Robert Slomp, Ministry of Infrastructure and Environment Bas Kolen, HKV, Lijn in Water Jaap van der Schaaf, Oranjewoud
Contents
Flood management in the Netherlands, an introduction Problems Solutions: institutional, legal and organizational Multi layer safety policy Lessons from abroad: Emergency planning needs a review Techniques developed for the National Risk study Risk mapping and Evacuation plans The concept of Worst Credible Floods Capacity Planning Results Tools for a national flood exercise Policy analysis
Rijkswaterstaat
Flood prone areas: from the sea, lakes or rivers Areas below design water levels
Rijkswaterstaat
Rijkswaterstaat
Flood safety policy is a mix of: - Emergency services measures (& planning) - Spatial planning building of a flood resilient environment (housing & services ) - Flood protection: dunes, dikes, barriers
Rijkswaterstaat
Rijkswaterstaat
Casualty rate for water depth percentage of population versus depth of water
Rijkswaterstaat
Rijkswaterstaat
Red: > 10-5 recently reclaimed land (after 1950) Orange: 10-6 -10-5 reclaimed land along Rivers and estuaries (after 1200)
Rijkswaterstaat
Rijkswaterstaat
Worst Credible floods National scenarios Single flood events: - River floods - coastal floods northern coast western coast - Combinations
Rijkswaterstaat
Rijkswaterstaat
Time table
4300 square km 120 Mld Euro 10.000 casualties
Rijkswaterstaat
Rijkswaterstaat
Capacity planning
Analysis of the problem / Identifying the most urgent issues and areas: The areas were divided into sectors on account of the water depth Population per sector was divided into - self reliant - not self reliant Choice of primary goals (triage) : reducing casualties - from flooding (short term) - from living in waterlogged areas more than 3 days (long term) Identifying different strategies The most important tasks were determined per strategy - Personnel and transport for the short term - traffic control for evacuation - transporting non self reliant people Choice of preferred strategy per worst credible flood scenario by policy makers
Western Coast
Time frame for decision making - 5 days ahead, 20 (?opzoeken) per cent probability - No transport possible 1 day ahead with beaufort 10/11 gale
Number of people to be evacuated, per strategy: - number of self reliant: millions - number of non self-reliant: hundreds of thousands
Rijkswaterstaat
Rijkswaterstaat
Results
Tools for the 26 Safety regions map overlays excel sheets lots of practical ideas
Rijkswaterstaat