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24 May 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Over Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Over Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Over Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Over Valued .......................................................... 13


Over Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

415.20

270.90

427.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
594

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

286.10

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

361

0.66

COBHAM

282.00

190.10

287.20

Neutral

Buy

313

0.82

MEGGITT

522.00

364.30

532.50

Neutral

Sell

449

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1190.00

780.75

1225.00

Neutral

Neutral

1182

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1335.00

979.50

1370.00

Neutral

Sell

1142

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1810.00

1424.00

1843.00

Neutral

Sell

1679

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

299.20

173.60

311.90

Neutral

Neutral

286

2.02

INCHCAPE

548.50

305.20

577.50

Neutral

Neutral

542

1.48

LOOKERS

106.25

56.50

110.00

Neutral

Neutral

115

1.23

25.00

13.50

26.50

Neutral

Buy

37

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

321.45

150.55

333.85

Neutral

Sell

-797

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

741.80

503.20

769.90

Neutral

Buy

928

1.17

60.62

25.29

62.96

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

337.20

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-136

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1539.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3185

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

570.50

348.00

588.50

Neutral

Neutral

605

0.55

DIAGEO

2013.00

1498.00

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1794

0.55

SABMILLER

3462.00

2348.50

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

3977

0.95

BARR (AG)

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

323.70

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

645

1.23

CARCLO

368.00

356.00

503.00

Neutral

Neutral

387

0.73

2538.00

2125.00

2841.00

Neutral

Sell

2096

1.04

241.60

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

344

0.99

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2637.00

2080.27

2696.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

11550

1.45

VICTREX

1639.00

1185.00

1736.00

Neutral

Sell

1455

1.14

SYNTHOMER

192.50

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Neutral

208

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

198.50

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

370

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

93.00

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

245

0.51

BALFOUR BEATTY

236.20

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

939

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

330.70

114.00

346.30

Neutral

Buy

448

1.58

BELLWAY

1301.00

660.00

1377.00

Neutral

Buy

1826

1.15

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2157.00

1190.00

2207.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3295

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

183.75

115.50

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

339

0.83

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

755.00

399.30

778.50

Neutral

Sell

544

1.20

CARILLION

251.20

235.50

331.80

Buy

Strong Buy

747

1.12

CLARKE (T)

53.50

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

253

0.82

271.25

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

551

0.57

1399.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

842

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

970.00

579.00

999.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1602

1.01

KELLER

969.00

348.25

978.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2043

1.26

1241.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3215

0.97

65.00

49.75

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

211

1.07
1.39

COSTAIN GROUP
CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR

Target

Beta

MARSHALLS

139.00

76.00

139.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

279

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

557.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3231

0.87

15.63

9.25

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

32

1.15

NORCROS

1233.00

496.69

1272.00

Neutral

Buy

1385

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

228.80

107.30

238.10

Neutral

Buy

276

1.09

SIG

173.40

82.30

174.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

497

1.79

2.00

1.88

14.50

Sell

Strong Buy

50

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

99.55

40.28

103.00

Neutral

Buy

123

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

TAYLOR WIMPEY

1582.00

906.50

1604.00

Sell

Strong Buy

2473

2.01

WOLSELEY

3346.00

2121.32

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5384

1.46

Over Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1320.00

972.00

1365.00

Neutral

Sell

826

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

670.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

906

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

125.00

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

266

1.29

INVENSYS

390.60

198.90

402.70

Neutral

Sell

370

1.41

LAIRD

208.40

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Sell

77

2.13

DIALIGHT

Target

Beta

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1589.00

1120.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1265

1.00

RENISHAW

1732.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2535

1.26

SPECTRIS

2068.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2383

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.14

Neutral

Strong Buy

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

173.00

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

440

1.58

XAAR

630.00

185.00

695.00

Neutral

Sell

252

1.11

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

82.00

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

108

1.28

BODYCOTE

554.50

310.30

560.50

Neutral

Neutral

532

1.60

CASTINGS

337.50

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

724

0.99

VESUVIUS

370.10

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Buy

530

2.20

FENNER

345.80

329.30

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

575

1.42

HALMA

529.00

375.00

538.50

Neutral

Sell

408

0.75

HILL & SMITH

456.75

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

351

1.37

1325.00

776.00

1359.00

Neutral

Neutral

1411

1.41

290.00

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

558

1.82

2828.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2230

1.00

273.50

177.00

280.80

Neutral

Sell

220

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

44.50

35.40

91.10

Neutral

Sell

33

SPIRAX-SARCO

2804.00

1900.00

2865.00

Neutral

Sell

2357

0.84

VITEC GROUP

601.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Neutral

628

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2320.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2108

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

412.00

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

710

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

281.30

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Sell

180

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

382.30

283.50

396.50

Neutral

Sell

198

0.57

TESCO

383.30

297.05

387.75

Neutral

Sell

263

0.68

96.13

18.88

100.50

Sell

Sell

69

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1940.00

1167.00

2031.00

Neutral

Buy

2165

0.62

CRANSWICK

1100.00

732.50

1115.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2139

0.43

DAIRY CREST

470.00

312.70

480.70

Neutral

Neutral

516

0.94

DEVRO

336.60

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

530

0.32

72.50

54.50

125.75

Neutral

Sell

-183

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

871.00

633.50

874.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1597

0.71

2866.00

2013.00

2885.00

Neutral

Neutral

2832

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.25

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

36

0.69

460.40

224.40

465.60

Neutral

Sell

393

0.54

1522.00

1000.00

1541.00

Neutral

Sell

1059

1.27

644.00

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

302

0.95

42.25

12.67

42.90

Neutral

Neutral

43

1.51

153.00

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

59

1.13

31.00

19.50

34.00

Sell

Strong Buy

110

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

333.30

189.00

405.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

542

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

880.00

606.50

900.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1630

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

67.00

38.00

72.50

Neutral

Buy

99

1.25

KINGFISHER

327.40

254.10

335.50

Neutral

Buy

421

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

472.10

312.20

475.20

Sell

Buy

560

0.65

55.50

42.75

71.00

Neutral

Buy

64

1.04

355.00

189.25

364.00

Neutral

Buy

406

0.47

NEXT

4691.00

2976.00

4749.00

Sell

Sell

4023

0.67

TED BAKER

1468.00

840.00

1470.00

Sell

Sell

709

0.55

65.25

32.13

70.00

Neutral

Sell

54

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

141.00

126.50

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
115

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

774.50

584.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

567

0.39

OPTOS

132.25

122.25

222.75

Neutral

Buy

159

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

785.00

590.50

794.50

Neutral

Sell

708

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

722.50

557.00

742.00

Neutral

Neutral

704

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

372.50

263.00

372.50

Neutral

Sell

315

0.92

79.50

55.25

90.00

Neutral

Buy

111

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

995.00

469.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

542

0.74

CSR

550.00

200.30

570.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1276

1.18

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

61.50

25.00

83.25

Neutral

Sell

47

0.90

350.00

296.00

624.00

Neutral

Buy

509

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

134.40

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

677

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

221.50

170.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-481

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1286.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Neutral

1236

0.53

AMLIN

421.20

312.90

435.10

Neutral

Sell

59

0.46

BEAZLEY

235.00

132.50

240.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1297

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

533.00

399.00

552.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2041

0.30

HISCOX

573.50

386.10

600.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2585

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

898.00

671.00

914.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1727

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

114.20

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

935

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

494.75

345.00

500.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2904

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2233.00

2061.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4224

1.01

ENTERPRISE INNS

117.40

55.50

123.80

Neutral

Neutral

118

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

362.60

158.00

373.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

813

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

820.00

700.00

820.00

Neutral

Sell

712

0.39

GREENE KING

780.00

478.20

789.50

Neutral

Sell

688

0.93

LADBROKES

209.40

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

264

0.93

1918.00

1407.64

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1539

1.18

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

551.00

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

679

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

395.20

217.40

408.50

Sell

Sell

336

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

133.90

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

45

1.25

11.25

5.61

13.12

Neutral

Strong Buy

55

1.27

152.50

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

526

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

531.00

279.90

531.00

Neutral

Sell

338

WETHERSPOON (JD)

646.50

385.00

661.50

Neutral

Buy

778

0.69

WHITBREAD

2855.00

1821.00

2887.00

Sell

Sell

2090

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

445.30

246.35

452.80

Neutral

Sell

269

0.87

MARSTON'S

152.50

94.70

154.70

Neutral

Sell

21

1.21

Over Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

329.50

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

707

1.25

CHESNARA

255.25

155.25

270.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

398

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

182.60

106.00

187.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

358

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

214.90

138.70

221.60

Neutral

Neutral

208

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1158.00

660.00

1203.00

Neutral

Sell

1027

1.71

573.00

303.40

640.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1527

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

121.00

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-618

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

791.50

656.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1837

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA

Target

Beta

33.00

28.50

60.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

164

1.03

DAILY MAIL 'A'

766.00

363.50

768.00

Sell

Strong Buy

4341

1.14

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

921.00

693.50

1030.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8087

1.00

INFORMA

522.50

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-78

1.53

ITE GROUP

296.00

180.00

299.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

260

1.45

ITV

132.40

69.45

134.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

1341

1.54

17.75

4.88

19.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

824

1.27

1217.00

1119.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

338

0.63

78.50

36.25

84.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2779

0.79

272.50

265.00

377.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

929

0.16

36.10

26.85

36.21

Neutral

Sell

-615

0.50

STV GROUP

136.50

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

281

0.79

ST.IVES

161.50

67.50

166.50

Neutral

Sell

239

1.50

TRINITY MIRROR

108.25

25.50

121.25

Neutral

Sell

-273

1.59

UBM

731.00

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1816

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP

160.00

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1433

WPP

1162.00

743.00

1178.00

Neutral

Sell

-529

1.35

HIBU

0.40

0.26

2.18

Neutral

Strong Buy

856

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1570.00

1544.00

2215.00

Neutral

Sell

1180

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

225.50

215.00

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

229

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

958.00

884.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

853

1.41

1942.50

1694.50

2236.00

Neutral

Buy

2876

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

336.90

293.55

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

976

#NA

LONMIN

270.00

240.84

421.26

Neutral

Buy

348

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

5030.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2981

0.34

RIO TINTO

2913.00

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2311

1.50

3.38

13.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

166

0.89

832.50

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2087

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1286.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1216.50

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Neutral

1248

0.80

BP

477.50

394.90

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1574

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

281.30

248.20

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-22

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

7.90

7.66

12.50

Buy

Strong Buy

14

0.82

868.00

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

452

1.31
1.36

56.00

55.00

120.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

303

365.30

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Sell

288

1.43

2312.50

2059.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

9505

0.84

392.70

270.30

404.30

Neutral

Sell

249

0.53

1038.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

911

1.04

838.00

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Neutral

809

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

108.25

101.20

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

244

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

379.70

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

312

0.69

4869.00

3300.00

4926.00

Neutral

Neutral

4903

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Target

Over Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.41

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

1.01

3426.50

2592.00

3485.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6672

0.47

BTG

339.50

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

172

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

711.50

468.75

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

739

0.25

1742.00

1317.50

1773.00

Neutral

Sell

1608

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

2.30

1.55

3.15

Buy

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM SUSP - 21/05/13

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2134.00

1727.00

2155.00

Neutral

Sell

1395

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

49.13

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

-136

0.73

VERNALIS

22.50

21.63

27.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

37

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

405.90

274.50

426.70

Neutral

Sell

-618

1.18

BRITISH LAND

632.00

475.40

658.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1837

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

36.25

22.75

37.00

Sell

Strong Buy

164

0.85

980.00

595.00

995.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4341

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2449.00

1740.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8087

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

186.50

121.75

192.00

Neutral

Sell

-78

0.99

GRAINGER

155.60

83.10

156.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

260

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

566.00

367.80

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1341

1.10

HAMMERSON

521.50

409.20

554.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

824

1.19

HELICAL BAR

272.00

164.00

297.50

Neutral

Buy

338

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

967.00

704.00

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2779

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

345.80

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

929

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

150.12

127.00

153.00

Neutral

Sell

-615

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

399.00

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

281

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

324.00

311.17

363.53

Neutral

Sell

239

0.35

74.00

32.50

79.25

Sell

Sell

-273

1.19

SAVILLS

575.00

303.00

601.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1816

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

642.00

492.00

668.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1433

1.05

SEGRO

288.70

209.40

302.80

Neutral

Sell

-529

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

299.10

145.50

329.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

856

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

216.50

147.00

223.00

Neutral

Sell

-9

1.01

UNITE GROUP

370.90

180.75

387.50

Neutral

Sell

52

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.41

1.00

2.75

Sell

Sell

-1213

1.03

415.00

215.50

415.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1391

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

126.00

112.25

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

125

0.73

2303.00

1481.00

2324.00

Neutral

Sell

1345

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

442.10

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1379

1.00

KOFAX

326.00

242.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

329

1.11

27.25

18.25

27.50

Sell

Sell

25

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

699.00

431.48

710.00

Neutral

Buy

1011

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

150.00

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

317

0.74

74.00

68.00

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-95

0.52

1924.00

1275.00

2047.00

Neutral

Buy

2126

0.76

364.20

247.70

368.10

Neutral

Buy

427

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Over Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

475.00

237.30

484.10

Neutral

Sell

152

BREWIN DOLPHIN

211.80

136.30

222.00

Neutral

Sell

123

0.73

9825.50

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Neutral

9408

0.84

CAMELLIA

Target

Beta
1.09

CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

388.50

247.50

406.25

Neutral

Sell

207

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

175.00

141.00

190.00

Neutral

Sell

136

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1090.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Sell

238

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

95.50

70.00

110.40

Neutral

Neutral

103

0.89

3.30

0.55

3.70

Sell

Strong Buy

25

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

173.70

90.55

180.40

Neutral

Sell

66

1.44

ICAP

346.50

280.80

376.60

Neutral

Sell

240

1.07
1.70

HELPHIRE GROUP

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

488.00

241.10

501.50

Neutral

Sell

179

INVESTEC

493.70

325.90

513.50

Neutral

Sell

133

1.56

1398.00

930.00

1426.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4355

1.15

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

124.90

63.25

134.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

486

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1525.00

1183.00

1557.00

Neutral

Sell

1125

0.75

SCHRODERS

2449.00

1180.00

2560.00

Neutral

Sell

1215

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1906.00

966.00

2000.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3859

1.27

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Over Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

223.50

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Buy

301

0.92

AGGREKO

1758.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Sell

1335

1.05

AMEC

1056.00

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Neutral

1162

1.04

639.50

212.20

671.00

Neutral

Sell

329

1.63

1154.00

839.50

1182.00

Neutral

Sell

684

0.48

560.00

324.00

580.25

Neutral

Buy

819

0.76

1309.00

999.50

1342.00

Neutral

Sell

1010

0.55

510.00

214.00

510.00

Neutral

Sell

454

0.39

1007.00

605.50

1018.00

Neutral

Sell

539

0.51

54.25

25.34

56.50

Neutral

Buy

70

0.78
0.74

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
CAPITA
COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

COMPASS GROUP

893.00

622.00

910.50

Neutral

Sell

623

BERENDSEN

762.00

462.00

812.00

Neutral

Buy

1011

1.05

DE LA RUE

986.00

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Sell

622

#NA

DIGNITY

1370.00

803.50

1462.00

Neutral

Sell

818

0.22

DIPLOMA

573.00

417.10

627.50

Neutral

Sell

500

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

265.50

195.20

278.40

Neutral

Buy

331

1.04

FILTRONA

730.00

428.00

750.00

Neutral

Sell

358

1.13

G4S

245.40

240.00

313.50

Neutral

Buy

302

0.58

93.30

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Buy

124

1.10

HOMESERVE

256.00

137.50

256.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

503

0.94

INTERSERVE

488.90

277.60

513.50

Neutral

Buy

705

1.28

3216.00

2551.00

3453.00

Neutral

Sell

1488

0.78

47.25

26.50

47.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

98

1.17
0.72

HAYS

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

30.38

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

57

MENZIES (JOHN)

737.00

542.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1310

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

380.10

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Sell

327

1.42

MITIE GROUP

261.70

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Buy

353

0.55

86.00

86.00

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

246

0.33

PAYPOINT

914.50

606.00

914.50

Neutral

Sell

710

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

224.10

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Buy

292

1.33

REGUS

164.20

82.65

177.50

Neutral

Sell

110

1.46

92.75

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Sell

56

1.25

OFFICE2OFFICE

RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM

526.00

394.28

547.50

Neutral

Neutral

548

0.90

RICARDO

404.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Buy

485

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

213.63

176.25

232.00

Neutral

Buy

318

1.24

RPC GROUP

401.80

365.40

477.00

Neutral

Buy

551

0.78

RPS GROUP

222.70

197.00

274.20

Neutral

Buy

256

1.51

SERCO GROUP

627.50

516.50

647.50

Neutral

Neutral

597

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

85.25

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

174

1.46

SPEEDY HIRE

58.25

22.25

61.50

Neutral

Sell

54

1.26

165.50

78.75

166.00

Neutral

Sell

53

0.63

57.88

39.50

59.25

Neutral

Neutral

64

0.93

343.50

237.00

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

642

0.86

80.38

42.00

80.38

Sell

Strong Buy

187

0.79

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

314.10

200.70

322.30

Neutral

Buy

353

42.71

27.28

45.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

84

0.70

672.50

397.00

749.00

Neutral

Sell

606

0.53

Beta
0.91

86.70

67.00

88.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

135

1.24

1250.00

703.00

1285.00

Neutral

Sell

770

0.09

193.55

154.45

199.90

Neutral

Sell

173

0.54

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

286.50

178.00

288.40

Sell

Sell

Target
177

Beta
1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

417.50

309.50

428.00

Neutral

Neutral

454

0.98

CLARKSON

1600.00

1150.00

1673.00

Neutral

Sell

1479

0.80

EASYJET

1266.00

484.90

1285.00

Neutral

Sell

676

0.77

FIRST GROUP

134.60

134.60

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

566

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

970.00

540.50

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

398

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1538.00

1086.00

1588.00

Neutral

Buy

1862

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

210.00

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

253

1.35
1.41

NORTHGATE

325.75

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

622

STAGECOACH GROUP

308.90

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

363

0.89

58.25

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-41

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

391.50

306.30

394.90

Neutral

Buy

530

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

829.50

641.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

937

0.50

PENNON GROUP

704.00

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

869

0.59

SSE

1624.00

1294.00

1676.00

Neutral

Buy

1909

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

2042.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1706

0.35

787.50

637.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

759

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

24 May 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

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