Anda di halaman 1dari 7

Copyright

Iridium LLC
Harvard Business School Case 9-200-039 Case Software 2-200-705 Copyright 2000 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College Research Associate Fuaad A. Qureshi and William Olsen (MBA '00) prepared this case from published sources under the supervision of Professor Benjamin Esty as the basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. It is based, in part, on Scott Vuchetich's (MBA '99) Faculty Sponsored Research project.

Page 1

Exhibit 1

Exhibit 1

Existing and Proposed Satellite Systems

Segment/Project Voice Transmission (1) Iridium, LLC (2) Globalstar (3) ICO (4) Ellipso (5) ECCO (6) ACeS (7) Thuraya Data Transmission (1) Teledesic (2) Skybridge (3) CyberStar (4) Astrolink (5) Spaceway (6) Orbcomm (7) Leo One

Lead Sponsor

Constellation Specifications

Estimated Cost ($ billions)

Motorola Loral, Qualcomm, Vodafone, Airtouch Inmarsat, TRW, Hughes, various PTTs Mobile Communications Holdings Constellation Communications Pacifik Satelit, Phillipine Long Distance Etisalat (United Arab Emirates)

Low orbit, 66 satellites, plus 6 spares Low orbit, 48 satellites, plus 8 spares Medium orbit, 10 satellites, plus 2 spares 17 satellites, most in elliptical orbit Low orbit, 46 satellites, plus 8 spares 2 geosynchronous satellites 2 geosynchronous satellites Total Cost (Voice Transmission) Low orbit, 288 satellites, plus 12 spares Low orbit, 80 satellites 3 geosynchronous satellites 9 geosynchronous satellites 8 geosynchronous satellites "Little LEO," 36 satellites "Little LEO," 48 satellites Total Cost (Data Transmission) Total Cost (Voice & Data)

$5.5 $3.3 $4.6 $1.4 $3.0 $0.9 $1.0 $19.7 $9.0 $4.2 $1.6 $4.0 $3.2 $0.3 $0.5 $22.8 $42.5

Gates, McCaw, Motorola, Boeing Alcatel, Loral Loral Lockheed Martin Hughes Electronics Orbital Sciences Leo One

Sources:

Various newspaper and industry articles.

Page 2

Exhibit 2

Exhibit 2

Global Telecommunication Service Segments

Segment Wireline Wireless Satellites - MSSa - FSSb Total

1999 Size ($ billions) $609.0 $206.8 $19.2


_______

1990-1999 CAGR 8.0% 14.2 27.0 21.4 31.7 10.2%

2000-2004 Estimated CAGR 8.0% 15.0 42.6 60.3 28.0 10.1%

$1.9 $17.3

$835.0

Sources:

McKinsey & Company, Telecommunications Industry Report, 1999. U.S. Industry and Trade Outlook , Telecommunications Services, 1999.

Notes: a Mobile Satellite Services. b Fixed Satellite Services.

Page 3

Exhibit 5

Exhibit 5

Iridium Financial Projections and Capitalization, 1999-2007 1 1998 Act. 1999

2 2000

3 2001

4 2002

5 2003

6 2004

7 2005

8 2006

9 2007

Income Statement (000s) # Voice Subscribers # Paging Subscribers Revenues EBITDA Depreciation/Amortization EBIT Interest Expense, net Profit Before Tax Taxes @ 15% Net Income Cash Flow Data Depreciation/Amortization Capital Expenditures Increase (Decrease) in NWCa Balance Sheet Data Cash Property, Plant and Equipment Total Assets Total Debt

5 0 $0.2 -436 552 -988 265 -1,253 0 -1,253

600 50 $403 -351 811 -1,162 387 -1,549 0 -1,549

1,475 125 $2,183 1,339 966 373 454 -81 0 -81

2,525 225 $3,748 2,809 1,213 1,596 424 1,172 176 996

3,675 325 $4,994 3,859 1,333 2,526 278 2,248 337 1,911

4,550 425 $5,821 4,611 1,084 3,527 59 3,468 520 2,948

5,275 525 $6,249 4,973 1,109 3,864 0 3,864 580 3,284

5,900 600 $6,435 5,100 1,020 4,080 0 4,080 612 3,468

6,525 650 $6,495 5,084 822 4,262 39 4,223 633 3,590

7,150 690 $6,481 5,001 605 4,396 92 4,304 646 3,658

552 716 -398

811 927 290

966 1,349 63

1,213 1,246 -102

1,333 1,258 -81

1,084 1,274 -54

1,109 947 -28

1,020 391 -12

822 413 -4

605 844 -1

25 3,584 3,739 2,854

10 3,215 3,319 3,930

10 3,597 3,833 4,437

10 3,630 3,979 3,352

10 3,555 3,990 1,266

20 3,745 4,270 0

30 3,020 3,582 0

50 2,390 2,988 0

50 1,981 2,583 450

50 2,103 2,704 1155

Iridium, LLC, Capitalization as of 12/31/98 ($ millions) Debt Secured Bank Debt, @ Prime + 2.75% Guaranteed Bank Debt, @ Prime Sr. Sub. Notes @ 14.5%, due 2006 Senior Notes A @ 13.0%, due 2005 Senior Notes B @ 14.0%, due 2005 Senior Notes C @ 11.25%, due 2005 Senior Notes D @ 10.88%, due 2005 Total Debt Deferred payments due monthly to Motorola Equity Preferred Partnerships (EquityClass 2) Total Class 1 Equity Raised Accumulated Losses Net Class 1 Equity (book value) Debt/Total Capital (book value) Debt/Total Capital (market value) Debt/Total Capital (of the capital raised) 500 625 323 278 480 300 348 2,854 218 46 2,114 1,683 431 86% 34% 57%

Capital Market Data as of 12/31/98 Iridium Information Stock Price (IRIDQ) Equity Beta (weekly data) Asset Beta (1998 average) Class 1 Interests (shares) Class 1 Interests (fully diluted)b Proceeds from Class 1 warrantsb Yields on US Treasury Bills, Notes and Bonds 3-month 1-year 10-year 30-year Prime Rate Yields on Corporate Bonds Aaa Rated Baa Rated

$39.5 1.58 1.25 141 million 185 million $220 million

4.48% 4.53% 4.65% 5.09% 7.75% 6.23% 7.23%

Sources:

Salomon Smith Barney, Equity Research Report, February 1, 1999; casewriter estimates; Federal Reserve Bulletin; Iridium World Communications, Ltd. 1998 Annual Report.

Notes: a Changes in working capital excludes cash and cash equivalents. b Exercise of the outstanding Class 1 warrants would increase the number of interests from 141 to 185 million, and yield $220 million of proceeds to the company.

Page 4

Exhibit 6

Exhibit 6

Financial Statistics for Select Industries, December 31, 1998

S&P Industry Group Broadcast (Television/Radio/Cable) Retail (General Merchandise) Retail (Food Chains) Telephone Tobacco Electric Utilitiesa Natural Gas Utilitiesa Lodgings-Hotels Airlines Water Utilitiesa Hardware & Tools Aerospace/Defense Railroads Household Products Restaurants Publishing (Newspapers) Iron & Steel Personal Care Chemicals (Specialty) Telecommunications (Long Distance) Textiles (Apparel) Health Care (Drugs) Leisure Products Telecommunications (Cellular) Retail (Specialty) Textiles (Home Furnishing) Electronics (Semiconductors) Electronics (Components Distribution) Biotechnology Computer (Software/Services) Computers (Networking) Mean Median

Current Ratio 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.6 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 1.1 0.6 1.1 2.0 1.5 2.4 0.8 2.2 1.4 1.5 0.9 1.4 3.4 2.3 1.8 2.1 2.6 2.2 1.4 1.4

Debt to Total Capital (Book Value) 74% 60 59 59 57 57 53 53 53 52 50 50 45 40 38 38 38 36 36 33 28 25 25 24 23 19 15 11 8 3 0 37 38

Times Interest Earned 2.4 X 5.8 4.0 4.5 8.5 2.6 2.9 9.9 5.9 3.1 -1.4 6.1 2.9 6.9 4.4 8.1 14.8 11.5 46.8 3.6 5.8 25.1 5.0 4.0 8.7 2.5 33.0 27.6 30.6 16.3 112.3b 13.7 5.9

Return on Assets 3.41% 7.96 6.08 8.09 9.88 2.86 3.65 9.75 7.09 3.04 -11.96 3.66 2.56 11.26 8.03 9.09 6.92 9.43 7.93 3.60 9.01 15.16 6.60 2.17 6.20 2.60 15.03 11.34 23.51 18.25 13.58 7.61 7.93

Source:

S&P Analyst's Handbook , Standard & Poor's Corp., New York, 1999.

Notes: a Data from S&P Compustat database. b 1996 data used instead of 1998 data.

Page 5

Exhibit 7

Exhibit 7

Financial Statistics for Satellite Companies as of December 31, 1998 Debt/Total Capitalizationa Sales ($ millions) $0.2 $0.0 $0.1 $155.3 $767.3 $616.5 $734.3 Assets ($ millions) $3,738.9 $2,670.0 $2,659.4 $410.3 $5,890.5 $1,790.8 $962.7 Book Value 86% 79% 24% 26% 22% 41% 29% Market Value 34% 29% 21% 32% 12% 20% 11% Interest Coverage 0.72 -1.28 N/A -15.7 3.04 1.72 0.70

Company (1) Iridium, LLC (2) Globalstar L.P. (3) ICO Global Communications (4) Gilat Satellite Networks (5) PanAmSat Corp. (6) Comsat Corp. (7) Orbital Sciences Corp.

Current Debt Provision as % of for Taxes Net Income ($ millions) ($ millions) Total Debt $0.0 $0.0 $3.8 $0.3 $95.9 $5.8 $4.5 ($73.6) ($50.6) ($110.7) ($81.6) $124.6 $26.4 ($6.4) 4% 15% 0% 2% 1% 3% 13%

Currnet Ratio 0.19 0.59 4.84 1.60 2.36 1.41 1.21

Cash as % of Assets 0.7% 2.1% 20.6% 1.8% 3.0% 1.7% 2.8%

Equity Beta 1.58 1.70 0.34 1.71 0.96 0.50 1.35

S&P Senior Debt Rating CCb Bb B N/A AABB

Sources:

Company Annual Reports, S&P Compustat, S&P Bond Guide , Bloomberg.

Notes: a Debt/Total Capitalization is calculated as the ratio of total debt to the sum of debt, equity, and preferred stock. b S&P Long-Term Debt Rating for December 1998 used in lieu of S&P 1998 Senior Debt Rating. Company Descriptions: (1) Iridium employed a network of 66 satellites to provide handheld global satellite telephone and paging network. It was based in Washington, D.C. (2) Globalstar was a joint venture between Space Systems/Loral and Qualcomm. It used a constellation of 48 satellites and was based in New York, New York. (3) ICO Global Communications, based in the Cayman Islands, would provide mobile and cellular services via a system of 12 satellites. (4) Gilat Satellite Networks, based in Israel, employed VSAT (Very Small Aperture Technology) for telecommunications and data transmission. (5) PamAmSat, with 20 satellites, was the leading commercial provider of satellite-based communications services. It was based in Greenwich, Connecticut. (6) Comsat provided global telecommunications using the 19 Inmarsat satellites (the INTELSAT system). It was based in Bethesda, Maryland. (7) ORBCOMM, the satellite division of Orbital Sciences, had total sales of $0.8 million, an operating loss of $4.0 million, and identifiable assets of $241.5 million in 1998. ORBCOMM used a constellation of 28 LEO satellites for global data transmission, and was based in Dulles, Virginia.

Page 6

Exhibit 11

Exhbit 11

Payments to Motorola from Iridium LLC ($ millions)

Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 est. 2000 est. 2001 est. 2002 est. 2003 est. Total

System Development Support Space Terresterial Agreement System Network $0.6 0.9 0.7 $802 836 577 589

Operations and Maintenance

Total $803 901 652 857 543 558 581 605 472 $5,871

64 74 139 6

129 537 558 581 605 472 $2,882

$2.1

$2,804

$283

Source:

Iridium World Communications Ltd. Class A Stock Prospectus, January 21, 1999.

Page 7

Anda mungkin juga menyukai