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Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

The Future of Advertising, Marketing & Media - the next 5 years


London, November 11, 2008 Gerd Leonhard www.mediafuturist.com

Futurist Strategist Author

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Its not about Technology

Emerging cultural practices

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Its about PEOPLE


Content

Brands Media

Source: Flickr hillarylmrore

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

A reflection...

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Marketing is Cultural Matchmaking

http://www.flickr.com/photos/bip/

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Br o a d b a n d C u l tu r e

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Broadband access will soon be...free

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Some devices will soon feel like free

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Truly connected ... whats the big deal?

We decide who gets to market to us We value trust more than anything We actually collaborate We sell our Attention Data becomes enormously valuable

Collaborate or Die

Looking up to... ourselves... each other

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

The Future: drastic role changes

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

The Future: more and more fragmentation.. and Aggregation

Agency 2.0

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Once technology becomes dead-simple...

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

The next dead-easies

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Expect big changes when that happens

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

This makes music industry changes look like a minor nuisance

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

The Future of Books & Print

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

The cashless society (e-money, mobile cash) Mashed Access Networks New display technologies and mobile projection Device morphing Fuel cells and other new battery technologies ePaper / the digital book Frappers / 3D Printing The rise of Multi-Touch Technologies Decentralization, Social Production & Crowdsourcing Time, location, device shifting is expected everywhere Mobile Me becomes default: mobile = life depository Smart Clothing Cloud Computing The Internet of Things

Some stuff you may want to know about...

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

The Internet of Things

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Content: UGC is a MAJOR force

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Good news for you: Finding and being Found is what matters

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Searching & finding goes social

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

A central part of many future campaigns

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Sharing Economy Logic


Share the Output (i.e. publish, remix, PFE, life-stream...) Share Input (i.e. remuneration in cash, attention, reputation...) Share the Thruput (i.e. usage data... meta content... attention trails...)

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Service Creators Product Creators Content Creators Content Users

Co-Creation

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Image via flickr.com/photos/spursfan_ace/

People now pay more to express themselves, and less to consume

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

People used to pay for Content Now they pay for Meta Content

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Users = = Users

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Advertising =

<=> Users

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

A side effect of Broadband Culture


An increasing number of people are now looking to contribute, to connect, to do something truly meaningful

Money

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

In the sharing economy money can be poisonous

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

This is over

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Moving from take-down to permission

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Trustol - or death

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

The Future of Content: Attention-based Income Explodes


Copy Based Revenues Attention Based Revenues
10.0

7.5

5.0

2.5

Was

Is

0 Soon Near Future Mid-term Future

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Together, Broadband Culture and Mobility will re-define how we think about:

Privacy Authority Ownership / Copyright Selling (and Marketing) Production Requirements Work Education

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Massive Disruption... + - ?

Production Competition Authority

Copyright Ownership Control

Developing Countries Empowered Individuals Professional Amateurs

Developed Countries Incumbent Companies Authorized Professionals

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Crowd + Cloud = The Future

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Advertising, Take 2
Trust

Rewards Value Relevance Permission

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

The Open - Closed Challenge

Open

Closed

Chaotic

Orderly

Untested

Safe

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Its all in the Mix and in the timing

Orderly Untested

Open
Chaotic

Closed
Safe

Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist

Thanks for listening!


email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com twitter: gleonhard facebook: gleonhard more presentations at www.mediafuturist.com lifestream at www.gerdstream.com

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