

635.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1591

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

110.25

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-616

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

806.50

656.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1854

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA

Target

Beta

32.00

28.50

60.00

Buy

Strong Buy

165

1.03

DAILY MAIL 'A'

765.00

363.50

766.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4368

1.14

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

998.00

672.50

1030.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8156

1.00

INFORMA

528.50

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-77

1.53

ITE GROUP

298.90

180.00

298.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

260

1.45

ITV

130.70

69.45

132.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1354

1.54

18.00

4.88

19.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

832

1.27

1220.00

1115.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

340

0.63

84.50

36.25

84.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2800

0.79

272.50

265.00

377.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

935

0.16

35.51

26.85

35.51

Neutral

Sell

-614

0.50

STV GROUP

133.88

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

286

0.79

ST.IVES

161.00

67.50

161.00

Neutral

Sell

252

1.50

TRINITY MIRROR

109.50

25.50

121.25

Neutral

Sell

-272

1.59

UBM

742.50

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1827

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP

157.00

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1444

WPP

1165.00

743.00

1165.00

Neutral

Sell

-528

1.35

HIBU

0.43

0.26

3.16

Neutral

Strong Buy

862

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1553.00

1544.00

2215.00

Buy

Sell

1165

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

234.25

215.00

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

228

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

926.00

884.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

842

1.41

1925.00

1681.00

2236.00

Neutral

Buy

2833

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

334.95

293.55

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

962

#NA

LONMIN

264.10

240.84

421.26

Neutral

Buy

342

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4696.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2948

0.34

RIO TINTO

2903.50

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2283

1.50

3.38

13.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

163

0.89

832.50

1299.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2055

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1283.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1232.00

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Neutral

1272

0.80

BP

472.55

393.90

475.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1599

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

287.20

248.20

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-22

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

8.40

7.66

12.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

15

0.82

887.00

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

460

1.31
1.36

59.25

55.00

120.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

309

379.10

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Sell

294

1.43

2304.50

2039.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

9657

0.84

401.80

264.70

404.30

Neutral

Sell

254

0.53

1054.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

933

1.04

830.00

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Neutral

820

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

109.75

101.20

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

248

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

385.30

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

316

0.69

4770.00

3300.00

4812.00

Neutral

Neutral

4809

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Target

Over Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.42

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

1.01

3390.50

2591.00

3390.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6620

0.47

BTG

338.60

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

171

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

719.00

463.00

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

735

0.25

1721.50

1317.50

1721.50

Neutral

Sell

1595

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

2.33

1.55

3.40

Neutral

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2086.00

1727.00

2153.00

Neutral

Sell

1387

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

53.25

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

-135

0.73

VERNALIS

22.25

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

37

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

418.00

274.50

426.70

Neutral

Sell

-616

1.18

BRITISH LAND

658.00

475.40

658.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1854

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

37.00

22.75

37.00

Sell

Strong Buy

165

0.85

995.00

595.00

995.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4368

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2530.00

1728.00

2530.00

Sell

Strong Buy

8156

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

180.00

121.75

180.00

Neutral

Sell

-77

0.99

GRAINGER

156.30

83.10

156.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

260

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

598.00

367.80

598.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1354

1.10

HAMMERSON

554.00

409.20

554.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

832

1.19

HELICAL BAR

297.50

164.00

297.50

Neutral

Buy

340

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

994.00

704.00

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2800

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

357.90

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

935

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

149.50

127.00

149.50

Neutral

Sell

-614

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

402.50

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

286

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

332.00

312.00

364.50

Neutral

Sell

252

0.35

79.25

32.50

79.25

Sell

Sell

-272

1.19

SAVILLS

596.50

300.80

601.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1827

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

663.50

492.00

664.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1444

1.05

SEGRO

302.80

209.40

302.80

Sell

Sell

-528

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

321.00

145.50

329.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

862

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

219.50

147.00

219.50

Neutral

Sell

-9

1.01

UNITE GROUP

380.00

180.75

387.50

Neutral

Sell

55

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.41

1.00

2.75

Sell

Sell

-1227

1.03

408.90

215.50

410.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1402

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

127.70

111.25

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

126

0.73

2308.00

1481.00

2322.00

Neutral

Sell

1357

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

453.90

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1385

1.00

KOFAX

323.38

242.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

331

1.11

27.25

18.25

27.50

Sell

Sell

25

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

710.00

431.48

710.00

Neutral

Buy

1036

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

143.00

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

317

0.74

70.88

68.00

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-97

0.52

2004.00

1275.00

2004.00

Neutral

Neutral

2141

0.76

368.10

247.70

368.10

Neutral

Buy

431

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Over Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

471.70

237.30

476.40

Neutral

Sell

154

BREWIN DOLPHIN

209.70

136.30

222.00

Neutral

Sell

125

0.73

9900.00

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Neutral

9602

0.84

CAMELLIA

Target

Beta
1.09

CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

395.00

247.50

406.25

Neutral

Sell

211

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

175.00

140.00

190.00

Neutral

Sell

139

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1078.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Sell

252

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

93.40

70.00

110.40

Neutral

Buy

103

0.89

3.40

0.55

3.70

Sell

Strong Buy

25

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

179.10

90.55

179.60

Neutral

Sell

68

1.44

ICAP

343.80

280.80

376.60

Neutral

Sell

246

1.07

HELPHIRE GROUP

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

460.50

227.30

460.50

Neutral

Sell

172

1.70

INVESTEC

490.80

312.00

513.50

Neutral

Sell

137

1.56

1426.00

930.00

1426.00

Neutral

Sell

-27660

1.15

131.90

63.25

131.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

479

1.32

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP
RATHBONE BROTHERS

1520.00

1151.00

1551.00

Neutral

Sell

1136

0.75

SCHRODERS

2532.00

1166.00

2560.00

Neutral

Sell

1234

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1987.00

966.00

2000.00

Sell

Strong Buy

3877

1.27

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Over Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

220.50

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Buy

301

0.92

AGGREKO

1788.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Sell

1346

1.05

AMEC

1048.00

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Buy

1167

1.04

658.50

212.20

658.50

Sell

Sell

332

1.63

1145.00

830.00

1163.00

Neutral

Sell

687

0.48

575.00

324.00

580.25

Neutral

Buy

824

0.76

1336.00

993.50

1336.00

Neutral

Sell

1016

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

452.50

214.00

465.00

Neutral

Neutral

456

0.39

CAPITA

949.00

602.00

949.00

Neutral

Sell

543

0.51

55.50

25.34

56.50

Neutral

Buy

70

0.78
0.74

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

COMPASS GROUP

898.00

620.50

898.00

Sell

Sell

625

BERENDSEN

775.00

462.00

812.00

Neutral

Buy

1019

1.05

DE LA RUE

995.50

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Sell

623

#NA

DIGNITY

1435.00

803.50

1462.00

Neutral

Sell

835

0.22

DIPLOMA

583.50

417.00

627.50

Neutral

Sell

503

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

271.90

195.20

271.90

Neutral

Buy

332

1.04

FILTRONA

748.50

428.00

750.00

Neutral

Sell

360

1.13

G4S

251.00

240.00

313.50

Neutral

Buy

303

0.58

95.35

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Buy

125

1.10

HOMESERVE

227.00

137.50

248.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

507

0.94

INTERSERVE

513.50

271.40

513.50

Neutral

Buy

707

1.28

3327.00

2500.00

3453.00

Neutral

Sell

1500

0.78

45.38

26.50

45.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

98

1.17
0.72

HAYS

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

30.38

21.25

32.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

57

MENZIES (JOHN)

760.00

542.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1322

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

393.40

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Sell

329

1.42

MITIE GROUP

267.40

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Buy

354

0.55

89.50

87.50

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

247

0.33

PAYPOINT

898.00

605.00

912.50

Neutral

Sell

714

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

226.00

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Buy

296

1.33

REGUS

171.50

82.65

177.50

Neutral

Sell

110

1.46

93.70

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Sell

57

1.25

OFFICE2OFFICE

RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM

536.50

394.28

547.50

Neutral

Neutral

551

0.90

RICARDO

417.50

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Buy

487

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

214.00

176.25

232.00

Neutral

Buy

318

1.24

RPC GROUP

399.80

365.40

477.00

Neutral

Buy

553

0.78

RPS GROUP

228.90

197.00

274.20

Neutral

Buy

256

1.51

SERCO GROUP

637.00

509.50

637.50

Neutral

Sell

599

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

84.50

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

175

1.46

SPEEDY HIRE

55.00

22.25

55.00

Sell

Neutral

54

1.26

162.25

74.00

162.25

Neutral

Sell

53

0.63

59.25

39.50

59.25

Neutral

Neutral

64

0.93

339.63

237.00

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

646

0.86

78.88

42.00

78.88

Sell

Strong Buy

188

0.79

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

322.20

200.70

322.20

Sell

Buy

359

43.95

27.28

44.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

86

0.70

666.00

394.90

749.00

Neutral

Sell

610

0.53

Beta
0.91

87.60

67.00

87.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

138

1.24

1285.00

695.00

1285.00

Sell

Sell

786

0.09

197.60

154.45

197.70

Neutral

Sell

174

0.54

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

281.70

178.00

281.70

Sell

Sell

Target
180

Beta
1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

425.25

309.50

425.25

Neutral

Neutral

461

0.98

CLARKSON

1650.00

1150.00

1673.00

Neutral

Sell

1498

0.80

EASYJET

1235.00

481.20

1235.00

Neutral

Sell

685

0.77

FIRST GROUP

155.60

155.60

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

577

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

979.00

540.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

405

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1549.00

1086.00

1588.00

Neutral

Buy

1896

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

216.00

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

257

1.35
1.41

NORTHGATE

334.50

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

629

STAGECOACH GROUP

315.30

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

371

0.89

55.00

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-43

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

393.10

306.30

393.10

Neutral

Buy

535

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

847.50

641.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

946

0.50

PENNON GROUP

719.50

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

878

0.59

SSE

1646.00

1294.00

1646.00

Neutral

Buy

1925

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

2051.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1723

0.35

784.50

617.50

784.50

Neutral

Neutral

767

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

21 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

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