Final Report
Report for the Environment Agency Ricardo-AEA/R/ED58446 Final Report Date 19/04/2013
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Contact: Luca Petrarulo Ricardo-AEA Ltd Gemini Building, Harwell, Didcot, OX11 0QR t: 0870 190 2543 e: luca.petrarulo@ricardo-aea.com Ricardo-AEA is certificated to ISO9001 and ISO14001
Author: Luca Petrarulo Richard Smithers Raphael Sibille Approved By: Lisa Horrocks Date: 19 April 2013 Signed:
Executive summary
The Environment Agency Climate Ready service provides authoritative advice and information to help a diverse range of organisations in the public and private sector to adapt to a changing climate. A similar role was previously delivered by the UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) and some of the core UKCIP resources are being transferred into the Climate Ready website. However, the UK adaptation landscape also includes multiple other products from a very wide range of providers, in addition to UKCIP: many of these resources have the potential to support the Climate Ready audience at different stages of their adaptation journey. This project aimed to review advice, guidance, tools and resources currently available to users in the UK, and to offer recommendations to Climate Ready on their future provision of generic adaptation resources, and also the specific needs within two of the Climate Ready themes, Agriculture and Forestry, and Business and Services. The project began by researching and assessing generic adaptation tools and guidance to map out the landscape and identify gaps in current provision. We developed an assessment framework that could then be replicated for reviews in individual sectors or themes. Some limited stakeholder engagement with potential Climate Ready users in the Agriculture and Forestry and Business and Services helped to build the picture of their engagement in adaptation and their needs and preferences for support tools and guidance from the Climate Ready service. Sector-specific reviews informed by the responses of the interviews were used to map the tools landscape available within these themes. The outcomes of the project were presented and discussed at a final workshop with Environment Agency staff and selected others, and this included broader debate around the nature of the Climate Ready target audience and the options for signposting users to the most appropriate support. While the suite of UKCIP tools1 that forms the basis of the Climate Ready service offers fairly comprehensive generic support, there are gaps in the first two stages of the adaptation cycle, namely in raising awareness, identifying impacts and quantifying risks. We identified a small selected portfolio of third party adaptation resources which can adequately complete the coverage of the adaptation cycle, as shown in the resources map below.
We considered Adaptation Wizard, AdOpt and AdaptME as generic tools, and covered BACLIAT, SpeedBACLIAT, and SWIMS/LCLIP within the Business and Services themed review.
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The appropriate balance between generic and sector-specific resources seems to be different for Climate Ready different themes, as a consequence of both the structure of each sector and the level of adaptation understanding already present among users. Overall, we suggest that there will be an ongoing place for a core set of generic resources to be maintained and offered by Climate Ready. These resources can act as a starting point for any user, and provide demonstration of core concepts and principles, as well as a tried and trusted framework and evidence base. However, Climate Ready will also likely increase its signposting and/or support of selected sector-specific resources and third party organisations to meet the distinctive needs of each sector / theme appropriately. Existing advice provision to the agriculture sector is extensive, but its structure is complex with more than 80 schemes and over 40 helplines available from industry and government. These schemes provide information and guidance on a wide array of topics, but available tools are only indirectly related to adaptation. The agriculture sector is not explicitly addressed within the current suite of UKCIP products, apart from a few mentions in BACLIAT and Speed BACLIAT. The review of external resources confirmed a number of gaps in the provision of adaptation guidance and highlighted a need for further work both to develop the content of good practice advice and guidance on agriculture adaptation, and to integrate this in efficient and effective ways within the current landscape of advice provision to this sector. Future effort by Climate Ready in the development of adaptation resources for agriculture could focus on raising awareness of the connection between climate change impacts and UK agriculture; providing practical and actionable examples in specific farm sub-sectors of measures that can increase farmers resilience to climate change, while also meeting other farm business objectives; mainstreaming adaptation along the supply chain to linked industry actors, e.g. chemicals, seeds, food processors, machineries, etc. Farmers have an overwhelming preference for sector-specific support provided mainly through trusted third party farming advisors and associations. The Climate Ready service should also look to disseminate adaptation support to the agriculture sector via such existing networks. Most of the key adaptation tools already provided to the forestry sector are hosted by the Forestry Commissions website. Available resources range from general advice to very specific guidance and support, and there is coverage, to a greater or lesser extent, across the entire adaptation cycle. Foresters invariably look within their sector for advice, although external support can be helpful for the broader context. The most effective role for Climate Ready within this sector might therefore be to collaborate with Forest Research and the Forestry Commission to strengthen current tools, fill gaps and disseminate adaptation resources. Climate Ready would have an important role to help integrate advice on forestry with that for other sectors (e.g., agriculture, energy and water management), particularly in relation to the delivery of ecosystem services. For the business and services sectors, the UKCIP tools (BACLIAT and SpeedBACLIAT) provide a thorough and accessible support to the middle portion of the adaptation cycle. However, these focus on identifying and implementing actions, rather than raising awareness or winning the interest of senior management on adaptation. This is a serious gap in the present offer given that a key barrier to action in this sector is still around how to gain the necessary consensus within companies to address adaptation. Multiple third party resources provide some high level coverage across the whole adaptation process: it may be helpful for Climate Ready to supplement the Adaptation Wizard by signposting business users to some of these products that are more closely aligned with business language and drivers. In general, the sector would welcome further support from the Climate Ready service, across the entire adaptation cycle. Climate Ready is envisaged as a hub of adaptation guidance for the business and services sector, where own and selected third party resources are provided in a rational and business-friendly manner, so that users are able to find relevant and trusted tools. In addressing gaps in the support offered to this sector, raising awareness and measures to build support within senior management should have immediate priority;
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provision of tools and guidance suitable across the sector should then be followed by resources targeting specific business sub-sectors. Signposting to third party adaptation products appears to be inevitable in order to meet the needs of Climate Readys varied mix of users and to make use of the large number of existing resources covering different aspects of adaptation. The right balance between Climate Ready and third party provision of tools, as well as the strategic approach to the dissemination and delivery of tools and guidance, appears to be different for each sector. Similarly, each theme is likely to require a different balance between generic and sectorspecific tools within the Climate Ready offer. The project explored a number of options for smart signposting solutions: further development of these ideas will be undertaken by a newly-established Climate Ready Tools and Guidance steering group. There are a number of additional considerations if the Climate Ready website will host or signpost third party products. External resources will help Climate Ready to reach a wider audience and provide support on a wider range of topics and challenges. However, there is a danger that users may be confused by a large number of products on offer, and it would be difficult for Climate Ready to ensure that external products are maintained and updated. Moreover, the lack of control over the quality of third party resources could raise reputational risks for the Environment Agency. In future, and in the context of digital convergence to the GOV.UK portal, it may be worth reviewing a range of other portals and approaches in other countries or regions to inform the development of the Climate Ready service.
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Table of contents
1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Background ........................................................................................................ 1 1.2 Objectives .......................................................................................................... 1 1.3 Approach ........................................................................................................... 2 Generic adaptation tools and guidance .................................................................... 3 2.1 Approach to the review ...................................................................................... 3 2.2 Summary of findings .......................................................................................... 4 2.3 Smart Signposting ............................................................................................ 6 User needs for sector-specific guidance .................................................................. 8 3.1 Agriculture .......................................................................................................... 8 3.1.1 Main Vulnerabilities .................................................................................... 8 3.1.2 Sectoral Trends in Adapting to Climate Change ......................................... 8 3.1.3 Current Support on Adaptation ................................................................... 9 3.2 Forestry.............................................................................................................10 3.2.1 Main vulnerabilities....................................................................................10 3.2.2 Sectoral trends in adapting to climate change ...........................................11 3.2.3 Current support on adaptation ...................................................................12 3.3 Business and Services ......................................................................................12 3.3.1 Main Vulnerabilities and Support Needs....................................................13 3.3.2 Progress in Adapting to Climate Change ...................................................13 3.3.3 Current Support on Adaptation ..................................................................14 Tools and guidance for agriculture and forestry ....................................................16 4.1 Agriculture .........................................................................................................16 4.2 Forestry.............................................................................................................18 Tools and guidance for business and services ......................................................21 Conclusions and recommendations ........................................................................27 6.1 General support ................................................................................................27 6.2 Agriculture .........................................................................................................28 6.3 Forestry.............................................................................................................29 6.4 Business and Services ......................................................................................29 6.5 Cross-cutting issues ..........................................................................................29 6.5.1 Replicability in other Climate Ready themes .............................................29 6.5.2 Balance of generic and sector-specific resources .....................................30
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Appendices Appendix 1 Appendix 2 Appendix 3 Appendix 4 Appendix 5 Appendix 6 Appendix 7 Task 1 Generic Tools Review Task 2 User Needs Report Task 3 Agriculture Tools Review Task 3 Forestry Tools Review Task 4 Business and Services Tools Review Task 5 Final Workshop Report Presentation of Ideas for Smart Signposting
1 Introduction
1.1 Background
This document is the Final Report of the project Reviewing and signposting generic climate change adaptation guidance2 and sector specific adaptation guidance for the Agriculture and Forestry and Business and Services themes. The project aimed to support the Environment Agency in its role within the Governments national programme for adaptation, Climate Ready. The Environment Agency Climate Ready service provides authoritative advice and information to help a diverse range of organisations in the public and private sector to adapt to a changing climate. Climate Ready has a strong partnership approach and the support services are arranged into seven themes, based on the national Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA). When the Environment Agency first took on this role (previously delivered by the UK Climate Impacts Programme, UKCIP, to some extent), a set of UKCIP resources were made available through UKCIP to form Climate Ready's core tools and guidance offer. However, the UK adaptation landscape is much wider, and includes multiple resources from a very wide range of providers in addition to UKCIP: many of these resources have the potential to offer some support to the Climate Ready audience at different stages of their adaptation journey. As a result, there was a need for strong recommendations to shape the Climate Ready offering in terms of 1) where are there gaps in the current support and what products should be offered; 2) how much of this can or should be based on UKCIP; 3) where is there a need for other products; 4) how guidance and products should be delivered most effectively to users. The interim working arrangement has been that the UKCIP Adaptation Wizard, BACLIAT, Adopt, AdaptME, CLARA and LCLIP products will become an integral part of the Climate Ready provision, although their presentation may change as they are converted into Environment Agency web-ready tools. This study, therefore, set out to identify and other publicly available advice, guidance, tools and resources and to offer recommendations on generic provision to users of the Climate Ready support service. It then looked to address sector-based provision by applying a similar review approach to make recommendations for two specific sectors: Agriculture and Forestry, and Business and Services. In due course, this approach might be applied to other Climate Ready sectors, based on demand for bespoke theme or sector-specific adaptation journeys.
1.2 Objectives
The objectives for the project were: 1. Provide a strategic assessment on how the provisional tools portfolio offered by Climate Ready would support their users adaptation process. 2. Provide more clarity on where there are gaps in Climate Readys support provision and how these might best be addressed, particularly through the introduction of thirdparty-owned tools. 3. Suggest solutions for mechanisms for supplying or signposting these to target audiences.
The adaptation resources considered by the project came in many different forms, from articles in prose to macro-enabled spreadsheets. However, the majority of the products covered were aiming to support specific activities linked to adaptation and therefore, for practical reasons, this report often refers to the entire range of adaptation guidance as tools.
4. Develop a strategic framework or recommendations to help the Agency know how to deal with new tools and guidance which may appear in the future or that target other Climate Ready Themes not covered by the project. 5. Provide a strategic view on the balance between generic and sector-specific tools in the Climate Ready offering.
1.3 Approach
The project was carried out as five tasks, shown in Figure 1.
In Task 1, we focused on researching and assessing generic adaptation tools. The Team also sought to develop an assessment framework that could then be replicated for the reviews in Agriculture and Forestry, Business and Services, and potentially in any other Climate Ready Theme. The framework comprised the following activities in sequence: Horizon scanning for tools and guidance Production of a long-list of tools Preliminary check to produce a short-list Agreement of the short-list of tools with the Environment Agency Detailed review of shortlisted tools Mapping of tools against the adaptation stages and sectors covered Recommendations
The aim of Task 2 was to gain a better picture of the level of involvement in adaptation of potential Climate Ready users in the Agriculture and Forestry and Business and Services sectors. By means of telephone interviews, we explored: a) b) c) d) the specific needs of the sectors in terms of support to adaptation; where are organisations going to look for guidance; what kind of adaptation products are they using; whether users are in need of sector-specific tools or not.
18 stakeholders were interviewed and the responses of the interviews were used to inform the approach to the sector-specific reviews undertaken under Tasks 3 and 4. As explained in the sections which follow, we took slightly different approaches as appropriate to the different sectoral landscapes to develop recommendations for Climate Ready. To conclude the project, a Final Workshop attended by staff of the Environment Agency and other related organisations was held. The purpose of the workshop was to present the outcomes of the project and to use the findings to inspire useful discussion on how to develop the Climate Ready offering of tools and guidance in future.
The products on the approved short-list were reviewed in more detail. Following discussion with the Environment Agency, the team agreed to omit UKCP09 as it is currently the subject of more detailed market research. Ultimately, we decided to include five key UKCIP products
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Commercial (paid for) products were omitted from the detailed review. The European Climate Adaptation Platform, at http://climate-adapt.eea.europa.eu/
selected by the Climate Ready team in order to draw conclusions and recommendations on gaps. The result of the detailed review was the production of qualitative assessment tables for each UKCIP and non-UKCIP tool, and a Tools Map which placed the reviewed products against their target user group and coverage of the adaptation cycle (see Figure 2). The adaptation cycle was considered as five stages, based on the UKCIP Adaptation Wizard: 1. Raising awareness/defining objectives 2. Identifying impacts and quantifying risks 3. Identifying, assessing and implementing adaptation options 4. Monitoring and review 5. Overview of the whole adaptation process
make users aware of overlaps and select the most appropriate product for their situation.
Table 1. Assessment of generic adaptation tools Adaptation Product Climate Adaptation Tool (Norfolk County Council) Could it prove superior to or complement the existing suite of Climate Ready resources? Yes. It provides a one-stop generic resource for organisations to implement the core part of the adaptation cycle. Within the analysed UKCIP portfolio, the closest Tool to the CAT is the Speed BACLIAT. The latter, however, is narrower in scope as it targets businesses. The CAT fills a gap as a more generic tool to address the central part of the adaptation cycle. Yes. There is currently a lack of case study material contained within the existing suite of Climate Ready resources therefore the GRaBS case studies are likely to prove informative and insightful for Climate Ready users, particularly because they discuss lessons learned and factors influencing the success of the development and implementation of adaptation responses. Yes. This Toolkit completes the range of UKCIP products analysed by providing users with a portfolio of instruments to communicate the business case for climate adaptation in organisations effectively, and starting with a vulnerability assessment. However, it partially overlaps the LCLIP exercise and this should be taken into consideration if and when adopted by Climate Ready. Nevertheless, this Toolkit brings the user one step further along in the adaptation cycle than LCLIP, and this could prove to be an advantage over the latter. Yes. The existing suite of Climate Ready resources does not contain a product specifically relating to communications, and so this toolkit is likely to be of interest and relevance to Climate Readys users. It offers a detailed resource to enable engagement with senior management and stakeholders on the subject of climate change adaptation. Yes. Climate-ADAPT could prove complementary to the existing suite of Climate Ready resources. It provides a whole host of guidance, tools and case studies on adaptation in Europe (observations and scenarios, vulnerability measures, options, etc.) and is relevant at the sectoral level, Member State level, including trans-regional and cities. Although the platforms Adaptation Support Tool is less sophisticated than the Adaptation Wizard, the way in which the tools section of the portal is built offers some interesting solutions on how to smartly signpost different kinds of audience to appropriate adaptation guidance. Yes. This product is highly complementary to other Climate Ready resources. It allows users to understand in more detail the form and function of their organisation, and therefore to play to its strengths and overcome barriers when
Adaptation to climate change using green and blue infrastructure: A database of case studies (University of Manchester)
Preparing for a Changing Climate Part 1: Starting and Part 2: Investigating (Welsh Government)
Alexander Ballard Ltd (2008) Adaptive Capacity Benchmarking Handbook and Toolkit. Project carried
out for Hampshire County Council on behalf of the ESPACE (European Spatial Planning: Adapting to Climate Events)
developing an adaptation strategy. In theory this should save organisations time and money by ensuring they are on the correct path and it should give users confidence to take forward their adaptation campaign. However, this toolkit has largely been superseded by the commercial PACT5 product.
We offer two recommendations for next steps: Climate Ready should continue to develop its own core set of products to provide the basic support to users in the early stages of the adaptation cycle, while the offer on Climate Ready website should rely increasingly on supplementary/external products to meet the specific needs of users at further stages. Climate Ready should identify authoritative providers of sectoral adaptation guidance to work in partnership with in order to closely develop and control sectoral guidance.
An additional advantage of such a search or filter approach is that it would provide users with differing amounts of knowledge and available time with a differentiated point of entrance to the adaptation journey. However, some further issues were also identified: The signposting approach used on Climate-ADAPT works well for a large number of products, while Climate Ready is likely to have a much smaller number from which to select. The Climate-ADAPT approach can leave too many options open to the user, and cannot effectively guide/accompany the user to the right products. There is a different audience for tools and information: information should target users who want to understand the implication of climate change for their organisation, whereas tools should provide practical support to those at a more advanced stage of the journey. The filter would be more useful for tools than for information. An alternative approach to differentiating the support offer for different users could be to develop guidance for users who have: 10 minutes (e.g. information about what is
The Performance Acceleration through Capacity-building Tool (PACT) was developed by Hampshire County Council and Alexander Ballard Ltd.
adaptation); 1 hour (e.g. info about what does climate change mean for him); 1 day (e.g. tools to work on adaptation, like BACLIAT). A peer-to-peer approach could also be developed, with organisations which have worked on adaptation and used Climate Ready tools providing testimonials about aspects of the Climate Ready service; these could then be presented to other similar organisations.
There are a number of additional considerations if the Climate Ready website will host third party products, or signpost users to third party products hosted elsewhere. In general, recognition of external resources will help Climate Ready to reach a wider audience and provide support on a wider range of topics and challenges. However, there is a danger that users may be confused by a large number of products on offer by Climate Ready, and it would be difficult for Climate Ready to ensure that any external products are maintained and updated. Moreover, the lack of control over the quality of third party resources could raise reputational risks for the Environment Agency (Climate Ready service). Further development of ideas for smart signposting solutions will be undertaken by a newly-established Climate Ready Tools and Guidance steering group.
3.1 Agriculture
3.1.1 Main Vulnerabilities
The principal vulnerability for the agriculture sector in the UK that emerged from the interviews is the increase in complexity of water management, due to projections of increasingly frequent and intense flooding and drought. This issue was recognised as the priority by a majority of interviewees and could affect arable, horticultural, and livestock sectors, though arable systems appear to be most vulnerable. Other vulnerabilities come from: Heat stress for livestock Disease and pests for both cropping and livestock Change in seasonal patterns
The consensus among interviewees was that farmers are very adaptable to short-term changing weather conditions because farm planning is primarily undertaken on an annual cycle. The short planning cycle also means that they are likely to be able to cope with gradual changes to climate trends. However, larger farm businesses are likely to invest in fixed assets and can have 15-20 year plans which are more likely to be vulnerable to climate change.
seeds or specific fertilisers and pesticides. Therefore, climate adaptation of the agriculture sector is reliant on mainstreaming adaptation into linked industry actors which can pass more resilient products to farmers. The distinction between big farming operations and small businesses seems, again, to be significant. Larger businesses were perceived by the interviewees as more able to undertake adaptation planning and are also more likely to be receptive to government advice and support with adaptation.
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3.2 Forestry
3.2.1 Main vulnerabilities
The forestry sector is not homogeneous; it includes organisations and individuals with a wide range of different perspectives and objectives. This means that whilst some foresters are planning ahead for climate change adaptation, particularly those who are already experiencing related impacts, e.g. Chalara (ash dieback), others question why there is a need to consider climate change now when markets will dictate adaptation. All interviewees highlighted the length of the forestry cycle, which spans many decades. It leads to a conservative mindset, as decisions have far-reaching consequences, and creates challenges quite unlike those in many other sectors. Woodland owners/managers are stuck with the trees, woods and forests that they inherit; it may be many decades before they can change species or management. It is challenging for climate change adaptation, leads to long-term vulnerabilities and inevitably means that there are many imponderables. Some interviewees noted that vulnerabilities arise from: The nature of the forest resource o Commercial plantations are even-aged, lack diversity, and are vulnerable to pests and diseases; o Semi-natural woods are fragmented due to past land-use change and the resource as a whole is predominantly at a similar stage of maturity; making it more vulnerable than if it was structurally diverse (not necessarily at a stand scale). Fragmented woodland ownership, which hampers coordinated action.
Pests and diseases are forefront of foresters minds currently, due to the recent arrival of Chalara, hot on the heels of Phytopthora in larch, sudden oak death and a number of other high profile diseases. All interviewees highlighted UK forestrys vulnerability to them in the face of climate change. It was noted that whilst the arrival of pests and diseases often results from free trade issues, they are exacerbated by climate change, and that pre-existing pests and diseases may also be favoured by climate change. Confor provided a long list of climate change impacts (agreed with the Institute of Chartered Foresters, UPM Tilhill, Woodland Trust and the Forestry Commission following a Ministerial meeting with Lord Taylor and Jim Paice MP on the 22 March 2012): Changing species suitability - particularly due to drought (in particular what can we grow in the dry east of the UK?); Loss of productivity and consequent impact on the UK forest industry; Changing planting windows; Impacts of heavy rain on forest infrastructure; Impacts of extreme weather, including wind; Increased prevalence of wildfire; Pests and diseases arguably the greatest threat both as trees become stressed and as conditions become amenable to new pests and diseases many now in Europe but not yet established in UK; Changing rotation length; Rising deer (and squirrel) populations; Risk of invasive species affecting woodland condition; Impacts on business - in offices, outside and in vehicles/harvesting machinery; Inability to maintain woodland SSSIs in good condition; Inability to maintain UK Woodland Assurance Standard certification; Inability to support implementation of UK Forest Standard; and
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Breaches to reservoirs.
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http://www.fsc-uk.org/ http://www.pefc.co.uk/
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Consequential benefits of additional drive for woodland creation (including flood alleviation, timber as a low carbon construction material and energy source, a new role for arboreta in global nature conservation).
Monitoring and review Interviewees made little mention of monitoring and review but it was noted that forests and actions are monitored on a reactive basis with regard to pests and diseases.
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Climate change adaptation is still perceived as a low priority on the agenda of most businesses12.
Adaptation stage
0 = No actions on adaptation yet 1 = Raising awareness/defining objectives 2 = Identifying impacts and quantifying risks 3 = Identifying, assessing and implementing adaptation options 4 = Monitoring and review
Most of organisations interviewed were still at the very early stages of acting on adaptation and cited reasons for their inaction as other higher-priority risks (mainly financial and
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This was the conclusion of a survey of a larger sample of UK companies (400 units) commissioned by the Environment Agency, which showed that national businesses are more concerned by economic and political factors, rather than climate change impact. Blue Marble 2012, Adapting to Climate Change: Quantitative Market Research.
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operational) that are higher in their agenda, or that climate change timescales are too long term. However, in other Environment Agency research, targeting a much larger sample, some different experiences have been identified. Figure 4 gives a snapshot of the business and services sectors position on the adaptation journey based on a self-assessment. This shows that 40% of companies state that they have already adequately planned and taken action against climate change risks. This result could be misleading since the qualitative research revealed that self-reported position on journey does not always match an objective assessment; the more informed people are the more they are aware of what action is required and therefore moderate their assessments. Furthermore, such a high figure could hide an incomplete understanding of adaptation, often confused with mitigation, which has been characterised by a high level of action in the sector for at least a decade. Finally, the sample included a majority of large organisations (62%), which generally are more aware of climate change (and other sustainability) issues than SMEs. Figure 4. Blue Marbles research Position on adaptation journey by sector
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Source: Blue Marble 2012, Adapting to Climate Change: Quantitative Market Research.
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Regarding preferences for generic or sector-specific tools, the sample interviewed was divided. Some thought that sector-specific resources would be based on a better understanding of the sectors problems, whereas others believed that a general overview linking adaptation and businesses at the UK level would be a better option, with the advantage of allowing learning from other sectors best practices. Ultimately, there was interest in both types of tools, starting with generic advice on business vulnerabilities to climate change and how to tackle them, followed by drilling down into sector-specific risks and adaptation options.
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While we have not been able to review each of these schemes and services individually, evidence from the interviews suggested that current services are likely to be supporting a wide-range of measures, some of which will address adaptation indirectly. However, limited direct support for climate change adaptation is currently provided. A number of industry bodies have developed decision-making tools, available free online, that can be used to identify, assess performance improvements (ie. nutrient and soil management) or monitoring pest and disease risk. None of these tools reviewed were directly related to adaptation. Given the paucity of directly related adaptation tools aimed at the agricultural sector, below is a list of the indirectly related tools that the project team reviewed: Farm Scoper: Downloadable spreadsheet-based decision-support tool that can be used to assess diffuse agricultural pollutant loads on a farm and quantify the impacts of farm mitigation methods on these pollutants. It also determines potential additional consequences of mitigation method implementation for biodiversity, water use and energy use. CropMonitor: Online pest and disease monitoring resource: Accessible website providing up to date spatial information on disease and pest risks. Users can sign up for free email alerts/twitter feed of developing disease and pest threats. Precision farming calculator: Online decision-support tool to help determine whether precision farming techniques might be suitable in a farmers individual context.
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Fight against blight: Online disease monitoring resource: Accessible website providing up to date spatial information on blight risks. Users can sign up for free email / SMS alerts if blight risks are identified in your area. Aphid monitoring in potato crops: Online pest monitoring resource: Accessible website providing up to date spatial information on the spread of aphids risks. Users can sign up for free email / SMS alerts. Planet (Planning Land Applications of Nutrients for Efficiency and the environment): Free downloadable nutrient management planning tool that can be used to produce recommendations for arable, horticultural or grassland crops in each field, each year, taking account of the crop nutrient requirement as well as the nutrients supplied from the soil, and applications of organic manures and manufactured fertilisers. Planet ENCASH: Nitrogen management tool that can be ordered on a CD-ROM for free. Can be used to estimate the nitrogen production in manure from pig and poultry depending on farming system and inputs. ENCASH can be used to calculate nitrogen production values for compliance with Nitrate Vulnerable Zone (NVZ) regulations in England, Wales and Scotland. Climate Resilience for Catchment Methods Guidance Tool: Free downloadable spreadsheet-based tool that can be used to consider whether land management measures that could be implemented as part of river basin management planning are resilient to climate change. Farming Futures Factsheets: Simple factsheets aimed at a range of sub-sectors including for livestock, pigs, beef and sheep , potatoes, peas and beans, beets, dairy, poultry, arable crops, horticulture, and orchards.
Figure 5 shows how the reviewed agriculture sector tools are distributed across the adaptation stages. Figure 5. Agriculture Resources Map
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Adaptation in the agriculture sector is not explicitly addressed within the current suite of UKCIP products, apart from a few sporadic mentions within BACLIAT and Speed BACLIAT. The review of external resources also identified clear gaps in the provision of advice on climate change adaptation. For instance, Farming Futures provides high-level guidance only, aimed primarily at raising awareness. This is still a priority for the sector but the lack of specific, practical and actionable advice is recognised as a key gap. The Farming Advice Service is capable of disseminating this support effectively, but is itself currently lacking the technical content of suitable advice packages. There is a need for further work both to develop the content of good practice advice and guidance on agriculture adaptation, and to integrate this in efficient and effective ways within the current landscape of advice provision to this sector.
4.2 Forestry
The project team identified all of the key adaptation tools already provided to foresters by forestry organisations (see Appendix 4). The majority of these were hosted by the Forestry Commissions website. The feedback from the interviews suggested that foresters were more likely to turn to sectoral organisations (such as the Forestry Commission and Forest Research), rather than to the Environment Agencys Climate Ready service, for advice and guidance on adaptation issues. We therefore envisage that the latter might work effectively in support of Forest Research and the Forestry Commission to develop and disseminate adaptation tools, advice and guidance to this sector. The identified adaptation products were mapped against the stages of the adaptation cycle and the specific issues that each resource addressed (e.g. Forestry Standard, pests and diseases, species selection and provenance etc.) as shown in Figure 6. This mapping could form the starting point for discussions between Climate Ready and the Forestry Commission and other relevant stakeholders on how it can best build upon existing adaptation guidance.
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A number of observations follow from our analysis: 1. As shown in the map of tools and guidance in the business and services sector, the two UKCIP business-specific tools provide a thorough and accessible support to a well-defined portion of the adaptation cycle, i.e. identifying impacts and quantifying risks, and identifying, assessing and implementing adaptation options. 2. This leaves three main gaps in the adaptation cycle: o Overview of the whole adaptation process: the UKCIP Adaptation Wizard can provide the overarching adaptation framework. However, since it is not developed with the business and services sector as its primary target, it might miss some important hooks, issues and advice. It may be helpful for Climate Ready to supplement the Adaptation Wizards support by sign-posting business users to some third party resources that specifically target this sector using concepts which are more intuitive for, and aligned with, business, such as business continuity or business standards. Alternatively, the Wizard could be translated into a language and framing which sits more naturally with this sector. Raising awareness/defining objectives: both BACLIAT and Speed BACLIAT focus on identifying and implementing actions, rather than raising awareness or winning the interest of senior management on adaptation 13 . This is a serious gap in the present offer of support given the importance of communication and making the case for adaptation that was indicated by the interviews. A key barrier to action is still around how to gain the necessary consensus within companies to take action. The Be Climate Ready Guide will partially close this gap in the Climate Ready tools portfolio. However, the Guide is deliberately short and therefore cannot provide the depth of
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It is acknowledged that BACLIAT has been successfully used to increase the awareness of businesses towards the impacts of climate change. Nevertheless, we think that both BACLIAT and Speed BACLIAT are primarily action-oriented and the awareness rising component is only marginal.
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information and evidence that can be useful at this stage in the adaptation process. Figure 7 shows that there are other resources which already provide more detailed information on the links between climate change and the needs and opportunities for UK business deriving from it. Nevertheless, although these present the business case for acting on adaptation, they do not provide advice on how to communicate it effectively. Climate Ready could develop a toolkit similar to the Adaptation Scotland Communications Toolkit, which provides a thought-through and ready-to-use approach and tools. o Monitoring and review: this is an important part of the cycle, but since there has been only limited progress of UK business on adaptation, it is not currently an area in high demand of support. Sign-posting users to other checklists which may be regularly updated, like AdaptME and the Business Resilience Healthcheck, could be an effective solution at this point in time.
3. 7 products out of 15 reviewed are complementary to and/or supplement the current suite of Climate Ready products for business. These are shown in Figure 7 in blue blocks. A summary of the reasons behind the selection and some comments concerning the suitability of each product for Climate Readys purposes are given in Table 2.
Table 2. Assessment of business and services adaptation tools Adaptation Product Business Resilience Healthcheck Could it prove superior to/complement the existing suite of Climate Ready resources? Yes. It requires less detailed effort compared to BACLIAT and Speed BACLIAT, while providing a tailored checklist to the user which can clearly show businesses the concrete links between climate change and business continuity and sustainability. The emphasis is on business continuity alone, which can help improve resilience to current weather, but does not necessarily help adapt to future climate change. Reference to detailed projections of future climate would need to be integrated to address this. No. This product is comparable with LCLIP. In fact, the information caught by SWIMS is already present within the LCLIP. The two Tools, however, are not quite the same and it would be possible to update LCLIP to capture the strong features of SWIMS. Some ameliorations to LCLIP could comprise: Amend it in a way that it is applicable to business, rather than local authorities; Add the automatic production of a PDF report to summarise the past, current, and near future vulnerabilities of the organisation; Switch the emphasis of the tools goal from past severe weather events to the inclusion of current events as they occur as well;
SWIMS
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different organisations in the UK and share aggregate analysis on local impacts and responses with the public. Some large corporations could benefit from consolidating LCLIPs from different geographical sites or functions or business divisions. BusinessWizard No. BACLIAT and Speed BACLIAT already cover the kinds of impacts presented by BusinessWizard. So does the Business Resilience Healthcheck, which also includes several additional risks. In addition, there is potential for this tool to foster maladaptation since it presents only a fairly simple set of risks matched to solutions. If the advice were to be followed very literally by a business, then they may invest in solutions not appropriate to their specific location / circumstance and that were not effective or even counterproductive in the long term. Yes. This is an interesting example of the attempt to translate the Adaptation Wizard into sectorspecific guidance for the business and services sector. The reference to the standards is located at the end of the guide as Appendices. The rest of the document is a relevant adaptation framework even for businesses that do not use those standards. There are reservations on whether Climate Ready should promote a tool which is not free to use. No. The UKCIP Adaptation Wizard already provides a similar framework to organisations to address the challenges of climate change, with the addition of a step-by-step support to its implementation and the provision of extra tools and resources to facilitate the adaptation process. However, this product provides a good idea of how the Adaptation Wizard could be successfully modified to address the specific needs of business: The Business of Adapting to Climate Change: A Call to Action A more business-friendly language; A concise format; The parallel provision of business case studies.
Climate change adaptation. Adapting to climate risks using ISO 9001, ISO 14001, BS 25999 and BS 31100
Yes. The framework for corporate action on adaptation presented here includes several interesting points which are currently missing from the Climate Ready suite of tools: It places adaptation of businesses in a broader context that shows how their actions can influence and be influenced by other crucial actors in climate change, such as public institutions and civil society;
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The issues covered go beyond improving resilience to direct impacts of extreme weather, to include other vulnerabilities like ecosystems, human capital and food security; It shows how climate change adaptation can become a concrete opportunity to gain competitive advantages over businesses that do not adapt now.
No. Speed BACLIAT already helps companies identify and assess potential risks and opportunities of climate change in a more sophisticated and comprehensive way. Yes. This is an excellent example of how Climate Readys expertise on climate change adaptation of businesses could be integrated into other more intuitive concepts like business continuity to ultimately increase the resilience of the UK business and services sector. However, at present the resource does not specifically help businesses address longer-term issues associated with climate change. Improvements in this area should be considered if Climate Ready decide to use this product. No. The Adaptation Wizard is a perfect substitute of this product. However, some interesting features like the risk management approach may be born in mind when the time comes to revise/update the Wizard. No. The resource is compatible with Climate Readys overall programme, but provides limited additional value since it is geographically tailored to the Baltic region. There is no information on how effective it is in supporting individuals and groups in practice. Yes. The guide is compatible with Climate Readys mandate, and its design/content may help inform the development of further guidance. Features which are especially highlighted are the quick checklists and the very light attempt to make the business case for adaptation. Yes. The product is in line with Climate Readys resources as it was developed by Climate Ready itself. This short document could very well work to get the attention of British SMEs about climate change adaptation and indirectly promote Climate Readys website and the other guidance supplied. Yes. This report would complement and enhance the Climate Ready resources in the area of supply chain resilience building.
Managing the Risks from Climate Change: An Adaptation Checklist For Business
Weathering the Storm Saving and Making Money in a Changing Climate. A Practical Guide for Small Businesses in the West Midlands
Value Chain Climate Resilience: A guide to managing climate impacts in companies and communities / Business ADAPT Tool
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No. The report has some relevance due to the climate resilience benefits of a strong local ecosystem to businesses, but does not specifically focus on this topic and may be confusing if incorporated. No. This report is aimed at informing policy makers, and is not intended to provide any useful support to businesses beyond being a source of policy-level information on the subject. As such it would be aligned with the overall theme and work of Climate Ready, but would not necessarily add value as a resource for business.
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The most appropriate tools and resources are different in each of these cases. Consequently, if the Climate Ready service is to be able to support a wide range of users, a smart signposting solution is likely to be needed, which should be able to: 1. Identify specific type of users; 2. Identify their current needs; and 3. Consequently present them with the most appropriate resources. Both an advanced search function (such as used in the European Climate Adaptation Platform, Climate-ADAPT) and a question-driven filter approach have potential to deliver aspects of the solution: these different features could be exploited in different sections of the Climate Ready website.
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6.2 Agriculture
A number of recurrent issues were identified during the interviews with agriculture stakeholders; these have highlighted that future effort by Climate Ready in the development of adaptation resources could focus on: 1. Raising awareness of the connection between climate change impacts and UK agriculture; 2. Providing practical and actionable examples of farming techniques that can increase farmers resilience to climate change while also meeting other farm business objectives. Such examples shall target specific farm sub-sectors - e.g. potato production. 3. Mainstreaming adaptation along the supply chain to linked industry actors, e.g. chemicals, seeds, food processors, machineries etc.; 4. Improving and updating UK Climate Projections. Farmers have an overwhelming preference for sector-specific support provided mainly through the existing network of farming advisors (rather than a new generic adaptation function). Communication on climate change should make use of existing networks. Care should be taken with the language used in communicating to farmers and adaptation advice will need to be closely aligned with commercial and regulatory drivers. The case for undertaking resilience measures should be expressed in terms of commercial benefits to their business. The review has clearly identified a need for further work both to develop the content of good practice advice and guidance on agriculture adaptation, and to integrate this in efficient and effective ways within the current landscape of advice provision to this sector. There are a number of sources of advice that could help fill gaps in existing provision of adaptation tools and guidance to this sector, particularly on awareness raising about climate change impacts on UK agriculture. Based on the evidence from interviews and desktop research, a number of existing advice schemes could potentially be used to deliver adaptation guidance to the agricultural sector. For example: Independent consultants provide substantial advice to farmers and are represented by trade associations like the Association of Independent Crop Consultants (AICC) and the British Institute of Agricultural Consultants (BIAC). The trade associations provide support to their advisors and could be used to disseminate information to farmers through a network of existing advisors. Environmental information services, like Campaign for the Farmed Environment and Farming Futures, are operated through collaborations between industry, government and environmental organisations. They provide a shared communications platform which could be used to provide advice on climate change adaptation. The Farming Advice Service has the flexibility to deliver a wide range of agricultural advice. The service is delivered through a consortium approach with 85 advisers currently approved to delivery advice through a range of mechanisms such as farm walks, workshops, adviser training and drop-in-clinics. The advice service has developed training materials on adaptation and could prioritise advice on adaptation, targeted at specific sectors within the industry. The Environment Agencys existing network of Agricultural Officers works with agricultural businesses and could be an additional route through which adaptation advice can be provided. For instance, the relationships developed through the creation of abstractor groups could be maintained and used to improve resilience over the long term.
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6.3 Forestry
Evidence from the interviews confirmed that foresters invariably look within their sector for advice. Wider input can be helpful to provide broader context, but specific advice on forest management comes from within the sector. This means that Climate Ready may only have a backroom role in supporting Forest Research and the Forestry Commission to develop and disseminate forestry tools, advice and guidance on adaptation. Climate Ready may be best-placed to help integrate advice on forestry with that for other sectors (e.g., agriculture, energy and water management), particularly in relation to the delivery of ecosystem services. Beyond those forestry-centric resources that can be accessed via the Forestry Commissions website, current advice, guidance and tools relating to climate change adaptation are somewhat dispersed. The Woodland Trust suggests that it would be helpful to provide people across the forestry sector with a simpler entry point that makes wider advice, guidance and tools relevant to them. However, unless it is made obvious that such resources relate directly to forestry, foresters will not make routine use of them. Members of forestry organisations look to their own websites, so rather than Climate Ready trying to develop its website as a central hub, it would be helpful if Climate Ready provided modules or a portal for embedding in third party websites. Forestry is not a homogeneous sector. This means that when it comes to supporting climate change adaptation, no one size fits all and there is the risk that whatever is developed may either be too tailored or too broad for use by different parts of the sector. The Climate Ready service could potentially consider this ongoing need for outreach (e.g. attending forestry conferences) and personalised support or coaching.
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Stakeholders interviews
Long-list
Preliminary assessment
Shortlist
etailed review
As might be expected, there was some flexibility in the emphasis given to each stage, depending on the different characteristics of the two Climate Ready themes that were considered. The approach could be applied in the remaining Climate Ready themes to complete a comprehensive review of adaptation tools and guidance, and to clarify further the scope and nature of the Climate Ready service. Those sectors which are more advanced in the adaptation process, and for which there is already a good stock of available adaptation resources (i.e. Natural Environment and Local Authorities themes), could resemble the Forestry sector by preferring to draw on existing third party portals and advice schemes for adaptation support (rather than turning to a new hub provided by Climate Ready). In these cases, the actual review of the tools is probably a lower priority than working in partnership with sectoral intermediaries to fine-tune the available tools to support the sector.
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Overall, we suggest that there will be an ongoing place for a core set of generic resources to be maintained and offered by Climate Ready. These resources can act as a starting point for any user, and provide demonstration of core concepts and principles, as well as a tried and trusted framework and evidence base. If the focus of Climate Ready were to switch solely toward sector-specific resources, there is a risk of divergence, with different approaches developing, particularly with signposting to third party products. A set of generic resources provides a consistent core framework, as a reference point and quality mark on which sectorspecific materials can be founded. We also suggest that Climate Ready will need to increase its signposting and/or support of selected sector-specific resources and third party organisations to meet the distinctive needs of each sector / theme appropriately, but the generic resources will help to maintain a theoretical coherence across the whole Climate ready offering.
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APPENDICES
Introduction
Purpose of the workshop was two-fold: on the one hand, for Ricardo-AEA to present the main findings and recommendations of the project to the wider team of Climate Ready (CR); on the other hand, it aimed to use the findings to generate discussion and define key issues that would help steer CRs ongoing work on tools and guidance. Megan gave a brief overview of the project, recapping on its aims, objectives and intended outputs (see attached presentation). Subsequently, she introduced additional pieces of work which are related to this project, namely: the decision to transfer core tools from UKCIP to Climate Ready for 31 March: Adaptation Wizard, BACLIAT (but not Speed BACLIAT), Identifying Adaptation Options, Adaptation Monitoring and Evaluation, CLARA, LCLIP (to be modified for general audience) a set of projects going on in the Business and Services (B&S) theme: Segmentation work; Influencing packs for SMEs and Big Corporates; Business case project; Climate change risks to supply chains. other relevant works: Built environment review; Socially just climate change adaptation project; SWIMS launch; Health sector guidance.
The proposal coming from the Consultants based on previous discussions within the project s Steering Group was the following: On the Tools and Guidance page: Use signposting solutions akin to those of the EUs Climate-Adapt platform to allow users to more freely self-select the tools & guidance they access. On the Sectors page: Use a more constrained questions driven filter to guide users to more specific resources suitable to the adaptation stage of most in a particular theme . The proposal was well received especially because it would provide users with different knowledge and time available with a differentiated point of entrance in to the adaptation journey. However, some issues were raised in discussion: There is some concern that the Climate-Adapts signposting approach works well only with a large supply of products, while CRs supply is more limited. Chris West pointed out that Climate-Adapts approach leaves too many open ways to the user, while he would rather have something that identify and then guide/accompany the user to the right products. Someone noted that there is a different audience for tools and information: information should target users that want to understand the implication of climate change for their organisation, whereas tools should provide practical support to those that are in an advanced stage of the journey. The filter would be especially useful for tools rather than information. Following the same logic about differentiating the support offer for different users, an idea could be to develop guidance for users who have: 10 minutes (e.g. information about what is adaptation); 1 hour (e.g. info about what does climate change mean for him); 1 day (e.g. tools to work on adaptation, like BACLIAT). CR was compared to a personal shopper who helps users find the right guidance. Another idea was to have businesses which worked on adaptation and used CR tools to become testimonials of CR work and have them presenting to other businesses. Finally, the discussion moved to the pros and cons of hosting on CR website and signposting users to third-partys guidance. Opinions were mixed. Few common points were reached as follows: Pros: external resources can help reach the wider audience and provide support on wider topics and issues. Cons: 1) a large offer of products may result in confusing users; 2) there is an issue for CR to check the quality of third-party resources and it may raise reputation issues for the Environment Agency; 3) external products are difficult to be kept updated. Two were the main conclusions of this part of the discussion: CR should have a own core set of products to provide the basic support to users in the early stages of the adaptation cycle, while the offer on CR website should rely increasingly on supplementary/external products to meet the specific needs of users at further stages. CR should identify sectoral authoritative providers of adaptation guidance to work in partnership with in order to closely develop and control sectoral guidance.
Next steps
Megan explained that the outcomes of the project and the workshop will be taken further in the newlyestablished CR Tools and Guidance steering group.
List of participants
Present: Chris West (Climate Ready) Kylie Russell (Business & Services Theme Lead) Alex Webb (Agriculture & Forestry Theme Lead) Simon Slater (Climate UK) Charlie Corbishley (Climate Ready Programme Lead)
Ellie Heightman (Climate Ready Communications Lead) Richard Lamb (Climate Ready) Katy Peat (Climate Ready Evidence) Laurie Newton Caroline Duckworth (Built Environment Theme Lead) Gretchen Moeser (Environment Agency) Jens Evans (Environment Agency) Angela Connelly Molly Anderson (Climate Ready Evidence Lead) Megan Gawith (Climate Ready, Project Manager) Luca Petrarulo (Ricardo-AEA) Paddy Pringle (Ricardo-AEA) Apologies Nick Buckland (Climate Ready)
The Gemini Building Fermi Avenue Harwell Didcot Oxfordshire OX11 0QR Tel: 01235 753651
www.ricardo-aea.com